Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target of A$0.75 per share: Good production performance – Production in August was 3,493 boe/d, up 200 boe/d compared to July as all the new wells at Brooks now contribute to production, more than offsetting natural decline. Financials for August are broadly in line with our expectations. The three new Thorsby wells drilled in August and September could be on stream for November with an individual IP rate of ~2
Companies: ALV ALV CE1 COP COP EDR IOG RDSA TETY TETY TXP
Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target of A$0.75 per share: Brooks drilling update – The average of the four well program, over their respective 30-day initial production rates, was 176 boe/d (75% oil) per well. There was a significant variation in production results between the 4 wells. The variability was consistent with the results since Blackspur started drilling the Sunburst in 2014 and the average production of the four wells was close
Companies: XOM XOM CNE CNE CE1 DNO DNO GENL HUR I3E JSE TETY TETY
Arrow Exploration (AXL CN) C: Operation update in Canada - Arrow has begun the process to tie-in the behind-pipe natural gas from the 03-26-52-23W5 exploration well located at West Pepper, The estimated on-stream costs are ~C$1.3 mm. Initial production is estimated at ~5.5. mmcf/d, suggesting a payback of four months.
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/ LN) C: Target of £3.80 per share: Advancing Equatorial Guinea – In our view, the highlight of t
Companies: AKRBP AKERBP JKX KOS SEN SNM SOU TETY TETY TXP CZA AOI ALV ALV AXL BP/ CNE CNE FEC HE1 EGY
• 2Q21 Cash flow from operations were lower than we were anticipating (US$13.3 mm versus ~US$23 mm) as we had factored a steeper reversal of the high underlift position reported at the end of 1Q21. Tethys still had a ~91,000 underlift position (share of oil produced but not sold) at the end of 2Q21 that is expected to be reversed during the course of 2H21. In addition, we were expecting a normalization of current payables that continue to be low.
• On Block 3&4, three rigs and one work-over rig
Companies: Tethys Oil Ab (TETY:STO)Tethys Oil AB (TETY:OME)
ADX Energy (ADX AU) C: Target of A$0.040 per share: High impact newsflow in 2H21 - 2H21 will be very important for the company with significant upcoming newsflow. In our view, the most meaningful eventis the drilling of the Anshoff well in Austria. We were previously anticipating that the company would need a farm-in partner to fund the well. However, in the context of the current high oil price, >A$4 mm in cash at the end of June and
Companies: XOM XOM SOU NOG SEPL LUPE RDSA TETY TETY ADX CE1 DNO DNO ENI ENI EQNR EQNR GENL IHC OMV OMV PEN PEN PHAR REP REP SNM TTE
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)/Challenger Energy Group (CEG LN)C; Target of 1.20p per share: Completing financing – BPC has raised £6.9 mm of new equity. This is an important step for the company to fund the upcoming work programme. The key near term newsflow is the drilling of the saffran#2 appraisal well that could derisk ~11 mmbbl. The company has now changed its name to Challenger Energy and will trade under the ticker of “CEG LN”.
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price
Companies: CEG BP/ CNE CNE DEC ENI ENI FEC GPRK GPRK GTE HUR NOG PXT PGR RDSA SDX SNM TETY TETY
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY: EGY US/LN, PEN NO, PTAL LN/TAL CN, TETY SS, VLU LN/VLE CN, ALV CN, AOI CN/SS, CNE CN, CNE LN, CPI CN, ENQ LN, GKP LN, HRB LN, HUR LN, IGAS LN, KOS US/LN, NOR NO, OKE NO, SENX LN, TXP LN/CN
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/LN)C; Target price of £3.80 per share: Removing oil price risk in 2021 - 1Q21 cashflow was negatively impact by a ~US$12 working capital movement that should be reversed on the upcoming period given that the c
Companies: AOI ALV CNE CNE CNE ENQ HUR KOS PEN PEN TAL SEN TETY TETY TXP EGY VLE
• Cash at the end of March has increased ~US$2.5 mm from YE20 to US$57 mm.
• Importantly this was achieved while the company ended the quarter in a 0.15 mmbbl underlift position. With higher oil prices taking two month to filter through to Tethys’ income statement, Tethys’ 1Q21 financials do not reflect the full positive impact of the strong oil price during 1Q21.
• With the reversal of the underlift position during 2Q21 and the payment by EOG of the residual proceeds associated with the transac
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C: Better deal than expected in EG – Increasing our target price from NOK30 to NOK34 per share – The acquisition of Tullow’s EG asset has now closed and Panoro has paid a final consideration of US$89 mm in line with the initial price announced earlier (US$90 mm). Panoro has also sold a 903 mbbl cargo in EG associated with historical production in 2H20 and 1Q21 for US$59 mm net to Panoro (after royalty). This amount corresponds to Panoro’s net entitlement
Companies: 88E ALV BP/ ENI ENI HUR OMV OMV PEN PEN TAL PHAR REP REP RDSA TETY TETY TTE
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)C; Target price of 1.90p: Perseverance well and balance sheet update – The overall final cost of the Perseverance #1 well in the Bahamas is expected to be ~US$45 mm, US$10 mm above initial budget. The higher cost reflects heightened Covid-19 procedures (~+US$3 mm) and side-tracking operations related to mechanical debris in the well (~+US$7 mm). We continue to estimate that cash will drop to US$6-7 mm when all the pending bills are paid. Thi
Companies: TXP CEG ENQ SDX SEN TETY TETY MAHAA LUPE 88E ALV VLE FEC
• The Thameen-1 well on Block 49 did not flow hydrocarbons to surface on test. However log interpretation now suggests the well has encountered a gross column of ~40 m.
• The results far exceeds the company’s pre-drill expectations. Recall that the main risk of this well was the presence of hydrocarbons. This has now been addressed and the well opens-up a potential new hydrocarbon area.
• Achieving a flow rate from an onshore well in Oman has historically often required further work (as illustra
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price of US$25 per share: Excellent financial results. Increased production guidance. Additional exploration wells – With higher oil price expectations, GeoPark is increasing its FY21 capex guidance from US$100-120 mm to US$130-150 mm. The new guidance includes US$75-90 mm for development (up from US$60 70 mm) and US$55-60 mm for exploration (up from US$40 50 mm). The new capex guidance will allow GeoPark to produce 41 43 mboe/d in 2021 (up from 40
Companies: JOG SNM CNE CNE XOP DEC DNO DNO ENI ENI GENL GPRK GPRK TETY TETY TGL TLW EGY
SDX Energy (SDX LN)C; Target price of £0.40: West Gharib contract extended by 10 years to 2031 – The increases SDX’s share of reserves in West Gharib (2.2 mmbbl at YE19), by 60%. The company plans to commence in 2Q21 a drilling programme of up to twelve wells over the next three years with the goal of growing gross production back to ~3,000bbl/d. The terms of the extension includes a commitment to drill six wells by YE22. In addition, up to six additional wells would have to
Companies: AOI FEC PXT SDX SEPL SNM TETY TETY TXP
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)C: Uncommercial exploration well in the Bahamas – The Perseverance #1 well encountered oil, validating the structural model and the petroleum system, but did not encounter oil in commercial quantities. The well drilled a majority of the potential reservoirs of interest.
Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; Target price increased from SEK75 to SEK85 per share: 120% reserves replacement, special dividend, entering busiest exploration drilling period in Tet
Companies: DNO RDSA 88E CEG EQNR TETY TETY TTE
• 4Q20 financials were very strong with a US$9.6 mm positive change in working capital, leaving a net cash position of >US$55 mm at YE20.
• For the 9th year in a row, Tethys has increased its reserves in 2020 with the 2P reserves replacement ratio of 120% highlighting the quality of the company’s assets. YE20 2P and 3P reserves are respectively 26.9 mmbbl and 37.9 mmbbl (~+3% versus YE19 for both 2P and 3P reserves). The increase reflects the conversion of contingent resources into the reserves
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Phoenix copper today provides an update on its ground geophysical survey over the Red Star prospect near its Empire copper project in Idaho. The Red Star skarn mineralisation (lead and silver ± copper, zinc) is associated with magnetite; the survey just undertaken was to better understand the distribution and orientation of magnetite to find potential mineralisation and to inform the location and direction of a further drilling programme.
Companies: Phoenix Copper Ltd. (United Kingdom)
We are initiating coverage of VAST Resources (VAST), which has wholly-owned Baita Plai and Manaila polymetallic mines plus an interest in two exploration projects, all located in Romania. At this stage, Baita Plai is the main driver for our valuation as it is currently being ramped up to 14kt per month. As such, we expect Baita Plai’s Cu eq output to reach c 2.4ktpa in FY23F followed by 3.3ktpa in FY24F. This, coupled with Manaila’s potential re-start of an additional 3ktpa of Cu eq over the sho
Companies: Vast Resources plc
Diversified Energy Company (DEC) has announced a fourth acquisition within the Company's Central Region, acquiring a portfolio of upstream assets and related infrastructure from Tapstone Energy Holdings LLC and its related party, KL CHK SPV LLC. Oaktree Capital will co-invest in the acquisition, representing Oaktree's third co-investment since May this year. Importantly, Oaktree's participation provides important third-party validation whilst also affording Diversified additional liquidity and l
Companies: Diversified Energy Company PLC
We see the UK Government’s Net Zero Strategy as being overall helpful but not especially definitive. Amongst our coverage group, Drax Group (DRX LN) and Velocys (VLS LN) benefit from the Humberside CCS cluster prioritisation and Velocys from SAF support. The amount of renewables is likely to boost the need for flexibility solutions where Drax, Gore Street (GSF LN) and SIMEC Atlantis (SAE LN) can benefit. Hydrogen companies ITM (ITM LN) and Powerhouse Energy (PHE LN) are likely to find support. T
Companies: ADN DRX GSF ITM NESF PHE SAE SIT STRLNG TLG VLS
Companies: Shanta Gold Limited
Today’s IPO of Tungsten West (TUN-LON) unlocks a valuable, long term revenue stream for Hargreaves. This comprises a £1m per annum fee (first payment next month) as well as a mining services contract once the mine recommences production. The resulting EPS upgrades are 6% and 7% in FY22 and FY23 respectively, followed by 9% in FY24 with the first partial contribution from the mining services contract. This continues Hargreaves’ impressive recent run of forecast upgrades and reinforces our convict
Companies: Hargreaves Services plc
Companies: Thungela Resources Limited
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Devolver Digital to join AIM, an award-winning digital video games publisher and developer in the indie games space. Recently awarded indie 'Publisher of the Year 2021' by GamesIndustry.biz. Offer TBA. Due early Nov.
Life Science REIT to join AIM raising up to £100m. This will be the first London listed real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on UK life science properties providing investors with exposure
Companies: SYS1 ARE SO4 SNG TMG TMT OHG IDE KIBO MRL
Shanta Gold (AIM: SHG) has, this morning, announced its production and operational results for the quarter ended 30th September 2021 – see Fig 1. Operationally this was a slightly weaker than expected quarter but very promising from the corporate side with a new five-year plan announced, an 0.10cps interim dividend announced and a resource update at the West Kenya Project (WKP).
QoQ production was flat at 14,194 oz and AISC rose to $1,480/oz caused by a temporary drop in grade as well as hig
Brent crude topped $85 a barrel in London for the first time since 2018, the latest milestone in a global energy crisis that has seen prices soar.
West Texas Intermediate for November settlement rose 97 cents to settle at $82.28 a barrel in New York.
Brent for December delivery added 86 cents to settle at $84.86 a barrel.
The global benchmark rose above the key level in intraday trading but did not settle above it on Friday. US crude futures posted an eighth straight weekly
Companies: FO 88E DEC EME GTC TRIN UOG WEN
Trifast has released a good interim trading update ahead of its interim results due on 23 November. Overall trading has been in line with management expectations at “both revenue and profit levels” since the AGM update in July although this belies the strength of the Group's top line performance in our view. We remain buyers.
Companies: Trifast plc
Rio’s investors day was focused on two of the most critical mining industry thematics in today’s times, i.e. green and growth. The announced measures couldn’t have materialised at a better time, given the (recent) woes pertaining to governance and the iron ore market sell-off. Remember, considering Rio’s enviable balance sheet strength, it has the flexibility to pursue the targeted plans with rigorously and, at the same time, maintain ‘relative’ shareholder reward attractiveness. Hence, we reite
Companies: Rio Tinto plc
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) - BUY – 180p – 4.5c special dividend
BeMetals (BMET CN) –– Drilling commences at South Mountain, Idaho
Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – BUY, valuation 102.5p – Progress of the La India feasibility study
Hochschild (HOC LN) - Hochschild to spin off rare earth assets
Rambler Metals and Mining* (RMM LN) – BUY, fair value 10.7p - Ming mine underground drilling programme demonstrates grade and width improvements at depth
SolGold* (SOLG LN) – Tandayama-America initial resour
Companies: BMET AAZ CNR HOC RMM SOLG
Tungsten West (TUN.L) has joined AIM. Tungsten West is the 100% owner and operator of the historical Hemerdon tungsten and tin mine located near Plymouth in southern Devon. Hemerdon represents the world's third largest tungsten mineral resource, with a JORC (2012) compliant Mineral Resource Estimate of approximately 325Mt at 0.12 WO3. Capital raised on Admission: £39m. Anticipated Mkt Cap: £106.2m.
Future Metals NL (ASX:FME, FME.L) (formerly named Red Emperor Resources NL) had joined AIM
Companies: SOLI RBD ALU ATQT BBI CWR DRV ORCP WATR
With the recent acquisition of producing assets in the US, Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) has started a new chapter in its existence and has already transformed its value proposition to investors. Following the recent operational developments, we are already seeing potential for a significant additional value accretion in the next 12 months, not only from the producing Barron Flats Unit (BFU), but from several other opportunities as well. The potentially better-than- expected production ramp
Companies: Canadian Overseas Petroleum Limited