Erris Resources PLC—a mineral exploration and development company currently focused on two geographic areas. Offer TBC, expected 21 December 2017
CIP Merchant Capital—Closed ended investment Company. Sector focus oil & gas, healthcare, pharma, and real estate. Raising
£55m. Due 21 Dec
Panthera Resources— The Company was established to act as a holding company for Indo Gold Limited, an unlisted Australian registered company. The Company aims to explore and develop gold assets in India and West Africa. No raise. Expected 21 Dec
Sumo Group—one of the UK's largest independent developers of AAA-rated video games providing both turnkey and codevelopment solutions, including initial concept and pre-production. Raising £38.45m and vendor sale of £39,7m. Mkt cap £145m.
Bushveld Minerals—RTO of Bushveld Vametco and therefore 78.8% of Strategic Minerals Corporation, the intermediate holding company that owns a 75 per cent. interest in the Vametco Vanadium Mine.
Eqtec—Company with access to a proprietary advanced gasification technology used in industrial size power plants to convert waste into synthetic gas to generate electricity. Raising £1.6m. Mkt Cap £8.7m. Due 21 Dec.
Volex VLX.L—The global provider of cable assemblies is proposing to move from the main market to AIM on 19 January. £75m market cap. FYMar18E rev £241.5m and £7.19m PBT.
OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c.£50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m.
Companies: BOK TPF IQE SOLG REDX FEN 426 AMYT
Despite the strong rise in the valuation of Taliesin Property Fund (TPF) we believe that the investment case remains attractive. Demand for Berlin real estate remains extremely robust. With regulatory approval in place for almost all the units to be split into their freehold apartments, the current NAV still has upside potential given the price of freehold apartments in Berlin and the distribution of TPF’s property portfolio. Additional catalysts at the portfolio level include developing the roof space and rent increases as vacant apartments are renovated. Given the transaction costs of acquiring properties in Berlin we believe TPF is likely to be an attractive acquisition candidate. We continue to recommend that investors buy TPF.
Companies: Taliesin Property Fund
Taliesin Property Fund (TPF) has announced that based on the interim valuation report carried out by JLL, the value of the Group's property portfolio increased to €359.7 million as at 30 June 2017. Adjusting for property sales in the first half of 2017, this represents an increase of 14.1% on the Group's year end 2016 valuation and equates to a value of €3,070 per square metre (€2,700 as at 31 December 2016). We estimate that this raises the adjusted NAV per share to above €43.96, after factoring in performance fees. We also note that the value per square metre is still significantly lower than the average value TPF has been able to achieve in recent privatisation sales. We continue to recommend that investors buy TPF.
For the year-ending December 2015, the adjusted NAV of the Taliesin Property Fund (TPF) rose to €31.44 per share. As at 31 December 2015, the value of the portfolio increased to €267.7 million, an increase of 27.9% after adjusting for property disposals and capital expenditure. The per square metre rate (psqm) stands at €2,240. It also announced that its first privatisation project, on Warschauer Strasse, had been almost completely sold at average prices of €3,750 psqm. It successfully refinanced its maturing loans in 2015 at lower interest rates and higher principal amounts and the loan to value at the year- end stood at 45.9%. We continue to recommend that investors buy TPF.
After a turbulent January, market participants are understandably cautious. We discuss some of the key macro themes that we think are likely to be pertinent for investors for the rest of 2016. Our central thesis is that the equity market is still underestimating two key risks: the return of inflation in developed markets and the risk of a further slowdown in emerging markets. Obviously, these two outcomes have significant implications for the global equity markets in general and specific markets in particular. We speak to several fund managers about their views on global markets and the risk/reward trade-off for their funds. Despite the volatile start to 2016, we remain relatively optimistic about the outlook for select equity markets.
Macros: Commodities - EnergyIndices and MarketsEmerging Markets
Taliesin Property Fund (TPF) announced a revaluation of its property portfolio by the company’s property valuers, Jones Lang LaSalle. As at 31 December 2015, the value of the portfolio increased to €267.7 million versus €212 million as at 31 December 2014. It also announced that 21 of the 25 residential units in its first privatisation project had been sold. As at 31 December 2015, the company estimated an NAV of over €30 per share. We have emphasized the attractiveness of the portfolio and the fund despite the company trading at a significant premium. We continue to like Berlin residential property, despite the current market turmoil and recommend that investors buy TPF at current levels.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Taliesin Property Fund.
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Litigation Capital Management (LCM) is an alternative asset manager specialising in disputes financing, with its main operations in Australia and the UK. The company provides funding for litigation in exchange for a share of any settlement and has built a strong track record of supporting winning c
Companies: Litigation Capital Management Ltd
In a positive 10-month update Belvoir has detailed trading is ahead of its pre-COVID expectations. Gross profit is up +10% in the Property division and +11% in Financial Services. Overheads are now significantly below the original budget and management has decided to reimburse staff for salary sacrifices earlier in the year and repay the Government in full for COVID furlough monies and grants. Taking all this into account, we have upgraded our FY 2020E EPS by +4%. A further catch-up dividend of 1.3p will be paid alongside the final 2020 dividend and we forecast net debt of £4.5m at December 2020. The resilience of Belvoir’s franchise model has been proved and, in our view, highlights the long-term growth potential when markets return to more normal conditions.
Companies: Belvoir Group PLC
H1 has seen a clearer outlook for portfolio valuations which has allowed Mercia to recoup some of the reduction at the Finals. Cash earnings are better than expected as costs have remained lower for longer. A well-funded portfolio and £25m cash has prompted declaration of a maiden 0.1p interim dividend – a strong signal of confidence. Lower costs and increased asset values have prompted 30-45% upgrades to adj. EBITDA across the horizon. The shares are trading at a 32% discount to NAV, of which 17% is cash. This disregards all value for the asset management platform. A 10x EBITDA multiple ascribed to 3rd party asset management earnings plus NAV points to a c.40p/share intrinsic value, before further value creation.
Companies: Mercia Asset Management PLC
Today's trading update demonstrates Equals producing robust FY20E revenues, as it rebounds steadily from a COVID-19 affected Q2/20. Material progress has been made on rightsizing costs, the benefits of which should be felt in FY21E. While our newly reissued forecasts expect a weaker profit delivery in H2/20E, we expect strong YoY EBITDA growth thereafter, as the group returns to double-digit revenue growth with a rationalised cost base and geared profit growth. Should these forecasts be met, we expect the current c2x EV/Sales multiple to move back towards Jan 20's pre-covid 4x multiple, hence we move back to “Buy”.
Companies: Equals Group Plc
Today's news & views, plus announcements from AZN, LLOY, WEIR, TATE, GFTU, INCE, DELT, SOLG, HYVE
Companies: LLOY SOLG INCE
Liontrust has delivered in line interims, however AuM growth since the HY point drives higher earnings estimates. In H1, net inflows remained strong despite the backdrop and, alongside performance, contributed to 28% AuM growth. Post-period, performance momentum has boosted AuM by a further 5% to £28.1bn, plus the completion of Architas. Together, this results in a step up in the run rate. We update our forecasts for higher than expected AuM driving a +5% upgrade to FY21e EPS and +10-13% in outer years. We do not forecast scaling in Architas or Global which could prompt further upgrades, reducing the 15x FY22e PER.
Companies: Liontrust Asset Management PLC
Today's news & views, plus announcements from LLOY, POG, FRAS, PETS, SPR, WHI, FKE, RLE
Companies: Lloyds Banking Group plc (LLOY:LON)Real Estate Investors plc (RLE:LON)
Today's news & views, plus announcements from Capita, JD Wetherspoon, HarbourVest Global Private Equity, Walker Crips Group, Randall & Quilter*, Michelmersh Brick, LoopUp, Schroders British Opportunities Trust and Baillie Gifford UK Growth Trust.
Companies: Randall & Quilter Investment Holdings Ltd.
An in-line trading update for the year to 31 December 2020 states EBITDA will be at least £3.6m and £2.0 at the PBT level. However, conservative budgeting affects 2021E and 2022E with the company rebasing expectations following year-end re-forecasting exercise, taking into account the prolonged challenging macroeconomic environment. The acquisitive opportunity remains in place.
Companies: STM Group PLC
Record has set itself the goal of generating greater growth and H121 showed some encouraging steps in this direction. The substantial new dynamic hedging mandate in the period was traditional business for the group, but there was also news of a new currency impact fund, which provides diversification, higher fee margins and the potential for significant development. The implementation of new IT systems is underway, and measures to develop and retain staff have been taken.
Companies: Record plc
Resilience throughout the COVID pandemic has driven positive portfolio gains and further capital investment. The 119p/share NAV does not come as a surprise given the £27.5m equity raise at 120p was only completed a month ago, and will be deployed to target a deep £120m pipeline – now underway. Trading momentum has been sustained in Augmentum's (“AUGM”) portfolio companies which are high growth, disruptive and innovative. There is (much) more value to play for as this continues. For public markets investors, this is a diversified and professionally managed route to access attractive VC assets with structural growth. Should this value be forthcoming, the current premium is only the tip of the iceberg.
Companies: Augmentum Fintech
President Trump likes to project himself as a highly successful businessman, but surprisingly little is known about his true financial position. Various articles, including a 2016 in-depth analysis by The Wall Street Journal, have speculated about his income and asset base. All sorts of claims and counter-claims have been made about his wealth – by Trump himself, pitching his fortune at some $9bn, and by journalist Timothy O'Brien, suggesting that it is as “low” as $150m-$250m. It is doubtful whether we shall ever know the truth, but we can use Trump’s UK corporate filings to gain an insight into his businesses in Scotland.
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT PCA PIN PHP RECI STX SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
Palace Capital’s (PCA) H121 performance was robust and ahead of our central expectations. We have slightly increased FY21 earnings forecasts and introduced FY22–23 estimates, with growth driven by Hudson Quarter completion, on track for March 2021. Significant additional reversionary potential and development/refurbishment represent significant value creation potential.
Companies: Palace Capital plc
To achieve YoY revenue growth over H1/20A despite the challenges of Covid-19 and its impact on the travel sector is testament to Equals' resilience and increasing focus on B2B and International payments services. While weaker gross profit and EBITDA margins have impacted profitability in H1/20, we see potential for an earnings recovery in H2/20 given cost reduction measures currently being undertaken. This should lead Equals to cash breakeven in Q4/20 and FCF positive by early FY21.
Gore Street has been reassuring investors that its Northern Irish projects will complete in time to maximise the benefits of contracts under the DS3 scheme. Today’s news of the energisation of the first project suggests that the company will meet the deadline with a good margin.
Companies: Gore Street Energy Storage Fund PLC