PROGRESSIVE: Gamma Communications: More happy returns

Gamma’s results for the year ended 31 December are in line with the expectations confirmed in the January trading update. Revenue of £521.7m is 8% ahead of FY22, with gross profit at £267.2m showing the same progress. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 9% and PBT by 10%, although the impact of higher tax rates was seen in the 5% increase in adjusted EPS. Cash generation was strong once again, with 108% adjusted cash conversion. Year-end cash of £134.8m is £42.3m above the year before, even after the £30.5m

PROGRESSIVE: Gamma Communications: Aligned with the stars

Gamma’s trading update for the year ended 31 December confirms adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS in line with market consensus (£113.8m-£116.0m for adj. EBITDA and 74.2-77.4p for adj. EPS). Business is performing well and making progress with the development of its product offering, while Enterprise is winning notable contracts. In Europe, Gamma has made strong financial progress. Year-end cash was £134.8m (FY22: £92.5m) with operating cash conversion over 100%. The statement refers to an update

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 05 Sep 23

5th September 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obj

PROGRESSIVE: Gamma Communications: Switch-on to the PSTN switch-off

Gamma Communications’ H1 results, released today, show strong performance in the two UK business units and very encouraging revenue and profit growth in Europe. Revenue of £256.2m was up 9% (H1 22: £234.7m), while adjusted EBITDA also improved by 9% to £56.5m (H1 22: £51.9m) and adjusted EPS grew by 5% to 37.5p (H1 22: 35.6p), or by 11% on a constant-tax basis. Gamma’s strong cash generation was once again a highlight. Net cash (pre-leases) at the period-end was £121.7m, up from £92.5m at the st

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 02/08/2023

Dish of the day Joiners: No joiners today. Leavers: No leavers today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** Announced ITF 12 July: Substrate Artificial Intelligence, an artificial intelligence company based in Spain that creates, buys and scales companies around AI in diverse sectors such as fintech, agritech, energy, human resources, and health, intends to join the Access Segment of the AQSE Growth Market. Announced ITF 6 July: Blackpoint Biotech plc, a medical cannabinoids company established t

PROGRESSIVE: Gamma Communications: Resilient operational and strategic progress

The trading update for the six months ended 30 June confirms that Gamma performed well in H1 and is set to report in line with market expectations for the full year. In the UK, Business (formerly Indirect) is performing strongly and Enterprise (formerly Direct) has won a number of significant contracts. In Europe, EBITDA grew healthily, supported by forex. Cash generation is in line with the 90% conversion guided to, with net cash at c.£121.5m (FY22: £92.5m). We maintain our forecasts, noting th

PROGRESSIVE: Gamma Communications: AGM update – ticking all the right boxes

Today’s AGM trading update confirms that Gamma has continued to show growth across all three business areas. Management expects the strong start to the year to continue and for FY23 adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS (fully diluted) to be in line with market expectations. UK Direct and Indirect both continue to perform well, and in Europe the H2 22 improvements have continued into FY23. New products have helped growth in Europe, while in the UK Gamma has launched its Simple Swap product for SME cu

PROGRESSIVE: Gamma Communications - Continuing UK growth drives profit and cash

Gamma’s results for the year ended 31 December 2022, released today, are in line with expectations and guidance, and show a strong performance with 8% growth in revenue (£484.6m vs FY21 £447.7m), 10% improvement in adjusted EBITDA (£105.1m vs FY21 £95.4m) and 12% increase in adjusted diluted EPS (71.8p vs FY21 64.0p). Cash generated by operations was up by 10%, resulting in year-end net cash (pre-leases) of £92.5m (FY21 £49.5m). Trading in the UK, in both the Indirect and Direct businesses, was

PROGRESSIVE: Gamma: Confidently following a consistent course

Gamma’s trading statement for the year ended 31 December 2022, issued today, confirms that the group will be able to report another year of strong financial performance, with results in line with expectations. The UK business has been trading strongly through both the Direct and Indirect channels, while UCaaS adoption in Europe continues to build, with Germany showing notably strong UCaaS growth. We maintain our estimates for FY22 and FY23 following today’s statement, and look forward to the ful

PROGRESSIVE: Gamma: Quality shining through

Gamma Communication’s robust H1 results, released today, contained no significant surprises, following the confirmatory trading update issued at the end of July. Revenue for H1 increased by 8% to £234.7m (H1 2021: £217.4m), Adjusted EBITDA increased by 13% to £51.9m (H1 2021: £46.0m) and Adjusted EPS was up 16% to 35.6p (H1 2021: 30.6p). Net Cash at the period end was £72.6m, up from £49.5m at the end of December 2021. The business continues to grow, the growth drivers remain intact, we hav

Gamma: The growth story continues

Gamma’s H1 trading update, released today, reaffirms guidance and confirms that, despite wider market concerns, the company is seeing strong year-on-year adjusted EBITDA growth, with healthy progress in the UK and Europe, while meeting the challenges of inflation and the hardware supply chain.

Q1 update − on course for another growth year

Gamma has today issued a Q1 trading update, coinciding with its AGM. The update confirms that the year has started positively, with revenue growth across all operating segments. Management expects this positive momentum to continue throughout the year, with full-year adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS being in the upper half of market estimates. We have tweaked our FY22 revenue estimate down (£495m to £488m) but left our earnings figures intact.

Steady progress over choppy waters

Gamma’s results for the year ended 31 December 2021, released this morning, are broadly in line with our expectations. While revenue fell slightly short of our forecast, £447.7m vs our £455.6m estimate (£393.8m FY20), the company achieved higher margins than we had expected, yielding an Adj EBITDA figure just ahead of our forecast, £95.4m vs our £94.0m estimate (£79.0m FY20). The strong overall results reflected robust operating performance across the group – some areas very strong, some slightl

Positive trading update

Gamma this morning issued a positive trading update for the 2021 period. Revenue is within the current consensus range, and both EBITDA and EPS are expected to be in the top half of the range of consensus expectations. Net cash is comfortably in line with our own expectations. The update also provides useful and positive detail on the various trading activities, and we look forward to additional granularity with the FY21 results due in March.

Filtronic - LEO liftoff: SpaceX strategic agreement and $20m order

Just 15 months after winning its first order in the Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite communications market, Filtronic has announced a 5-year strategic partnership with SpaceX which includes an initial $19.7m (£15.8m) E-band amplifier production order for delivery in FY25. As a result, we upgrade our FY24/FY25 forecasts and lift our target price to 57.4p (was 37.5p), equivalent to 74% upside. Although this is the first time SpaceX’s Starlink has been named as a Filtronic customer, this is now the

Morning Note – 24 April 2024

Filtronic - Agreement with SpaceX drives upgrades

Filtronic has signed a strategic partnership and commercial agreement with SpaceX which includes a production order worth £15.8m and warrants that could be exercised for up to 10% of existing share capital. Filtronic announced its first orders from SpaceX in January 2023, although the customer was unnamed at that point. Since then, SpaceX has placed orders totalling $43m (including yesterday’s order) for products to support the build out of its Starlink low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellat

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 24 April 24

24th April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi

CyanConnode (CYAN LN) - FY24 update: revenue materially ahead

CyanConnode exceeded FY24 revenue expectations and has high visibility into FY25, supported by strong deliveries and a growing backlog respectively.

Hybridan Research: Sector Review: Artificial intelligence in UK cybersecurity: the human uplift 17/04/2024

Artificial intelligence (AI) is a double-edged sword in cybersecurity. Whilst new AI models, architectures, and innovations are emerging to protect the security posture of organisations, attackers are also benefiting from deepfakes, sophisticated phishing, and automation of malicious codes. To ensure the impact of AI on cybersecurity to be a net-positive, we need to pit good AI against bad AI. Point solutions enhanced with machine learning: Global cybersecurity has been built with point soluti

SRT Marine Systems - FY24 update: revenue forecasts pushed out for new June YE

SRT Marine Systems has reported a change of year end from 12-months to March 2024 to 15-months to June 2024, with revenue forecasts extended by three months for both new year ends, and an encouraging operational update. The company is concerned that government related paperwork on two existing CG projects (SEA and ME) may not be completed in time for a March invoice and risks falling into the next quarter. In one jurisdiction where there a number of new project prospects, the company must meet s

Filtronic - Backlog supports strong growth from H224

Filtronic’s recent investment and focus on high-performance radio frequency (RF) design and manufacturing is starting to pay off, with recent new customer wins, development contracts and volume production orders boosting the order backlog. H124 results do not reflect this recent success: revenue was essentially flat and investment in sales and engineering reduced EBITDA. However, the strong backlog gives management confidence that revenue and profit will exceed consensus estimates for FY24 and F

Morning Note – 21 December 2023

Calnex Solutions - FY24 trading update – marking time

Calnex has released a pre-close trading update for the year to March 2024, indicating that revenue would be £16.3m, c£0.7m below our forecast, partly due to the timing of orders at the end of the period. Group trading has been impacted by the well-documented, continuing challenges in the Telecoms sector which have seen delayed project timings leading to corresponding delays in customer spending. Administrative costs are being controlled and are focussed on maintaining R&D. Calnex remains confide

BATM+ (BVC, House Stock at 18p) - New client Edgility contract

Filtronic - H1/24 Riding the EM-waves across land, sea and space

Filtronic has reported results in-line with management expectations for H1/24, and now expects to perform ahead of our forecasts for FY24E and FY25E in terms of revenue and profit. We are raising our revenue forecasts for FY24E and FY25E by 14.6% and 6.2% respectively, and our EBITDA forecasts by 85.2% and 28.0% respectively. The increase in expectation is driven by a strong recent acceleration in order flow, including a £7.8m order announced today. In this report we present a detailed review of

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 06 Feb 24

6th February 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obje

Thunderclap in British telecoms

FY23 revenues and EBITDA were in line with expectations. The major news was that BT plans to shed more than 40% of staff. At the end of the decade the EBITDA could reach £11bn with the massive restructuring announced and capex could return to €3.5bn per year. EBITDA less capex could be multiplied by 2.5 and therefore also the dividend. This could value BT at 385 pence at that time. We maintain our opinion at Add on the stock.

A fairly safe long term buy and hold

A decent Q1 performance despite the expected headwinds from cost-of-living pressure and cost inflation. The group is clearly a fairly safe long-term buy and hold. BT plans to shed more than 40% of staff by the end of the decade. In parallel it is further accelerating its FTTP deployment with high capex. But at the end of this phase EBITDA-capex could be multiplied by 2.5. Speculation could also again reignite as Drahi’s empire (owning 24.5% of BT) is being shaken by corruption cases.