Following a review of product-level forecasts, we have reduced FY2017-18e revenue forecasts by 6.6% & 10.9% respectively. Following Mylan’s generic Advair® setback, we have also downgraded the likelihood of success for VR315 in the US. Although we remain impressed by the depth of Vectura’s pipeline, the potential valuation upside does not currently outweigh the risk of VR315 non-approval or delayed approval. We downgrade to Sell ahead of the 10th May GDUFA date with a TP of 131p (from 202p).
24 Apr 2017
N+1 Singer - Vectura Group - VR315 risk outweighs longer-term potential
Sign up to access
Get access to our full offering from over 30 providers
Get access to our full offering from over 30 providers
N+1 Singer - Vectura Group - VR315 risk outweighs longer-term potential
- Published:
24 Apr 2017 -
Author:
Dr Jens Lindqvist -
Pages:
7
Following a review of product-level forecasts, we have reduced FY2017-18e revenue forecasts by 6.6% & 10.9% respectively. Following Mylan’s generic Advair® setback, we have also downgraded the likelihood of success for VR315 in the US. Although we remain impressed by the depth of Vectura’s pipeline, the potential valuation upside does not currently outweigh the risk of VR315 non-approval or delayed approval. We downgrade to Sell ahead of the 10th May GDUFA date with a TP of 131p (from 202p).