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  • 28 Nov 2025

SCZ: Soft Q3 Financials; Still Too Cheap Relative to Cashflow


SANTACRUZ SILVER MINING (SCZ:TSE), 0 | Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (SCZ:TSX), 0

  • Atrium Research
    • Ben Pirie

    • 6 pages


 

What you need to know: • Santacruz reported Q3 revenue of $80.0M (+2% YoY) vs. our estimate of $78.8M, representing 2% growth YoY. • Cash costs and AISC came in above our expectations due to higher ore purchasing costs for San Lucas, flooding at Bolivar, and plant improvements at Zimapan. We believe these are all transitional. • SCZ ended the quarter with $59.2M in cash and $45.8M in debt, now being positioned to return cash to shareholders or acquire new assets. Yesterday, after market close, Santacruz Silver (SCZ:TSXV) announced Q3 financial results that came in below our expectations due to various factors increasing costs, most of which we believe to be short-term in nature. Nevertheless, SCZ generates strong cashflow, bolstering its balance sheet after the completion of its final payment to Glencore. Going forward, SCZ is positioned to continue benefiting from its leverage to the increasing silver price and start returning capital to shareholders. We are maintaining our BUY rating and our C$3.10/share target price on SCZ. Financial Highlights • Revenue for Q3 came in at $80.0M (+2% YoY) vs. our estimate of $78.8M. This was led by a 15% YoY decline in the silver equivalent ounces produced and the increased silver price making up the difference. • Gross margin for Q3 came in at 25% compared to 20% in Q3/24. • Cash cost for the quarter was $28.6/oz vs. our estimate of $25.6/oz and $22.4/oz in Q3/24. The higher costs were led by various factors, including 1) the higher ore purchase costs for San Lucas (normal for ore processors), 2) the flooding at Bolivar, and 3) plant improvement initiatives at Zimapan. The appreciation of the Bolivian boliviano also contributed to increased costs. • AISC for the quarter was $35.6/oz compared to our estimate of $30.9/oz, again led by Bolivar. • Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 was $19.5M (+67% YoY), vs. our estimate of $24.8M and $15.0M in Q3/24. • OCF (before WC) was $34.8M for Q3 compared to our $17.7M estimate. OCF (after WC) was $22.8M. • Net income for Q3 was $16.3M, slightly below our estimate of $17.1M. • SCZ ended the quarter with $59.2M in cash and equivalents and $45.8M in debt, placing the Company in a net cash position.

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SCZ: Soft Q3 Financials; Still Too Cheap Relative to Cashflow


SANTACRUZ SILVER MINING (SCZ:TSE), 0 | Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (SCZ:TSX), 0

  • Published: 28 Nov 2025
  • Author: Ben Pirie
  • Pages: 6
  • Atrium Research


What you need to know: • Santacruz reported Q3 revenue of $80.0M (+2% YoY) vs. our estimate of $78.8M, representing 2% growth YoY. • Cash costs and AISC came in above our expectations due to higher ore purchasing costs for San Lucas, flooding at Bolivar, and plant improvements at Zimapan. We believe these are all transitional. • SCZ ended the quarter with $59.2M in cash and $45.8M in debt, now being positioned to return cash to shareholders or acquire new assets. Yesterday, after market close, Santacruz Silver (SCZ:TSXV) announced Q3 financial results that came in below our expectations due to various factors increasing costs, most of which we believe to be short-term in nature. Nevertheless, SCZ generates strong cashflow, bolstering its balance sheet after the completion of its final payment to Glencore. Going forward, SCZ is positioned to continue benefiting from its leverage to the increasing silver price and start returning capital to shareholders. We are maintaining our BUY rating and our C$3.10/share target price on SCZ. Financial Highlights • Revenue for Q3 came in at $80.0M (+2% YoY) vs. our estimate of $78.8M. This was led by a 15% YoY decline in the silver equivalent ounces produced and the increased silver price making up the difference. • Gross margin for Q3 came in at 25% compared to 20% in Q3/24. • Cash cost for the quarter was $28.6/oz vs. our estimate of $25.6/oz and $22.4/oz in Q3/24. The higher costs were led by various factors, including 1) the higher ore purchase costs for San Lucas (normal for ore processors), 2) the flooding at Bolivar, and 3) plant improvement initiatives at Zimapan. The appreciation of the Bolivian boliviano also contributed to increased costs. • AISC for the quarter was $35.6/oz compared to our estimate of $30.9/oz, again led by Bolivar. • Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 was $19.5M (+67% YoY), vs. our estimate of $24.8M and $15.0M in Q3/24. • OCF (before WC) was $34.8M for Q3 compared to our $17.7M estimate. OCF (after WC) was $22.8M. • Net income for Q3 was $16.3M, slightly below our estimate of $17.1M. • SCZ ended the quarter with $59.2M in cash and equivalents and $45.8M in debt, placing the Company in a net cash position.

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