ZOO Digital is one of the companies whose business models have stood it in good stead during the COVID-19 pandemic; its cloud-based platform has proved to be a key attribute over the last six months. Indeed, the changed working practices within the dubbing industry have helped to educate more potential users about the benefits of remote operating and the quality of performance that can be achieved when using the ZOOdubs platform. In our view, ZOO’s Capital Markets Day (CMD) presentations - a recording is available here - achieved a rare combination of being both informative and clear as to those operational benefits and the financial implications (a roadmap to U$100m of revenue) for the Group within an evolving market. We highlight some of the main messages from the speakers – from outside the company in several cases – which covered the market for localisation services, the use and benefits of ZOO’s platform and the technology behind the service.
Companies: ZOO Digital Group plc
ZOO has provided a short trading update to accompany its AGM which will be held later today. The business is performing well…double-digit revenue growth y/y across H1 is clearly a strong result given the market disruption, and is tracking very well towards our full-year figure. We make no changes to estimates (which we reinstated in July) but will consider revisiting them at the time of the H1 results in early November.
FY20 results Revenue was roughly flat on the prior year ($29.8m vs $28.8m) but the Adjusted EBITDA result was $2.1m compared to the 2019 outcome of $0.4m – a material improvement, driven by a higher mix of strong gross margin sales and also benefiting to the tune of c.$1m from the adoption of IFRS16. Net cash (pre the convertible loan) was some $0.7m, impacted by a new divisional relationship with an existing customer leading to some payment delays – the RNS explains that this abnormal working capital position has now “unwound” post the year-end.
Companies: ZOO Digital Group Plc
Trading update confirms FY'20 trajectory
In a short trading update, ZOO states that trading in the first weeks of the 2021 financial year has been ‘encouraging’ with a ‘reassuring resumption in demand’. The group has also reiterated guidance given in its previous update in March for the financial year to 31 March 2020, for revenue and EBITDA of approximately $30m and not less than $2.2m respectively. Cash collection was much stronger than forecast and therefore cash at the yearend was $0.7m. We adjust our FY 2020E net debt expectations accordingly.
The Coronavirus pandemic is a human tragedy of vast proportions – as well as the terrible human toll, COVID-19 has led to economies across the globe going into physical lockdown and financial freefall. Entire populations are adapting to the “stay at home” edict, to safeguard the vulnerable – and some of these changes will lead to long-lasting or perhaps permanent changes in the way we live or work. This note describes some of our client companies whose business models are well adapted to these changes, or who might see a change in long-term structural demand.
Companies: AMO BGO FDM GAMA KAPE LOOP TERN ZOO
ZOO’s FY20 update suggests an element of delay in various projects towards the end of the year as Covid-19 has slowed customers’ projects. Revenue is now expected to be shy of our previous forecasts, at around $30m. EBITDA was also impacted, but to a lower extent, presumably on the basis of prudence in the estimates, and is likely to reach some $2.2m against our $3.6m estimate. We choose to withdraw our 2021 estimates, on the basis of the current confusion around Coronavirus impact, despite the group’s clear ongoing and building traction in its end markets.
Netflix to slash Europe traffic; IBM & White House deploy supercomputer
Pre-close trading update for FY20
Sensitising potential delays in filming
WeWork continues to divest, Amazon music hits 55m subscribers, Google and Apple clash over privacy
Disney+ hits 22m mobile users, SoftBank backed firm downsizes IPO, German mobile carrier selects Huawei
Companies: ENET 7DIG MVR ZOO ZOO AMO BOOM MIRA MWE
TikTok owner Beijing ByteDance Technology is in talks with big music labels - Universal Music, Sony Music and Warner Music - for global licensing deals to include their songs on its new music subscription service, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. ByteDance is looking to launch its music streaming as soon as next month, initially in emerging markets such as India, Indonesia and Brazil, before a future opening in the United States, the FT reported, citing people familiar with the matter. HP's board of directors said Sunday that they unanimously rejected a proposal from Xerox to acquire the company, because the offer is not in the best interest of shareholders and would undervalue HP. Xerox had offered HP $22 per share in its takeover bid for the company. HP is worth $29 billion and is over three times the size of Xerox, which makes printers and copiers, in terms of market cap. Japan's SoftBank plans to merge internet unit Yahoo Japan with messaging app operator Line Corp to create a $30 billion tech giant, as it bags struggling internet companies to bulk up against rivals like Rakuten Inc. The telco in a statement said Yahoo Japan, which last month changed its name to Z Holdings Corp, will merge with Line, owned by South Korea's Naver Corp, in a deal to be completed in October 2020. The companies aim for a definitive agreement by next month in a transaction that will see SoftBank Corp and Naver form a 50:50 venture that will control Z Holdings, which will in turn operate Yahoo Japan and Line.
Companies: 7DIG MVR ZOO AMO MIRA
MTI Wireless Edge Ltd* (MWE.L, 34p/£29.7m) | ZOO Digital plc* (ZOO.L, 84p/£62.6m)
Companies: MTI Wireless Edge Ltd. ZOO Digital Group Plc
Dropbox shares bounced around after the company reported betterthan-expected third-quarter earnings on Thursday, as investors digested the company's improvements on some key metrics but widening GAAP losses from a year ago. Earnings excluding certain items came in at, 13 cents per share, vs. 11 cents per share as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.
Companies: 7DIG ZOO AMO ESYS KNOS MIRA
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GB Group (GBG) expects to report underlying revenue growth of 10% y-o-y for H121, with a one-off contract in the US making a material contribution to revenues. Combined with strict cost control this resulted in adjusted operating profit growth of 26% y-o-y and a £32m h-o-h reduction in net debt. With management guidance for revenue well ahead of our and consensus forecasts for FY21, we have upgraded our revenue and EPS forecasts for FY21–23. Despite COVID-19 related pressure on new business in the short-term, we view GBG as well placed to benefit from the accelerated shift in the digitalisation of business processes.
Companies: GB Group PLC
FY’20 results are slightly ahead of our expectations, and cap an excellent period with strong news flow. KidneyIntelX has now launched at Mount Sinai and is cleared to report results in all 50 US states. We continue to believe KidneyIntelX could represent the future standard-ofcare for early detection of chronic kidney disease progression and kidney failure in patients with Type II Diabetes, affecting an estimated 11m. Focus is now on building out the platform with expanded indicated uses, win national reimbursement and drive testing adoption. One significant catalyst ahead is Medicare coverage, which come as early as H1 2021 under new proposed rules. Whether or not this rule is finalised, the company is moving forward towards broader insurance payor coverage. In this note, we have refreshed our forecasts and valuation reflecting the deployment of IPO proceeds.
Companies: Renalytix AI Plc
An H1 update to September reveals a robust performance notwithstanding a challenging macro backdrop - sales (ex. Coral) are just “slightly lower” y/y, indeed if also excluding an intentional move away from hardware-based Support, we estimate core revenue grew c.+7%. This was underpinned by continued strong growth in US SecPay: +80% y/y, now ~32%/group sales, while in the UK, we estimate sales fell by c.-11%. Here, Covid impacted transactional sales (rather than any permanent loss of business) such that a future recovery is likely in our view. Despite the lower sales and GP, it‘s impressive to note profitability is expected to be in line with 1H20 (AOP: £3.4m) following tight cost management. Looking ahead, there’s reason to be optimistic, as in US SecPay, large enterprise tenders that were paused in H1, may resume in H2. Meanwhile in the UK – and despite the headline sales figure – business activity is already reassuringly strong: total new business won grew 8% y/y in H1, this includes the major £4m/6yr contract with Capita and TfL announced in August. In addition, closing net cash of £12.9m (£2m FCF) continues to offer strategic options. We reiterate that this a high quality company, with a robust and cash generative UK business, while leadership position in a nascent and fast growing US market.
Companies: Eckoh plc
Proactis has delivered finals to July in line with the August trading update, revealing EBITDA of £11.8m from revenue of £49.6m and pre-IFRS16 net debt of £45.1m (net bank debt of £37.1m). The focus remains on annual recurring revenue (ARR), total contract value (TCV), and bePayd, with positive news on all three: core ARR increased by 1.3%, TCV won in the period surpassed all previous highs despite COVID, and bePayd engaged with early adopters. While COVID has had an effect on sales cycles, the application of the UK and NL mid-market sales methodology across a consistent target market in France, Germany and the US has already demonstrated results with contract wins and the establishment of a record pipeline. The group has reshaped in favour of efficiency and visibility, delivering credibility with proof of execution and offering substantial upside. Target 80p reiterated, with a long run target of 180p applying reasonable peer group multiples to maiden FY22 forecasts.
Companies: PROACTIS Holdings PLC
This new Q3 update is a welcome addition to QTX reporting calendar, particularly as it reveals impressive resilience through the pandemic; far better performance than originally thought. Management expects FY 2020 revenue and FCF to be in line with consensus forecasts but with earnings substantially ahead. There is a caveat on the impact of the second wave of COVID-19, but so close to YE the risk is relatively low and we raise our forecasts appropriately. Fleet is the driver; despite the impact of lockdowns on new subscriptions in Q2, the subscription base has grown 11% YoY across the 9 months to 168k, fuelling 7% YoY growth in Fleet revenue. The annualised subscription base has risen 5.3% from £20.8m at YE to £21.9m in September, comfortably underpinning our FY 2021 forecast.
Companies: Quartix Holdings Plc
Expected profitability in H1E will be consistent with the level delivered in the interim period last year, albeit at a substantially higher margin. Order flow had seen some disruption from COVID-19 in fiscal Q1E and into Q2E but the September cycle for RFPs and order wins has been encouraging. Our FY21E forecasts are unchanged, and with the stock at the bottom of its trading range, we maintain our buy recommendation.
Companies: Shearwater Group plc
Positive update today – reporting that as a consequence of recent SITS contract wins, careful cost management and the efficiency of remote delivery, TRB is tracking “comfortably ahead” of current profit estimates. As a consequence, we upgrade EBITDA and AOP to £14.8m and £11.5m, equivalent to 8% and 10% upgrades respectively. FCF is tracking better also, as implied by current net cash: £11.2m – already exceeding our FY20 estimate. Accordingly, we upgrade u/l FCF (i.e. ex the royalty dispute) to £5.7m. Also announced today - Q3 ARR now stands at £44.5m, up £1.3m on 2H20. While only using 3 months of data, we highlight that this run-rate equates to +12% annualised growth i.e. a significant step-up vs. the +3% y/y achieved to 2H20. To us, this is a clear reflection of how TRB’s on-prem SITS product continues to sell, TRB’s significant cloud hosting opportunity with existing customers and lastly, we’re also starting to see the financial benefits from Tribal Edge, as the first module went live earlier this year. In view of progress, we also make modest upgrades to FY21 estimates, whilst leaving scope for outperformance, should current momentum be maintained. On valuation, whilst the share price has recovered somewhat, TRB still trades on a 7% earnings yield or alternatively, just 2.7x ARR. On either metric, this looks attractive vs. peers…so would suggest TRB’s very real growth opportunities are still not priced in.
Companies: Tribal Group plc
Allergy Therapeutics (AGY.L): Initiation of field trial | Sensyne Health (SENS.L): Research agreement with Milton Keynes University Hospital
Companies: Allergy Therapeutics plc (AGY:LON)Sensyne Health Plc (SENS:LON)
AGM statement as expected; Resume with a Buy
Companies: CloudCall Group PLC
Gaming Realms is a creator and licensor of innovative games for mobile, with operations in the UK, U.S. and Canada. Flagship brand Slingo® is a highly popular and unique game genre which combines elements of slot, bingo and table gameplay. These games are licensed by some of the biggest online gaming operators in the world, including DraftKings, Sky Betting & Gaming and GVC, and distributed directly to operators or via global partners such as Scientific Games & Relax Gaming using the company's proprietary Remote Game Server platform.
Companies: Gaming Realms PLC
Microsoft has begun marketing LiveData as its ‘preferred solution’ to migrate Hadoop data into the cloud. The announcement represents a culmination of years of development work from WANdisco and finally proves beyond doubt the capabilities of its technology. As highlighted previously, we expect this launch to drive a significant uptick in financial performance. The exact timing and pace of this uplift is uncertain, but the company has reaffirmed the guidance given to the market at its interims.
Companies: WANdisco Plc
LoopUp has announced a very strong H1 period, in line with the previous trading update and reflecting a number of months of exceptional performance. This is allowing the business to invest in the major identified new opportunity, to provide telephony within Microsoft Teams, where the early signs are extremely positive. We look forward to further detail on the Teams pipeline and sales levels over time.
Companies: LoopUp Group PLC
FY19 revenue increased 16.9% to £19.4m following a strong H2/19, c9% ahead of forecast. New products released included Concurrent's first AI board, aimed at the military market. Order intake was strong, especially during H2/19, continuing into 2020. Inevitably COVID-19 has caused uncertainty about H2/20 activity levels and potential delays from customers, though there has been no immediate slow-down. Concurrent is a supplier to some of the world's most prominent defence companies in the UK and US and continues to supply these customers uninterrupted. Given COVID-19 related uncertainty we have taken a prudent view and trimmed our FY20 revenue (and consequently PBT forecasts). With over £10.5m cash and no debt, a strong order book and top tier customers, Concurrent is continuing to invest in R&D and progress its plans to add new software and hardware product ranges and enter new markets.
Companies: Concurrent Technologies Plc
Concurrent has delivered a strong H1/20 trading performance during a volatile period, with revenue of £9.2m (H1/19: £9.5m). Though COVID-19 caused initial uncertainty around FY20 activity levels, Concurrent is a supplier to some of the world's most prominent defence companies in the UK and US and was thus designated an essential defence supplier. Activity levels therefore continued throughout COVID-19 lockdown, with the defence market representing 68% (H1/19: 58%) of revenue in the period. Following strong order intake during H1/20 (record order book in May 2020) we have increased our revenue expectations by £1.7m to £18.7m for FY20. With £10m cash and no debt Concurrent is continuing to invest in R&D and progress its plans to add new hardware and software product ranges into new markets such as AI, software and services.
Mirriad Advertising’s H120 numbers show strong top-line progress, up 109% on H119 and 26% ahead of H219. H120 revenues were up over 185% year-on-year in China and Singapore, with market confidence rebuilding. There are very promising new agreements in place with US media owners, with early moves in large adjacent markets, such as music video. There are advanced negotiations ongoing with Tier 1 entertainment platforms. These prospects significantly increase the attraction of Mirriad’s proposition to advertisers. Cash burn is now under £1m per month, with end-August cash of £13.3m (no debt). Market forecasts for FY20–22 are unchanged.
Companies: Mirriad Advertising plc