Chevron (CVX US) buying Noble Energy (NBL US) – Chevron is buying Noble for US$5 bn in shares. Chevron is also assuming Noble’s US$8 bn debt. The premium paid by Chevron on Noble’s share price is only 7% compares to the last trading day before the acquisition was announced.
Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN/CN): Material reserves estimates in Trinidad – Touchstone’s WI 2P reserves at Cascadura are estimated at 45 mmboe (including 234 bcf) with 3P reserves of 73 mmboe (including 381 bcf). Net peak production from Cascadura is forecasted at 15.1 mboe/d in the 2P case (22.6 mboe/d in the 3P case). 2P NPV10 in the 1P, 2P and 3P cases are respectively US$288 mm, US$519 mm and US$803 mm with net development costs of US$11.6-15.8 mm.
Equinor (EQNR NO): 2Q20 results – Adjusted net earnings were US$0.65 bn with 2,011 mbooe/d production over the period. The company has declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.09 per share in line with guidance.
Repsol (REP SM): 1H20 results – 1H20 production was 675 mboe/d with adjusted net income over the period of EUR0.2 bn and net debt at the end of June of EUR4.0 bn (down EUR0.5 bn compared to the end of March).
UK Oil & Gas (UKOG LN): Entry into Turkey – UK Oil & Gas is looking to acquire 50% non-operated working interest in the 305 km² Resan Licence in Eastern Turkey from Aladdin Middle East. Two geological targets have been identified within the Licence's Cretaceous Mardin limestones. The undeveloped Basur oil discovery and the Resan missed oil pay opportunity contain an aggregate unrisked gross mean oil in place of ~253 mmbbl with an upside case at 495 mmbbl. An undrilled exploration target in the shallower Garzan limestones adds further unrisked upside Oil in Place potential of 68-112 mmbbl. To earn its 50% interest in the Licence, UK Oil & Gas will fund 100% of the first of 5 commitment wells in the Licence's 5-year exploration term, together with a small 2D seismic survey with an expected cost of US$1.0-$1.5 mm. UKOG's net expenditure for the one well plus seismic programme is capped at US$5 mm maximum expenditure.
Global Petroleum (GBP LN/AU): Resources estimates in Namibia – A total of 881 mmbbl of unrisked gross Prospective Resources (Best Estimate) has been estimated in PEL0094 in two prospects, of which 687 mmbbl barrels are net to Global. The associated geological chance of success is 17-19%.
Maurel & Prom (MAU FP): 2Q20 update in Africa – 2Q WI production was 24,919 boe/d including 4,003 bbl/d in Angola, 16,675 bbl/d in Gabon and 24.4 mmcf/d in Tanzania.
EVENTS TO WATCH NEXT WEEK
29/07/2020: Seplat Petroleum (SEPL LN) – 2Q20 results
29/07/2020: Lundin Energy (LUNE SS) – 2Q20 results
29/07/2020: Tullow Oil (TLW LN) – 1H20 update
30/07/2020: Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B LN) – 2Q20 results
30/07/2020: DNO ASA (DNO NO) – 2Q20 results
30/07/2020: ENI (ENI IM) – 2Q20 results
Companies: MAU UKOG REP EQNR NBL TXP CVX
Parex Resources (PXT CN); BUY, C$33.00: 3Q19 results, 2020 guidance roll-out reveals better than anticipated FCF | Chevron (CVX US) (not covered): Exiting Malampaya | Union Jack Oil (UJO LN) (not covered) & Reabold Resources (RBD LN): Upgraded volume estimate in the UK | Genel Energy (GENL LN); Speculative Buy, £3.20: Somaliland farm-out process | Aminex (AEX LN) (not covered) & Solo Oil (SOLO LN): 2020 capex budget in Tanzania
Companies: PXT CVX UJO RBD GENL AEX SOLO
Cabot Energy (CAB LN); Discontinuing coverage | Chevron (CVX US) (not covered) & Equinor (EQNR NO) (not covered): Leave New Zealand exploration | Lundin Petroleum (LUPE SS) (not covered): Discoveries offshore Norway
Companies: CAB CVX LUNE
Chevron (CVX US) (not covered) Acquires Anadarko (APC US) (not covered) | Ascent Resources (AST LN) (not covered): IPPC permit confirmed in Slovenia | Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN) (not covered): Operational update in Kazakhstan – Shallow oil production was 1,658 in March. | Energean Oil & Gas (ENOG LN) (not covered): Discovery in Israel
Companies: CVX AST CASP ENOG
Petrobras (PETR3 BZ) (not covered): 2019-2023 business plan | Phoenix Global Resources (PGR LN) (not covered): Additional funding | Ascent Resources (AST LN) (not covered): Operational update in Slovenia and end of formal sale process | Chevron (CVX US) (not covered): Potential asset sale in Azerbaijan | Eland Oil & Gas (ELA LN) (not covered): Ubima appraisal in Nigeria
Companies: PGR AST CVX ELA
Chevron (CVX US) (not covered): Looking to sell the UK | JKX Oil & Gas (JKX LN) (not covered): Trading update in the Ukraine and Russia | Rockhopper Exploration (RKH LN) (not covered): Operational update in Egypt | SDX Energy (SDX LN)1,6; BUY, £0.80: Appraisal well spudded in Egypt
Companies: CVX JKX RKH SDX
Frontera Energy (FEC CN)1,6; BUY, C$53.00: Strategic acquisition to consolidate Pacific Midstream and reduce future transportation commitments | Chevron (CVX US) (not covered): Not selling Bangladesh | Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU) (not covered): Exploration update in Myanmar | Genel Energy (GENL LN); HOLD, £1.90: 3Q17 operating update
Companies: CVX WPL GENL
PentaNova Energya,c: Initiating coverage on the next South American growth company | Newfield Exploration (NFX US) (not covered): Selling interests in Bohai Bay in China | Zhenhua Oil buying Bangladesh assets from Chevron (CVX US) | Faroe Petroleum (FPM LN)6 ; HOLD, £1.10: Valuation update | Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP LN) (not covered): Shaikan crude (Kurdistan) to be exported by trucks only | Oryx Petroleum (OXC CN): Under Review: YE16 Reserves & Resources Report
Companies: NFX CVX FPM GKP OXC
Green Dragon Gas (GDG LN) (not covered): GIC US$50 mm Convertible Bond Extension | Assets swap between Gazprom and OMV (OMV AG) (not covered) | National Grid selling stake in gas pipe network in the UK | Farm-in deal in Poland | Chevron (CVX US) (not covered): cancells FPSO order for Rosebank in the UK
Companies: G3E OMV CVX
Chevron (CVX US) (not covered): Looking to divest fields in aengladesh. | IGAS Energy (IGAS LN) (not covered): Bond summons for temporary waiver. | Petroneft Resources (PTR LN) (not covered): 3Q16 production Update in Russia. | Genel Energy (GENL LN); SPECULATIVE BUY: £3.50 - DNO (DNO NO) (not covered) announces an operating update in Kurdistan. | SacOil (SAC LN); SPECULATIVE BUY: £0.016 - Settlement agreement on OPL233 in Nigeria. | Tlou Energy (TLOU LN) (not covered): 2P CBM Reserves in Bostwana.
Companies: CVX PTR GENL SAC TOU IGAS
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In H1, 2020 and the period directly following (Q3, 2020), EQTEC has made substantial operational progress, significantly boosting its project pipeline and strengthening its balance sheet with an over-subscribed £10m fund raising in July 2020. Revenue generation in H1, 2020, however, was constrained due to the impacts of Covid-19 and severe fires in California. We now forecast revenue of €2.4m in 2020E, compared with our previous forecast of €7.0m. Importantly, no projects have been cancelled. Delayed revenue is expected to flow into 2021E. Select new projects, having been secured in 2020, are expected to reach financial close in 2021E and 2022E, in addition to those existing projects under development in those years. As a result, we are increasing our 2021E and 2022E forecasts.
Companies: EQTEC Plc
Adriatic Metals* (ADT1 LN) – Annual results and review of exploration | AfriTin (ATM LN) –– H1 report highlights production ramp-up at the Uis mine | Ariana Resources* (AAU LN) – US$30m partial disposal of Turkish Assets | Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) – BUY – Gedabek continue unaffected by the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict | Cornish Lithium (Private) - Cornish Lithium looking to bring the EV supply chain closer to home | IronRidge Resources* (IRR LN) – FY20 results: well positioned to continue de-risking portfolio projects with A$7.3m in the bank | Kavango Resources (KAV LN) – Resuming field exploration of the Kalahari Copper Belt, Botswana | Power Metal Resources (POW LN) – Exploration gets underway on Botswana joint-venture | Rambler Metals and Mining* (RMM LN) – Interims and refinancing of debt and planned restoration of mine production at higher copper grade | Renascor Resources (RNU AU) – Offtake agreement with Chinese anode manufacturer highlights China’s dominance of supply chain | Trans-Siberian Gold (TSG LN) – 8c interim dividend declared reflecting robust FCF and strong outlook | Versarien* (VRS LN) – New Advisory Panel brings together global leaders in graphene within Versarien
Companies: ADT1 ATM AAU AAZ IRR KAV POW RMM RNU TSG VRS
The offtake agreement between Piedmont lithium (ASX:PLL) and Tesla (NasdaqGS:TSLA) announced on 28.09.2020, whereby Piedmont will supply a new lithium hydroxide plant to be built by Tesla in Texas with spodumene concentrate, has created some strong buying momentum for lithium stocks in North America and Australia. The Piedmont share price was up over 200% after the announcement with Tesla – though the magnitude of the rise perhaps had more to do with the Tesla brand.
Companies: Savannah Resources Plc
Talitha Shelf Margin Deltaic LKA resource report
Companies: Pantheon Resources Plc
H1 2020 results; progress on concept selection
Companies: Jersey Oil & Gas Plc
Another set of record results from Iofina, with H1 2020 benefiting from improved iodine pricing, solid cost controls and robust operational performance. Some of the shine will be taken off by the cautionary tone over the impact of COVID-19 on current iodine demand and pricing. Nevertheless, these results on top of the recent debt refinancing again demonstrate the continued improvements Iofina is delivering both operational and financially. It now has a solid platform of diversified low cost iodine production from five plants, a range of iodine and non-iodine specialty chemicals products, an improved balance sheet and a new lending partner with which to deliver its ‘prudent growth’ ambition.
Companies: Iofina Plc
Jersey Oil & Gas has announced that it has selected a greenfield four-legged platform to develop the Greater Buchan Area which will utilise existing export pipeline infrastructure. We see near-term scope to increase materially our fair value estimate from 268p. We believe that today's news is price material and that it sets the scene for a near-term catalyst rich outlook for the company. It is an opportune time, in our opinion, to gain exposure to the Jersey Oil & Gas investment opportunity.
The stock was up 12% on Friday, 25/09, sparked by the positive outcome on Vodafone’s dispute with the Indian tax authorities. This is encouraging for Cairn, but note that both cases differ. While the tax authorities simply erased Vodafone’s tax bill, they owe up to $1.4bn to Cairn, and could offer more resistance.
Companies: Cairn Energy Plc
On Monday, Piedmont Lithium announced a Tesla offtake agreement for 30% of its future spodumene concentrate production. Piedmont’s shares jumped from A$0.10 cents to A$0.38 cents and closed at A$0.30 cents this morning. In addition to the positive association with Tesla, we believe that the market now recognises the reality of Piedmont’s project and upcoming spodumene shortages. Key takeaways for Savannah shareholders are:
Since our last note, KEFI has continued to advance towards its goal of achieving production in FY22. Among other things, this has included raising £3.7m in equity in May and establishing early-stage mining specialist, RAB Capital, as a cornerstone investor. More recently, it has also announced a maiden mineral resource at Hawiah (in Saudi Arabia) of 19.3Mt at a grade of 1.86% copper equivalent containing 359kt CuE (or 1.2Moz AuE) and a corresponding preliminary economic assessment (PEA), which confirms it as a high priority target. The company has consistently maintained its goal of formally agreeing its full funding structure with all participants in October 2020, ahead of construction in FY21 and first gold in FY22 and, to this end, development activities have continued unabated, despite COVID-19.
Companies: KEFI Gold & Copper Plc
Stable platform agreement with creditors extended
Companies: Premier Oil Plc
Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) reported robust interim results in the context of the H1 2020 backdrop; solid production and the company’s fundamentally low cost base meant that CAML remained profitable despite the sharp pullback in commodity prices during the period which led to a 17% YoY decline in revenue to US$70.8m. Consequently, EBITDA was down 25% YoY to US$42.5m despite a decline in unit costs of 6% YoY at Kounrad and 9% YoY at Sasa to US$0.48/lb and US$0.43/lb respectively which cushioned the impact of the weaker the top line. With no significant one offs in the period, EPS of US$0.10/sh. was 33% lower YoY.
Companies: Central Asia Metals Plc
Chariot’s interims represent something of a line in the sand for the new management team, with historic oil-focussed deepwater exploration spend written-off, demonstrating its recent corporate and strategic ‘reboot’, which has ushered in a more entrepreneurial approach. Strategy has shifted away from higher-risk frontier exploration in favour of opportunities that better fit the energy transition. With the annual cash burn cut 45% to US$2.5m, no remaining work commitments and period-end cash of US$5.8m, management has a clear path ahead to deliver on its ambitions.
Companies: Chariot Oil & Gas Ltd.
Caledonia today announces another raise in the dividend to 10c a quarter; a rise of 18% from 8.5c a quarter previously. This is the third time the dividend has been raised within the last 12 months, with the dividend up 45% over the period, which demonstrates the underlying strength in its Blanket gold mine in Zimbabwe.
Companies: Caledonia Mining Corp. Plc
H1/20 has been a highly successful period for United Oil & Gas, during which time it has successfully transformed into a full-cycle E&P company. Key to this success has been the Abu Sennan acquisition, with net production increasing to 2,700boepd at the end of June. The significant production and reserve additions delivered as part of the 2019-20 drilling campaign emphasises the considerable upside that still remains in the block. Post period, United were granted a 100% operated working interest and an 18-month extension to the Walton-Morant licence, offshore Jamaica. At 229mmbbls, the Walton-Morant licence has the potential to have a major impact on United, which we value at US$724.3m or 76.8p/share unrisked. We update our valuation, increasing our price target to 19.1p/share, a 549% premium to the current share price and reiterate our BUY recommendation.
Companies: United Oil & Gas Plc