Wentworth Resources— oil and gas exploration and production company, with assets in the onshore Rovuma Basin of East Africa. Introduction only. Mkt Cap c £50m . Due today
Renalytix AI—developer of artificial intelligence ("AI") decision support and clinical management tools for improving early diagnosis, continual monitoring and drug development for kidney disease. incorporated in March 2018 as a subsidiary of EKF Diagnostics Holdings (AIM-EKF). Total fundraising £22.25m.. Mkt cap - c. £67.5- £71.0m. Due 6 Nov.
Finncap—proposed acquisition of M&A adviser Cavendish Corporate Finance and AIM admission. Offer TBA
Kropz PLC—an emerging plant nutrient producer with an advanced stage phosphate mining project in South Africa, a phosphate project in the Republic of Congo and exploration assets in Ghana. Looking to join AIM, offer TBC, market cap TBC.
Due Late October.
Azalea Energy—oil and gas production and development company based in Louisiana, United States. Net production of 13 MMcfe/D (2,200 boepd) and total 1P proved reserves of 91 Bcfe (15.1 mmboe), 2P reserves of 111 Bcfe (18.5 mmboe) raising up to
$38m, expected mkt cap over $100m. Due 29 Oct
Path Investments— First acquisition of a 50 per cent. participating interest in the producing Alfeld-Elze II gas field located 22 kilometres south of Hannover in Germany. Seeking £10m raise. Due late Oct
Crossword Cybersecurity PLC* (NEX:CCS)—the technology commercialisation company focusing exclusively on the cyber security sector is exploring its options in relation to a potential move to the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange which, if it were to proceed, would likely take place over the next few months.
Companies: STKR MPM PTCM ASLR AUG AFHP PANR C21 RBD SYS1
Consumer Sector Key takeaways from the Consumer reporting season | Harwood Wealth (HW LN) Acquisition of Berkshire-based IFA with £34m AuI | Porta Communications (PTCM LN) Results show progress from reorganisation | Sanderson Group (SND LN) H1 slightly ahead, no change to full year expectations | Sinclair Pharma (SPH LN) FY’17 results in line, US sales team established for Silhouette rollout
Companies: HW/ PTCM SND SPH
Brooks Macdonald Group (BRK LN) FuM -0.7% in Q3: strong net inflows sustained, unhelpful markets | dotdigital Group (DOTD LN) New feature launches highlight growth potential | Porta Communications (PTCM LN) Appointment of New Joint Chief Executive Officers
Companies: BRK DOTD PTCM
Avast, global cybersecurity provider with 435m users worldwide. In 2017, the Group's Adjusted Billings was $811 million, Adjusted Revenue was $780 million, Adjusted Cash EBITDA was $451 million. Seeking to raise $200m. Due in May | Fundamentum Supported Housing REIT. Raising £150m. Focussed on UK Social Housing assets. Due 2 May | Vivo Energy—retailer and marketer of Shell-branded fuels and lubricants in Africa, Due in May. 100% secondary sell-down of existing Shares by Selling Shareholders, No new Money. Pricing TBA | Gore Street Energy Storage Fund—Seeking to raise £100m for the purposes of investment in a diversified portfolio of utility scale energy storage projects. Due 03 May | Odyssean Investment Trust—Raising £100m at £1. Due 1 May. The Company will primarily invest in smaller company equities quoted on markets operated by the London Stock Exchange | Finablr - press reports in ‘Arabian Business’ that Money transfer firms UAE Exchange, Travelex and others under UAE billionaire Bavaguthu Raghuram Shetty’s newly formed holding company Finablr are preparing for a London IPO
Companies: AMPH BMN BOKU PTCM NEXS BPC SRES WTG SDI
The year end trading update for 2017 indicates Gross Profit of c£33m (+11%) vs £29.7m in 2016 (H1'17 £16.5m) and adjusted EBITDA of c£2.5m (+9%) vs £2.3m in 2016 (H1'17 £1.16m). This implies good progress during the year. Business reorganisation benefits seem to be flowing through with profitability increasing. As the reorganisation is completed the scope for the focus on growth to improve will rise as well.
Companies: Porta Communications
Bioquell (BQE LN) Positive trading continues | Earthport (EPO LN) Partnership with Kotak Mahindra Bank | Ground Rents Income Fund (GRIO LN) Further clarification on doubling assets | Oxford Metrics (OMG LN) Further product innovation at Vicon | Porta Communications (PTCM LN) Strategic investment and debt reorganisation | Spirent Communications (SPT LN) Still waiting on return to top line growth | StatPro Group (SOG LN) Scale and sales hires should drive organic growth | UDG Healthcare (UDG LN) Solid Q3 update overall, but Sharp weakness an irritation
Companies: BQE SPT OMG UDG PTCM GRIO EPO SOG
Phoenix Global Mining— US Brown field copper play. Expected late June. Offer TBA
Touchstone Exploration— Oil exploration and production company active in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. Interests of approximately 90,000 gross acres. Production c. 1,300 boepd. Raising £1.45m. Expected mkt cap £7.5m. Due 26 June.
I3 Energy –Schedule 1. Independent oil and gas company with assets and operations in the UK. Offer TBC, 7 June admission.
Verditek— Schedule 1 update. On Admission, the Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Issue price 10p. Admission in late June
Tiso Blackstar Group—Schedule 1 update. Media, entertainment and marketing solutions group/ £160m mkt cap. Admission only. Expected late June.
Vordere—RTO targeting German Property. Raising £9m at 17p. Readmission c. 15 June. Residential Secure Income - social housing REIT raising up to £300m Admission due c.12 July.
ScotGems—Admission due 26 June. Seeking £50-£100m. To investing in a diversified portfolio of Small Cap Companies listed on global stock markets
DP Eurasia—Intention to float from the exclusive master franchisee of the Domino's Pizza brand in Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan and Georgia . £20m primary raise plus a partial vendor sale.
Film Finances—Sky News reports that ‘movie financing company with credits including the Hollywood hits La La Land and Nocturnal Animals is plotting a blockbuster premiere on the London stock market that will value it at several hundred million pounds.’ Expected ‘during the summer’.
AIB—Intention to float from AIB, Ireland's leading retail and commercial bank . The Minister for Finance intends to sell approximately 25% of the Ordinary Shares of AIB. Valuation range €10.6-€13.3bn. Admission end June.
Curzon Energy—Report on Proactive Investors of intended LSE float this year with acquisition of coal bed methane assets in Oregon. Looking to raise £3m plus.
NLB Group—financial and banking institution based in Slovenia, with a network of 356 branches. Seeking Ljubliana Stock Exchange listing with GDRs on the LSE. Expected mid June.
Flying Brands (FBDU.L)—Prospectus approved by FCA. RTO of Stone Checker Software, supplier of technology solutions in the field of kidney stone analysis and prevention. Has raised £550k at 3p. Subject to GM on 15 Jun.
Kuwait Energy— $150m raise plus vendor offer. Admission due June. 2p reserves 810.0 mmboe
Companies: IRR MNC K3C FUM EHG ENTU PTCM WAND RHL IGAS
Touchstone Exploration— Oil exploration and production company active in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. Interests of approximately 90,000 gross acres. Production c. 1,300 boepd. Raising £1.45m. Expected mkt cap £7.5m. Due 26 June. | I3 Energy –Schedule 1. Independent oil and gas company with assets and operations in the UK. Offer TBC, 7 June
admission. | Verditek— Schedule 1 update. On Admission, the Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Issue price 10p. Admission in Early June | Tiso Blackstar Group—Schedule 1 update. Media, entertainment and marketing solutions group/ £160m mkt cap. Admission only. Expected late June. | ScotGems—Admission due 26 June. Seeking £50-£100m. To investing in a diversified portfolio of Small Cap Companies
listed on global stock markets | DP Eurasia—Intention to float from the exclusive master franchisee of the Domino's Pizza brand in Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. £20m primary raise plus a partial vendor sale. | Film Finances—Sky News reports that ‘movie financing company with credits including the Hollywood hits La La Land and Nocturnal Animals is plotting a blockbuster premiere on the London stock market that will value it at several hundred million pounds.’ Expected ‘during the summer’. | AIB—Intention to float from AIB, Ireland's leading retail and commercial bank . The Minister for Finance intends to sell approximately 25% of the Ordinary Shares of AIB. Prospectus and announcement of the price range due in mid-June 2017. | Curzon Energy—Report on Proactive Investors of intended LSE float this year with acquisition of coal bed methane assets in Oregon. Looking to raise £3m plus. | NLB Group—financial and banking institution based in Slovenia, with a network of 356 branches. Seeking Ljubliana Stock Exchange listing with GDRs on the LSE. Expected mid June. | Flying Brands (FBDU.L)—Prospectus approved by FCA. RTO of Stone Checker Software, supplier of technology solutions in the field of kidney stone analysis and prevention. Has raised £550k at 3p. Subject to GM on 15 Jun. | AEW UK Long Lease REIT—Intention to Float. Up to £150m raise. Admission early June. UK specialist and alternative property | Kuwait Energy— $150m raise plus vendor offer. Admission due June. 2p reserves 810.0 mmboe
Companies: GBP CLON BOTB MPAC SPE PTCM CRU TRB SSY CAB
PTCM shares fell c.4% early on Thursday, slightly reversing the recent 50% rally.
Cxense ASA (CXENSE NO) Q1 churn no cause for concern | Hill & Smith Holdings (HILS LN) Trading in line | Lookers (LOOK LN) Strong trading performance in Q1, especially in Used | Porta Communications (PTCM LN) 2016 final results | Rathbone Brothers (RAT LN) FuM +5% in Q1, 3.3% organic net inflows in Investment Management
Companies: HILS PTCM LOOK CXENSE RAT
Despite the BREXIT impact Porta delivered 4% LFL CER Gross Profit (essentially fee income) growth in 2016. Adjusted EBITDA edged down to £2.34m due to the BREXIT impact on PPS and investment made to strengthen the Newgate UK operation. More importantly, progress has commenced on positioning the Company for its new phase of growth and driving efficiency under the new executive team. The start to 2017 is encouraging with the Company indicating that the trading performance is substantially ahead of the prior year and budget. The combination of organic growth, some stake increases and FX tailwind implies attributable gross profit growth of c11%. We expect that cost adjustments will be made in due course to both improve overall efficiency and also optimise investment allocation to areas of growth. Hiring key staff in the strategic communications area is critical to making progress. An organisational review is also underway aimed at strengthening the finance and support functions. The Company has announced a variety of actions to improve its financing with an equity injection of up to £3m being sought from strategic investors whom the Company is having discussions with. To aid this the board is seeking shareholder approval for the authority to issue, on a pre-emptive basis, shares equivalent to c40% of the current issue capital. Discussions with senior debt providers are advanced and the current high margin will be reduced substantially if an adequate equity investment is secured. The company is engaged with several strategic investors who could provide equity investment. If Porta can grow its attributable revenues to c£24m (2016: £21.7m) and edge net debt down to c£7.5m this year then the equity would be worth between £16.5m and £28.5m assuming an EV/GP multiple range of 1.0x to 1.5x (reflecting a potential 10% to 15% margin).
Rainbow Rare Earths has published a prospectus. It has raised $8m to fast-track fully permitted high grade Gakara ‘rare earths’ project to production in Burundi. Intends to join the Standard List of the LSE.
Impact healthcare REIT— Intends to float on the main market. Seeks to raise £160m to acquire a portfolio of up to 58 care homes. Expected Admission 7 March.
Diversified Gas & Oil—According to LSE website first day of trading on AIM now expected for 30 January.
Companies: FRM ODX IQG MAB1 CEPS ESC CRU PTCM CNR RTC
Cambridge Cognition Holdings* (COG.L) | Edenville Energy (EDL.L) | Avingtrans (AVG.L) | Gaming Realms (GMR.L) | Redstone Connect (REDS.L) | Concurrent Technologies (CNC.L) | Porta Communications (PTCM.L) | Galantas Gold (GAL.L) | Range Resources (RRL.L) | Plutus Power Gen (PPG.L)
Companies: COG AVG GMR CNC PTCM GAL RRL PPG EDL SMRT
Audioboom (BOOM.L) | Cloudcall (CALL.L) | Porta Communications (PTCM.L) | S y m p h o n y E n v i r o n m e n t a l Technologies (SYM.L) | Blue Prism Group (PRSM.L) | B e n c h m a r k Holdings (BMK.L) | Bexi mco P harm a (BXP.L) | S t e r l i n g E n e r g y ( S E Y . L ) | AFC Energy (20.75.L) | PHSC (PHSC.L)
Companies: CALL PTCM SYM PRSM BMK BXP SEY AFC BOOM
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Porta Communications.
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Kape’s interims saw Group revenues rise +97% y/y to $59.0m (organic: +12%), driven by a 245% increase in Digital Privacy sales (+47% organic). Organic growth was stronger than anticipated in Digital Privacy, above N1Se estimates of 30%-40% as a function of strong end-user demand. CyberGhost (VPN) and Intego (end-point protection) subscriber bases grew +10% and +11% h/h respectively. The main takeaway is Kape’s inflection to positive FCF ($6.7m; H1’19: -$1.8m) alongside increased cash investment into customer acquisition (+60% y/y to $29m). We see meaningful cash flow margins (>25%) being delivered in the next 1-2 years, with £31m of FCF forecast for FY’21E generating a 6.3% FCF yield (peers offer 3.5%-4%). Putting Kape on a 4% FCF yield implies an intrinsic value of >£3/share.
Companies: Kape Technologies Plc
Kape has enjoyed a good first half of 2020 both in terms of operational progress and financial performance. Revenues increased 97% to $59.0 million (H1 2019: $29.9 million), a 12% increase on a pro-forma basis. The interim results reflect the Group’s continuing success in integrating its Private Internet Access (PIA) acquisition while growing subscriber numbers – now just shy of 2.4m in total - across the businesses. The focus on customer lifetime value is evident in the marketing spend and investment in new product development. Kape remains on track to meet previous guidance for the full year and expects to deliver synergies from the PIA deal at the top end of the mooted range. We believe that the Group has good revenue visibility and it continues to maintain a high level of user retention at 80%. We make no changes to estimates other than to reflect a higher amortisation charge. In our view, the interim results show that Kape continues to display the drive and capacity to meet the growing needs of consumers for digital privacy and security products in a rapidly evolving marketplace.
CentralNic has agreed to acquire Codewise, which consists of Zeropark, a monetisation business similar to Team Internet, and Voluum, a complementary online marketing SaaS provider. CentralNic is consolidating and market at attractive valuations, delivering synergies and improving target company operations.
Overview: Zeropark operates a marketplace for domain name investors seeking monetisation and marketers seeking traffic. Voluum provides a SaaS marketing platform that helps SMBs track and analyse traffic sources, campaigns and performance data to optimise advertising campaigns. Codewise generated revenue of $60.3m and Adjusted EBITDA of $7.4m in the LTM ended June 2020.
Companies: CentralNic Group Plc
CentralNic has announced the conditional US$36m asset-based acquisition (payable in cash on completion) of one of Team Internet’s closest competitors, Codewise, a domain monetisation business based in Poland. Based on the year to 30 June 2020, the deal values Codewise at 0.60x historical sales (US$60.3m) and 4.9x adjusted EBITDA (US$7.4m). The deal is being funded by way of a share placing, with CentralNic having placed 40m shares (21% of the equity) at 75p per share (a 6% discount to the 10 September closing price), raising gross proceeds of £30m. Assuming a year end completion date, we estimate that the deal will be materially (c 18%) EPS enhancing in FY21. The acquisition is highly complementary to the successful Team Internet acquisition, completed in December 2019, building CentralNic’s technology base and market share in domain monetisation, diversifying its client base and strengthening the group’s development capability and senior management team.
Kape’s strong H1 trading update highlights revenue and adj EBITDA growth of 97% y/y (to $59.0m) and +180% y/y (to $16.1m) respectively, in-line with N1Se forecasts. Underlying pro forma growth of +12% y/y is being driven by strong performance in Digital Privacy, and management are confident of meeting FY’20E guidance of $120m-$123m of sales (N1Se: $122.6m) and $35m-$38m of adj EBITDA (N1Se: $36.6m). The higher-growth Digital Privacy segment is forecast to deliver c.76% of Group sales in FY’20E. Alongside this, the opportunity created by the Group’s Privacy suite to crosssell additional services into the Digital Privacy base, and to improve already market-leading customer retention rates, further underpins N1Se medium-term sales growth forecasts of 10% CAGR to FY’22E. Our FY’20E forecasts generate FCF of $19.1m representing a 3.9% yield at current valuation, rising to 6.1% the following year. As cash-generation steps up, we see scope for the valuation discount to peers closing over time.
Trading update: on track; Reiterate Buy rating
Altice Europe and Next, the holding of Patrick Drahi, have announced an agreement on a public offer to be made by Next on Altice Europe at €4.11 per share.
Whatever the reasons that have pushed Drahi to buy his group, he is indeed taking advantage (but who could blame him) of the fact that investors are neglecting the telecom sector. We believe the offer price is not expensive and minorities will have to wait to see what is going to happen.
Companies: Altice Europe NV
We are introducing our Best Ideas for 2019 and also review the performance of last year’s picks. We suggest ten solidly financed stocks with good business dynamics that ought to be considered for core portfolio holdings and six UK domestically focused stocks that our analysts believe should perform strongly in the event that uncertainties unwind. We also introduce a new style of research from N+1 Singer which presents a Company’s dynamics and metrics in a clear and concise manner and concentrates on the pivotal issues affecting that Company and an investment decision.
Companies: BCA CLIN CLG CBP DNLM EAH STU FCRM FUTR GTLY INS GLE NICL SDL SPR TRI
Microsoft unveiled the new Surface Duo, which runs on Android, at its annual hardware event on Wednesday. The folding phone features two side-by-side 5.6-inch displays that are connected by a 360-degree hinge. Microsoft said it partnered with Google to “bring the best of Android” to the device, while incorporating elements of Windows 10X, a new operating system meant for hybrid devices. It can also run two different apps at the same time. Specifically, the Surface Neo will rely on a new "Expression" of its Windows 10 operating system called Windows 10X.
Companies: KAPE EYE IMO
In a deal which will have a profound effect on the prospects for the group, Kape has announced the proposed acquisition of LTMI Holdings, the holding company for virtual private network provider Private Internet Access (PIA). PIA is a Denver-based security software business, the addition of which will transform the size of Kape by doubling group revenues (including a stronger recurring revenue base) and increasing adjusted EBITDA by around 2.5 times in FY 2020E. Reflecting that, our earnings estimates increase by around 90% for FY 2020E while our new FY 2021E estimates build strongly on that much larger base. Total consideration is c. US$95.5 million with an enterprise value of c. US$127.6 million. The deal is expected to complete within 45 days and is anticipated to be immediately earnings enhancing. The transaction will create a significant player in the digital privacy market and will enable Kape to expand its footprint in North America with a broader product offering.
COVID-19 update – on track and good liquidity
The Coronavirus pandemic is a human tragedy of vast proportions – as well as the terrible human toll, COVID-19 has led to economies across the globe going into physical lockdown and financial freefall. Entire populations are adapting to the “stay at home” edict, to safeguard the vulnerable – and some of these changes will lead to long-lasting or perhaps permanent changes in the way we live or work. This note describes some of our client companies whose business models are well adapted to these changes, or who might see a change in long-term structural demand.
Companies: AMO BGO FDM GAMA KAPE LOOP TERN ZOO
AGM statement upbeat; co on track; Buy
Capital markets day a potential catalyst; Buy
A well-attended virtual CMD highlighted the continuation of attractive market dynamics within the Group’s core Data Privacy segment, as well as offering insight into PIA integration progression and the Group’s product roadmap. The launch of the Kape’s customer dashboard further improves customer experience (‘CX’), providing an easy-to-use interface and attractive upsell/ cross-sell optionality. We have taken the opportunity to introduce FY’22E forecasts on the back of the CMD, with strong customer retention and in-market consolidation improving the competitive landscape. FY’22E sales of $150m (FY’20E: $123m) are forecast to deliver adj FCF of $39m (FY’20E: $19m), generating a FCF yield of 8.4% in FY’22E. The Group has a number of levers for outperformance against conservative forecast KPIs.