
2025 First Quarter Trading Update
Global RevPAR +3.3%, driven by globally diverse footprint and growth in each of Business, Leisure and Groups; strong quarter of development performance, with openings and signings well ahead of last year; |
Highlights
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Q1 global RevPAR +3.3%, with |
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Q1 global rooms revenue on a comparable basis saw Business +3%, Leisure +2% and Groups +5% |
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Average daily rate +2.2% and occupancy +0.6%pts |
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Gross system size growth accelerated to +7.1% YOY, +1.5% YTD; opened 14.6k rooms (86 hotels) in Q1, more than double the same period last year |
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Net system size growth +4.3% YOY, 0.0% YTD (or +5.0% YOY and +0.7% YTD excluding the impact of removing rooms previously affiliated with The Venetian Resort Las Vegas); global system of 987k rooms (6,668 hotels) |
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Signed 25.8k rooms (158 hotels) in Q1, or 20.2k excluding the Ruby brand acquisition, compared to 17.7k in the same quarter last year; global pipeline of 334k rooms (2,265 hotels), +9.4% YOY |
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"We had strong trading performance and development activity for our world class brands in Q1, despite increased volatility in the macro environment. Global RevPAR grew +3.3%, reflecting the strength of our globally diverse footprint and increases across each of our three demand drivers of Business, Leisure and Groups. Americas RevPAR increased by +3.5% led by continued growth in the US, and our EMEAA region also had strong performance, up +5.0%. In
We celebrated the opening of 14.6k rooms across 86 hotels in the quarter, well over double the same period last year. A strong signings performance of 25.8k rooms across 158 properties was also well ahead of 2024, leading to a +9.4% year-on-year increase in our pipeline. This included 5.7k rooms across 30 hotels from our acquisition in February of premium urban lifestyle brand, Ruby. Since acquiring the brand, a further two Ruby signings have already been added. Demand for quick-to-market conversions to IHG's brands and enterprise platform continues to be high, representing around 60% of openings and 40% of organic signings in the quarter.
Looking ahead, while noting that some forward economic indicators have softened, our comparable on-the-books global revenue for Q2 continues to show growth on the same position a year ago. Our ability to capture demand across geographies and chain scales, as well as being heavily weighted to domestic stay occasions, are resilient strengths of our business. As a result, while still early, we remain on track to meet full year consensus profit expectations.
The outlook of attractive long-term structural growth drivers for both demand and supply remain unaltered for the travel industry and for IHG in particular. The power of our growth algorithm comes from the compounding nature of increasing fee revenues through the combination of RevPAR, system expansion and ancillary fee streams, which in turn helps to grow margins and, with our strong cash generation, allows us to reinvest in our business and return surplus capital to shareholders. Notwithstanding shorter term macro-economic uncertainties, we remain confident in the strength and resilience of IHG's enterprise platform and our ability to capitalise further on our scale, leading positions and the fundamental growth drivers for our markets."
Regional performance
Q1 RevPAR grew by +3.5% for the region as a whole and was also up +3.5% in the US, ahead of FY 2024's +2.5% for the region and +1.7% in the US. Occupancy for the region was up +0.7%pts to 63.4% for the quarter, and rate was up +2.4%. Last year's trends by demand driver continued, with Q1 rooms revenue on a comparable basis strongest for Groups at +6%, Business was up +4% and Leisure was +2% on 2024 levels. The first two months of the quarter were strongest, whereas the rolling 8 weeks to Saturday 3 May in aggregate, which also normalises for the shift in timing of Easter between March and April, has seen RevPAR broadly flat. The current position of revenue on-the-books for comparable hotels for the balance of Q2 is also currently broadly flat. We remain confident for growth beyond, as economic uncertainty subsides and industry fundamental tailwinds prevail.
Gross system growth was +3.4% YOY and +0.8% YTD, with 4.0k rooms (31 hotels) opened in the quarter which was +30% more than last year. Net system size change was -0.1% YOY and -1.6% YTD. Excluding the impact of removing 7.1k rooms that were previously affiliated to IHG's system with The Venetian Resort Las Vegas, net system size growth was +1.3% YOY and broadly flat YTD. There were 4.5k rooms (42 hotels) added to the pipeline in the quarter, including 12 hotels signed across the
EMEAA
We saw another quarter of strong demand for this diverse region overall. Q1 RevPAR was up +5.0%, compared with growth of +6.6% achieved for FY 2024. Occupancy for the quarter was up +0.6%pts to 66.7%, and rate up +4.0%. By major geographic markets within the region, RevPAR ranged from broadly flat in the
Gross system growth was +11.6% YOY and +2.3% YTD, with 6.2k rooms (30 hotels) opened in the quarter which was almost six-fold last year. Openings included 1.5k rooms from a further 13 conversions as part of the initial
Q1 RevPAR was down -3.5% which was broadly in line with the previous quarter and compares to the -4.8% reduction for FY 2024. Looking forward from here, there is an easing in the strong comparatives from the prior resurgent return of post-Covid travel demand. We remain encouraged of further improvement to come, and by the continued attractiveness of the longer-term demand drivers for the region. Occupancy for the quarter was up +0.4%pts to 52.8%, while rate was down -4.3%. Tier 1 cities saw RevPAR down ‑2.2%, whilst Tier 2-4 cities were -5.7% with further impact from increased outbound leisure travel, though rooms revenue on a comparable basis saw Leisure broadly flat for the region overall.
Record-breaking momentum in development activity has continued. Gross system growth was +11.6% YOY and +2.3% YTD, with 4.4k rooms (25 hotels) opened in the quarter which was more than double the same quarter last year and included the milestone of exceeding 800 open hotels in the region. Net system size growth was +9.1% YOY and +1.8% YTD. There were 8.5k rooms (44 hotels) added to the pipeline, also well ahead of the same quarter last year.
Share buyback progress
As announced at the time of reporting our 2024 full year results on 18 February, a new
The
Additional comments on current trading conditions and 2025 outlook
As noted above, whilst we are still at an early stage of the financial year, we are on track to meet current full year 2025 consensus profit expectations. This would result in another year of IHG delivering on our growth algorithm.
As an asset-light, fee-based, predominantly franchised business model, IHG has no material direct exposure to tariffs on the fees charged to and therefore the revenues received from hotel owners, or on the operating costs that IHG incurs. As part of the many benefits provided to hotel owners of joining IHG's enterprise platform, we use our scale to help reduce owner costs through procurement programmes for hotel goods and services, and we are actively working with owners and our diversified and typically localised supply chains to further enhance these benefits. IHG does not directly assume supply chain risk for these programmes, and instead focuses on providing resilient and responsible supply chain options for owners.
Periods of macro-economic uncertainties and challenges can lead to broader impacts on business and consumer confidence, which can in turn impact travel spending patterns in the shorter-term. Nevertheless, we are encouraged by the global revenue on-the-books for Q2 as described above, and we remain confident that the attractive long-term structural growth drivers for both demand and supply remain unaltered. IHG's fee-based income streams, together with diverse demand drivers across geographies, chain scales and stay occasions, mean IHG is well positioned to remain resilient through varying cycles. We are also ensuring our cost base remains highly efficient and agile, whilst continuing to make cost and capital expenditure investments that drive long-term growth. No material changes are currently envisaged to any areas of IHG's investment priorities.
IHG's Board expects the company to continue its strong track record of generating substantial capacity to support the investment plans that drive growth, to fund a sustainably growing ordinary dividend, and to routinely return surplus capital to shareholders. IHG has a consistent capital allocation approach, targeting a leverage ratio within a range of 2.5-3.0x net debt:adjusted EBITDA and to maintain an investment grade credit rating. As previously described, the
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Appendix 1: RevPARa movement summary at constant exchange rates (CER)
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Q1 2025 vs 2024 |
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RevPAR |
ADR |
Occupancy |
Global |
+3.3% |
+2.2% |
+0.6%pts |
|
+3.5% |
+2.4% |
+0.7%pts |
EMEAA |
+5.0% |
+4.0% |
+0.6%pts |
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-3.5% |
-4.3% |
+0.4%pts |
Appendix 2: RevPARa movement at CER vs actual exchange rates (AER)
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Q1 2025 vs 2024 |
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CER (as above) |
AER |
Difference |
Global |
+3.3% |
+1.9% |
-1.4%pts |
|
+3.5% |
+2.4% |
-1.1%pts |
EMEAA |
+5.0% |
+3.0% |
-2.0%pts |
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-3.5% |
-4.5% |
-1.0%pts |
Appendix 3: System and pipeline summary of Q1 2025 YTD and YOY growths, and closing positions (rooms)
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System |
Pipeline |
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Openings |
Removalsb |
Net |
Total |
YTD% |
YOY% |
YTD% |
YOY% |
Signings |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
Reported |
Reported |
Adjustedb |
Adjustedb |
|
|
|
Global |
14,556 |
(15,048) |
(492) |
986,633 |
0.0% |
+4.3% |
+0.7% |
+5.0% |
25,823 |
333,992 |
|
4,028 |
(12,556) |
(8,528) |
519,466 |
-1.6% |
-0.1% |
-0.3% |
+1.3% |
4,472 |
108,364 |
EMEAA |
6,172 |
(1,581) |
4,591 |
271,065 |
+1.7% |
+9.8% |
+1.7% |
+9.8% |
12,862 |
109,184 |
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4,356 |
(911) |
3,445 |
196,102 |
+1.8% |
+9.1% |
+1.8% |
+9.1% |
8,489 |
116,444 |
a. RevPAR (revenue per available room), ADR (average daily rate) and occupancy are on a comparable basis, based on comparability as at
b. Removals include 7,092 rooms previously affiliated with the Venetian Resort Las Vegas which exited IHG's system in
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