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|03/10/2016 16:41:27||London Stock Exchange||Holding(s) in Company|
|03/10/2016 14:29:41||London Stock Exchange||Notification of Transactions of Directors & PDMRs|
|27/09/2016 07:00:07||London Stock Exchange||Half-year Report|
|11/08/2016 07:00:06||London Stock Exchange||Trading Statement|
|10/08/2016 14:43:35||London Stock Exchange||Holding(s) in Company|
|04/08/2016 12:01:35||London Stock Exchange||Holding(s) in Company|
|29/07/2016 15:46:34||London Stock Exchange||Total Voting Rights|
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20 Oct 16
We adjust our forecasts following Lookers impending disposal of its parts division and subsequent re-investment in two premium dealer groups. The company has acquired Drayton for £55m which was conditional on the sale of the parts division and separately completed a further £27m acquisition of Knights. Management have deleveraged following the transaction with our 2017 net debt/EBITDA forecast now 0.3x and we estimate the company has over £100m of firepower available. We would back this management team to deploy this effectively, building long term value for investors.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 18-10-2016
18 Oct 16
1Spatial delivered a soft first half performance showing slower revenue development in its higher-margin Geospatial business, thereby impacting overall adjusted EBITDA. The group has a strong order book (of which the Geospatial component is up 30% y-o-y) and has built up a solid pipeline of opportunities which it expects to convert in the next six months. As such, the group is maintaining guidance for the year, albeit performance will be heavily H2-weighted. We believe the 1.1x EV/Sales and 6.2x EV/EBITDA Jan’17 rating does not reflect the potential of an IP-rich, productised business that is leveraging partnerships to scale growth – but recognise that stronger revenue traction is required to buoy confidence and drive the re-rating of the shares.
14 Oct 16
Elegant has released a trading update confirming that it is trading in line with 2016 expectations. The dividend has been maintained, which is currently yielding 11% (trough cover of 1.2x 2017). The NAV is 184p, which also provides significant freehold asset support. However, we are reducing our 2017 and 2018 forecasts, which drives an 6% reduction in REVPAR in 2017 vs. our previous assumptions and is largely occupancy driven. We also factor in additional corporate costs to support the growth with the room count +35% since IPO factoring in Waves and its latest management contract.
Consensus eps falling…falling…falling…rising 2.0
29 Apr 16
In January we screened for companies with estimates that had been declining consistently since a year previously, but which had risen in the immediately preceding three months (see our note dated 22 January 2016). We have reviewed the performance of those companies and, given the overall strength of this selection, we have re-run the screen. In the c.3 months since selection, the unweighted average rise was c.34% against a c.11% rise in the main All-Share index. From the same universe as before (some 900 companies) we find 38 companies selected by the screen. We note a number of stocks in the list where we have a supportive stance including: Devro (DVO LN, Buy), James Fisher (FSJ LN, Corporate), Mattioli Woods (MTW LN, Buy) and Spirent Communications (SPT LN, Buy).
Conviction List Q4 2016
05 Oct 16
Since its inception in 2010, the Conviction List has outperformed the market in 13 of 18 periods and a reinvested Conviction List would have returned 255% against a Small Companies index that would have returned 130%. Our Conviction List returned 3.7% over the last quarter; this was set against the benchmark UK Small Companies index that returned 11.3% over the same period. Our Q4 portfolio reflects our outlook for a temporary sweet spot for UK growth during the second half of 2016. The downside risk from the uncertainty of the EU Referendum result has been countered by stimulus from the Bank of England, signs of a looser fiscal stance and an 18% YoY reduction in the Sterling Exchange Rate. Compressed corporate fixed income spreads continue to provide a valuation underpin for global equities.
Likely to be H2 weighted
14 Oct 16
Rank has reported flat revenue for the first 15 weeks, against a strong 2015 comparative. Mecca digital has just been relaunched, supported by a new TV campaign, and better cross-sell remains a key opportunity for Rank. We expect profits to be H2 weighted, and with a slightly uncertain consumer outlook we have trimmed full year estimates, but Rank remains strongly cash generative. This underpins its progressive dividend payout and leaves it flexible to take advantage of acquisition opportunities.