The offer values the firm at £70m, representing a 26.1% premium to yesterday's 2.30p closing price
In our view, Monitise’s H1 17 results demonstrate the benefits of management’s ongoing transformation programme. EBITDA profitability was sustained, and accompanied by cash outflow more than halving vs H1 16A. With gross cash at £27.3m, the group’s financial position remains strong. Initial FINkit sales are under “active discussion” and ongoing regulatory initiatives (CMA, PSD2) give further grounds for optimism in the outlook.
Ferrum Crescent (FCR.L) |FitbugHoldings*(FITB.L) | Tristel (TSTL.L) | EmpyreanEnergy (EME.L) | StatPro Group (SOG.L) | Global Invacom Group (GINV.L) | Monitise (MONI.L) | Koovs (KOOV.L) | IronRidge Resources (IRR.L) | BOS Global (BOS.L)
Companies: FCR TSTL EME SOG GINV MONI KOOV IRR BOS BIDS
Mobile money specialist Monitise has released full year results to June 2016 in line with guidance from the mid July update and consistent with the outlook given at the half year, with the company achieving EBITDA breakeven and substantially lower cash spend in the second half following significant rationalisation. For the full year, EBITDA losses halved to £19.6m on revenues down 25% to £67.6m, whilst the statement contained a cautiously positive outlook, noting traction on the new FINKit bank-grade PaaS platform. Whilst the outlook remains uncertain, a significant cash balance (£42m) and a much lower cost base at least mean that the company is far better placed than this time last year.
Monitise’s Trading Update for the period to June 30 reveals a strong H2 financial performance. In line with previous guidance, revenues were stable compared to H1, and the group reported positive EBITDA. Cash outflows were significantly reduced vs comparable periods, and the group saw initial revenues from the FINK it platform. Management commentary that the transition from legacy products to FINK it will make for a decline in revenues in FY17 versus FY16 is consistent with our (unchanged) earnings estimates.
Although Monitise’s recent history has been somewhat turbulent, we believe the outlook is increasingly bright. The new management team (CEO, COO) has re-focussed the business on six key product lines and re-energised the organisation, having made significant reductions to the ongoing cost base and capital expenditure requirements. In this note we provide detail on some of the key measures undertaken to improve business performance.
Mobile money specialist Monitise has announced H1 2016 results in line with the January trading update. Turnover fell 21%, primarily reflecting lower licence revenues. More positively, the period saw significant reductions in opex and capex. Management re-iterated guidance of EBITDA profitability in the second half of FY 2016 and the company being sufficiently funded through to cash breakeven.
The FinTech market is a vast and still largely uncharted ocean of opportunity. Trillions of dollars move around hundreds of countries every day; and that is just between banks, never mind individual customer transactions. The banking systems that facilitate this activity are by and large 30 to 40 years old and have evolved from multiple systems developed in many different countries. The opportunities to improve the systems are equally as vast as the market, though by necessity it will be a process of evolution rather than revolution, as no one company is going to persuade all the banks to change all the systems in one go. There is therefore plenty of market to go for. The first wave of “FinTech” companies has now blazed the trail. Some have succeeded and some have fallen over. Most have had to re-think and re-invent their models many times. In all respects the big prizes are still there, but there is now much more information on how best to access them.
Companies: NLG RDT FDM GAMA BIRD WAND MONI SMRT LSAI WJA
Monitise has suffered the classic shortfall in revenues often seen in the transition from custom software to SaaS provider. Restructuring the business to lower the cost base and focus sales on the cloud platform should enable the company to reach EBITDA break-even in H216. Our forecast for a return to revenue growth in FY17 is dependent on adoption of the cloud platform, and will be the key driver of share price upside from this point.
Mobile money specialist Monitise has reported FY14/15 results. In-line with guidance, but towards the lower end of the range, EBITDA losses were up 33% to £41.8m on revenues down 6% to £89.7m. The company has also made several significant write-downs, and announced a change of CEO. However, H2 saw improvements in both margins and free cash flow. In our view Monitise remains on track for EBITDA profitability in the second half of FY15/16, with a much more focussed strategy now in place.
Visa Europe (VE) has notified Monitise that it intends to reduce its 5.3% stake in the company over time. VE and Monitise will continue to work together until March 2016, and will assess opportunities to work together on an ongoing basis. If the relationship continues after that date, we would expect a shift from the customised platform approach to Monitise’s new cloud platform. We make no changes to our estimates.
UK Technology Company Sophos (SOPH) launched on the LSE with a frenzy of investments that raised total gross proceeds of £352 million, valuing the company at £1 billion towards the tail end of June 2015 on a historical revenue multiple of 3.53x. Over the past decade, the UK digital technology industry has been considered by some as also-rans on the global stage, overshadowed and looking enviously at our American counterparts' domination of the industry, nevertheless we have spawned some success stories (e.g. ARM Holdings (ARM)).
Companies: TEK TRAK GLS NLG MONI TECH MAIS ABAL
Monitise’s FY15 trading update confirmed that the company made progress in reducing its cost base and cash outflows in H2, and continues to target EBITDA profitability in FY16. The business review process is ongoing, focused on improving the profitability of the custom platform business used by existing customers, while driving new business onto the standardised cloud-based platform.
Mobile money specialist Monitise has released a year end update highlighting revenues of £88-90m (versus £90-100m guidance) for FY2015E and materially improved second half EBITDA losses and cash spend. The company also maintained guidance for EBITDA profitability in FY2016E. Monitise has also flagged the very different prospects, resource requirements and management needs of its new (higher-margin) SaaS and its established customised platforms.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Monitise.
We currently have 16 research reports from 3
CAP-XX Ltd* (CPX.L, 3.1p/£10.1m) | Gfinity plc* (GFIN.L, 1.675p/£12.0m) | MTI Wireless Edge Ltd* (MWE.L, 38.5p/£33.8m) | Newmark Security plc* (NWT.L, 1.05p/£4.9m) | Mirada plc* (MIRA.L, 95.0p/£8.5m)
Companies: CPX GFIN MWE NWT MIRA
EVR partners with Live Nation for virtual festival
Warren Buffett once said that as an investor, it is wise to be ‘fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful’. Fear is not in short supply right now.
Companies: OPM ALU ANCR BLV CONN CRC STU GATC HAT LEK MMH MCB MWE NXR NTBR NOG PAF PEG RFX SRC TEF TEG TPT VTU WYN XLM
For the six months to 30 September 2019 (H1 FY20) AdEPT Technology Group reported Revenue +26.4%YoY to £30.8m inclusive of acquisitions, with organic growth of +2.5%YoY. Fixed Line Communications comprised 18.5% (£5.7m), -10.7%YoY, whilst Managed Services grew 39.5%YoY to £25.1m inclusive of the acquisition of Advanced Computer Systems UK Ltd. (ACS) to reach 81.5% of revenue; underlying organic growth was 7.9%YoY. EBITDA (adj.) of £6.1m grew 18.3%YoY; a 19.8% margin. The interim dividend was 5.1p/share (H119: 4.9p) +4%YoY. Period-end senior net debt was £31.5m (FY19: £27.1m) 2.6x EBITDA (FY19: 2.5x), with cash at £4.6m.
Companies: Adept Technology
FY 2019 was, as expected, a strong year for Gamma in financial terms with growth in Adjusted EBITDA of 31% a touch higher than we were expecting. Notably, that was achieved in a period where management has been pursuing its updated strategy which included investing in future growth and spending time assessing and undertaking acquisitions. The Group delivered well on its strategic aims during the year and it has announced further acquisitions in 2020. Gamma retains a strong balance sheet and we expect to see more deals in the future. It saw strong growth in the UK while its Dutch businesses were integrated and DX Groep saw a pick-up in H2. The near term business outlook is somewhat overshadowed by Covid-19 and we exercise a degree of conservatism as we upgrade our estimates to reflect the FY 2019 performance and the recent acquisitions. Nonetheless, the combination of organic and acquired growth produces a 5% upgrade in Adj. EBITDA for the current year which anticipates 15% growth on FY 2019’s strong number.
Companies: Gamma Communications
FY 2019 saw a strong financial and operational performance. The management team is working hard to optimise its sales strategy and pursue further cost reductions. The results of its efforts are already visible in much improved financials: growth in all the ongoing businesses and in all regions; and stronger margins from better revenue mix and streamlining. The sale of Automotive in February 2019 focused Telit on Industrial IoT, removed a heavy R&D burden and left the group very well-funded. Cash is to be partially returned to shareholders depending on the developing Covid-19 situation. Even in an uncertain times, the year leaves Telit very well placed with tremendous upside to build LT value through numerous opportunities as a global leader in the growing IoT market.
Companies: Telit Communications
Accelerated book build, board change and JSOP
Telit has moved to preserve its profit levels during the COVID-19 pandemic. The widespread lockdown of unknown duration is likely to slow some of its YoY revenue growth, and we trim our FY 2020 revenue expectations, although we do still continue to expect LFL growth (excluding the two months of Automotive in FY 2019). Despite its significant cash reserves from the disposal, management is prudently adopting a cost-reduction plan to ensure the company’s earnings are maintained at the targeted level. Notably this involves a temporary 15% salary reduction for senior management and a reduction in all areas of discretionary spending, including opex and capex. Strategic plans (such as long-term product development and the movement of production outside China) will be unaffected. We are pleased to hear the supply chain remains steady with minimal disruption in module production as the lockdown across Asia is partially lifted. At this stage, we leave FY 2021 forecasts unchanged, given a strong market position.
SigmaRoc's shares have fallen 34% in the last two months as the market underestimates the group's financial strength and infrastructure exposure. The group can withstand eight months without revenues, but this is academic as activity across the group is even now enough to generate positive cash flows.
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C: Initiating coverage | 88 Energy (88E LN/AU): Acquisition in Alaska | BP (BP LN): Transaction in Alaska with Hilcorp renegotiated | Columbus Energy Resources (CERP LN): Oil discovery in Trinidad | Premier Oil (PMO LN) and Rockhopper Exploration (RKH LN): Sea Lion farm out (Falklands) exclusivity period extended | BP (BP LN): 1Q20 results | Equinor (EQNR NO): Dry hole in Norway | Getech (GTC LN): Business update | Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Business update in the UK North Sea |IGas Energy (IGAS LN): Shutting some production in the UK | Lundin Energy (LUP SS): 1Q20 results | OKEA (OKEA NO): 1Q20 update in Norway | OMV (OMV AG): 1Q results | Premier Oil (PMO LN): Court approves schemes of arrangement | Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B LN): 1Q20 results and dividend reduction | RockRose Energy (RRE LN): Operational update in the UK | UK Oil & Gas (UKOG LN): £1.275 mm equity raise | Caspian Sunrise (CASP LN): Operating update in Kazakhstan | Exillon Energy (EXI LN): February and March production in Russia | Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG LN): 1Q20 update in Kazakhstan | PetroNeft (PTR LN): Operations update | Genel Energy (GENL LN): Update in Kurdistan – While negotiations are ongoing the KRG will not exercise the notice of an intention to terminate the Bina Bawi PSC | ShaMaran Petroleum (SNM CN): Business update in Kurdistan | Tethys Oil (TETY SS): Production reduction in Oman | Total (FP FP): Dry hole in Lebanon | Aminex (AEX LN) and Solo Oil (SOLO LN): Licence extension in Tanzania | Far Limited (FAR AU): Update in Senegal | Lekoil (LEK LN): Final payment with Nigerian partner rescheduled | Orca Exploration (ORC.A/B CN): FY19 results | Savannah Energy (SAVE LN): Financial and operating update in Nigeria | San Leon Energy (SLE LN): Special dividend | Seplat Petroleum (SEPL LN): 1Q20 results
Companies: 88E AEX PEN BP/ CASP CERP EQNR EXI FAR TTA HUR GENL GTC IGAS LEK LUPE NOG OKEA OMV ORC.B PMO PTR RKH RDSA RRE SAVE SLE SEPL SNM TETY SOLO UKOG
Quite a good Q4 supported by improving commercial momentum in Europe. The annual EBITDA grew eventually by 2.6% yoy reflecting the cost programme’s success.
The €0.09 dividend is maintained.
Vodafone is more highly indebted after its deal with Liberty-Global, but its dividend (cut last year) seems now more in harmony with its balance sheet. Besides, the monetisation of its infrastructure is continuing. Given therefore the slight growth Vodafone should offer in the coming years, we maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock.
Companies: Vodafone Group
Major new exclusive concert series launched; Buy
NextVR acquired by Apple for speculated US$100m