30 Mar 20
Cenkos: Oil & Gas Sector --
Oil declined for a fifth straight week amid a one-two punch from collapsing demand due to the coronavirus crisis and ballooning supply from producers vying for market share. Futures in New York slumped 4.8% on Friday and are poised for the biggest quarterly drop on record as weak demand and an onslaught of supply roil markets. Refineries across the globe are curbing consumption as fuel use declines with people staying home. Meanwhile, major trader Trafigura Group expects as much as 1 billion barrels to be sent into storage tanks. More oil is headed into stockpiles as the Russia-Saudi war for market share that exacerbated crude's crash this month shows no sign of abating. The kingdom held firm on Friday, saying it hasn't had any contacts with Moscow about output cuts or on enlarging the OPEC+ alliance of producers. Russia also doubled down, with Deputy Energy Minister Pavel Sorokin saying oil at $25 a barrel is unpleasant, but not a catastrophe for Moscow. US crude has tumbled about 65% so far this quarter. The crash has crippled domestic producers who are forced to cut production for the first time in 35 years. The International Energy Agency this week warned that global demand was in “free fall” amid coronavirus lockdowns. Meanwhile, Iraq -- OPEC's second-biggest producer -- will allow national oil companies to boost their output and export without imposing any ceiling. Algeria has asked for an emergency OPEC board meeting to discuss the cuts. It comes as one of the world's largest supertanker owners said that ships are being filled with crude at a record pace, as land storage rapidly diminishes. Prices: West Texas Intermediate fell $1.09 to settle at $21.51 a barrel in New York on Friday. Prices dropped 4.1% this week. Brent crude lost $1.41 to settle at $24.93 a barrel. Swaps markets show that physical crude is selling several dollars below benchmark prices. The signs of storage starting to fill are growing, too. Inland tanks for heating oil in Germany are now full, while Pakistan banned oil imports on Thursday because its stockpiles are now sufficiently built up. Rigzone.
Companies: FOG PVR 88E DGOC EME POS TRIN UOG
30 Mar 20
WHI Equity Research: i3 Energy (I3E)
Strategic Production Acquisition and TSX Listing i3 Energy announced today that is has entered an option agreement to acquire all of the outstanding shares of TSX listed Toscana Energy Income Corporation. Toscana produced on average 1,065 boe/d in 2019 and has 2P reserves of 4.65 mmboe of which 55% consists of oil (and natural gas liquids) and 45% consists of natural gas. Toscana's low-decline production is located in Western Canada. Toscana's lands include a very large holding over one of Western Canada's leading new oil plays targeting the Clearwater formation. i3 Energy has acquired the entirety of Toscana's $C28.2M of senior and junior secured debt for $C3.4M representing a price of $C0.12 per dollar of outstanding debt. i3 is now Toscana's secured lender. The debt purchase was funded with i3 Energy's existing cash resources. i3 Energy has agreed to issue up to 4,399,224 of its shares, representing circa 4% of i3 Energy's existing share capital to acquire the entirety of Toscana's shares, representing a market value of circa $C0.55M based on the market values of 27 March 2020. We believe the announcement represents a positive and transformational change for i3 Energy.
Companies: I3 Energy
02 Apr 20
LIBERUM: ilika* - Reinstating coverage after growth placing
We are reinstating coverage with a Buy rating and price target of 50p following the recent £15m share placing to fund production scale-up for micro-batteries. Our TP reflects a DCF of the micro-battery business which has sufficient customer interest to achieve over £12m annual sales by FY23 and £25m later this decade we believe, generating EBITDA of £1.7m and £7m respectively.
30 Mar 20
Quadrise Fuels International - Business development intensifying
Quadrise’s business development activity has intensified in the last nine months, with progress on opportunities in Morocco, South America, Saudi Arabia (KSA) and the marine sector. COVID-19 will potentially extend the length of time taken to complete trials. However, management notes that the current low oil prices are not likely to have a material impact on interest in using its innovative MSAR fuel as a heavy fuel oil substitute.
Companies: Quadrise Fuels International
16 Mar 20
Cenkos: Oil & Gas Sector - Diversified Gas & Oil, UK Oil & Gas, Trinity Exploration & Production, Tullow Oil, Cairn Energy, Pharos Energy, Vaalco Energy, Transglobe Energy, Valeura Energy, Touchstone Exploration, Serica Energy, Gran Tierra Energy, EnQuest
Oil posted the biggest weekly plunge since 2008, capping its most dramatic week in recent memory as major producers prepare to drench the market with supply just as the coronavirus crushes demand. But prices jumped following the close, after President Donald Trump said the U.S. would fill the nation's strategic reserve. Losses for the week totalled 23% after the collapse of talks between members of the OPEC+ group triggered the biggest crash in a generation. Instead of reaching a deal to cut output to mitigate the fallout from the virus, producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia embarked on a war for market share and pledged to pump more.
Companies: TGL TXP VLU EGY GTE CNE DGOC ENQ SQZ UKOG TRIN TLW PHAR
27 Mar 20
Cenkos: Diversified Gas & Oil Plc -- In a league of its own
Diversified Gas & Oil is emerging as a new model for the E&P market, balancing low fixed costs with efficient operations to generate consistent cash flows. Since the Company's foundation, DGO's strategy has remained unchanged, delivering stable production, whilst maintaining capital discipline to deliver cash flows and shareholder returns. Efficient operations combined with low fixed costs means DGO can deliver strong margins at low prices - vital in the current environment. The DGO model does not follow that of its capital intensive North American “peers” and nor does it follow that of its international London listed “peers”, putting DGO in a league of its own. With many of the Permian oil producers and Appalachian gas producers cutting back on capex in the current price environment, we see a recovery in the gas prices, with the current oversupply of gas turning into an undersupply as production and stores fall away. We believe the M&A market will provide a great opportunity for DGO over the next 12-24 months, with inevitably some E&P's not being able to survive the current low price environment. We update our model incorporating the extension of the Company's asset retirement agreement with the state of Ohio, the latest forward price curves and the GBP/USD exchange rate, increasing our price target to 148p/share (from 121p/share) and our BUY recommendation.
Companies: Diversified Gas & Oil
01 Apr 20
Oil & Gas Flash Note
Against the backdrop subdued commodity pricing, JKX has delivered another robust set of annual results. Yesterday’s FY19 figures show a 9.5% yoy increase in revenues, coming in at the upper end of guidance, and a 116% increase in PBT to US$30.4m. Operationally, FY19 was an active year for JKX, delivering material value accretive barrels to the company’s production base in the Ukraine, whilst declines in Russia at Well 20 have been largely offset by Wells 18 and 5. The Company’s shares currently trade at only 83% of annualised cash generated from operations, underlining its deep discount to NAV therefore offers compelling value to shareholders in our view.
Companies: JKX Oil And Gas
02 Apr 20
Gulf Keystone Petroleum#
October 2019 production payment received
Companies: Gulf Keystone Petroleum
28 Jun 19
LIBERUM: Ceres Power* - Initiation - Foolish to overlook a hot prospect
Three factors are driving interest in Ceres fuel cell technology – the global drive for clean air, concerns about centralised electricity generation, and technology readiness. In this report, we estimate the potential from three key partner markets - data centres, commercial heat/power and bus/truck.
Companies: Ceres Power
21 Oct 19
Quarterly Research Outlook Autumn 2019
Following continued delays of a Brexit agreement, few sectors within the UK market have remained attractive to investors despite low valuations. One sector which has continued to outperform despite the political drama has been the UK video gaming sector (henceforth UK gaming), which we are fans of. We believe a combination of sector-leading growth, strong cash conversion and timely cyclical positioning support our positive view on the UK video gaming sector.
Companies: ABBY AMS ANX ARS ATYM AVON BLVN PIER BUR CGS CAML CDM CSRT TIDE CYAN DTG DEMG ELM EMR FPO FDEV GTLY GENL GHH GRI GEEC GKP HMI HAYD HEAD HILS HTG HUR IBPO IOG INDI JHD JOG KAPE KEYS KWS KCT KGH LAM LIT LOK MACF MANO MOD OXIG PCA PANR APP SRE PHC PMO RBW RMM RBGP REDD RSW RNO ROR SUS SCPA SEN SHG SOLG SOM SUMO TM17 INCE TWD TRAK TRI VNET VTC ZOO ZTF
10 Feb 20
WHI First Light: Caspian Sunrise, Watchstone Group & Water Intelligence
Caspian Sunrise (CASP) – Corporate – Operational Update Market Cap £140m Share Price 7.7p Caspian Sunrise announced that the Deep Well A5 sidetrack has flowed for a period of 40 days and management stated it continues to believe that the well is capable of producing at a rate of at least 1,500 b/d. The company is focusing on ensuring flow is maintained by adjusting the wells choke size to maintain a constant reservoir pressure. The company stated it is planning to optimise the well through an acid job later in February and that the operation is expected to take three days. Watchstone Group (WTG) – Corporate – Pre-close trading update and planned capital return to shareholders Market Cap £68.4m Share Price 148.5p Watchstone has this morning released a pre-close update for the year ended 31 December 2019, as well as announcing a planned first tranche return of capital to shareholders by the end of June 2020, subject to approvals. Water Intelligence (WATR) – Corporate – FY trading update ahead of expectations Market Cap £44.2m Share Price 317.5p WATR has published another strong update this morning, demonstrating that the company is able to generate strong double digit growth in revenues while at the same time expanding margins. FY2019E results are reported to be well ahead of the prior year on both the sales and the profit lines (+27% and +36% respectively), while no less than 9% ahead of forecasts. Showing again that the company is able to grow sales and margins at the same time, PBT margins are up >150 basis points, while operating margins in the key Corporate activity are at 13.5% (also +150bp).
Companies: CASP WTG WATR
21 Mar 18
Bitesize briefing – Vermillion Energy
01 Apr 20
Active Energy Group - Company overview
02 Dec 19
Investor Update: Hurricane Energy makes another discovery with Warwick West well
30 Mar 20
SIMEC Atlantis Energy CEO details £1.5mln Scottish government grant for MeyGen
28 Nov 19
i3 Energy still confident of 'very large resource volumes' at Serenity and Liberator
30 Mar 20
Union Jack Oil's Biscathorpe project stands up as "robust" at current oil prices
28 Jan 20
Morning Report: SDX Energy’s OYF-2 well in Morocco hits commercial gas quantities
26 Mar 20
Touchstone Exploration reveals full-year results; focuses on delivering Coho and Cascadura wells
11 Feb 20
Sweet-smelling milestones for Rose Petroleum
26 Mar 20
Verditek plc - Company overview
06 Feb 20
Morning Report: Touchstone Exploration confirms potential of its Cacadura-1 well
23 Mar 20
Quadrise Fuels' Mike Kirk updates on 'positive' Morocco trial talks
20 Jan 20
Union Jack Oil hails huge Wressle site victory
17 Mar 20
Bahamas Petroleum chief says additional loan is a major boost to the Perseverance project
05 Mar 20
Premier Oil - Full Year Results 2019
Revenue update Wednesday
Q1 revenue update Wednesday morning – Arctic in line with consensus We expect dividend reduction – USD 0.2/quarter vs. guidance at 0.375 New mc 2020 guidance expected at USD 350m (current USD 450m) Bearish market comments expected – TGS in a unique position, though
TGS NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL CO
03 Apr 20
Coro Energy - Cost reductions result in board restructuring
Coro Energy has announced that in light of the unprecedented market changes, its board has initiated a material cost-reduction programme. As a result, James Menzies, the company’s CEO, saw his employment terminated with immediate effect. The board also mutually agreed with Nick Cooper that he will leave the company with immediate effect. Following these changes, the board will consist of James Parsons as nonexecutive chairman and Andrew Dennan, Marco Fumagalli and Fiona MacAulay as non-executive directors. As result of recent developments and Coro’s current situation, we are suspending our valuation.
03 Apr 20
Cenkos: United Oil & Gas Plc -- Robust Economics
It's fair to say that the Covid-19 outbreak and the Saudi/Russia oil price war has led to a perfect storm in the oil and gas sector, with WTI and Brent futures falling to their lowest levels since 2002 and 2003 respectively. Whilst the near-term pain is very real for investors, there are opportunities to pick up some incredible bargains if they stick to those companies. We believe United are built to survive in a highly cyclical commodity. The Company's key Egyptian assets have one of the lowest costs of production globally, with operating costs of just US$6.5/boe. Combine this with a 2020 capex campaign which is entirely discretionary, gas production which is sold via long-term sales contracts at cUS$2.7/mmbtu and a BP facility hedging c217bopd at US$60/bbl and United is well positioned to weather the current low commodity prices. We update our valuation to 6.5p per share (a 322% premium to the current share price) and reiterate our BUY recommendation.
United Oil & Gas
03 Apr 20
VSA Morning Flow Test
Egdon Resources (EDR LN) has updated the market in relation to the impact of COVID-19 on current operations and upcoming results. Management has emphasised that it has established enhanced measures to ensure the safety of all employees and third-party contractors. This is particularly important as due to oil and gas industry workers being considered ‘key’, operations have been able to continue. In addition, oil transportation to local refineries continues without restrictions.
02 Apr 20