Amur Minerals* (AMC LN) – EGM notice | Highland Gold (HGM LN) – Kayen exploration license sold for $15m and 2% royalty | Keras Resources* (KRS LN) - Global manganese ore output falls 22% in April | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – COVID-19 medical equipment donated to main Malawi hospital | Rambler Metals* (RMM LN) – US$1m bridging loan
Companies: AMC HGM KRS MKA RMM
Amur Minerals* (AMC LN) – Kun Manie copper concentrate production | Beowulf Mining* (BEM LN) - Madjan Peak Shows Epithermal Gold Potential in Northern Kosovo | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Q1 Results highlight progress towards feasibility study | Rambler Metals* (RMM LN) – Appointment of new CEO | Savannah Resources* (SAV LN) – Mina do Barroso EIA submission | Strategic Minerals* (SML LN) – Award of US$21.9m by arbitrator
Companies: AMC BEM MKA RMM SAV SML
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) – Earnings update: riding surging gold prices | Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – Raises £6.6m in oversubscribed placing | Kodal Minerals* (KOD LN) –– Kodal awaits approval to start mining | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) –– Rare earth magnet recycling
Companies: AAZ CNR KOD MKA
Altus Strategies* (ALS LN) – Positioned for growth in FY20 | BHP (BHP LN) - Pledges another A$3m to fight coronavirus | Kavango Resources (KAV LN ) - Review highlights Kalahari Suture Zone similarities with other major nickel regions | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Results highlight progress towards feasibility study | Caledonia Mining* (CMCL LN) – Quarterly dividend | Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – Permit awarded for Mestiza pit | Scotgold Resources* (SGZ LN) BUY Target 119p – Loan facility terms changes | SolGold* (SOLG LN) – Phase 2 metallurgical testing shows enhanced gold recoveries and improved concentrate quality | Tertiary Minerals* TYM –– Issue of shares to Precious Metal Capital Group
Companies: ALS BHP KAV MKA CMCL CNR SGZ SOLG TYM
Aura Energy* - (AURA LN) – Issue of shares | Altus Strategies* (ALS LN) – Tabakorole geophysical survey identifies new targets | Caledonia Mining* (CMCL LN) – AGM Procedures | Chaarat Gold* (CGH LN) - BUY – Completion of a $13.8m placing | Empire Metals* (EEE LN) (formerly Georgian Mining GEO LN) – Acquisition of control in Australian Palladium Deposit | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) - COVID-19 safety measures for Malawi | Scotgold Resources* (SGZ LN) BUY – 119p – Earnings update: delivering gold at Cononish | Serabi Gold* (SRB LN) –– Appointment of non-executive director | Vast Resources* (VAST LN) – Baita Plai parts and equipment shipment update
Companies: AURA ALS CMCL CGH GEO MKA SGZ SRB VAST
Arkle Resources* (ARK LN) – EGM arrangements | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Measures to mitigate Covid19 | Savannah Resources* (SAV LN) – Covid19 precautions | Vast Resources* (VAST LN) – New shares issued in regards of the Atlas bond interest
Companies: ARK MKA SAV VAST
Altus Strategies* (ALS LN) – Flash note: Momentum builds as new JVs signed, strategic investment secured | Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) – Debt free status reached | Chaarat Gold* (CGH LN) – FY19 operational and financial results due next week | Mali Lithium (MLL AU) – new presentation highlights benefits of the Goulamina project | Kodal Minerals* (KOD LN) – | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Sample results from Thambani | Phoenix Copper* (PXC LN) – Empire mine environmental studies | Power Metal Resources (POW LN) – Kisinka exploration programme | SolGold* (SOLG LN) – Timbara exploration results
Companies: ALS AAZ CGH KOD MKA POW SOLG
Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – Condor appoints SP Angel as sole broker as company moves towards production and development of a potential 5moz gold district | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Mkango completes acquisition of 25% stake in Hypromag Rare Earth recycling
Companies: Condor Gold Mkango Resources Ltd Cmn Shs Npv
Altus Strategies* (ALS LN) – Acquisition of Lakanfla NSR | Aura Energy* (AURA LN) – EGM result | Landore Resources (LND LN) – BAM gold project resources update | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Interim CFO
Companies: ALS AURA LND MKA
The Global Sustainable Farmland Income Trust will invest in a diversified portfolio of operational farmland assets located in major agricultural markets including the United States, Europe, New Zealand, Australia and certain countries within Latin and South America. Raising up to $300m. Due 28 February
Companies: BVC CCS CARR SDX TEK IDEA TPG MKA RRR
Arc Minerals* (ARCM LN) – Arc Minerals acquires an additional 5% of Zaco | Centamin (CEY LN) – Advises rejection of unsolicited proposal from Endeavour Mining | Continental Gold (CNL CN) – Recommended offer from Zijin Mining | KEFI Minerals* (KEFI LN) – Drilling at Hawiah returns high grade copper intersections | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Q3 Results and update
Companies: ARCM CEY CNL KEFI MKA
Amur Minerals* (AMC LN) – Russian TEO study update | Caledonia Mining (CMCL LN) – Non-executive director appointment | First Quantum Minerals (FQML CN) – Takeover speculation | Greatland Gold (GGP LN) – Drilling results from the Black Hills project | KEFI Minerals* (KEFI LN) – Update | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Investment proposal for rare-earth magnet recycling | Power Metal Resources (POW LN) – Power Metals highlights potential for nickel sulphide discoveries | Premier African Minerals* (PREM LN) – Interim Chairman steps aside | Strategic Minerals* (SML LN) – Cobre Arbitration
Companies: AMC CMCL GGP FM KEFI MKA POW PREM SML
Ariana Resources (AAU LN) – Tavsan Far North discovery | Aston Bay Holdings* (BAY CN) – Option on mineral rights at Buckingham Gold project in Virginia, USA | Australian Vanadium (AVL AU) – awarded ‘major project status’ | Bluejay Mining* (JAY LN) BUY – Target price 21.3p Bluejay ships 42,000t bulk sample from Greenland to Canada | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Appointment of lead engineer for the Songwe Hill Feasibility Study | Rambler Metals & Mining* (RMM LN) – Closure of convertible loan | Strategic Minerals* (SML LN) – R & D Grant for Leigh Creek copper mine
Companies: AAU BAY JAY MKA RMM SML
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Mkango Resources Ltd Cmn Shs Npv.
We currently have 83 research reports from 3
InfraStrata's acquisition of the iconic Harland & Wolff (H&W) shipyards in Northern Ireland has been transformational for the group, and with a carefully planned growth strategy, there is a clear route to cash breakeven in the short term. Over the medium to long term, these facilities could support a c£400m revenue business. With the company trading at a c30% discount to its H1/20A book value and c65% to its Adj NAV, we initiate with a Buy recommendation.
Anglo Asian Mining is an AIM listed precious and base metals producer running flagship Gedabek operations in western Azerbaijan which include three producing mines and processing facilities. The Company targets 75-80koz GEOs in 2020 with low cost operations providing capital for organic growth opportunities within the highly prospective +1,000km2 land package, with the potential for additional attractive targets outside Azerbaijan as well as 25% of FCF dividend programme.
Companies: Anglo Asian Mining
Falcon is uniquely placed in the current challenging commodity price environment with its strong cash position (US$11.5m at 31 March 2020), fully funded drilling programme and high quality assets. Following the farm down of a 7.5% participating interest to partner Origin Energy in return for an A$150.5m increase in the gross cap carry, we believe Falcon is fully funded through one of the greatest periods of uncertainty the oil and gas industry has ever faced. At a time when many in the industry fight for their very survival, we believe Falcon has managed to secure a fantastic deal for shareholders, which should see the Company through to the potential monetisation of its 22.5% participating interest. We maintain our price target at 40p, a 426% premium to the current share price and reiterate our BUY recommendation.
Companies: Falcon Oil & Gas
President is again demonstrating its ability to adapt rapidly to extreme macro conditions to maintain the balance sheet and keep its asset portfolio intact. A further US$6m subscription from Trafigura alongside a US$4.1m debt for equity swap will reduce debt to ~US$15m. Working capital will also be boosted by up to US$3.1m from the equity placing plus £2.2m from the retail offering. These not only materially improve the balance sheet but also bring President into strategic alignment with a strong industry partner. This, together with the benefit of Argentine fixed oil prices, leaves it primed to pursue a dynamic growth plan.
Companies: President Energy
The El Salmiya-5 well has come in significantly ahead of pre-drill expectations, encountering 120m of net pay, and testing 8,700boepd from the primary Kharita target formation. When coupled with the ASH-2 well which is still producing over 3,000boepd, net production levels from Abu Sennan are likely to rise to over 2,500boepd in the coming weeks. We model 2020 net production averaging c2,100boepd, generating a gross profit after royalties and opex of cUS$5.8m and EBITDA of cUS$3.6m. We increase our price target from 6.5p to 7.3p, a 152% premium to the current share price and reiterate our BUY recommendation.
Companies: United Oil & Gas
Sylvania's share price has fallen 53% since its peaked on the 21st Feb, as the global economy hit the brakes. The short term demand outlook for PGMs is miserable, with supply chains breaking down as both luxury goods and car sales sales collapse.
Companies: Sylvania Platinum
Savannah Energy is an AIM-listed E&P company with two sets of assets: (i) in-production gas and oil fields and a regional monopoly gas distributon network in South East Nigeria (well away from the risky Delta area); and (ii) licenses over 50% of a prolific oil basin in Niger.
Companies: Savannah Energy
April 2020 production payment
Companies: Gulf Keystone Petroleum
2019 was a significant year for United Oil & Gas, dominated by the acquisition of Rockhopper Egypt and its 22% working interest in the Abu Sennan concession. The acquisition has transformed United into a full-cycle E&P with c1,760boepd of production. With low operating costs (cUS$6.5/bbl) and drilling costs, Abu Sennan remains cash flow positive with oil prices below US$20/bbl. Additional downside protection comes from the Company's pre-payment facility with BP, effectively hedging 6,600bbls per month at US$60/bbl until September 2022 and its long-term fixed gas contracts, insulating 20% of United's production from the current price volatility. We update our model, accounting for slightly higher operating costs, setting our price target at 6.5p a 242% premium to the current share price and reiterate our BUY recommendation.
In this note, we analyze the indebtedness of 35 international E&Ps publicly listed in the UK, Canada, Norway, Sweden and the USA. For each company, we look at (1) cash position, (2) level and nature of debt (including covenants), (3) debt service and principal repayment framework and (4) Brent price required from April to YE20 to meet all the obligations and keep cash positions intact. We also estimate YE20 cash if Brent were to average US$20/bbl from April to YE20. While the oil demand and oil price collapse are of unprecedented historical proportions and the opportunities to cut costs much more limited than in 2014, most companies (with a few exceptions) entered the crisis in much better position than six years ago, with stronger balance sheets and often already extended debt maturities. In addition, this time around, many E&Ps have already been deleveraging for 1-2 years and are not caught in the middle of large developments that cannot be halted. The previous crisis also showed that debt providers could relax debt covenants for a certain period as long as interest and principal repayment obligations were met. This implies that as long as operations are not interrupted and counterparties keep paying their bills (Kurdistan), the storm can be weathered by most for a few quarters.
With (1) Brent price of about US$50/bbl in 1Q20, (2) reduced capex programmes, (3) material hedging programmes covering a large proportion of FY20 production at higher prices and (4) limited principal repayments in 2020, we find that most companies can meet all their costs and obligations in 2020 at Brent prices below US$40/bbl and often below US$35/bbl) from April until YE20 and keep their cash intact, allowing them to remain solvent at much lower prices for some time. In particular, Maha Energy and SDX Energy are cash neutral at about US$20/bbl. When factoring the divestment of Uganda, Tullow needs only US$9/bbl to maintain its YE20 cash equal to YE19. Canacol Energy, Diversified Gas and Oil, Independent Oil & Gas, Orca Exploration, Serica Energy and Wentworth Resources are gas stories not really exposed to oil prices and Africa Oil has hedged 95% of its FY20 production at over US$65/bbl.
Companies: AKERBP AOI CNE CNE DGOC EGY ENOG ENQ GENL GKP GPRK GTE HUR IOG JSE KOS LUPE MAHAA OKEA ORC.B PEN PHAR PMO PTAL PXT RRE SDX SEPL TETY TGL TLW TXP WRL
Companies: Hurricane Energy
An independent resource audit by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) has significantly increased the resources at the Mako gas field following the JV's highly successful drilling campaign in Q4/19. GCA have increased the 2C gross recoverable dry gas volumes when compared to its previous resource assessment (in January 2019) by 79% to 495Bcf, slightly ahead of the internal 493Bcf assessment. In the upside case, the 3C resources have increased by 108% to 817Bcf, significantly higher than the 3C internal resource estimate of 666Bcf. Following the GCA resource upgrade, the Mako field has been proven to be one of the largest gas fields ever discovered in the West Natuna Basin and is believed to be the largest undeveloped resource in the region. Located close to existing infrastructure and well established markets, we believe Mako is an attractive proposition, which we currently value at US$18.3m or 3.2p using a US$6/mcf long term gas price.
Companies: Empyrean Energy
Petropavlovsk PLC (LSE: POG) have released their FY2019 results and Q1 trading update this morning. The company had already released production numbers for last year. Overall the numbers reflected a strong operational performance although various financial/other parameters thwarted positive changes below the EBITDA line. Conversely net cash from operations reduced by 43% due to lower cash from prepayment as part of the group’s forward sale facility with the banks, yet net debt came down to $561m. . We show the key figures in Table 1.
An independent resource audit by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) has significantly increased the resources at the Mako gas field following the JV's highly successful drilling campaign in Q4/19. GCA have increased the 2C gross recoverable dry gas volumes when compared to its previous resource assessment (in January 2019) by 79% to 495Bcf, slightly ahead of the internal 493Bcf assessment. In the upside case, the 3C resources have increased by 108% to 817Bcf, significantly higher than the 3C internal resource estimate of 666Bcf. Following the GCA resource upgrade, the Mako field has been proven to be one of the largest gas fields ever discovered in the West Natuna Basin and is believed to be the largest undeveloped resource in the region. Located close to existing infrastructure and well established markets, we believe Mako is an attractive proposition, which we conservatively value at US$18.3m (risked) or 3.2p using a US$6/mcf long term gas price, unrisked our valuation of Mako increases to US$25.2m or 4.3p per share. We value Empyrean as a whole at 19.0p per share a 280% premium to the share price and reiterate our BUY recommendation.
Valuation – We have updated our Mako model, with gas first in 2023 (previously 2022). Using a long term gas price of US$6/mcf, and a 10% discount factor we value the 42.1Bcf of net 2C resources at US$18.3m (risked) or 3.2p per share. We include a 30% risking to account for any potential commercial risks (including political and fiscal changes), cost risks (associated with potential development cost variations) and timing risks (to allow for any project delays). Unrisked our valuation increases to US$24.7m or 4.3p per share.
A key sensitivity to our valuation is the gas price, at US$8/mcf our valuation of Mako increases to US$31.0m or 5.3p per share (risked), US$44.3m or 7.6p per share (unrisked) and at US$10/mcf our valuation increases to US$40.8m or 7.0p per share (risked), US$58.4m or 10p per share (unrisked).
Combined, we value Empyrean's portfolio at 19p per share, a 280% premium to the share price.
Oil posted its biggest monthly advance on record, just a few weeks after prices made a dramatic plunge below zero. Crude surged about 88% in May, with US futures on Friday rising above $35 a barrel for the first time since March, driven by massive supply curbs by producers across the world. Still, prices are well below levels at the start of the year, and demand that was crushed by the coronavirus crisis may need to show a sustained improvement for the rally to extend further.
For now, the outlook for consumption looks bleak, though it is on the mend. While virus-related lockdowns are easing, demand is not yet roaring back in the US Fuel sales that were clobbered in European nations such as Spain and Italy will take time to recover. China is a bright spot, but the rest of Asia is still struggling.
The number of rigs drilling for oil in the US fell for the eleventh week, stemming the massive glut of crude that flooded the market. Yet there is a risk that oil's advance could tempt producers to turn on their taps again.
US crude futures fluctuated Friday, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell defended aggressive action to shield the economy as the coronavirus pandemic took hold. Prices surged at the close, with West Texas Intermediate oil settling 5.3% higher at $35.49 a barrel, after falling as much as 4% earlier in the day. Futures posted the biggest monthly jump in data going back to 1983.
Brent crude for July, which expires Friday, rose 4 cents to $35.33, closing below WTI for the first time since 2016. The global benchmark has rallied almost 40% this month. The more active August contract rose 5% to settle at $37.84.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump is poised to sign a measure that would punish Chinese officials for imprisoning more than one million Muslims in internment camps, as he looks to rebuke Beijing over its crackdown in Hong Kong and its response to the coronavirus. He has also discussed putting targeted sanctions and trade measures on China's financial sector.
More on the oil market:
As the fallout from crude's historic plunge continues, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission have both opened probes into the $4.64 billion United States Oil Fund ETF.
As China's demand recovery outpaces the rest of Asia, falling fuel exports from the refining giant are providing a much-needed buffer for other processors in the region still grappling with lowered consumption and poor margins.
An early look at Saudi Arabia's crude exports for May shows that historic production cuts have done little to squelch the kingdom's flood of oil to China, which is just getting back on its feet from the coronavirus.
Companies: FOG PVR 88E DGOC EME TRIN UOG