Auctus on Friday - 29/09/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.45 per share: Transactions repriced on more attractive terms – Criterium has renegotiated the terms of the Mont d’Or (MOPL) acquisition. Criterium will now assume only ~US$25.5 mm of debt rather than ~US$37 mm previously. A US$4.8 mm payment to the lenders and the conversion of US$4.9 mm of debt into equity (US$2.5 mm on completion of the acquisition plus US$2.4 mm in 2025) reduce further

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 28/09/23

Crude up on EIA inventory draw

Hot Off The Wires - The Day Ahead

Today's news and views, plus announcements from: WG., ANX, EYE, UOG, BHP, WDS, & NOG.

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 08/08/23

Crude prices fall on Chinese data

Hot Off The Wires - The Day Ahead

Today's news and views, plus announcements from: ABDN, GLEN, IHG, SPX, CHG, QLT, SHI, UOG, & DX..

Auctus on Friday - 21/07/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$25 per share: 2Q23 production in line. Adding horizontal wells at Llanos-34 – 2Q23 production of 36,581 boe/d was in line with our expectations with strong performance at Llanos-34, Platanillo and CPO-5, offsetting lower production in Chile and Ecuador. The Indico 6 and Indico 7 wells in the CPO-5 block in Colombia are now expected to return to production in August (rather than July) when the requ

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 18/07/23

Global LNG prices fall below $10/mmBtu

Hot Off The Wires - The Day Ahead

Today's news and views, plus announcements from: OCDO, SSPG, KGP, SYNT, DGI9, PDL, ANX, LINV, UOG, REVB, ANIC, & WISE.

AXL LN/CN, LBE LN, PTAL LN/TAL CN, SOUC LN/SOU CN, VLE CN, ANGS LN, AST LN, BP LN, CEG LN, COP US, EME LN, EQNR NO, GTE LN/CN/US, ITH LN, KIST LN, TCF CN, TRIN LN, TTE FP, UOG LN

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Zone at Carrizales Norte with no booked reserves has flowed >1 mbbl/d – The Ubaque horizon at the Carrizales Norte-1 (CN-1) exploration well was put on three tests, the last of which tested at 1,134 bbl/d of 13.5 API oil on pump. The flow rate was stabilized with a 28.3% water cut (completion fluid). The water cut has been decreasing throughout testing. This is a very go

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 01/06/23

European energy markets display edginess

Hot Off The Wires - The Day Ahead

Today's news and views, plus announcements from: AUTO, PNN, DOCS, MEGP, CPI, AVCT, TEAM, & UOG.

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 18/05/23

Crude prices rise on US optimism

Auctus on Friday - 28/04/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 update – 1Q23 production in Austria was 299 boe/d. The company held A$3.41 mm in cash at the end of March. Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C: On track for near term acquisition – The FY22 financials were in line with our expectations. The company held C$3.7 mm in cash at YE22. Criterium has also filed the notice of intention to file a short form prospectus. This could be an indica

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 17/04/23

IEA forecasts 2mb/d demand growth in 2023

LIBERUM: Trident Royalties: Mexican standoff

Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): Imminent partner in Morocco

• The US$2.7 mm cash position at the end of June is in line with our expectations. • Although inflation across the industry and rig availability had complicated and delayed the finalization of a farm-in agreement for Anchois in Morocco, negotiations on partnering are in the final stages. A partner could be announced very soon. • Progress has been made across the portfolio. Onshore Morocco, permitting is under way with drilling now expected to start in early 2024 with up to four wells. Prospects

LIBERUM: Trident Royalties: Benefitting from rising rate environment

LIBERUM: Trident Royalties*: Utah lithium royalty acquisition

Interim Results

Diversified reported strong interim results, with production that was marginally below our estimate more than outweighed by tight cost control to deliver EBITDA ahead of our forecast; we broadly retain our FY23 estimates.

Savannah Energy+ (SAVE, Suspended, Under Review) - Interim results; readmission now expected in Q4

Pantheon Resources - Positive Outlook for Pantheon Resources

We believe that the outlook for Pantheon Resources is significantly improving.

Touchstone Exploration+ (TXP, House Stock at 68p) - Cascadura production update

Touchstone Exploration+ (TXP, House Stock at 62p) - Cash generation and scale in Trinidad to the fore

Central Asia Metals: H1 2023 Interim Results

Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) results in H1 2023 follow a record prior comparable period, with the swing between the two primarily due to commodity price performance. H1 2023 net revenue of US$93.6m was down 18% YoY, EBITDA of US$48.9m was down 35% YoY. COGS was up 9.8% YoY given global inflationary pressures. Other charges on the P&L were minimal particularly now CAML is debt free. Owing to the timing of tax charges and some unfavourable working capital movements which we expect to be resolved

Bushveld Minerals: H1 results; progress at Vanchem post period end

Bushveld Minerals (“BMN”) has released its results for H1 2023 having already released production of 1,784t at a weighted average cash cost of US$26.6/kgV, with H1 sales of 2,096tV through destocking during the period. Revenue for the period was US$78.4m, with adj EBITDA of US$10.3m and attributable NPAT of -US$14m. The company finished H1 with US$3.7m of cash and US$90.7m of debt. We expect H2 production of 1,992tV, split between 925tV from Vanchem and 1,067tV from Vametco, bringing full year p

LIBERUM: Shanta Gold: Solid beat at interims

Interim results

Bushveld delivered as robust a financial performance as could reasonably be expected in H1 2023 given the operational challenges faced. We are encouraged by the reported progress made at both Vametco and Vanchem since, and vanadium price aside (current prices are soft, and pose a downside risk if they do not recover in-line with our assumptions) we think Bushveld is broadly on course to meet our full-year estimates. But given its stressed balance sheet, concluding the refinancing of its c.US$45m

Chariot - Anchois Partnering in Final Stages

The partnering process at Anchois is now close to a conclusion, with farm-out negotiations in their final stages. The FEED phase of the Anchois gas development was completed in March, with Chariot continuing to make progress across all the Anchois technical and commercial workstreams. Post period, Chariot added the synergistic, low-cost, low-risk Loukos Onshore licence. Loukos Onshore contains several near-term drilling opportunities, which, if successful could lead to fast-tracked gas productio

Value anomaly despite resilient trading