Aberforth Smaller Companies

ASL’s value approach is well placed to capture the potential of a new market era…

Aberforth Smaller Companies

ASL’s value style has boosted performance, but valuations remain very low, and M&A could spark a further lift…

SHORE CAPITAL - Titon Holdings+ (TON, House Stock at 75p)

Aberforth Smaller Companies

ASL has outperformed since the vaccine rally, and its cheap portfolio valuations have historically led to strong returns…

Aberforth Smaller Companies

Aberforth Smaller Companies (ASL) is one of relatively few options for value investing in the UK small cap space. While value was out of favour for many years prior to the pandemic, since then it has staged a comeback and ASL has performed strongly as a result (see Performance). While ASL has outperformed its benchmark and sector in 2022 year to date, this has been in a falling market. Perhaps as a result of general risk aversion, the Discount has widened to 16%.

Finding value in a haystack

Non-income value strategies are becoming increasingly scarce, but the holdouts represent attractive near-term opportunities

Aberforth Smaller Companies - Overview

The reflationary rally since the announcement of successful vaccine trial results has been fantastic for value managers, and Aberforth Smaller Companies (ASL) has taken full advantage. As we discuss under Performance, the trust has generated strong returns over the past year, versus both the Numis Smaller Companies ex IT benchmark and against the UK small-cap sector. Consequently, the discount narrowed significantly in Q4 2020, the trust trading close to par in December and again in April 2021.

Aberforth Smaller Companies - Overview

Aberforth Smaller Companies (ASL) invests in UK small-caps. First listed in 1990, the trust utilises a team-based approach and places heavy emphasis on bottom-up stock selection using a disciplined value investment strategy. Whilst the composition of the team has changed since 1990, with all founding members having now departed, this process has remained consistent. As we discuss in performance, since launch ASL has outperformed the benchmark index by c. 2% p.a. The past five years have proven

Shoot to Thrill: ISA targets for long term growth

In times of crisis, the Romans would consult the Sibylline Prophecies. Contained therein was a prophecy that the 12 vultures seen by Romulus as he founded Rome (despite founding a start-up he still had time left for birdwatching, living before the modern-day culture of investors demanding updates) represented a signal that the primacy of Rome would last 12 saecula, a saeculum being a period taken as something between 85-100 years. With Rome and the Western Roman Empire falling to the Visigoths i

Eye of the Pfizer

It is often considered axiomatic in investment markets that smaller companies offer greater pricing inefficiencies, and thus greater opportunities to active managers to generate outperformance. In the UK Small Cap space, we have certainly seen suggestions over the long term that this is true, with the Morningstar UK Small Cap sector producing an average NAV return of c. 173.4% over the ten years to 05/02/2021, compared to a return of c. 115.2% from the Numis Small Cap including AIM excluding Inv

Cool Britannia?

There is no question the UK economy is in dire straits. A fall of 12% in GDP in Q2, followed by a 16% rise, led to an economy 7% smaller in September. The recent imposition of a second lockdown will lead to a further decline. The Bank of England forecasts the UK economy will end the year 11% smaller than when it started. The OBR estimates it will be smaller than it was entering the current crisis until late 2022. One lagging indicator which is lagging even more than normal is the unemployment ra

Aberforth Smaller Companies - Overview

Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust (ASL) invests in UK small-caps with a disciplined value investment style. While its portfolio has been under pressure in 2020, the announcement of good results from a candidate vaccine in late October saw its NAV rally and share price rally even harder than the market, which the managers believe indicates strong rebound potential. ASL has been managed to the same style since launch in 1990 and has outperformed the Numis Smaller Companies ex IT Index by over 1.5%

Five small cap trusts on very wide discounts

Trusts in the AIC UK Smaller Companies sector have de-rated significantly. Discounts have widened dramatically this year, having been pushed to a historic narrow point by the ‘Boris bounce’ at the end of last year. On an average discount of 12%, discounts in the sector are now wider than the 10 year weighted average discount of 11.5%. Within this average, there are some significant outliers. We look at the prospects for smaller company returns, as well as highlight those trusts exposed to them w

Aberforth Smaller Companies - Overview

Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust (ASL) owns a portfolio of cheap companies which the managers expect to outperform their more expensive peers. ASL has been team-managed since it was launched in 1990, and has outperformed the Numis Smaller Companies ex IT Index significantly since then. In more recent years the value style has been out of favour, and ASL has struggled relative to its growth-oriented peer group. As we discuss in the Performance section, the end of last year saw an outstanding qua

The fight in the dog

Smaller companies are usually a problematic area to invest in during significant downturns or recessions; and the sharp fall in 2020 hasn’t been an exception. In this article we assess the performance of smaller companies trusts throughout the pandemic, while identifying the factors that have differentiated the winners from the losers. This includes the impact that cash, market cap exposure, sector allocation, revenue exposure and growth or value biases have had, with some surprising results. We

Morning Note – 22 April 2024

Benefits of scale set to materialise

Frenkel Topping - Resilient with strong growth potential

FY 2023 was a challenging year for Frenkel with higher interest rates encouraging clients to place money into lower margin money market funds. Despite this, sales grew +32% (supported by recurring revenue +9% and +51% in non-recurring), EBIT margins remained strong at 22% and adj. EPS grew +17% (taking into account the higher number of shares). FY 2024 has seen a solid start to transactional business and there is a strong pipeline of new FUM opportunities both of which support further growth. Wi

S&U - PBT ahead, encouraging volume trends

S&U reported FY24 PBT of £33.6m, down from £41.4m in FY23 on higher funding and regulatory costs and higher impairments in Advantage in H2. PBT was 2% ahead of our forecast as stronger revenues – up 12% to £115.4m – and better costs offset higher-than-expected impairments. Net receivables grew to a record at both Advantage and Aspen and management noted particular strength in Q4 and a good trading environment in the current year. Having absorbed a significant rise in funding cost as well as addi

Hardman & Co Insight: 2023 was an annus horribilis for Quoted UK Infrastructure and Renewable Energy

The focus of Hardman & Co Research is on the nine quoted Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and on the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs): the stocks analysed are all members of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC). We are updating our publication of January 2023, assessing both the lacklustre share price performances during 2023 and the key issues, including interest rates, inflation and power prices. As a 31-strong group, its combined market capitalisation is no

Foresight Solar Fund - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on ABC Arbitrage (ABCA), paragon (PGN), Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL), Kendrion (KENDR), Lithium Power International (LPI), Triple Point Energy Transition (TENT), 4iG (4IG), e-therapeutics (ETX), Pharnext (ALPHA) and Shield Therapeutics (STX). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our web

LIBERUM: PayPoint: On track for £100m of EBITDA in FY 26

Regional REIT - Performing as expected ahead of refinancing

In a challenging market, Regional REIT’s (RGL’s) FY23 operational and financial performance was robust, in line with expectations and previous guidance. Investor focus remains on the company’s loan to value (LTV) reduction and bond refinancing plans, explored in detail in our previous note and RGL will provide an update on this in due course.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 22 April 2024

22nd April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi

LIBERUM: Speedy Hire: Weakness in FY 24 but recovery in FY 25

The Hardman & Co Monthly: April 2024

Feature article: Steady as she goes, but could be better: A review of investment company liquidity since 2016 Liquidity is the lifeblood of equity markets. The measurement of liquid asset availability to a market or company is a way of gauging a market’s health. This article builds on our previous work, which analysed the liquidity data for non-financial trading companies, by applying the same analytical techniques to the investment companies (IC) space. We analyse liquidity for ICs as a whol

Foxtons Group (FOXT LN) - 1Q24 IMS shows real momentum

Foxtons Group plc first quarter revenue rose 9% to £35.7m (1Q23: £32.9m) with growth delivered across all business segments. Trading is in line with management's expectations.

Morning Note – 29 February 2024

Jupiter Green

Hardman & Co Insight - Asset managers had a poor 2022

Asset managers had a poor 2022: the S&P Composite 1500 Asset Management Index was down 22% and, according to the Investment Company Institute (ICI), worldwide mutual funds fell by 20%, from $76tr to $60tr. When bond and equity markets fall, the results are unlikely to be pretty: with revenues trending down and multiples contracting, there is a double whammy to contend with. So how do valuations shape up now, after a bullish start to the new year? The first chart is my favourite chart of asset m