A game of two halves

In the first article of our series examining the AIC Flexible Investment sector, we divided this widely disparate group of trusts into what we think are more comparable sub-groups, identifying four roughly similar types of strategy.

Third Point Investors - Overview

Third Point Investors (TPOU) has had a stand-out year so far in performance terms, with the manager’s differentiated approach to multi-asset investment delivering very strong returns. As we discuss in Performance, the standout performers this year in absolute terms have been the fund’s private investments, which have subsequently IPO’d and continued to deliver very strong returns as public equities. The manager has specialist teams in credit, equity, merger/activist and venture strategies, not

60/40 and other dinosaurs

Over the decades, investors’ ideas about how to build the perfect investment portfolio have evolved. Large independent pension fund investors have typically led the way, with consultants and smaller pension funds following, and then discretionary private client wealth managers followed by individual retail investors echoing trends as they trickle down. Markowitz is identified as the architect of modern portfolio theory and, to an extent, over time investors have been working with and adapting t

Every which way but loose

The AIC Flexible Investment sector is, like a discounted haggis, a simple casing which can house myriad ingredients. In fact, the constituent meats are so exotic that we typically caution it is not a good comparator when discussing relative performance. The individual trusts that make up the sector often aim to accomplish very different things. Meanwhile the flexible mandates of some of them mean the composition of individual portfolios can vary drastically over time. Below, we have looked at th

A better class of travel

A family office, particularly after the year we have just had, means different things to different people. For the less fortunate, it’s the kitchen – where mum and dad spent a large part of last year at the same table, each trying to block out the noise of the other’s zoom meeting while the children smeared peanut butter on the dog. In the more traditional – and entirely more desirable – sense, the term family office covers a range of multi-faceted organisations which, at their core, provide pr

Third Point Investors - Overview

Third Point Investors (TPOU) offers exposure to Third Point’s flagship master fund. Third Point applies an opportunistic approach to investing in companies across the capital structure on a global basis. It aims to invest in different asset classes to optimise risk and reward through a market cycle, and provide consistent long-term capital appreciation. The strategy has in the past demonstrated market directionality over short term time frames but, as we discuss in Performance, has delivered ret

Can the passive bull market continue forever?

Passive investing has, it seems fair to say, attracted a fair few fans globally. (Indeed some have taken it even further, and are now investing passive aggressively. Whenever they’re asked for their opinion on their index fund’s top holdings, they simply respond ‘never mind’). Whilst passive investing was primarily championed as a practical solution by Jack Bogle and Vanguard, Francis Galton’s observations on the wisdom of crowds can highlight some of the underlying intellectual justifications f

Third Point Investors - Overview

Third Point applies an opportunistic approach to investment, exemplified by Third Point Investors’ (TPOU’s) portfolio activity this year. As we discuss under Portfolio, the manager has successfully pivoted exposure to asset classes during the market volatility experienced in early 2020, managing risks and delivering a lower-volatility return for the year. TPOU’s objective is to provide consistent long-term capital appreciation. To achieve this, the manager looks across global credit and equity m

The return of the activist... but not as we know it.

The advent of social media has led to an increase in activism of all types, the like of which has not been seen since the penny press changed the course of American history in the 1800s. From #MAGA to the Arab Spring, platforms such as Facebook have had a profound effect on politics and society. Everywhere, we are invited to support campaigns on social media. Where once it would have taken a petition (which requires a pen, frayed paper, and someone to hand it around at the very least), it is no

Third Point Offshore - Overview

Third Point applies an opportunistic approach to investment. Its objective is to provide consistent long-term capital appreciation; to achieve this, the managers look across global credit and equity markets for what they view as the best risk adjusted returns. Daniel S. Loeb is the portfolio manager, overseeing all investment activity supported by a lean investment team of approximately 35. Daniel invests in both long and short opportunities, but over longer time periods it is expected the portf

Third Quarter of 2019

There was palpable shift in sentiment over the third quarter with the cautionary undertone perhaps best reflected by gold’s resurgence. Ongoing trade jockeying between the US and China did not help the mood and neither did the Argentine debt default in August. At the real economy level, manufacturing output has been trending lower across some of the major global economies.

USA! USA. USA?

2018 saw the first negative calendar year for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones since 2008 and, despite a subsequent rally, sentiment remains divided between those who believe the US market has more room to run, and those who think the longest bull market in history will soon come screeching to a halt. Instinctively, it feels like a correction must be due and, indeed, a recent survey of Kepler Trust Intelligence readers showed the majority feel that there are choppy waters ahead. Among those who fel

Understanding the deepest discounts

At Hardman and Co, we try to answer the questions of why to invest in a company and what the risks are in doing so. For many investors, simply having a deep discount to NAV is a good enough answer to the first question. However, investors need to appreciate the risks and, in particular, the reasons why the shares are at a discount. Having understood those risks, investors need to be convinced that there is a catalyst for change on the part of the manager and how long (if at all) it will take for

Fidante Daily Digest

Civitas Social Housing – Update on Westmoreland | Third Point Offshore – Share buybacks | GCP Asset Backed Income – Proposed placing

Fidante Daily Digest

John Laing Infrastructure – Interims to 30 June 2018 | BBGI – Interims to 30 June 2018 | Third Point Offshore – Interims to 30 June 2018 | Carador Income – Interims to 30 June 2018 | Phaunos Timber – Stafford Rayonier response

Morning Note – 22 April 2024

Benefits of scale set to materialise

Frenkel Topping - Resilient with strong growth potential

FY 2023 was a challenging year for Frenkel with higher interest rates encouraging clients to place money into lower margin money market funds. Despite this, sales grew +32% (supported by recurring revenue +9% and +51% in non-recurring), EBIT margins remained strong at 22% and adj. EPS grew +17% (taking into account the higher number of shares). FY 2024 has seen a solid start to transactional business and there is a strong pipeline of new FUM opportunities both of which support further growth. Wi

S&U - PBT ahead, encouraging volume trends

S&U reported FY24 PBT of £33.6m, down from £41.4m in FY23 on higher funding and regulatory costs and higher impairments in Advantage in H2. PBT was 2% ahead of our forecast as stronger revenues – up 12% to £115.4m – and better costs offset higher-than-expected impairments. Net receivables grew to a record at both Advantage and Aspen and management noted particular strength in Q4 and a good trading environment in the current year. Having absorbed a significant rise in funding cost as well as addi

Hardman & Co Insight: 2023 was an annus horribilis for Quoted UK Infrastructure and Renewable Energy

The focus of Hardman & Co Research is on the nine quoted Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and on the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs): the stocks analysed are all members of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC). We are updating our publication of January 2023, assessing both the lacklustre share price performances during 2023 and the key issues, including interest rates, inflation and power prices. As a 31-strong group, its combined market capitalisation is no

Foresight Solar Fund - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on ABC Arbitrage (ABCA), paragon (PGN), Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL), Kendrion (KENDR), Lithium Power International (LPI), Triple Point Energy Transition (TENT), 4iG (4IG), e-therapeutics (ETX), Pharnext (ALPHA) and Shield Therapeutics (STX). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our web

LIBERUM: PayPoint: On track for £100m of EBITDA in FY 26

Regional REIT - Performing as expected ahead of refinancing

In a challenging market, Regional REIT’s (RGL’s) FY23 operational and financial performance was robust, in line with expectations and previous guidance. Investor focus remains on the company’s loan to value (LTV) reduction and bond refinancing plans, explored in detail in our previous note and RGL will provide an update on this in due course.

LIBERUM: Speedy Hire: Weakness in FY 24 but recovery in FY 25

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 22 April 2024

22nd April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi

The Hardman & Co Monthly: April 2024

Feature article: Steady as she goes, but could be better: A review of investment company liquidity since 2016 Liquidity is the lifeblood of equity markets. The measurement of liquid asset availability to a market or company is a way of gauging a market’s health. This article builds on our previous work, which analysed the liquidity data for non-financial trading companies, by applying the same analytical techniques to the investment companies (IC) space. We analyse liquidity for ICs as a whol

Foxtons Group (FOXT LN) - 1Q24 IMS shows real momentum

Foxtons Group plc first quarter revenue rose 9% to £35.7m (1Q23: £32.9m) with growth delivered across all business segments. Trading is in line with management's expectations.

Morning Note – 29 February 2024

Hardman & Co Insight - Asset managers had a poor 2022

Asset managers had a poor 2022: the S&P Composite 1500 Asset Management Index was down 22% and, according to the Investment Company Institute (ICI), worldwide mutual funds fell by 20%, from $76tr to $60tr. When bond and equity markets fall, the results are unlikely to be pretty: with revenues trending down and multiples contracting, there is a double whammy to contend with. So how do valuations shape up now, after a bullish start to the new year? The first chart is my favourite chart of asset m

Hybridan Research: Sector Review: Artificial intelligence in UK cybersecurity: the human uplift 17/04/2024

Artificial intelligence (AI) is a double-edged sword in cybersecurity. Whilst new AI models, architectures, and innovations are emerging to protect the security posture of organisations, attackers are also benefiting from deepfakes, sophisticated phishing, and automation of malicious codes. To ensure the impact of AI on cybersecurity to be a net-positive, we need to pit good AI against bad AI. Point solutions enhanced with machine learning: Global cybersecurity has been built with point soluti