Aggregated Micro Power (AMPH): Corp Full-year results | iomart (IOM): Corp Interim trading update | Kingswood Holdings (KWG): Corp £80m capital injection suggests bright future | Maintel (MAI): Corp Appointment of CEO | Revolution Bars Group (RBG): Corp Significant progress. So far so good; much more to do
Companies: AMPH IOM MAI RBG KWG
Full-year results show a significant trading increase on the prior year as the company continues to reap the benefits of the acquisition and restructuring of the Wood Fuels business as well as strong growth in Grid Balancing and Urban Reserve project developments, which are seeing favourable market trends and good traction in their project pipeline. The recent prior year non-cash balance sheet restatement was disappointing, though previously flagged. On maintained revenue forecasts but with higher costs, we reduce our FY20 EPS from 3.0p to 1.4p, with FY21 also cut from 3.6p to 2.7p.
Companies: Aggregated Micro Power
Post the group’s March period end, the company has made a further trading update ahead of its results, due before 30 September. It affirms previous expectations on revenues of £50m and a reported EBITDA loss of c£1.3m. Following the integration of the Wood Fuels business and an accounting review, it has announced that prior year stocks and receivables have been overstated by around £4.7m, resulting in Net Assets of c£13.3m in March 2018 and c£23.8m in March 2019. We have adjusted our net asset forecasts accordingly. Corrective action has taken place on systems and there is no effect on the 2019 P&L forecasts.
Aggregated Micro Power (AMPH): Corp Trading update, prior year accounting adjustments | Wameja (WJA): Corp Mastercard will explore multiple solutions
Companies: Aggregated Micro Power Wameja
MRYT PHARMA PLC— a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and delivering innovative new treatments to help improve the lives of patients with rare or orphan diseases have raised $60m before expenses and will relist on the AIM Market on the 25/09/2019
Companies: LID OVB HMLH TUNE AMPH DGOC ANIC UKOG BIOM PVR
The company affirms revenue and income (from project development) at £50m, with a statutory EBITDA loss of about £1.3m. A strong performance has been achieved in Urban Reserve and IncubEx, while Wood Fuels had a difficult year. For 2019, we therefore reduce our forecasts to an EPS loss of 3.9p. It reaffirms existing revenue and EBITDA expectations for 2020. Following recent restructuring, Wood Fuels is in a much stronger position, while Urban Reserve expectations have doubled in scale to a run rate of 100MWs pa. The positive effect of Urban Reserve outweighs Wood Fuels, increasing our sum-of-the-parts valuation from 135p to 156p, although in the short term the shares will reflect on today’s news and need to see some profit delivery coming through.
Aggregated Micro Power (AMPH): Corp Warm winter hits Wood Fuels, Urban Reserve set to double | Avesoro Resources (ASO): Corp Q1 2019 operating results | IQGeo Group (IQG): Corp FY 2018 results and capital return
Companies: AMPH ASO IQG
The attractiveness of Aggregated Micro Power Holdings (AMPH) to investors is the valuation as it continues to create value in the form of off-balance sheet ‘deferred carry’ interest in the distributed energy sector. This value is not captured in our earnings forecast but is included in our target price of 145p which we have upgraded from 136p. We maintain our BUY recommendation with AMPH trading at a substantial discount to the price target.
Aggregated Micro Power (AMPH): Corp Interims: on track for expected seasonally stronger H2 | Savannah Resources (SAV): Corp Project update – Portugal
Companies: Aggregated Micro Power Savannah Resources
Interim results confirm a step up in activity, with losses reflecting the usual summer seasonality in Wood Fuels as well as a lower level of completions in the company’s Project Development business. Winter trading combined with a streamlined operating brand will see a stronger H2 in Wood Fuels, and a stronger pipeline of completions in H2 is also expected in Developments. As such, trading is on track to exceed £50m of revenue. Following the £8.5m placing and conversion of CLNs, the balance sheet has been simplified and strengthened, with a year-end net cash forecast of £4.7m.
The group has announced two transactions that will improve the group’s liquidity and simplify the group’s financial structure. It has raised £8.5m via an equity placing and the conversion of its outstanding loan notes. The result is moderate EPS accretion in its first full year with the group moving from net debt of £12.0m to FY19 net cash of £5.6m. We believe investors should take these actions positively, being financially prudent but also enabling the group to pursue and accelerate additional investment opportunities over the medium term in the renewable energy sector.
AMP is rapidly developing a unique portfolio of diverse operations across the distributed power market where market forces and regulation are positive drivers for growth. We resume coverage of AMP on the publication of its FY results, confirming a significant year of change for the group with trading seeing a strong step forward. Strategically, it has cemented its market position in the supply of wood fuels. In biomass project developments, the link with AMPIL provides annual development fees and a progressively rising carried interest. The recent investment in IncubEx is also exciting with other new opportunities being evaluated in a rapidly changing market sector. We introduce a price target of 135p with 28% upside providing a strong potential investment return.
Aggregated Micro Power Holdings (AMPH) is emerging as a challenger utility presenting a unique investment opportunity. It is essentially an asset play offering exposure to a diverse stream of energy related revenues taking advantage of the fundamental changes in the UK energy sector as it strives to meet its legally binding CO2 emission targets. Revenues are forecast to grow from £19.7m in FY17 to £70m by FY21 and for EBITDA to reach £4m by FY21. In addition to earnings growth it is also creating value in the form of off-balance sheet ‘deferred carry’ interest. Combined, the earnings profile and deferred carry interest support our price target of 136p. We initiate with a BUY.
Avast, global cybersecurity provider with 435m users worldwide. In 2017, the Group's Adjusted Billings was $811 million, Adjusted Revenue was $780 million, Adjusted Cash EBITDA was $451 million. Seeking to raise $200m. Due in May | Fundamentum Supported Housing REIT. Raising £150m. Focussed on UK Social Housing assets. Due 2 May | Vivo Energy—retailer and marketer of Shell-branded fuels and lubricants in Africa, Due in May. 100% secondary sell-down of existing Shares by Selling Shareholders, No new Money. Pricing TBA | Gore Street Energy Storage Fund—Seeking to raise £100m for the purposes of investment in a diversified portfolio of utility scale energy storage projects. Due 03 May | Odyssean Investment Trust—Raising £100m at £1. Due 1 May. The Company will primarily invest in smaller company equities quoted on markets operated by the London Stock Exchange | Finablr - press reports in ‘Arabian Business’ that Money transfer firms UAE Exchange, Travelex and others under UAE billionaire Bavaguthu Raghuram Shetty’s newly formed holding company Finablr are preparing for a London IPO
Companies: AMPH bmn BOKU PTCM NEXS BPC SRES WTG SDI
Kore Potash— advanced stage mineral exploration and development company whose primary asset is its interest in the Sintoukola Project, a potash project located in the Republic of Congo. ) Measured, Indicated and Inferred Mineral Resource of 5,953Mt at an average grade of 22.0% KCl. Offer TBA. Due end March.
Perfomatrix PLC, a global end to end Performance Marketing technology and services company headquartered in the UK, is looking to join AIM in early April 2018, offer TBC
Crusader Resources, an ASX-listed public company incorporated in Australia, which is primarily focused on the exploration and development of gold assets in Brazil. Offer TBC, expected late March.
SimplyBiz, a Financial Services Firm, looking to join AIM raising £30m via placing and £34.6m via a sale of existing ordinary shares at 170p giving a market cap of £130m. Expected 4 April
Bacanora Lithium—Readmission. No new money. Mkt cap £140m. Due 21 March. the new holding company for Bacanora Minerals Ltd
Core Industrial REIT—established to invest in Irish-based industrial properties, predominantly located in the Greater Dublin Area. Vendor placing and new funds to a total of €225m, Target gross proceeds €207m. Expected Mid March
Polarean - Medical drug-device combination company operating in the high resolution medical imaging market. Offer TBC. Due 26 March
Companies: MER NAH WYN IQE PEN IKA RED AMPH EVG ANR
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Strix has released an AGM statement indicating that trading in the early part of the year has been solid, the new financing facilities have been put in place, product development is on track with 14 new products released during the year and the factory move remains on schedule and to budget. The current trading period is an important one and the scheduled trading update 23rd July should provide more colour on the underlying performance as well as the early indications from the new products already released and the outlook for those that are scheduled to be released in H2. The resilience of the Strix business has been reaffirmed during the current situation with financial guidance having been maintained and the final dividend committed to, a 10% increase yoy.
Companies: Strix Group
Despite some initial integration issues with WatBio (since resolved), Filta generated strong organic growth (+16% YoY) and delivered results in line with expectations. Given ongoing uncertainty around the pace at which self-isolation measures will be eased, we maintain our Hold rating, and will look to reinstate forecasts once visibility improves.
Companies: Filta Group
Last month’s update reported +15% LFL sales growth YTD (Feb & March) and also material margin improvement in areas that have received attention. Near-term uncertainty was however flagged, as Covid has impacted project fulfilment. In this context, today’s update is therefore encouraging, as LFL growth has continued through April – meaning +13% LFL sales growth YTD. April benefitted from service and install revenue (as well as recurring, ~£5m pa.). On this basis, CKT is therefore tracking considerably ahead of the company’s ‘bear case’ scenario. Looking ahead we are cautiously optimistic - as while revenue is set to decline in May - CKT mention “customer plans to resume installation projects”, particularly in Healthcare, where opportunities are described as strong. Timing and volume remain hard to predict however. Costs continue to be closely monitored and managed and as evidence, cash remains strong, at £12.8m – only marginally down from 31st March (£13.1m) and £14.3m as at January’s year-end. Prelims now expected 16th June.
TClarke's trading update is refreshingly positive in all key aspects of investors' current COVID fears and hopes. The decision to fully pay the 2019 final dividend sustains income attractiveness (4% yield on the final alone), the avoidance of trading losses in the teeth of the industry lockdown period (after a profitable Q1/20) demonstrates resilience whilst maintenance of net cash balances through April and May illustrate a robustness of cash flows despite reduced activity levels. It has also maintained the order book and has moved quickly to re-structure the cost base ensuring that margin recovery is not entirely dependant upon market improvement. Prudently and we believe reasonably, we are removing all forward forecasts until visibility on revenue recovery and productivity rates into H2/20 become clearer. However, TClarke's operational strengths, financial robustness and cash coverage of dividend in the most testing of circumstances gives us renewed confidence to uphold a Buy recommendation.
FY results ahead due to a waiver of the management bonuses and final dividend is proposed. Current trading is impacted by COVID but there are clear signs of improvement.
In the midst of a crisis, Judges has made what we think is an excellent acquisition in a high growth sector (lithium battery testing). Heath Scientific fits all of Judges’ acquisition criteria and is a business that is well known to management. We think that the current crisis may well throw up more opportunities and, with its strong balance sheet, Judges is well positioned to capitalise on this. FY20E EPS increased by 1.8% and FY21E by 3.2%. DCF based TP raised from 5245p to 5380p. CY21E PE 26.3x. Buy.
Companies: Judges Scientific
Judges Scientific, the group focused on acquiring and developing companies in the scientific instrument sector, has announced the acquisition of UK based ‘Health Scientific Ltd', a world leading maker, and global exporter, of calorimetry instruments. The initial cash consideration equates to £5.3m, with a further £2.0m cash earnout if profits hit £1.22m in 2020. The business generated £4.4m of revenue and an adjusted EBIT of £0.88m (20% EBIT margin) to April 2019, and is expected to have an even stronger year to April 2020, suggesting a ‘6x EBIT takeout multiple' if the earnout target is hit.
CAP-XX Ltd* (CPX.L, 3.1p/£10.1m) | Gfinity plc* (GFIN.L, 1.675p/£12.0m) | MTI Wireless Edge Ltd* (MWE.L, 38.5p/£33.8m) | Newmark Security plc* (NWT.L, 1.05p/£4.9m) | Mirada plc* (MIRA.L, 95.0p/£8.5m)
Companies: CPX GFIN MWE NWT MIRA
Costain has raised £100m of gross proceeds. We reduce FY 20 and 21 FD EPS by 45% and 59% due to the dilution.
Companies: Costain Group
Gateley has issued a solid year end trading update despite inevitable COVID-19 related disruption in the last two months of the year (to 30th April). Revenue for the year will be not less than £108.0m (FY19: £103.5m). As anticipated, the breadth and depth of the Group’s legal and consulting service lines have underpinned a resilient outcome with the transition to remote working going smoothly. Swift action has been taken to mitigate the impact of the pandemic, whilst keeping teams intact to ensure the business is well equipped to take advantage of opportunities that arise as the UK economy moves into and out of recession. As we noted in our Stocks for Unprecedented Times note, Gateley has an exceptional track record, achieving revenue growth every year since 1986. This includes steady growth through the 2000-2001 recession, and a strong year for the business in 2010, demonstrating the Group’s resilience through the economic cycle. We remain of the view that Gateley will emerge strongly from the current crisis and expect to reintroduce forecasts as visibility improves later on in the year.
Trading has recovered from the initial hit from COVID-19, with improving B2B activity adding to strong B2C trends. Revenue has been better than previously expected at both DX Freight and DX Express, with this now running at 10-15% below normal levels for this time of the year, compared with the initial 33% impact at the commencement of the lockdown.
Companies: DX Group
Symphony Environmental has reported FY December 2019 results. Whilst the Company did experience a single digit fall in revenues, this has been well trailed in previous announcements, relating to inventory adjustments by some customers waiting for legislative clarification in certain markets. The Company did move into loss making territory (£0.6m at the operating level), but the balance sheet was able to more than adequately absorb this aided by the £1.9m strategic equity investment announced in 2019. Net cash (excluding lease liabilities to compare on a like for like basis post IFRS 16) stood at £0.9m vs. net debt of £0.1m at the corresponding period end.
Companies: Symphony Environmental Technologies
The biggest takeaway from Sureserve Group’s interim result was its strong cash performance in the first half, with net debt falling to £3.5m at end March (£12.9m at end March 2018). This sets a solid base for the group to ride out the disruption of the lockdown. Our focus is on the outlook, with H1 only having eight days of impact from the lockdown. We have reduced our estimates for FY20, with the bulk of the revenue cut from £230m to £210m being a £13m cut in the Energy Services division. The cut to PBT from £9.8m to £9.1m is less severe, reflecting the improving efficiency in the Compliance division and the cost mitigation efforts of the group. With the long-term investment themes of regulatory compliance and energy efficiency likely to stay in focus, we see solid support for the group’s business and our FY21 numbers reflect the start of a bounce back in activity.
Companies: Sureserve Group
Avation is a lessor of 48 commercial aircraft to a diversified airline client base. Intra-day yesterday, the group announced that, as a result of the present uncertain backdrop caused by COVID-19, the Board had withdrawn from the previously announced strategic review and formal sale process, and that it was no longer in active discussions with any interested parties. The key reasons behind this were 1) the present uncertainty meaning that an attractive valuation was seen as unlikely to be achieved at this present moment in time and 2) the distraction of the process in the day to day operational activities of the business.
Petards supplies advanced security and surveillance systems to the Rail, Defence and Traffic Technology markets. Intra-day yesterday, the group confirmed that its RTS Solutions subsidiary had secured a multi-year renewal agreement for the provision of software support services to one of its major rail customers.
Touchstar is a supplier of mobile data computing solutions and managed services to a variety of industrial sectors. This morning, the group has released full year results to 31 December 2019, alongside providing an update on progress against the present COVID-19 backdrop. In line with the market updates provided in February and April, group revenue in the year increased by 3.2% to £7.1m, whilst revenue from continuing operations, excluding the Onboard business that was disposed of in the year, increased by 7.2% to £6.7m, driven by traction being gained with new products and services. The gross margin in the year increased by 280bps to 53.9% reflecting the greater proportion of software and service income. This resulted in a trading loss after tax before exceptionals of £89k, which post exceptionals of £412k that predominantly related to the disposal of OnBoard, resulted in a loss after tax of £501k. As previously reported, the year-end net cash position stood at £850k, which reflected an increase of £554k in the year; this post £1.1m of new product development expenditure and cash costs associated with the disposal.
Companies: AVAP TST PEG
Filta Group (Filta) announced FY’19 results pretty much in line with our numbers. Adjusted EBITDA was £3.2m, vs. our £3.3m estimate, and revenue was £24.9m, vs. our £25.1m expectation. These figures confirmed that the integration of Watbio was back on track and the business was trading well until COVID-19 struck. Most of Filta’s customers are currently closed, but the company is optimistic that they will bounce back one distancing restrictions are lifted. We have removed our 2020 forecasts.