Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on EXPERIAN PLC. We currently have 7 research reports from 3 professional analysts.
|09Dec16 05:53||RNS||Transaction in Own Shares|
|09Dec16 12:30||RNS||Elections for first interim dividend|
|08Dec16 05:29||RNS||Transaction in Own Shares|
|07Dec16 05:26||RNS||Transaction in Own Shares|
|07Dec16 03:02||PRN||Timing is everything for successful abandoned-cart email campaigns|
|06Dec16 06:06||RNS||Transaction in Own Shares|
|06Dec16 04:05||PRN||Experian Data Quality hires Coman Wakefield to lead Software Engineering|
Frequency of research reports
Research reports on
Robust organic growth despite sluggish consumer business
28 Jul 16
Experian reported Q1 FY17 results (three months ending 30 June 2016) broadly in line with our estimates. The lfl sales increased by 5% (vs Q4 16: +6%, Q3 16: +6%; our estimate: +4.8%), largely driven by robust growth in credit services (+8% yoy) and the decision analytics business (+6% yoy). In North America (Q1 17: +5% vs Q4 16: +6%, Q3 16: +6%; our estimates: +4.7%), robust demand from automotive and healthcare clients underpinned the growth in credit services business (Q1 17: +11% vs Q4 16: +12%; Q3 16: +11%, our estimate: +8%). The consumer services business clocked organic growth of 1% (vs Q4 16: +1%; Q3 16: +3%, our estimate: +3%) as the company monetised free traffic (accumulated 4.5 million members since the launch of the free site a year ago) through the cross-selling of membership products and lead generation. Despite ongoing macro-economic headwinds, the LatAm business delivered another strong performance (Q1 17: 8% vs Q4 16: 7.8%, Q3 16: +7%; our estimate: +4.9%) on the back of growth in delinquency notification products and deeper client penetration. Additionally, the company launched the consumer services business in Brazil in July 2016. Organic growth slumped to 1% in the UK (vs Q4 16: +6.5%, Q3 16: +4%; our estimate: +3.9%), pulled down by the sequential slowdown in the consumer services business (-1% yoy; undergoing business transition) and a strong comparative in the decision analytics business (Q1 17: -2% vs Q1 16: +15%). In EMEA/ Asia Pacific, new business wins in decision analytics (+27% yoy) and good demand for cross-channel marketing and data quality services in the marketing business (+11% yoy) resulted in revenue growth of 9% on a lfl basis (Q4 16: +10%, Q3 16: +7%; our estimate: +6.7%). Strong FX headwinds (weak GBP and Brazilian real vs the USD) led the total revenue up 1% (FY 16: -4%, Q3 16: -3%, H1 16: -6%, our estimate: 2.3%). Furthermore, Experian announced the acquisition of CSIdentity Corp., a consumer identity management and fraud detection services provider in the US for $360m (annualised revenue of $103m and $21m EBIT in the year ending March 2016). The acquired entity will be aligned to Experian’s ‘Consumer Services’ business. The company plans to spend $400m on a share repurchase programme in FY17 (vs $592m in FY16). Lastly, management reiterated FY17 guidance of mid-single-digit organic revenue growth and stable margins at constant rates (c. 1% headwind to EBIT, if current exchange rates prevail).
15 Jul 16
"The devastating incident that took place in Nice late yesterday, sadly bearing all the hallmarks of terrorism, will likely keep European markets in the red today. The FTSE-100 is seen opening down around 35 points. London equity investors will also reflect further on the Bank of England surprisingly keeping its benchmark lending rate unchanged at 0.5%, when investors had been expecting to policy loosening by 25bp. With the Governor, Mark Carney, continuing to warn of postBrexit UK entering a phase of slower growth, however, the MPC is now expected simply to gathered more evidence before taking the inevitable step in August. US equity indices were stronger across the board yesterday, as financials took confidence from J.P. Morgan Chase's strong half-year results while the Fed's James Bullard suggested there was now no rush to push rates higher, pointing at a preferred 'wait-and-see' approach in his various press comments. Asian shares also continued to move positively with the Nikkei again leading the way, taking its weekly gain to almost 10%, the largest such rise since December 2009, driven once again by Nintendo but also by messaging-app operator, Line, which surged sharply upward on its Tokyo debut. The Shanghai Composite also celebrated release of economic data showing better than expected Q2'16 growth in response to massive stimulus provided since the start of the year, although it had given all its early gains back by the close. Macro data due for release today includes UK Construction Output figures and Trade and Inflation data from the EU. The US is scheduled to provide a plethora of important statistics, including Retail Sales, Industrial Production and Inflation data; the Fed's Kashkari is also expected to be the latest to muse on US rate and growth expectations. No major UK corporates are due to release trading updates or results today, although investors will be listening intently for any further statements from BP regarding costs for the 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill disaster which, post-yesterday's market close, it indicated will rise a further US$5.2bn, taking the total cost to almost US$62bn, in order to bring the event to a final close." - Barry Gibb, Research Analyst
The Cybersecurity Rebellion: “No, I’m Spartacus!”
07 Jun 16
Steve “Woz” Wozniak, infamous co-founder of Apple, was the latest culprit to send shivers across the tech world by claiming Cybersecurity is the greatest threat the world has faced since the atom bomb. Mr Wozniak was alluding to the heightened sense of fear that recent high profile breaches have caused Cybersecurity to be put at the forefront of political, corporate and now it would appear, investor agendas. As the topic gains increasing awareness, it gives rise to a number of companies claiming to be a “thought leader” in the Cybersecurity space, holding the best IP and the best routes to market. With many companies singing from the same loss making hymn sheet it is making it ever difficult to spot the true “Spartacus” from the crowd.
12 May 16
"Equities in London are expected to fall on the open, with the FTSE-100 seen down around 25-points. Sentiment is being dragged from both the US and Asian overnight markets, where poor corporate earnings undermined confidence. Disappointing results from Macy's, America's bellwether retail stock, suggested that US consumer confidence is perhaps less resilient than hoped, the net result being to knock the major domestic indices by 1% or more. The mood spread to Asia, where Japanese company results similarly delivered below expectations, also forcing the principal markets into the red by the close. European investors meanwhile will have a lot of data to consider this morning with releases including the Bank of England MPC meeting minutes and rate decision plus Eurozone industrial production figures, while David Cameron hosts an anti-corruption summit. Later this afternoon, expect US weekly jobless claims and speeches by Fed's Rosengren and George. London's trading updates include ITV andMondi, along with results from Aldermore, Galliford Try, SuperGroup and TalkTalk Telecom."
Stronger Fx headwinds continue to eat strong organic growth
21 Jan 16
Experian posted better-than-expected results in its Q3 FY16 trading update, generating an organic revenue growth of 6% (vs. 4% in H1 FY16), but currency headwinds totally wiped out this growth as reported sales declined by 3%. All the sales growth numbers are organic unless specified otherwise. Both Credit Services and Decision Analytics clocked 8% growth, while Marketing Services and Consumer Services grew at a meagre 2%. In North America (+6% vs +1% in H1), robust business in healthcare and automotive verticals, and consumer credit activity underpinned the growth in Credit Services (+11% vs +8% in H1), while a one-off on-boarding of a large client led to 3% (vs. -7% in H1) growth in the Consumer Services segment. Decision Analytics, however, declined by 2% (vs +2% in H1). Despite macro-economic headwinds in Latin America (+7% vs +6% in H1), all segments experienced strong upwards momentum. Credit Services (+7% vs. 7% in H1) was driven by an increased contribution from delinquency notifications linked to non-performing loans in Brazil. As the new software implementations across the region fuelled 5% growth in Decision Analytics (vs 9% in H1), an increase in cross-channel marketing led to 4% growth in Marketing Services (vs -19% in H1). The UK grew at a slower pace (+4% vs 5% in H1), pulled down by Decision Analytics (+8% vs +12% in H1) and Consumer Services (+2% vs 5% in H1). It is increasingly facing competition from Equifax (ClearScore) and Callcredit (Noddle). EMEA/Asia Pacific (c.10% of total revenue) was up by 7% (vs +6% in H1), driven by fraud and identity services in Decision Analytics (+23% vs +19% in H1), and new client wins and enhanced cross-channel marketing in Marketing Services (+10 vs +8% in H1 FY16). Management reaffirmed its full year guidance of mid-single-digit organic revenue growth and an 11% FX impact at EBIT level (if current rates prevail).
Strong organic growth and consumer services recovery cushions FX burden
19 Nov 15
Experian posted healthy H1 16 results with an acceleration in organic growth rate to 4% (vs. 1% in FY15); however at actual FX, revenue was down 6% to $2,239m. Organic growth was driven by strong momentum across Credit (+7% organically) and Decision analytics services (+10% organically), which benefited from a robust lending environment, strong performance of healthcare services and healthy take up of integrated DA offerings across geographies. The LatAm business also remained resilient and managed to grow 6% organically. Encouragingly, the decline rate in Consumer Services moderated further to 5% in Q2 (vs. -10% in Q1 and -13.7% in FY15) with the Experian brand continuing with its double-digit growth trajectory (+20% in H1 vs. +14% in Q4 15). The company has gathered disposal proceeds of $164m during the year and, given its sustained cash flow generation, has decided to increase its share repurchase plan by $200m to $740m for the year ($405m already done). However, given a 60bp decline in the underlying EBIT to 23%, primarily on account of forex headwinds with the dollar strengthening, management had to tame its margin forecast guiding for a 60bp impact at the EBIT level (10-11% of EBIT vs its previous estimate of 7%). Organic revenue growth guidance was maintained at mid single-digit for FY16.
Exceptional trading continues
08 Nov 16
Keywords has announced that the strong trading in localisation and audio services has continued into H216. In particular, the Synthesis business acquired in April continues to benefit from exceptionally strong trading. Full-year results are now expected to be materially ahead of consensus and we upgrade our FY16e EPS by 13%. Erring on the side of caution, we have not changed our FY17 estimates significantly. Nevertheless, we believe the company does have a platform to sustain double-digit earnings growth, and hence medium-/long-term prospects for further share appreciation remain good.
08 Dec 16
Elderstreet stake acquired 02 GENERAL NEWS Globalworth premium In this issue Venture capital firm Draper Esprit has taken a 30.8% stake in venture capital trust manager Elderstreet. Both investment managers focus on the technology sector and they will be able to co-invest. Elderstreet has investments in a number of AIM-quoted companies through its VCTs. The purchase was funded by an issue of Draper Esprit shares worth just over £250,000. Simon Cook, the chief executive of Draper Esprit, is a former partner at Elderstreet so he knows the business and the people who run it, although he did leave more than 14 years ago. Cook has previously acquired portfolios from 3i and Cazenove, two other firms where he has worked. Draper Esprit has an option to acquire the remaining shares in Elderstreet, which has more than £25m under management. Adding Elderstreet to the group enables Draper Esprit to offer investors a range of EIS funds, VCTs and an ISA qualifying listed evergreen patient capital fund. The enlarged group has venture capital assets under management of more than £350m. At the end of September 2016, Draper Esprit had a net asset value of 352p a share, which is similar to the current share price. The June 2016 flotation price was 300p a share. Draper Esprit is quoted on Ireland’s Enterprise Securities Market as well as AIM.
Focused on the long term
08 Dec 16
These are rare events but it is nice to see a management use its public listing advantageously to trade short-term dilution in EPS for the optionality of asymmetric upside in the long term. With over £10m already in the balance sheet, ABD has successfully raised £5.4m gross in a placing and expects to raise another £1m from an offer. We were not surprised to learn that the placing was over 3.5x oversubscribed. How many listed UK companies are positioned to take advantage of the digital revolution in the automotive industry? The additional investment in new people, facilities, products & services should be dilutive to FY2017-18 EPS but this is small price to pay to establish the leading supplier of integrated test, measurement and simulation solutions to the autonomous vehicle industry. Our forecasts assume that growth will accelerate from FY2019. We raise our target price to 575p based on 15x FY2019 EPS, equivalent to Ricardo, the only other UK stock which has embraced the optionalities offered by the technological changes in the automotive industry.
07 Dec 16
Severfield’s (SFR’s) H117 results were well ahead of the previous year; margin performance and order book development cause us to raise our FY17 profit expectations. This combination has also proved to be a catalyst for share price outperformance following the results. Revenue growth and further margin development towards management’s stated aim of doubling FY16 PBT by 2020 can sustain further progress.
N+1 Singer - Waterman Group - Encouraging AGM statement in line with expectations
09 Dec 16
This morning’s AGM Statement confirms that trading in the first four months of the year to 31st October was in line with expectations. Revenue was slightly above the prior year period and cash collection has remained strong. The Group has reiterated its commitment to maintaining a progressive dividend policy. The statement is encouraging and we therefore leave our forecasts unchanged. We note the attractions of a 5% dividend yield and consider the shares inexpensive at 4.5x FY’17 EV/EBITDA.