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We are discontinuing coverage on Marquee Energy Ltd. after the company’s shareholders voted to approve the Prairie Provident Resources Inc. (TSX:PPR) offer to acquire all of the issued and outstanding shares of Marquee for consideration of 0.0886 common shares of Prairie Provident Resources Inc. per Marquee share held. Accordingly, all prior research ratings, price targets and earnings estimates must no longer be relied upon.
Companies: MARQUEE ENERGY
Marquee announced year-end reserves that were unexpectedly positive, with decent FD&A costs and material positive technical revisions over and above GMP FE expectations. Sproule, Marquee’s reserve evaluator, opted to increase the company’s core Banff/Michichi type curve by +30% to 200 mboe, while liquids ratios remain unchanged at 65%. Marquee plans to release its audited 2017 financial statements on or around April 12th , 2018. At this juncture, we are opting to leave our $0.08/sh 12-month t
Marquee reported second quarter financial and operating results that were largely in line with expectations. The Company reiterated its 2H16e outlook which will see a return to drilling activity at Michichi, with 4x Banff/Detrital horizontals planned for 2H16e, given an expected financial position of $15.0-$17.5 mm of net debt on a revised ~$30 mm LOC. While implied returns are robust on an unchanged 12-month target price, there appears to be some legal rumblings forthcoming from Alberta Oilsand
Impact: Neutral. Quarterly results were overshadowed by the recent Alberta Oilsands acquisition, though per unit operating cost attrition continues to be positive.
This transaction provides much needed liquidity for Marquee, albeit undertaking significant dilution to common shareholders. The proforma entity should be able to continue as a going concern and be well capitalized enough to take advantage of Marquee’s strong asset base focused on its large footprint at Michichi. We have reduced our 12-month target price to $0.30/sh, effectively maintaining our prior 2017e EV/DACF valuation multiple. In the absence of the receipt of its 2Q16 results, we are main
Impact: Positive within the context of continuation of a going concern and a capital structure positioned to take advantage of future acquisition opportunities though the stock will initially trade lower. This transaction provides much needed liquidity for Marquee, albeit undertaking significant dilution to common shareholders. The proforma entity should be well capitalized enough to take advantage of Marquee's strong asset base focused on its large footprint at Michichi.
Some Recovery on Segmented Cash Flow Generation Over Q1 Though Still Down 56% Y/Y. In aggregate, the Intermediate, Mid, and Small Cap groups are expected to generate 2Q16e cash flow of $1,281 mm, $183 mm, and $53 mm, or $1.517 billion in total, that while depressed relative to the same period last year (~$2.647 billion combined), is up 17% sequentially from the prior quarter, largely on the strength of crude oil price recovery in the period. Severely weak natural gas pricing picture markedly rev
Companies: AAV ARX BTE BNP CPG ERF POU PEY PGF PWT PSK TOU VET WCP BNE CJ CR DEE JOY KEL LTS NVA PPY PNE RRX RMP SGY TET TNZ CKE GXE IKM MQL PRQ SPE SKX TVE TVETF YO
Impact: Positive as the Company continues to rationalize non-core assets while also reducing capital commitments associated with the PVR at Lloydminster. That said, we continue to await the completion of the Company's bank line review.
Marquee reported first quarter financial and operating results that were in line with expectations.
Impact: Neutral as quarterly results were in line with our forecasts with no changes to formal 2016e guidance at this juncture.
Impact: Positive. The non-core disposition aligns with corporate strategy to focus on its Banff/Detrital asset at Michichi while helping to reduce the Company's current debt and future asset retirement obligations without sacrificing much in the way of cash flow generation.
With this publication we briefly summarize our projections for 1Q16e quarterly results for the Junior E&P (Intermediate, Mid & Small Cap) segments of our coverage universe
Companies: AAV ARX BTE BNP CPG ERF POU PEY PGF PSK TOU VET WCP BNE CJ CR DEE JOY KEL LTS LRE NVA PPY PNE RRX RMP SGY TET TNZ CKE GXE IKM ROAOF MQL RE SPE SKX TVE TVETF YGR YO
With this publication we highlight various metrics and statistics forthcoming from yearend reserve books for our Domestic E&P coverage universe (Integrateds, Large Cap, Oilsands, Intermediate, Mid Cap, and Small Cap). Similar charts for YE2014 reserves can be found in our Statistical Package dated April 7, 2015.
Companies: AAV ARX BTE BNP CPG ERF POU PEY PGF PWT TXP VET WCP BNE CJ KEL LTS LRE NVA PPY PNE RRX RMP SGY TET TNZ BXO CKE GXE IKM MQL SKX TVE TVETF YGR YO
Marquee reported fourth quarter financial and operating results that fell short of our expectations. Its 2015 year-end reserve book was positive however, as is an updated NAV view on our price forecast ahead. The Company’s stock remains a compelling potential investment, exhibiting significant financial and operational leverage on crude oil price recovery, though may be too illiquid and too risky for renewed institutional interest as it moves downmarket looking for potential vehicles to invest i
Impact: Slightly negative. Fourth quarter operating results trailed our estimates while the announced 2016e capital program and production guidance will lead our estimates lower. FD&A metrics were strong, though were aided by the production volume royalty sale during the year.
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Companies: Savannah Energy Plc
Forecast and valuation update
Companies: IOG PLC
We are increasing our fair value estimate for Pantheon Resources to 208p, from under review (previously 184p). The change reflects what we believe was an unambiguously positive winter drilling campaign. This full note details the background analysis to the change in estimate of fair value, which includes a valuation table and an assessment of the forthcoming Alkaid#2 well.
Companies: Pantheon Resources plc
With several opportunistic but timely acquisitions in 2021, coupled with the recent surge in the oil price, Zenith Energy has, in our view, completely transformed itself and its value proposition to investors. While for various reasons it has not been easy for the market to fully recognise and reward this transformation, we expect 1) doubling production, 2) further strengthening of its balance sheet and 3) becoming Free Cash Flow (FCF) generative this year, will make it difficult for the market
Companies: Zenith Energy Ltd.
Alternative Resource Capital
Chariot has signed a front-end engineering and design (FEED) agreement with Schlumberger and Subsea 7 (the Subsea Integration Alliance) for the Anchois gas development project. Chariot and the Subsea Integration Alliance will adopt a “one team” integrated and collaborative approach to fast-track first gas from Anchois to maximise the return on investment for all stakeholders. The scope of work covers all the development's offshore elements including well completions and subsea production systems
Companies: Chariot Limited
AfriTin Mining (“ATM”) has announced another record-breaking quarter from Uis Phase 1. Tin production increased 13% QoQ to 152t for the three months to May (Q1 FY’23), supported by record recoveries, which along with cost initiatives drove a 16% improvement in All-In Sustaining Costs. The strong performance continues to support growth projects including incorporation of petalite lithium and tantalum by-products, upon which AfriTin recently announced positive drilling and metallurgical test work
Companies: AfriTin Mining Ltd.
Hannam & Partners
RCS-1 flow testing results
Companies: Arrow Exploration Corp.
EQTEC has reached a key milestone in its Southport energy from waste project with the appointment of Anaergia as EPC and O&M partner. This is a complex project using multiple waste treatment solutions and we see EQTEC’s inclusion as a demonstration that it’s technology can combine with these to create an optimal outcome.
Companies: EQTEC PLC
Trinity has announced the commencement of its highly anticipated onshore drilling campaign. The Company's fully funded, six well drilling programme will target an aggregate 450-1,100mmbbls of reserves at a cost of US$14-17m. In addition to drilling four “conventional” low angle wells, Trinity will also drill one horizontal well and one deeper appraisal well, with both the horizontal and deeper appraisal wells having the potential to deliver substantially higher production and economic returns ve
Companies: Trinity Exploration & Production Plc
Wentworth has announced a positive operational update ahead of its AGM to be held later today. Daily production year-to-date (YTD) has averaged 92.2MMscf/d, a c15% YoY increase (2021: 79.9MMscf/d) and ahead of Wentworth's 2022 guidance of 75-85MMscf/d. As noted previously, the strong performance of the Mnazi Bay asset YTD has allowed Wentworth to increase its total dividend distribution in respect of 2021 to 1.7p per share, a yield of c7.1%. Mnazi Bay continues to supply Tanzania with half of th
Companies: Wentworth Resources PLC
• Section II of the Northern Peruvian Pipeline has been temporary re-opened.
• As a result, 0.72 mmbbl of PetroTal’s Bretana oil has been tendered at the Bayovar port by Petroperu for the July lifting. This oil previously entered the pipeline in late 2020 for which PetroTal was paid just ~US$45/bbl at the time.
• PetroTal will receive the difference between this price and the price at which Petroperu will sell the oil in July (~US$120/bbl), generating over US$60 mm of price adjustment true-up r
Companies: PetroTal Corp.
Wentworth has announced the acquisition of a 25% non-operated working interest in the Ruvuma PSA from Scirocco Energy for an initial consideration of US$3m plus contingent payments of up to US$13m. The consideration is structured to ensure that the majority is only paid in a success case, providing Wentworth with a low-cost entry point into a high growth opportunity. The transaction has the potential to nearly double the Company's production by 2026 and add over 190Bcf of 2P reserves on a Final
• 2022 YTD gross production was 92 mmcf/d, ahead of our expectations of 89 mmcf/d for 1H22.
• The FY22 production guidance remains unchanged at 75-85 mmcf/d. It looks very conservative in our view.
• The company currently holds US$26 mm in cash and no debt. This is in line with our expectations.
• TPDC continues to be current with regards to receivables.
• We re-iterate our target price of £0.45 per share.
Steady growth and dividend
Our Core NAV for the company based on its 2P reserves only i