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Mixed feelings: the NGP beat should be welcome, as well as the transparency about FY21, but we believe that the decline in NGP investments should be a brake in the future and we are still concerned about the lower price/mix at IMB’s level.
Companies: Imperial Brands PLC
The group has announced it has successfully raised £11m in an equity placing to help accelerate capex on a new IHT manufacturing site based on guaranteed minimum production volumes and ahead of anticipated customer orders. It is expecting a significant ramp up in production in FY21 following a multi-year £38m production order from a UK-based EV manufacturer. Strong progress is being made with its customer trials for the medical catheter market, which together with other expected new business requires additional capacity to be put in place.
Companies: Trackwise Designs Plc
Trackwise has announced a placing and open offer, potentially raising up to £12.0m (gross). This is to fund a new manufacturing facility that is expected to quadruple IHT production capacity. The additional capacity is required to support the up to £38m electric vehicle (EV) contract announced in September and potential volume orders from electro-surgical catheter manufacturers and aerospace OEMs and suppliers.
We believe Accrol’s acquisition of LTC represents a transformational transaction which the potential to consolidate the Group’s leading position in the private label tissue market to c.30% share. On completion of the deal, the Group’s combined customer base will be stronger and broader with a step change in capacity to further accelerate its already impressive growth which continues to outpace the market. We estimate the acquisition to be 14.2% EPS enhancing in FY22E the first full year of ownership. The core Accrol business continues to trade solidly, driving an additional upgrade to our underlying numbers today. We believe Accrol’s established platform can deliver an market capitalisation of £400m+ over the medium term.
Companies: Accrol Group Holdings plc
President Trump likes to project himself as a highly successful businessman, but surprisingly little is known about his true financial position. Various articles, including a 2016 in-depth analysis by The Wall Street Journal, have speculated about his income and asset base. All sorts of claims and counter-claims have been made about his wealth – by Trump himself, pitching his fortune at some $9bn, and by journalist Timothy O'Brien, suggesting that it is as “low” as $150m-$250m. It is doubtful whether we shall ever know the truth, but we can use Trump’s UK corporate filings to gain an insight into his businesses in Scotland.
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT PCA PIN PHP RECI STX SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
Games Workshop’s (GAW) update highlights that trading remains ahead of the board’s expectations and that PBT in H121 will be not less than £80m, with growth of at least 37% on H120, and just 10% below the COVID-19-affected FY20. Demand continues to be driven, predominantly, by the recent new Warhammer 40,000 release and through the Trade and Online channels, while Retail is still recovering from the COVID-19 closures. Retail outlets are closed where required by governments but, unlike during the previous lockdown, the factory and warehouses are still operating following investment to make the locations compliant with social distancing requirements. We upgrade our FY21 PBT forecasts by 14%.
Companies: Games Workshop Group PLC
Today’s announcement confirms the strong trading momentum seen in Q1 has continued YTD. Group sales are +45% YOY with revenue growth across all geographies and brands, and profitability improving YOY.
Companies: boohoo group Plc
The interims reflect COVID challenges, which reduced order intake, and the acquisition of SCL. A milestone three-year agreement with a UK-based EV OEM was recently awarded, potentially worth up to £38m, which substantially underwrites further growth prospects. In the short term however, we reduce our FY20 forecasts, although with the EV contract kicking in next year, we see good growth coming through.
McBride has delivered a mixed FY20 performance, with a weaker H1 and a bounce back in H2 as a result of increased demand due to COVID-19. A strategy review has been undertaken, and the company will be reorganised into separately managed product divisions. Time will tell if this will successfully address McBride’s long-term challenges, but the new CEO has a thorough knowledge of the business, and we await further details, which are due to be announced in February.
Companies: MCB MCBRF 10W
The impacts of COVID-19 on trading were visible in the H121 outturn but management actions resulted in an improved net cash position at the period end. Walker Greenbank will be renamed the Sanderson Design Group as part of a wider strategic improvement programme. Noting a solid start to H2 so far, management’s messaging is rightly still cautious about the market outlook but it is encouraging to see the combination of close operational control and strategic improvement are running in parallel.
Companies: Walker Greenbank PLC
Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on De La Rue (DLAR) and Walker Greenbank (WGB). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for these companies. All forecasts should now be considered redundant.
Support services can mean many things to many organisations but essentially the sector can be seen as a lubricant that helps the wheels of the economy continue to turn. A common thread is outsourcing activities that are most economically and effectively performed by a specialist rather than keeping in house. Companies in the sector tend to provide business critical services to their customers, thereby providing an element of stickiness. The sector benefits when the economy grows, but also offers an element of defensiveness as client companies and public sector bodies strive to keep their own fixed cost bases down. However given the broad range of businesses within the industry it is difficult to apply a broad brush description, and stock selection according to one’s investment criteria is vital.
Companies: XCH CPI VP/ DSCV EQN BILB PTSG PNA MACF AUK VIP MPAY UNG PEG PEN
Japanese PMI falls to lowest level since 2009, GE Aviation cuts 10% of workforce, Kone downgrades 2020 outlook
Companies: CGS HAYD HEAD HILS JHD OXIG RSW RNO TWD ZTF SOM GHH
The covid-19 pandemic has had a devastating effect on the share price of property companies, with 31% wiped off the value of their total market capitalisation during the first quarter of 2020.
Companies: AEWU CREI CSH BOOT INL HLCL THRL SUPR RESI RGL DIGS GR1T SOHO PHP EBOX ASLI UTG AGR UAI BLND UANC CAL SHED CWD WHR EPIC WKP GRI YEW HMSO PCA CCRGF NRR
Strong trading YTD; outlook cautiously optimistic
Companies: Team17 Group PLC