SP Angel Morning Energiser: 28/03/24

European gas storage at 59% full

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/03/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth. This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences. This compares with only 115 m of l

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 15/02/24

Oil down on 12mb EIA crude build

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16/02/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria – The well site construction at the Welchau-1 drill site is complete. The drilling rig is expected to become available to ADX on 14 February. The rig move and rig assembly will take ~6 days after rig release. Drilling operations are expected to commence on 20 February with a duration of ~39 days. PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN)C; target price of £1.45 per s

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 22/12/23

E&P M&A makes a comeback in 2023

Auctus on Friday - 22/12/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Oversuscribed share purchase plan – ADX has raised a further ~A$1.6 mm as part of a share purchase plan. The terms are in line with the recently announced A$4.8 mm equity raise priced at A$0.10 per share. Chariot (CHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Extending position in electricity trading company – Chariot is acquiring 49% of Etana Energy from the Neura Group, with H1 a

Auctus on Friday - 01/12/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Key environmental permit received for key well – An Environmental Clearance has been received from the Department of Nature Protection of the State Government of Upper Austria to drill the Welchau-1 gas well. The Environmental Clearance is the last regulatory requirement to commence operations at the Welchau gas exploration project. The well is expected to spud in January and targ

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 28/11/23

Crude stable ahead of OPEC+ meeting

Auctus on Friday - 08/09/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: target price of A$0.08 per share: Transaction with MND receives Austrian Ministerial acceptance – ADX has received clearance from the ministry of finance in Austria for the partnership documentation between ADX, MND and Xstate Resources. This was a key condition precedent to completing the transaction. The transaction will provide funding for the drilling of key wells at Anshof that are expected to add reserves an

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 05/09/23

Energy prices stable

Auctus on Friday - 26/05/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Hartshead Resources (HHR AU)C; target price of A$0.18 per share: On tack for first gas in 2025 – The FDP for Phase I is nearing completion and will be submitted in two weeks. The project continues to be expected to reach first gas in 2025. Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; target price of NOK50 per share: Executing on plans. Declaring a ~US$3 mm quarterly dividend – 1Q23 production of 6,320 bbl/d had already been reported and net debt of US$25

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 24/05/23

Saudis warn that short-sellers will be ouching

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 19/05/23

Markets remain wary on demand

EGY US/LN, HHR AU, GPRK US, PTAL LN/TAL CN, TETY SS, AET LN, ALV CN, BNOR NO, BOE LN, CNE CN, DEC LN, DNO NO, ECHO LN, ECHO LN, ENQ LN, FEC CN, FORZ CN, GENL LN, HBR LN, KOS LN/US, PXT CN, RBD LN, SENX LN, SNM CN, TAO CN, TLOU AU/LN, TXP LN

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$25 per share: Protecting shareholder returns as lower capex offsets delayed production – 1Q23 production of 36,578 boe/d had already been reported. The Indico 6 and Indico 7 wells in the CPO-5 block in Colombia are now expected to return to production in July (rather than May) when the definitive surface facilities are completed. The facilities are 60-65% complete and there is improved confidence

Auctus on Friday - 06/04/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: The RCE-5 well encounters one of the largest net pay to date in the RCE field – The RCE-5 well encountered 90 feet of net oil pay across the Carbonera C7 (36 feet) and the Lower Gacheta sands (54 feet). This is the third successful well in the 2023 campaign. RCE-5 encountered the largest net pay in the current programme. The well is expected to add production and reserves a

Trinity Exploration and Production - Reserves Reduction but Solid Core Business

Trinity has announced a c28% reduction to its 2P reserves following a YE23 review. Despite the decrease in the Company’s 2P reserves, Trinity’s core business remains robust, with a reserves/production ratio of >12.5 years at YE23. Whilst there is significant potential for growth within the current portfolio, this will be difficult to unlock from the current balance sheet and we believe further financing will be required. We update our target price to 76p (from 202p), a c85% premium to the curren

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Three exploration wells deliver three discoveries

• The Nong Yao-13 exploration well in the new Nong Yao D area that was targeting multiple zones has encountered >30 feet of new oil play across several new shallow intervals which have not been produced elsewhere on the concession. These reservoirs are believed to be recurring across the Nong Yao D area. • The drilling result confirms that oil has successfully migrated into this area of the block (a factor that was seen to be a risk in the Nong Yao D area) and open the opportunity for further a

Morning Note – 16 April 2024

Morning Note – 15 April 2024

NextSource Materials - Initiation

NextSource is uniquely positioned to build a leading vertically integrated position, ex China, in the supply of Lithium-ion battery anode material which is essential for the Energy Transition. The company is commissioning phase 1 of its world-class Molo graphite mine in Madagascar and is in the final permitting process for its first Battery Anode Facility (BAF) to be located in Mauritius. The company is backed by Vision Blue, established by Sir Mick Davis, former CEO of Xstrata. On our calculat

Oil & Gas - Cavendish sector note

Chariot, Energean, Touchstone Exploration, Longboat Energy, Hartshead Resources, BP, Helix Exploration, PetroTal, Pantheon Resources, Caspian Sunrise, Petrofac, DNO ASA, Valeura Energy, Aker BP, Var Energi Source: FactSet, weekly change 08/04/24-12/04/24 Oil rose as Israel braced for a possible attack from Iran, a development that would threaten major disruptions in a region that accounts for a third of the world’s crude output. An assault is expected to come as soon as the next 48 hours, which

SP Angel . Morning View . Copper prices hold higher as China processing fees fall below $0/t amid low feedstock availability

PROGRESSIVE: Pharos Energy: Delivering on operations and balance sheet

Pharos Energy reported FY23 results on 27 March. Group net production of 6,508 boepd (FY22: 7,166 boepd) was in line with guidance, assisted by successful development drilling in Vietnam and exploration successes in Egypt. Pharos’s strong cash generation resulted in a stronger balance sheet, with net debt reduced to US$6.6m (from US$28.9m at the end of 2022) and cash balances totalling US$32.6m. This left the group free to return more cash to shareholders, including a 10% increase in dividends,

SP Angel Morning View: Global Li-ion battery demand reaches all-time in Q1 2024

Kouroussa progress moving slowly

Tethys Oil AB (SSE: TETY): Increasing further the size of the prize

• The South Lahan area on Block 58 is estimated to hold 55-523 mmbl prospective resources (P90-P10 case) with a mean case of 251.8 mmbbl prospective resources across six prospects in the Ara Carbonate. • Combined with the previously disclosed prospective resources of the Fahd area in the north-eastern part of Block 58, Tethys Oil’s unrisked recoverable prospective resources on the block are estimated to be 435.9 mmbbl (Pmean). • The geological chance of success ranges from 6% to 11% for the six

SP Angel Morning View: Lithium carbonate prices rise in China as refiner sentiment improves

Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): Initiating a strategic review of the Transitional Power business to focus on gas

• The farm-out transaction with Energean has now completed. Chariot has received the US$10 mm cash upfront payment and retains 30% of in the Lixus licence (where the Anchois project is located) and 37.5% of the Rissana licence, offshore Morocco. • A rig contract has also been signed with Stena Drilling to drill the high impact Anchois-East appraisal and development well in 3Q24. • Anchois East is a very important well that could increase the size of Anchois to >1 tcf (300 bcf net to Chariot). O

Steppe Gold: Boroo merger and Tres Cruces disposal terms announced

Steppe Gold (“Steppe”) has announced the terms for both the proposed merger with Boroo gold and for the disposal of the Tres Cruces project in Peru. Boroo, which will add ~60koz/year to the group’s production profile, is to be acquired for 138.15m Steppe shares – implying a value of C$95m/US$71m - with Boroo shareholders holding 55.9% of the expanded group. On a per ounce of 2023 production basis, this equates to US$1,061/oz for Boroo compared to US$1,990/oz for Steppe and the average for the <5

On Track in Stronger Markets

Tharisa has released its Q2 and interim production report for FY2024. Generally the production numbers were flat for both PGMs and Chrome and slightly below our forecast. In the case of PGMs this was due to lower recoveries due to ore type and in Chrome the company executed a routine maintenance programme on the plant. The company has maintained guidance for the full year however so we expect a robust second half followed by low risk growth in output as we head into FY25. Meanwhile Chrome pric