Despite the turbulence in power prices triggered by the pandemic, NextEnergy Solar Fund (NESF) achieved its dividend target of 7.05p for the financial year. The 2022 dividend target was increased in line with RPI to 7.16p per ordinary share for the year ended 31 March 2022, payable quarterly. We believe given the sharp increase in power prices and the hedging strategies used by NESF, cashflow is likely to be significantly higher over the next two to three years than what is incorporated in NESF’
Companies: Nextenergy Solar Fund
NextEnergy Solar Fund’s full year results announcement shows a business continuing to outperform on development, output and pricing. The portfolio now stands at 814MW and the company has already reached its targeted subsidy free capacity of 150MW. A pipeline of international and battery storage opportunities gives NESF considerable diversification potential. With a target dividend of 7.16p for FY 22, NESF continues to offer a well-supported, RPI-linked income stream.
As midsummer’s day looms (where has this year gone?), there is greater optimism, in general, than may have been anticipated a few months ago. A post-pandemic, ‘vaccine-driven’ recovery demonstrated by increased consumer spending as lockdown measures are lifted has been one of the catalysts. The FTSE 100 has been range-bound in the last month 6,900-7,100. We have seen a combination of broadly positive company results across a range of sectors, further examples of M&A activity and a sequence of ne
Companies: AMYT ARBB ARW BAG BEG BONH BWNG CWK DNK EML EPWN FBD FA/ GPH GSF GNC HUW IGC INSE KAPE KP2 MMAG NRR NESF OTMP ROL RUA SEN SUR TON TOU TXP TGL VLS WINK
The International Energy Agency (IEA) published its Net Zero by 2050 roadmap. This confirms work by others showing high demand for renewable energy, storage, electric vehicles and hydrogen if we are to reach a position of global net zero emissions by 2050. Given historic criticism of the IEA for failing to recognise the role of renewable energy, we see this report as an important indicator of how far expectations are shifting in favour of clean energy.
Companies: ADN DRX GSF ITM NESF PHE SAE SIT STRLNG TLG VLS
NextEnergy Solar Fund’s (NESF) NAV has declined to 98.9p, as at 31 March 2021, from 100.7p as at 31 December 2020, after incorporating a further reduction in power price forecasts provided by NESF’s three independent consultants (-2.1p per share) and an expected rise in the UK corporation tax rate rising to 25% from 2023 (-1.8p per share). These were partly offset by NESF’s operating outperformance, the acquisition of the 100MW Camden portfolio which was financed by a drawdown on the existing cr
NextEnergy Solar’s NAV reflects a reduction in long term pricing offset by continued operating outperformance. While long term pricing remains an issue across the renewable yieldco sector, we continue to see NESF as better placed thanks to its non-amortising debt. It is also showing that its energy sales relationship with NextEnergy Capital is delivering strong hedging positions which should benefit the company going forward. On top of this the company has a range of opportunities to develop and
The latest UK Power Market Outlook from Bloomberg New Energy Finance shows low UK wholesale electricity prices over the next ten years, falling below £20/MWh by 2030. However, we expect actual price outturns to be higher due the circular impact of lower prices on new capacity investment. While prices may weaken, we think they are unlikely to match the BNEF forecasts. NextEnergy Solar Fund benefits from its non-amortising debt which gives the company a cash cushion with which to maintain dividend
The UK market showed a continued recovery in the first quarter albeit the indices are still well short of their all-time peaks, unlike many of their international peers. The FTSE 100 has risen by 1,186 points (21.4%) since the end of October and the FTSE 250 by 4,304 points (25.0%). The comparable performance since the start of the year is less spectacular- the FTSE 100 has risen by 253 points (3.9%) and the FTSE 250 has risen by 1,070 points (5.0%). The factors behind the sustained rally are fa
Companies: AMYT ARBB CEG BAG BVC BEG BONH BLVN BRSD CML CWK CRPR EYE ECHO FDM FAR FA/ GPH GSF HUW INSE JDG KAPE KP2 MACF MPAC MNZS NESF NBI OTMP OBD PREM QFI RUA SCS SEN SOS SUR TON TOU TXP TGL TCN UEM VLS WYN
Next Energy Solar has hit its target of having 150MWp of subsidy free solar assets with the acquisition of two projects demonstrating, in our view, a continued ability to source and develop new assets for the portfolio. The shares are currently trading at just above the current NAV without the premium seen in most other renewable yieldcos. This implies that the fund has run out of growth opportunities, something today’s announcement would seem to contradict. With additional targets in other juri
In this publication, Hardman & Co’s focus is on the 17 quoted Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs), as we update our publication of February 2020 – the stocks analysed are members of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC). As a group, their combined market capitalisation is now ca.£10.6bn. The most valuable quoted funds are Greencoat UK Wind (£2.5bn) and TRIG (£2.4bn). Comparisons with the seven Infrastructure Investment Companies – a sector worth ca.£12.8bn – are also undertaken
Companies: AERI BSIF DORE RNEW FSFL GSF GRP UKW AMG1L JLEN NESF ORIT SEIT TRIG TEEC USF
The Budget offered a clear picture of the state of the economy. Put simply, the economy will be 3% smaller in three years’ time than it would have been without the impact of the pandemic. However, it is forecast to return to pre-pandemic levels by mid-2022, six months earlier than previously thought. The OBR forecasts that the UK economy will grow by 4.1% in 2021, (lower than the 5.5% outlined in November 2020). It has set its GDP forecasts in 2022, 2023 and 2024 at 7.3%, 1.7% and 1.6%. Positive
Companies: AMYT ARBB CEG BVC BEG BRSD BWNG CBOX CTG CLG CML CWK EYE ECHO EML ESC FBD FA/ GSF HTWS INSE JDG MACF MTW NESF NAVF NSF NBI OTMP PCF PPC QFI SAVE SEN SNX TGL UTL VLS WYN
NESF has acquired a 100MWp portfolio of new assets with a private PPA with AB InBev. This follows the private PPA agreed with Anglian Water and shows that NESF can secure deals with strong counterparties. We see private PPAs as a key opportunity to growth the asset base along with projects outwith the UK and energy storage opportunities.
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Ramsdens interim results highlight the resilience of the business model. Despite the prolonged UK lockdown and international travel restrictions materially impacting the business, we believe a pre-tax loss of only £0.1m was a great result. Moreover, the balance sheet remains strong with net assets up £0.5m HoH to £35.5m and net cash at £15m. While FY2021 has been tough due to COVID-19, management remain confident and are positioning the business for growth with a pipeline of six new stores, incl
Companies: Ramsdens Holdings PLC
Trident has announced the appointment of a new Non-Executive Chairman. Paul Smith, an ex-Glencore senior executive will join the company on 21st June. Mr Smith has made an immediate £1m equity investment in Trident at a premium and retains the right to make a further £1m investment for a total proposed investment of £2m.
Companies: Trident Royalties Plc
What’s new: Full year results were ahead of our March 2021 forecasts, as set out in the 20 April trading update.
- AuM rose 35% over the year to £9.0bn on 31 March 2021;
- Net inflows added £755m, with 2H net inflows of £427m 30% higher than 1H net inflows of £328m; annualised growth rose from 10% to 11.4%;
- Revenue rose 9.3% to £23.35m (6% above Zeus estimate: £22.0m);
- Adj EBIT rose 25.6% to £11.4m (13% above Zeus estimate: £10.1m);
- Adj diluted EPS rose 22.8% to 14.7p (12% abov
Companies: Tatton Asset Management Plc
Palace Capital’s (PCA) FY21 results were robust, with a clear improvement in the second half. With a good level of rent collection continuing, Q421 DPS was increased by 20%, to a level that management hopes to at least maintain through FY22. Importantly, the flagship Hudson Quarter (HQ) development in York completed in April, on budget. We expect HQ to be a significant driver of forecast increasing returns and deleveraging.
Companies: Palace Capital plc
Augmentum Fintech’s (“AF”) disciplined approach and diversified portfolio has delivered value uplift. A number of follow-on rounds and a maiden exit (Dext) added 14p to the NAV – now standing at 130.4p; +12% yoy and 9% in H2 alone. £31m capital has been deployed since Mar-20, including 4 new investments. There is a significant pipeline of new opportunities (£924m) with £144m (across 24 deals) in active development. In order to pursue these, AF has announced that it is seeking to raise at least £
Companies: Augmentum Fintech
The repeal of the Berlin rent cap (the ‘Mietendeckel’), ruled unconstitutional, is a significant positive for Phoenix Spree Deutschland (PSD). It allows a resumption of its core reversionary rent strategy, providing greater flexibility in the extraction of the value embedded in the portfolio. With a continuing discount to net assets, the board has stepped up the share repurchase programme, aiming to ensure that the share price better reflects its view of intrinsic value and the improved outlook.
Companies: Phoenix Spree Deutschland Fund
Trident Royalties Plc (AIM: TRR) has, this morning, announced the appointment of Paul Smith as Non-Executive Chairman. Alongside the appointment Mr Smith will invest up to £2 million into the company, of which £1 million will be an immediate subscription at 40p/ share (representing a 4% premium to the 5-day VWAP), with up to a further £1 million at the same price within 12 months. The current Chair, James Kelly, will remain on the board as a Non-Executive Director. Non-Executive Director Mark Po
Final results show impressive growth and strong operating margins; +5% ahead of our recently upgraded forecasts – with challenges posed by COVID navigated successfully. FuM is growing very strongly. Flows have recovered over the last 12m and continue to build, hitting £9.5bn post-period end already. Management has outlined an aspiration to reach £15bn FuM in 3 years. We leave headline forecasts unchanged, but see upside as FuM continues to grow. With scope to double the business in the medium te
Companies: M&G Plc
Urban Logistics REIT (“ULR”) has delivered a watershed year: doubling the portfolio with a disciplined approach focusing on value-add opportunity through reversion and regear. Finals show rental income doubling from acquired assets, with recurring EPS in line with our forecast. EPRA NAV was 6% ahead of N+1Se, as valuation yields tightened. The manager has secured a further c.£150m pipeline of similarly attractive assets. We make a modest upgrade to EPRA NAV on better valuation. We see sustained
Companies: Urban Logistics REIT plc
Tatton’s FY21 results highlight strong momentum in the business. Current AUM inflows have returned to pre-Covid levels and now average £100m per month, with the £9.0bn AUM milestone reached on 31 Mar (subsequently surpassed, reaching £9.5bn on 15 June). That translated to 35% AUM growth for FY21 (AUM 31 Mar 20: 6.7bn)
Tavistock Investments Plc (“Tavistock”) consists of Tavistock Wealth (an investment management business) and Tavistock Advisory (several financial advisory businesses). The Company has announced the sale of Tavistock Wealth for up to £40m which compares extremely favourably to the £16m Group market capitalisation prior to the announcement. Tavistock also provided a trading update confirming that H2 2021 (year end March) followed the strong H1 performance. Full year underlying EBITDA of £2.77m (+
Companies: Tavistock Investments PLC
Two factors are the key drivers of CLO equity returns – loan default rates and the arbitrage spread of the loan pool over the cost of financing. In both instances, the outlook appears very favourable. Loan default rates continue to trend downwards and compressing AAA spreads present opportunities to significantly reduce the cost of funding. FAIR is well-placed to capitalise on these conditions as a control CLO equity investor. We see this as a compelling entry point for a fund offering a 13% div
Companies: Fair Oaks Income Limited RealisationUSD
Agronomics is an investment company, making selective investments in early-stage alternative protein companies. We believe the combination of the conservative approach to calculating a reported net asset value (NAV) and growing interest in the broader alternative protein and cultured meat opportunities has resulted in Agronomics' shares trading at a c320% premium to its latest reported NAV per share value. Our analysis suggests that not only can this premium be justified but that upside exists b
Companies: Agronomics Limited
AVO’s goal is to deliver an affordable and novel PT system, called LIGHT, based on state-of-the-art technology developed originally at the world-renowned CERN. Over the past two years, important technical milestones have significantly derisked the project. Now, AVO is working on the verification and validation phase, prior to LIGHT being used on the first patients to support CE marking. In its recent technical update, the company highlighted progress made over the past three months towards a ful
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN RECI STX SPO SCE TRX VTA