Companies: FLO SHOE MCL PCIP PEB
Pebble Beach Systems is a leading developer and provider of playout automation and IP-based solutions to over 150 customers across the global broadcast industry. Its portfolio of proprietary software solutions is central to the playout of uninterrupted broadcast, for both live and pre-recorded content, and importantly enables broadcasters to automate and streamline multi-channel playout. Via its cloud-based solutions, the company also supports broadcasters and operators as they transition from traditional hardware-based infrastructure to IP-based systems, for a more flexible playout environment. As the industry enters a pivotal decade for the transition to IP, Pebble Beach Systems is well positioned to benefit from the increased traction across the market. FY19 results show adjusted PBT growth of 89%, EBITDA growth (LFL, pre IFRS16) of 47% and revenue growth of 22%, with net debt continuing its descent, now down to £8.4m (FY18: £9.4m). While COVID-19 introduces uncertainty over growth, and we do not yet offer forecasts, the group’s existing customer base is benefiting from Pebble Beach’s automation and remote support as end-user demand for TV booms. We look forward to the post crisis environment to establish forecasts and map the continuation of the evident momentum demonstrated in FY19.
Companies: Pebble Beach Systems Group
eve Sleep (EVE): Corp Good strategic and financial progress | Gateley (GTLY): Corp Prudently managing the business in uncertain times | K3 Business Technology (KBT): Corp Deferral of results; FY19 dividend cancellation | Minds + Machines (MMX): Corp FY 2019 beats forecasts and sets course for dividends | Pebble Beach Systems (PEB): Corp FY19 results postponed and extended loan facility | Pelatro (PTRO): Corp Postponement of results reporting | Quartix (QTX): Corp A strong start to 2020 curtailed by COVID-19
Companies: KBT MMX QTX PTRO GTLY EVE PEB
ANGLE (AGL): Corp Interims in line – key upcoming value inflection points | Aukett Swanke (AUK): Corp Significant turnaround | Belvoir Group (BLV): Corp Comfortably ahead | Best of the Best (BOTB): Corp H1FY20 = another positive surprise. | discoverIE (DSCV): Corp On track for the full year | Pebble Beach Systems (PEB): Corp Strong trading update highlights strong return to growth
Companies: DSCV AUK BOTB AGL BLV PEB
Pebble Beach has reported full year results ahead of management’s expectations, with revenues down 11% to £9.2m but adjusted EBITDA increasing materially to £2.5m (FY17: £0.5m). This outturn reflects a focus on high margin revenue and demonstrates management’s commitment to delivering improved profitability, despite challenging underlying market conditions. The margin gains delivered, improving cash flow and a strong order book give management confidence in delivering further financial improvement in FY 2019.
Pebble Beach Systems has announced two new significant orders, both worth around £1m. The first is with a large commercial broadcaster for its traditional automation and playout technology; the second is for their new, state of the art, IP-based facility which is currently under construction in Zürich. These two orders underpin management’s existing expectations and provide reassurance that the company remains on track to deliver on previous guidance of full year revenues marginally below the £10.3m achieved in FY 2017 and improved profitability as a result of the restructuring undertaken in FY 2017 and H1 2018.
CVS Group (CVSG LN) Sector corporate development | Domino’s Pizza Group (DOM LN) Mixed interims | Pebble Beach Systems Group (PEB LN) FY revenue expected to be slightly below expectations | PROACTIS Holdings (PHD LN) FY EBITDA in line but revenue disappoints, decent acquisition | TClarke (CTO LN) Positive H1 outturn; Margin up 60bps; EPS up 47%
Companies: CVSG DOM PEB PHD CTO
Avingtrans (AVG LN) Strong year end trading; FY19 PBT increased by 10% | Pebble Beach Systems Group (PEB LN) Solid full year performance underpinned by restructuring benefits | Severfield (SFR LN) Positive conclusion to FY18 | St Ives (SIV LN) 100% Strategic Marketing | Zinc Media Group (ZIN LN) More significant commissions announced
Companies: AVG PEB SFR KCT ZIN
Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on Pebble Beach Systems Group (PEB1). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant.
Vislink has modified the terms of the agreement to sell the assets of Vislink Communication Systems (VCS). The total consideration payable remains $16m. This will now be split into an initial cash consideration of $6.5m and $9.5m deferred consideration payable in secured loan notes, which must be redeemed within 45 days of the disposal completing. Shareholder approval of the modified terms is required before the disposal can complete. We leave our estimates, which assume that VCS remains within the group, unchanged and will review them on completion.
Vislink has announced that trading for FY16 is in line with management expectations, with Q4 exhibiting the usual seasonal uplift. In addition, on Friday, it announced it had entered into a business purchase agreement to sell the assets of Vislink Communications Systems (VCS) for $16m, progressing from the informal agreement in principle announced in October, to a detailed formal agreement. The disposal remains conditional on shareholder approval. We leave our estimates, which assume that VCS remains within the group, unchanged and will review them when shareholder approval has been received.
Vislink has announced that it has entered into a conditional agreement to sell the assets of Vislink Communication Systems (VCS) for $16m. The transaction is expected to be subject to shareholder approval and to close by end FY16. The deal frees management to focus on the software division, which reported a strong increase in order intake during H116, in contrast to the hardware division where H116 revenues fell by 19%, taking the division and the group into the red. The deal also solves the debt problem, leaving the group substantially debt-free. Net debt had reached £8.8m at end June and in September the group was fully utilising its £15.0m revolving credit facility, potentially breaching bank covenants.
A lot can happen in 1 ½ weeks. Firstly on the 12th October, Vislink announced that its broadcast software arm, Pebble Beach Systems (PBS), had traded strongly – reporting H1 order intake up 53% LFL. Then the following day, Finance Director (Ian Davies) resigned with immediate effect due to personal health-related reasons, with the shares hitting an all-time low of 8p. Finally the stock has almost doubled to 15.5p over the past 2 days, on the back of positive news that the Board has conditionally agreed to dispose of its hardware division, Vislink Communication Systems (VCS), to xG Technology Inc (Nasdaq: XGTI) for $16m (or c. £13m gross, representing 0.4x 2016 sales). We think xG Tech is a logical home for VCS, since it is already a leader in providing secure, always-on, wireless communications for many mission critical sectors, such as the armed forces, emergency services, public safety, telemedicine, etc. The transaction is subject to shareholder approval (date to be confirmed), and if authorised as anticipated, should close by the end of 2016. Proceeds (say £12m net) have been ear-marked to pay back the vast majority of the company’s £15m revolving credit facility with Santander - thus leaving the business “substantially debtfree”.
Vislink’s interims reflect what was said at the profit warning in July. Lower than expected revenues in VCS led to a loss for that division and a business improvement plan has now been initiated to ensure it generates acceptable levels of profitability going forward. Pebble Beach, the group’s software division, continues to perform well. Net debt has increased to £8.8m and has subsequently increased with the group now fully utilising its £15m RCF. We make further material cuts to forecasts (VCS-related) and now expect losses in 2016. Strengthening the balance sheet and stabilising VCS are the key priorities before it can start rebuilding value in the business.
Given July’s profit warning, Vislink’s interims this morning were never going to be pretty. H1’16 orders and turnover fell 21% and 15% respectively to £22.3m and £22.6m, reflecting ongoing difficulties at VSC (where sales dropped -18.5% to £17.2m) as broadcasters continued to divert budgets from infrastructure to content and transition to IP technologies (re delayed orders). Accordingly this pushed group adjusted EBIT to a loss of -£1.1m (vs £2.2m LY) - excluding £2.2m of forex gains which were credited to reserves - with net debt rising to £8.8m from £5.75m as at December. £1.9m of R&D was capitalised vs £1.6m of amortisation charged to the P&L.
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CAP-XX Ltd* (CPX.L, 3.1p/£10.1m) | Gfinity plc* (GFIN.L, 1.675p/£12.0m) | MTI Wireless Edge Ltd* (MWE.L, 38.5p/£33.8m) | Newmark Security plc* (NWT.L, 1.05p/£4.9m) | Mirada plc* (MIRA.L, 95.0p/£8.5m)
Companies: CPX GFIN MWE NWT MIRA
For the six months to 30 September 2019 (H1 FY20) AdEPT Technology Group reported Revenue +26.4%YoY to £30.8m inclusive of acquisitions, with organic growth of +2.5%YoY. Fixed Line Communications comprised 18.5% (£5.7m), -10.7%YoY, whilst Managed Services grew 39.5%YoY to £25.1m inclusive of the acquisition of Advanced Computer Systems UK Ltd. (ACS) to reach 81.5% of revenue; underlying organic growth was 7.9%YoY. EBITDA (adj.) of £6.1m grew 18.3%YoY; a 19.8% margin. The interim dividend was 5.1p/share (H119: 4.9p) +4%YoY. Period-end senior net debt was £31.5m (FY19: £27.1m) 2.6x EBITDA (FY19: 2.5x), with cash at £4.6m.
Companies: Adept Technology
The Coronavirus pandemic is a human tragedy of vast proportions – as well as the terrible human toll, COVID-19 has led to economies across the globe going into physical lockdown and financial freefall. Entire populations are adapting to the “stay at home” edict, to safeguard the vulnerable – and some of these changes will lead to long-lasting or perhaps permanent changes in the way we live or work. This note describes some of our client companies whose business models are well adapted to these changes, or who might see a change in long-term structural demand.
Companies: AMO BGO FDM GAMA KAPE LOOP TERN ZOO
Following the news that T-Mobile Czech Republic and Slovak Telecom have deployed 24i’s Smart Operator suite, Amino has confirmed a contract win with streaming video service Topic for 24i’s Smart OTT and Smart BACKSTAGE products. The releases do not comment on their potential values to Amino, and we leave forecasts unchanged. However, against the backdrop of ongoing COVID-19-driven global macro uncertainty, in our view the announcements represent welcome positive news flow. The contracts demonstrate further progress in both Amino’s move towards a more software-led business model and the group’s ability to address a more diverse client base.
Companies: Amino Technologies
Warren Buffett once said that as an investor, it is wise to be ‘fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful’. Fear is not in short supply right now.
Companies: OPM ALU ANCR BLV CONN CRC STU GATC HAT LEK MMH MCB MWE NXR NTBR NOG PAF PEG RFX SRC TEF TEG TPT VTU WYN XLM
Bill McDermott stood down on Friday after a decade building up SAP as the world's leading enterprise software company, handing the task of completing its transition to cloud computing to new co-CEOs Jennifer Morgan and Christian Klein. SAP announced the management overhaul, with immediate effect, after rushing out third-quarter results that showed it gaining traction in its drive to offer a more streamlined range of services and boost profitability. The company’s stock has climbed 21% this year. It’s up 75% in the past five years, topping rival Oracle, which is up 46%, and the S&P 500′s 54% gain.
Companies: EVRH TRAK CPX CALL ECK IMMO LOOP NET SEE TCM TRCS QTX VRE
FY 2019 was, as expected, a strong year for Gamma in financial terms with growth in Adjusted EBITDA of 31% a touch higher than we were expecting. Notably, that was achieved in a period where management has been pursuing its updated strategy which included investing in future growth and spending time assessing and undertaking acquisitions. The Group delivered well on its strategic aims during the year and it has announced further acquisitions in 2020. Gamma retains a strong balance sheet and we expect to see more deals in the future. It saw strong growth in the UK while its Dutch businesses were integrated and DX Groep saw a pick-up in H2. The near term business outlook is somewhat overshadowed by Covid-19 and we exercise a degree of conservatism as we upgrade our estimates to reflect the FY 2019 performance and the recent acquisitions. Nonetheless, the combination of organic and acquired growth produces a 5% upgrade in Adj. EBITDA for the current year which anticipates 15% growth on FY 2019’s strong number.
Companies: Gamma Communications
FY 2019 saw a strong financial and operational performance. The management team is working hard to optimise its sales strategy and pursue further cost reductions. The results of its efforts are already visible in much improved financials: growth in all the ongoing businesses and in all regions; and stronger margins from better revenue mix and streamlining. The sale of Automotive in February 2019 focused Telit on Industrial IoT, removed a heavy R&D burden and left the group very well-funded. Cash is to be partially returned to shareholders depending on the developing Covid-19 situation. Even in an uncertain times, the year leaves Telit very well placed with tremendous upside to build LT value through numerous opportunities as a global leader in the growing IoT market.
Companies: Telit Communications
Accelerated book build, board change and JSOP
Telit has moved to preserve its profit levels during the COVID-19 pandemic. The widespread lockdown of unknown duration is likely to slow some of its YoY revenue growth, and we trim our FY 2020 revenue expectations, although we do still continue to expect LFL growth (excluding the two months of Automotive in FY 2019). Despite its significant cash reserves from the disposal, management is prudently adopting a cost-reduction plan to ensure the company’s earnings are maintained at the targeted level. Notably this involves a temporary 15% salary reduction for senior management and a reduction in all areas of discretionary spending, including opex and capex. Strategic plans (such as long-term product development and the movement of production outside China) will be unaffected. We are pleased to hear the supply chain remains steady with minimal disruption in module production as the lockdown across Asia is partially lifted. At this stage, we leave FY 2021 forecasts unchanged, given a strong market position.
UKOG has implemented operating cost reductions following on from the grant of long-term production consent at the company's Horse Hill field (85.635% UKOG). Amongst other measures the company has been able to renegotiate long-term equipment and services contracts at reduced rates. All-in field operating costs have been lowered by circa $7/b to circa $12/b of oil produced, according to the company.
Companies: UK Oil & Gas Investments
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C: Initiating coverage | 88 Energy (88E LN/AU): Acquisition in Alaska | BP (BP LN): Transaction in Alaska with Hilcorp renegotiated | Columbus Energy Resources (CERP LN): Oil discovery in Trinidad | Premier Oil (PMO LN) and Rockhopper Exploration (RKH LN): Sea Lion farm out (Falklands) exclusivity period extended | BP (BP LN): 1Q20 results | Equinor (EQNR NO): Dry hole in Norway | Getech (GTC LN): Business update | Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Business update in the UK North Sea |IGas Energy (IGAS LN): Shutting some production in the UK | Lundin Energy (LUP SS): 1Q20 results | OKEA (OKEA NO): 1Q20 update in Norway | OMV (OMV AG): 1Q results | Premier Oil (PMO LN): Court approves schemes of arrangement | Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B LN): 1Q20 results and dividend reduction | RockRose Energy (RRE LN): Operational update in the UK | UK Oil & Gas (UKOG LN): £1.275 mm equity raise | Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): Operating update in Kazakhstan | Exillon Energy (EXI LN): February and March production in Russia | Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG LN): 1Q20 update in Kazakhstan | PetroNeft (PTR LN): Operations update | Genel Energy (GENL LN): Update in Kurdistan – While negotiations are ongoing the KRG will not exercise the notice of an intention to terminate the Bina Bawi PSC | ShaMaran Petroleum (SNM CN): Business update in Kurdistan | Tethys Oil (TETY SS): Production reduction in Oman | Total (FP FP): Dry hole in Lebanon | Aminex (AEX LN) and Solo Oil (SOLO LN): Licence extension in Tanzania | Far Limited (FAR AU): Update in Senegal | Lekoil (LEK LN): Final payment with Nigerian partner rescheduled | Orca Exploration (ORC.A/B CN): FY19 results | Savannah Energy (SAVE LN): Financial and operating update in Nigeria | San Leon Energy (SLE LN): Special dividend | Seplat Petroleum (SEPL LN): 1Q20 results
Companies: 88E AEX PEN BP/ CASP CERP EQNR EXI FAR TTA HUR GENL GTC IGAS LEK LUPE NOG OKEA OMV ORC.B PMO PTR RKH RDSA RRE SAVE SLE SEPL SNM TETY SOLO UKOG
The Board has finally decided to suspend its final dividend for 2019/20 and all dividends for 2020/21. This move is structural and not really linked to the Covid19 crisis in that it is to invest in FTTP and 5G, and to fund a major new 5-year modernisation programme.
These announcements are a first buy signal although the recovery will take time and the group must now stabilize its revenues which will not be easy given the Covid19 pandemic context.
Companies: BT Group
Quite a good Q4 supported by improving commercial momentum in Europe. The annual EBITDA grew eventually by 2.6% yoy reflecting the cost programme’s success.
The €0.09 dividend is maintained.
Vodafone is more highly indebted after its deal with Liberty-Global, but its dividend (cut last year) seems now more in harmony with its balance sheet. Besides, the monetisation of its infrastructure is continuing. Given therefore the slight growth Vodafone should offer in the coming years, we maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock.
Companies: Vodafone Group
Major new exclusive concert series launched; Buy