Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Redstoneconnect. We currently have 30 research reports from 5 professional analysts.
Forbidden Technologies plc* (FBT.L, 5.4p/£9.7m) Placing: Considerable firepower | MTI Wireless Edge plc* (MWE.L, 26.1p/£14m) Merger: further progress made | Sanderson plc (SND.L, 106p/£63.7m) Meeting with management: On track for the full year | RedstoneConnect plc (REDS.L, 117p/£24.4m) Disposal and prelims: Focus on smart buildings and agile workspaces
Companies: FBT MWE SND REDS
Block Energy— UK based oil exploration and production company whose main country of operation is the Republic of Georgia. Raising £4m. Mkt cap £9.3m. Due early June. Codemasters Group— video game developer and publisher, specialising in high quality racing games. Offer TBA. Seeking £15m in primary. Due 1 June. Strongbow Exploration (TSX:SBW) intends to dual list on AIM. Holds rights to the South Crofty underground tin mine, a former producing tin mine located in the towns of Pool and Camborne, Cornwall . The project is estimated to require the Company to raise £25 million over the next 18 months to progress to a production decision. Offer TBS. Due June. Maestrano Group, a software company with operations in Australia (main country of operation), the UK, US and the UAE, is looking to join AIM. Cloud based automated management data system. Raising £6m at 15p. Mkt Cap £12m. Due 30 May. Yew Grove REIT—newly formed Company will pursue its investment objective by investing in a diversified portfolio of Irish commercial property. Offer TBA. Due Late May
Companies: ENGI BLV AVO IMTK REDS GMR PPIX MED IMM ALS
Avast, global cybersecurity provider with 435m users worldwide. In 2017, the Group's Adjusted Billings was $811 million, Adjusted Revenue was $780 million, Adjusted Cash EBITDA was $451 million. Seeking to raise $200m. Due in May | Fundamentum Supported Housing REIT. Raising £150m. Focussed on UK Social Housing assets. Due 2 May | Vivo Energy—retailer and marketer of Shell-branded fuels and lubricants in Africa, Due in May. 100% secondary sell-down of existing Shares by Selling Shareholders, No new Money. Pricing TBA | Gore Street Energy Storage Fund—Seeking to raise £100m for the purposes of investment in a diversified portfolio of utility scale energy storage projects. Due 03 May | Odyssean Investment Trust—Raising £100m at £1. Due 1 May. The Company will primarily invest in smaller company equities quoted on markets operated by the London Stock Exchange | Finablr - press reports in ‘Arabian Business’ that Money transfer firms UAE Exchange, Travelex and others under UAE billionaire Bavaguthu Raghuram Shetty’s newly formed holding company Finablr are preparing for a London IPO
Companies: HGM TSG INFA VRS VEL CGNR SND REDS
See what's trending this week...
With the full year numbers confirmed, we focus on the diversity of the earnings stream and by adopting a sum-of-the-parts methodology to reflect their different characteristics we determine a fair value of 250p. This is substantially ahead of the current share price. With clients requiring ‘connected office’ software, RedstoneConnect is now generating sustainable revenues from a wide client base and from numerous sources e.g. SaaS, licence fees, consultancy, one-off and recurring contracts. At 250p, the FY19 PE rating is 19x. This is not demanding for a company which has developed cutting edge software, can boast of a blue-chip client base, is expected to post a 3yr CAGR (2017 – 2020E) for adjusted PBT of 48% and enjoys a net cash position. We maintain our buy.
Hydrominer GmbH, An Austrian cryptocurrency miner, is considering an initial public offering (IPO) on the London Stock Exchange AIM during 2018 according to an article on Bloomberg. Block Energy—a NEX Listed UK based oil exploration and production company whose main country of operation is the Republic of Georgia, looks to join AIM end of February 2018. Offer TBC OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c.£50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m.
Companies: GTC BRY ERGO HAYD QXT INFA REDS MYSL ACSO SRC
We have left our full year adjusted PBT forecast for RedstoneConnect (Redstone), unchanged at £2.2m but have lowered our net cash forecast from £4.8m to £2.5m due to increased working capital commitments. As such, earnings will be second half weighted given Redstone reported adjusted PBT of £0.493m at the interims. Our confidence in the full year estimate is based upon the timing of profit recognition on long term contracts and the acceleration in contract wins since the interims. We continue to forecast a 3yr CAGR in the adjusted PBT of 49%, with the EBIT margin rising from 3% in FY17 to 7.5% by FY20. With Redstone trading on a PE rating of 11.7x and 9x for FY18 and FY19, we maintain our BUY recommendation and 250p price target.
Alpha Financial Markets Consulting— Global provider of specialist consultancy services to the asset and wealth management industry. Due Oct. Revenue of £6.7 million for the year ended 31 March 2011 to £43.6 million for the year ended 31 March 2017 . Offer TBA. Due 11 Oct. Cora Gold— West African focused gold exploration business, significantly enlarged by the amalgamation of the gold exploration assets in Mali and Senegal of Hummingbird Resources and Cora Gold's former parent, Kola Gold. Due 9 Oct. Offer TBA City of London Group (COLG) - Sch 1—RTO of Milton Homes Limited, an equity release provider which has a UK residential property portfolio of 586 properties with a market value of approximately £77 million as at 30 June 2017. Offer TBA. Due 5 Oct Springfield Properties—Scottish housebuilder. Intention to float. Offer TBA “Our turnover exceeded £100 million for the first time this year and now we employ around 500 people. This IPO is the next step in our growth.” OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c. £50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m. Curzon Energy—Intention to float from the energy Company pursuing a targeted acquisition strategy. Raising £2.3m Gross. First acquisition is 100% of Coos Bay Energy LLC, owner and operator of c. 45,370 acres of coalbed methane leases, targeting first gas by the end of 2017. Price TBA. People’s Investment Trust—Objective of sustainable wealth creation. Also to list on the Social Stock Exchange. Targeting £125m raise on 17 Oct. No performance fees or executive bonuses in order to focus on long term rather than short term performance. ContourGlobal LP—Report on Bloomberg that the thermal energy power generator is considering a London listing.
Companies: ITM NGR NIPT TERN THRU BLU REDS
RedstoneConnect (Redstone) has released an in-line trading statement for the six months ending July 2017 and remains confident for the full year based upon the pipeline of work, order book and the successful integration of Anders + Kern. While the trading will be second half weighted, we are leaving our forecasts unchanged and expect a full year adjusted PBT of £2.2m representing growth of 78% and for Redstone to report a net cash position of £4.8m by January 2018. Trading on a PE rating of 13x and 9x for the years ending January 2018 and 2019 our price target remains at 250p and we reiterate our buy recommendation.
Warehouse REIT - The Company will invest in a diversified portfolio of UK warehouse assets located in urban areas. The Company is targeting a dividend yield of 5.5p equivalent to a yield of 5.5 percent. for the year ending 31 March 2019. Issue price 100p. Offer TBA. Due 20 Sep | OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c. £50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m. | People’s Investment Trust—Objective of sustainable wealth creation. Also to list on the Social Stock Exchange. Targeting £125m raise on 17 Oct. No performance fees or executive bonuses in order to focus on long term rather than short term performance. | Charter Court Financial Services Group—Intention to float. Specialist lender serving the UK residential mortgage market. The net mortgage loan book stood at £4.4 billion as at 30 June 2017 growing at a compound annual growth rate of 92 percent since 31 December 2014. Part vendor sale and £20m primary raise. | ContourGlobal LP—Report on Bloomberg that the thermal energy power generator is considering a London listing. | Hipgnosis Songs Fund investment Company offering pure-play exposure to Songs and associated musical intellectual property rights. Offer raising £200m at 100p. The Company has decided to extend the closing date for the Placing, Offer for Subscription and Intermediaries Offer to 1 August 2017. The Company may bring forward this closing date at any time. Admission 15 September 2017
Companies: EME PLMO UKOG HZD STAR PXOG EVE SEE NAH REDS
Touchstone Exploration— Oil exploration and production company active in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. Interests of approximately 90,000 gross acres. Production c. 1,300 boepd. Raising £1.45m. Expected mkt cap £7.5m. Due 26 June. | I3 Energy –Schedule 1. Independent oil and gas company with assets and operations in the UK. Offer TBC, 7 June admission. | Verditek— Schedule 1 update. On Admission, the Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Issue price 10p. Admission in Early June | Tiso Blackstar Group—Schedule 1 update. Media, entertainment and marketing solutions group/ £160m mkt cap. Admission only. Expected late June. | DP Eurasia—Intention to float from the exclusive master franchisee of the Domino's Pizza brand in Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan and Georgia . £20m primary raise plus a partial vendor sale. | Film Finances—Sky News reports that ‘movie financing company with credits including the Hollywood hits La La Land and Nocturnal Animals is plotting a blockbuster premiere on the London stock market that will value it at several hundred million pounds.’ Expected ‘during the summer’. | AIB—Intention to float from AIB, Ireland's leading retail and commercial bank . The Minister for Finance intends to sell approximately 25% of the Ordinary Shares of AIB. Prospectus and announcement of the price range due in mid-June 2017. | Curzon Energy—Report on Proactive Investors of intended LSE float this year with acquisition of coal bed methane assets in Oregon. Looking to raise £3m plus. | NLB Group—financial and banking institution based in Slovenia, with a network of 356 branches. Seeking Ljubliana Stock Exchange listing with GDRs on the LSE. Expected mid June. | Flying Brands (FBDU.L)—Prospectus approved by FCA. RTO of Stone Checker Software, supplier of technology solutions in the field of kidney stone analysis and prevention. Has raised £550k at 3p. Subject to GM on 15 Jun. | AEW UK Long Lease REIT—Intention to Float. Up to £150m raise. Admission early June. UK specialist and alternative property | Kuwait Energy— $150m raise plus vendor offer. Admission due June. 2p reserves 810.0 mmboe
Companies: EAH ACP BKY PHE OSI 7DIG AGL REDS
I3 Energy –Schedule 1. Independent oil and gas Company with assets and operations in the UK. Offer TBC, 26 May admission. | Opera Investments –Reverse Takeover of Kibo Mining’s subsidiary Kibo Gold. Raising £1.5m. Expected mkt Cap £6.5m. 23 May. | Eve Sleep—Schedule 1 from the e-commerce focused, direct to consumer European sleep brand. Raising £35m at £1.01. Expected mkt cap £140m. Expected 18 May 2017. | Velocity Composites—Schedule 1. Manufactures advanced carbon fibre and ancillary material kits (predominantly carbon fibre) for use in the production of aircraft. 18 May 2017 admission expected. Raising £14.4m at 85p. Expected mkt cap £30.4m. | Verditek—Schedule 1 update. On Admission, the Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Issue price 10p. Admission in late May. | AEW UK Long Lease REIT—Intention to Float. Up to £150m raise. Admission early June. UK specialist and alternative property | Alfa Financial Software –Intention to float. Mission-critical software platform purpose-built for asset finance enterprises. Vendor sale of 25% plus. FYDec16 rev £73.3m (CAGR of 24% from 2012). Adjusted EBIT £32.8m. | Kuwait Energy— $150m raise plus vendor offer. Admission due June. 2p reserves 810.0 mmboe | ADES International— Provider of offshore and onshore oil and gas drilling and production services in the Middle East and Africa, seeking raise up to $170m plus vendor sale under a Standard Listing of the Main Market. Admission due May 2017. | Tufton Oceanic Assets– Extended to 9 May on specialist funds segment of Main Market to enable further due diligence. | PRS REIT—Private rental sector REIT raising up to £250m. Admission due 31 May.
Companies: LND NASA ATQT CNS INL SOU ALT PURE WRES REDS
See what stocks were trending on Research Tree this week...
RedstoneConnect (Redstone) has acquired Anders & Kern for £1.4m and raised further funds to accelerate the development and market penetration of OneSpace. It has raised £6.5m at 1.5p, a 3% discount to the price on 8th May. We are leaving our FY18 PBT unchanged at £2.2m, but have increased our FY19 PBT forecast by 19% to £3.6m. For FY20 we expect a PBT of £4.1m implying a 3yr (2020-2017) CAGR for PBT of 49%. Moreover, we calculate the acquisition creates shareholder value with a ROCE of 30%. We increase our price target from 2.2p to 2.5p and maintain our buy recommendation with Redstone now trading on a PE rating of 16x and 12x for the year’s ending January 2018 and 2019.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Redstoneconnect. We currently have 30 research reports from 5 professional analysts.
The rapid +31% YoY revenue growth delivered in H1E did not include any meaningful contribution from the recently expanded sales headcount. Indeed, this growth rate would have been higher and in line with our forecast of +36% had new hires impacted in a timely manner. While we reduce our forecasts for 2018E in relation to this softness, we continue to expect an exit run rate this year strong enough to support an unchanged 2019E.
Companies: Cloudcall Group
In January, we highlighted the progress that AIM had made in H2 2017. We now review the performance in H1 2018. The latest AIM Statistics published on Friday showed that there are currently 944 companies, with 38 new issues so far in 2018, raising £781m and secondary issues raising a further £2.4bn. However, with 51 companies cancelling their listing there was a net fall in H1 2018 of 13 companies. That said, new listings appear to have accelerated recently. In Share News & Views, we comment on Braemar*, Cohort, Cropper*, GetBusy*, IG Design, Lakehouse* Porvair and Wynnstay Group.
Companies: AOR APC BMS CRPR DMTR ECSC ESC EUSP FDM GETB PCF SNX TCN W7L
Sopheon’s trading update for the first half of its current financial year says that it expects revenue, EBITDA and profit before tax for the first half of 2018 to be ‘significantly ahead of prior year performance for the corresponding period’. In addition, with positive sales experience so far in the second half, the Board says that it is trading ‘comfortably in line’ with expectations. To us, that continues to reflect Sopheon’s success in adding new clients and improving revenue visibility through growing recurring revenue streams. We note that this unequivocally positive trading update is supportive of our estimates and will look at them in light of the detail of August’s interim results announcement.
CloudCall’s performance during H1’18 was strong but slightly weaker than our expected run-rate on slower recruitment of personnel to its growing sales team. Our FY18E estimates have been cut on the mismatch between rising costs due to continued investment in growth and the lag to achieve top-line performance, but our price target remains intact. We highlight the impact is localised to FY18E and the group’s product, sales and marketing teams are now in place to support rapid commercialisation. We continue to see substantial upside potential to our PT of 300p, particularly given the shares’ recent weakness, and reiterate our Buy rating.
Companies: Cloudcall Group
With the first half of 2018 behind us, we evaluate the performance of the tech sector versus the broader market, and peers across the pond to see how the London listed technology universe compares to its bigger and better known US counterparts. We examine if the UK listed tech sector is overvalued on a relative basis. No tech sector review can be complete without analysing the performance of the big eight mega tech companies who had a strong H1 period and currently have an aggregate market capitalisation of US$5.18tn, marginally bigger than the Japanese economy.
Companies: APC ECSC EUSP FDM GETB LSAI SNX
In Q2, UK equities regained some of their poise after the draw down in Q1, although uncertainty around Brexit continued to grab the headlines. On the back of this, investor concern about the UK economy has been understandable in recent months given a number of negative data points. However, we see reasons for optimism for UK Plc with wage growth supporting an improving outlook for the consumer and business investment holding up. That said, continuing UK political disruption clearly remains a risk going forward.
Companies: AMER EMR HMI JOG PDG ABBY AMS AVON BLVN PIER CGS CALL CSRT TIDE DTG DEMG ELM EMR FPM FPO GTLY GENL GOR GEEC HDY HMI HAYD HEAD HILS HTG HUR IBPO IOG INDI JHD JOG LAM MACF MKLW NAH OXIG PCA PKG CAKE PDG RBW REDD RSW RNO RKH ROR SUS SCPA SHG SIV TRAK TRI VTC ZTF
Prelims confirm EBITDA of £11.0m from revenue of £36.1m, in line with expectations unchanged at the May trading update. 11% underlying organic revenue growth is supported by acquisitions (current and prior periods), delivering +33% group revenue, +40% group EBITDA, and +33% adjusted diluted EPS. Net cash at period end of £0.8m is expected to be boosted by strong and growing free cash flow, funding both the dividend and the inevitable further acquisitions. Ideagen has a tried and tested formula for delivery of forecasts and sensible acquisitions, and we look forward to continuing positive newsflow as the relentless increase in regulatory compliance leads to the requirement for efficiencies and insight through automation, which Ideagen’s solutions deliver – and Brexit will only increase. We roll out a new target of 140p (120p) based on FY20 forecasts for further organic growth of +10% EBITDA and EPS; however, we fully expect further acquisitions to increase those forecasts in the interim.
CentralNic is acquiring KeyDrive S.A. (an existing strategic partner since 2017) for an initial enterprise value of $44.5m or c.£33.6m, with an additional earnout of up to $10.5m or c.£7.9m implying a maximum Enterprise Value of $55.0m or c.£41.5m. Founded in 1998, KeyDrive has established itself as one of the leading European companies for the distribution and management of domain names, administering over 6.0m domains via its internally developed software platform for over 1,700 retailers and 40,000 direct customers across 160 countries. The largest division of KeyDrive is its reseller platform RRPproxy, which is one of the top two providers globally with a range of blue chip customers.
Companies: Centralnic Group
Best Ideas - 2018 H1 Review
Companies: SAA VP/ GLE AMO IOM HSP CVSG EKF PGIT VRP RLM AVG SOG DNLM SFR YU/ CBP
Prelims to June are in line with expectations, with sales and adj. net income up 8% and 24% respectively. Cash conversion was also typically robust at 181% (FCF/adj. PAT), resulting in year-end net cash of £2.6m. We leave FY18 forecasts essentially unchanged – suggesting top-line growth of 9% and, in combination with continuing margin expansion, EPS +13%. Maiden FY19 forecasts reflect a continuation of this theme and form the basis of our valuation methodology and as such, we increase our target to 85p – equivalent to an undemanding 8% FY19E FCF yield.
Companies: Arcontech Group
ICT evolution is driven by technological development as advances are made which both meet and shape customer requirements. Our 2011 note No such thing as a telco described the modern reality in that former ‘telcos’ now deliver varying elements of a range of managed services. We built on this theme last year, exploring in further detail their evolutionary paths, operating fundamentals, and cashflow yield similarities. In the consumer environment, demand for bundles of technology is complemented by demand for content. Across the pond, the mooted combination of AT&T and Time Warner typifies the bundled need of ‘pipe’ and content, since unbundled alternatives such as FaceTime and WhatsApp can be easier and clearer to chat over, and Amazon and Netflix are easier to watch anywhere. In the UK, BT’s defensive actions cover delivery, content and capabilities, acquiring EE yet also buying football rights. While TV was long ago added to triple play to become quad play, voice is now merely an app, and fixed and mobile seen as just dumb pipes: it's the content that will influence consumer choices. Growth of TV and film as well as music and gaming over IP leads to UK small cap opportunities. In context of the drive to maximise value from pipes and access by offering content and data, we look at some amongst the potential tech small cap beneficiaries: Amino*, Keyword Studios, ZOO Digital*, 7digital*, KCOM* and CityFibre*.
Companies: 7DIG AMO ARTA BVC BOTB CTP CITY D4T4 DTC DOTD EGS ELCO ESG FDSA FDEV GBG IDEA IDOX IMTK IMG IGP IOM KBT KCOM KWS LRM MAI MMX NASA NET PHD QTX QXT RCN 932 SSY SEE SIM SPE TAX TEP TPOP TRAK UNG VIP WAND ZOO ARC ONEV
We have refreshed our quality style screen for the second time and report on style performance since the last refresh in October. Performance has been very strong, outperforming the small-cap index by c.1600bps (weighted basis) and c.1000bps (unweighted). There has been volatility with the market and this style has yet to be tested in a concerted down market, but in a flat or rising market quality appears to be a successful investment style in small-caps. We have highlighted 11 focus stocks in the new screen and will report back again on performance when we next refresh the screen in about 5-6 months’ time.
Companies: LIO GHT AMO CHH ZYT DOTD GTLY RIV FCRM TAM PAM
ZOO Digital released robust FY2018 results today delivering $28.6m of revenue in FY2018, 2% ahead of our forecast, and representing a 73% Y/Y increase. FY2018 saw the Group solidify its reputation as a significant player in the localisation market with the launch of innovative technologies such as ZOOdubs. The outlook for the market and the group remains buoyant with the board confident the Group is ‘just entering an exciting period’. We reflect that in our newly published FY2020E forecasts.
Companies: Zoo Digital Group
Seeing Machines, the advanced computer vision technology company that designs AI-powered operator monitoring systems to improve transport safety, has signed a five-year contract with US based John Christner Trucking to install Guardian across its fleet of 850 trucks. John Christner Trucking is a family owned business based in Sapulpa, Oklahoma and one of the leading refrigeration carriers across North America. This contract follows several other recent notable North American fleet contracts including Megabus (Coach USA), Royal Foods and Bison Transport Inc.
Companies: Seeing Machines
M&A is a bit like ‘panning for gold’. Most prospectors lose money, but the successful ones do the homework, know where to look and crucially understand their markets inside out. Similarly, we think Elecosoft - following its ‘transformational’ £2.4m acquisition of BIM (Building Information Modelling) SaaS provider, ICON back in October 2016 - has done it again.