In 2018, Aberdeen Emerging Markets (AEMC) gave up the gains it made in 2017; this left its shares trading on a 3.9% dividend yield (one of the highest in its peer group) and a wider discount to its net asset value, currently 15.0%. The shift was largely one of sentiment, investors were worried about the potential effects of rising US interest rates and a US trade war with China on emerging markets. Emerging market currencies weakened and funds focused on the sector experienced significant outflows. The underlying companies now trade on much lower valuations and AEMC’s managers believe that emerging markets have overshot on the downside. The potential is there for a reversal of fortune in 2019.
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A reversal of fortune
- Published:
21 Jan 2019 -
Author:
Ed Marten -
Pages:
16
In 2018, Aberdeen Emerging Markets (AEMC) gave up the gains it made in 2017; this left its shares trading on a 3.9% dividend yield (one of the highest in its peer group) and a wider discount to its net asset value, currently 15.0%. The shift was largely one of sentiment, investors were worried about the potential effects of rising US interest rates and a US trade war with China on emerging markets. Emerging market currencies weakened and funds focused on the sector experienced significant outflows. The underlying companies now trade on much lower valuations and AEMC’s managers believe that emerging markets have overshot on the downside. The potential is there for a reversal of fortune in 2019.