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17 Oct 16
Avacta* (AVCT): Act now (CORP) | Tristel* (TSTL): A strong FY 2016 (CORP) | Bioventix* (BVXP): FY 2016 results (CORP) | Elecosoft* (ELCO): SaaS model strengthened through acquisition (CORP) | Lok’nStore* (LOK): NAV up 28% (CORP) | Omega Diagnostics* (ODX): Mid year trading update (CORP) | Mortice* (MORT): Positive trading update (CORP)
N+1 Singer - Zytronic - Underlying upgrade; non-cash provision reduces reported PBT
17 Oct 16
Trading has remained positive in H2 and the mix of the business continues to move towards touch and also towards larger sized sensors. The post-Brexit sterling plunge means that a non-cash provision of £0.9m is expected to arise in FY16 on the Group’s forward exchange contracts. This should unwind in FY17, but is, of course, subject to the vagaries of the currency markets. Underlying trading is strong and despite reducing PBT for the non-cash £0.9m, we upgrade for trading by £0.4m. We also increase our net cash expectation from £10.5m to £10.9m, further strengthening the balance sheet. With underlying trading positive, we continue to feel that an FY17 P/E rating of c.14.2x is inexpensive for a growing technology business with a very strong balance sheet and a dividend yield of over 3.5%.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 18-10-2016
18 Oct 16
1Spatial delivered a soft first half performance showing slower revenue development in its higher-margin Geospatial business, thereby impacting overall adjusted EBITDA. The group has a strong order book (of which the Geospatial component is up 30% y-o-y) and has built up a solid pipeline of opportunities which it expects to convert in the next six months. As such, the group is maintaining guidance for the year, albeit performance will be heavily H2-weighted. We believe the 1.1x EV/Sales and 6.2x EV/EBITDA Jan’17 rating does not reflect the potential of an IP-rich, productised business that is leveraging partnerships to scale growth – but recognise that stronger revenue traction is required to buoy confidence and drive the re-rating of the shares.
Full year on track
14 Oct 16
The H116 pre-close IMS echoed previous newsflow and group guidance for the full year is unchanged. Consistent messaging and expected progress are at odds with weak share price performance. While we appreciate some investor caution on UK earnings, a valuation approaching P/E and yield parity for next year overextends these general concerns in our view.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 20-10-2016
20 Oct 16
A highly disappointing update from Senior reports a number of issues adding up to the Group being behind expectations. Following the Flexonics issues over the past 12 months, there are now issues on the Aerospace side which are affecting the outlook. In a period when some stability was required, this is disappointing. We have downgraded FY16 EPS by 6.8% and, whilst we see Senior remaining a US takeover target, we move from Buy to Hold (target price down from 262p to 196p) until more clarity is available on the direction of the Group.