PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN)C; Target of £0.65 per share: Production of ~15,500 bbl/d – • Bretana’s ten-day average field production, ended September 27, was 15,494 bbl/d. This represents a small increase compared to ~15.4 mbbl/d, announced two weeks ago. This is very encouraging suggesting the BN-8H well is performing very well and that overall production efficiency is high with the water system working well. This also augurs well for th
Companies: AOI CHAR DNO DNO ECHO HUR I3E IOG TAL PPC RBD SLE SAVE SQZ TTE TGL
PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN)C; Target of £0.65 per share: Latest well flows >7.6 mbbl/d. Sales pipeline back on line – The latest horizontal well (BN-8H) has achieved a ten day initial oil production rate of ~7.6 mbbl/d. This is materially above our expectations of ~5 mbbl/d. As a result, current oil production is ~ 15.4 mbbl/d, also above our expectations of >13 mbbl/d. This is a very good result and, with another development well due to
Companies: TRIN AOI ALV ALV HUR LEK LUPE TAL PHAR PGR TLW
Arrow Exploration (AXL CN) C: Operation update in Canada - Arrow has begun the process to tie-in the behind-pipe natural gas from the 03-26-52-23W5 exploration well located at West Pepper, The estimated on-stream costs are ~C$1.3 mm. Initial production is estimated at ~5.5. mmcf/d, suggesting a payback of four months.
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/ LN) C: Target of £3.80 per share: Advancing Equatorial Guinea – In our view, the highlight of t
Companies: AKRBP AKERBP JKX KOS SEN SNM SOU TETY TETY TXP CZA AOI ALV ALV AXL BP/ CNE CNE FEC HE1 EGY
Oil posted its sixth straight weekly gain, the longest winning streak since December, as the standoff between OPEC+ ministers over output dragged on at the alliance's full meeting on Friday. Futures in New York rose 1.7% this week. Most members of the alliance backed a proposal to increase supply and extend the deal into later next year, but United Arab Emirates remains opposed, according to delegates. The ongoing dispute leaves open the possibility of a supply deficit in the global oil market o
Companies: COP COP EOG SEN AOI 88E ADME AEX CASP ENOG GTC HTG LAM I3E PFC SLE SDX UKOG VOG ZOL CVN EQNR EQNR
Calima Energy (CE1 AU) C; Target of A$0.035 per share: Trading update in Canada – The Gemini #1 and #3 well encountered oil and gas shows as prognosed with production expected to be in line with the predicted type curves. Initial flow-back and production started on 26 June for the Gemini #1 well and on 24 June for the Gemini #2 well. Production will start at Gemini #3 in mid/late July, Calima has re-iterated its YE21 production guidanc
Companies: SNM AOI BP/ CE1 CEG ENQ GENL GPRK GPRK I3E IHC SDX
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY: EGY US/LN, PEN NO, PTAL LN/TAL CN, TETY SS, VLU LN/VLE CN, ALV CN, AOI CN/SS, CNE CN, CNE LN, CPI CN, ENQ LN, GKP LN, HRB LN, HUR LN, IGAS LN, KOS US/LN, NOR NO, OKE NO, SENX LN, TXP LN/CN
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/LN)C; Target price of £3.80 per share: Removing oil price risk in 2021 - 1Q21 cashflow was negatively impact by a ~US$12 working capital movement that should be reversed on the upcoming period given that the c
Companies: AOI ALV CNE CNE CNE ENQ HUR KOS PEN PEN TAL SEN TETY TETY TXP EGY VLE
Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: Increasing our target price by 25% on new fiscal terms in Egypt – Pharos has received provisional approval from EGPC on revised fiscal terms for its Egyptian assets. This results in an improvement of up to US$5.7/bbl in the breakeven price. Under the new terms, the cost stop (maximum share of revenue to be allocated to cost recovery) will be increased from 30% to 40%. In return, Pharos has agreed to (i) waive its rig
Companies: TXP 88E ADX AOI CNE CNE XOM XOM JKX MAHAA TAL PHAR VOG
SDX Energy (SDX LN)C; Target price of £0.40: West Gharib contract extended by 10 years to 2031 – The increases SDX’s share of reserves in West Gharib (2.2 mmbbl at YE19), by 60%. The company plans to commence in 2Q21 a drilling programme of up to twelve wells over the next three years with the goal of growing gross production back to ~3,000bbl/d. The terms of the extension includes a commitment to drill six wells by YE22. In addition, up to six additional wells would have to
Companies: AOI FEC PXT SDX SEPL SNM TETY TETY TXP
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)C; Target: 6.7p: Further funding secures the 2021 programme - BPC is raising US$10 mm of new equity immediately with a fund managed by Lombard Odier. The placing comprises 375 mm new shares at 2.0p per share. The investor is also issued warrants to subscribe for 93.75 mm shares at 3.0p and 93.75 mm shares at 4.0p over a period of one year. If all of these warrants were to be exercised, BPC would raise a further US$8.7 mm. BPC has also the option to raise up to a
Companies: SQZ HBR AOI CEG CNE XOP GTE HUR JOG MAHAA TAL PHAR TETY TETY
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)C; Target: £7.20: Initiating Coverage - Bahamas Petroleum (BPC) is a £100 mm market cap company with onshore assets in the mature oil provinces of Trinidad and Suriname and high impact exploration offshore The Bahamas and Uruguay. In Trinidad and Suriname, BPC has production assets, development projects to quicky grow production and several exploration opportunities that attracted little attention from previous operators. In The Bahamas, after 12 years of incuba
Companies: WEN AOI ALV CEG GENL GTE MAHAA RBD
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)c; Target price of NOK23.00: Revisiting Gabon - BW Energy provided an update on Dussafu with FY20 production guidance expectation marginally below previous guidance (14.25 mbbl/d versus 15 16 mbbl/d) due to COVID-19 restrictions and OPEC+ quotas. This results in FY20 opex expected to be US$19/bbl which is slightly above the previous guidance of US$17-18/bbl. The drilling of DTM-7H, and the tie-in of DTM-6H and -7H, has been deferred to mid-2021 with first oil expected in 3Q
Companies: TGL 88E FEC JSE LUNE NOG PANR TAL TETY TETY AOI ENOG PEN SDX EGY
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price of US$20.00: Re-instating dividend and up to 10% Buy back - FY21 production guidance has been set at 40-42 mboe/d excluding any contribution from exploration/appraisal with US$100-120 mm capex at US$40-45/bbl. This includes US$95-115 mm in Colombia (US$30-35 mm for exploration/appraisal) and US$4-5 mm in Ecuador. FY21 operating net back is guided at US$210-280 mm. 3-4 exploration wells will be drilled at CPO-5, some of which will test the continuity of the Guadal
Companies: EGY AOI FEC GPRK I3E MAHAA PXT SNM TETY TETY TXP
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK23.00: Delivering production growth in Tunisia – Gross production in Tunisia has averaged 4,850 bbl/d in October, up from ~4,000 bbl/d in 1Q20 following the restart of operational activities in 3Q20. The Guebiba-10 sidetrack has encountered net pay in both the Berino and shallower Douleb reservoirs. Initially bringing the Berino onstream will add a few 100s bbl/d from mid November. There are three other work-overs due in the next few months on the fie
Companies: AKRBP BP/ LUNE MAHAA RDSA TETY TETY AOI DEC DNO ENI EQNR GENL HES NOG OMV PEN PTR REP SEPL SNM TTE VOG
PetroTal (PTAL LN)C; Target price £0.40: Important development in Peru – On August 28, 2020, the Government of Peru announced a Supreme Decree approving the financial Gap Closure Plan within a number of provinces in northeast Peru, including Loreto, the area where PetroTal operates the Bretana oil field. The decree provides for a six year financial commitment of approximately US$1.7 bn to the communities. This is important as the decree specifically addresses the local community participation cr
Companies: 88E AOI ALV ENOG XOM HUR JSE KOS PMG TAL RBD SQZ SNM TPL TTE TLW
Wentworth Resources (WEN LN)C; Target price £0.40: 20% dividend increase is a testament to Wentworth’s strength – Without much surprise, given the slow pick-up in gas demand in the aftermath of COVID-19, FY20 production guidance has been marginally reduced from 65-75 mmc/f to 60-70 mmcf/d. Production has already increased to ~68 mmcf/d over July and August, including ~72 mmcf/d for August. Importantly, with US$16.7 mm in cash at the beginning of September and no debt, the company is increasing i
Companies: ENQ GKP JSE RBD WRL MAHAA HBR AOI GENL
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Companies: Sylvania Platinum Ltd.
We are initiating coverage of VAST Resources (VAST), which has wholly-owned Baita Plai and Manaila polymetallic mines plus an interest in two exploration projects, all located in Romania. At this stage, Baita Plai is the main driver for our valuation as it is currently being ramped up to 14kt per month. As such, we expect Baita Plai’s Cu eq output to reach c 2.4ktpa in FY23F followed by 3.3ktpa in FY24F. This, coupled with Manaila’s potential re-start of an additional 3ktpa of Cu eq over the sho
Companies: Vast Resources plc
Phoenix copper today provides an update on its ground geophysical survey over the Red Star prospect near its Empire copper project in Idaho. The Red Star skarn mineralisation (lead and silver ± copper, zinc) is associated with magnetite; the survey just undertaken was to better understand the distribution and orientation of magnetite to find potential mineralisation and to inform the location and direction of a further drilling programme.
Companies: Phoenix Copper Ltd. (United Kingdom)
We see the UK Government’s Net Zero Strategy as being overall helpful but not especially definitive. Amongst our coverage group, Drax Group (DRX LN) and Velocys (VLS LN) benefit from the Humberside CCS cluster prioritisation and Velocys from SAF support. The amount of renewables is likely to boost the need for flexibility solutions where Drax, Gore Street (GSF LN) and SIMEC Atlantis (SAE LN) can benefit. Hydrogen companies ITM (ITM LN) and Powerhouse Energy (PHE LN) are likely to find support. T
Companies: ADN DRX GSF ITM NESF PHE SAE SIT STRLNG TLG VLS
Companies: Shanta Gold Limited
Today’s IPO of Tungsten West (TUN-LON) unlocks a valuable, long term revenue stream for Hargreaves. This comprises a £1m per annum fee (first payment next month) as well as a mining services contract once the mine recommences production. The resulting EPS upgrades are 6% and 7% in FY22 and FY23 respectively, followed by 9% in FY24 with the first partial contribution from the mining services contract. This continues Hargreaves’ impressive recent run of forecast upgrades and reinforces our convict
Companies: Hargreaves Services plc
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Devolver Digital to join AIM, an award-winning digital video games publisher and developer in the indie games space. Recently awarded indie 'Publisher of the Year 2021' by GamesIndustry.biz. Offer TBA. Due early Nov.
Life Science REIT to join AIM raising up to £100m. This will be the first London listed real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on UK life science properties providing investors with exposure
Companies: SYS1 ARE SO4 SNG TMG TMT OHG IDE KIBO MRL
Shanta Gold (AIM: SHG) has, this morning, announced its production and operational results for the quarter ended 30th September 2021 – see Fig 1. Operationally this was a slightly weaker than expected quarter but very promising from the corporate side with a new five-year plan announced, an 0.10cps interim dividend announced and a resource update at the West Kenya Project (WKP).
QoQ production was flat at 14,194 oz and AISC rose to $1,480/oz caused by a temporary drop in grade as well as hig
Oil posted the longest stretch of weekly advances since 2015 as OPEC+ producers only modestly supply the market and as US crude supplies shrink.
Crude futures rose 1.5% Friday in New York, up for a ninth straight week. President Joe Biden said Thursday night that Americans should expect high gasoline prices to continue into next year because of supply being withheld by OPEC and other foreign oil producers. Stockpiles at the biggest US storage hub are draining to levels last seen when crude pr
Companies: FO 88E DEC EME GTC TRIN UOG WEN
Trifast has released a good interim trading update ahead of its interim results due on 23 November. Overall trading has been in line with management expectations at “both revenue and profit levels” since the AGM update in July although this belies the strength of the Group's top line performance in our view. We remain buyers.
Companies: Trifast plc
Rio’s investors day was focused on two of the most critical mining industry thematics in today’s times, i.e. green and growth. The announced measures couldn’t have materialised at a better time, given the (recent) woes pertaining to governance and the iron ore market sell-off. Remember, considering Rio’s enviable balance sheet strength, it has the flexibility to pursue the targeted plans with rigorously and, at the same time, maintain ‘relative’ shareholder reward attractiveness. Hence, we reite
Companies: Rio Tinto plc
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) - BUY – 180p – 4.5c special dividend
BeMetals (BMET CN) –– Drilling commences at South Mountain, Idaho
Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – BUY, valuation 102.5p – Progress of the La India feasibility study
Hochschild (HOC LN) - Hochschild to spin off rare earth assets
Rambler Metals and Mining* (RMM LN) – BUY, fair value 10.7p - Ming mine underground drilling programme demonstrates grade and width improvements at depth
SolGold* (SOLG LN) – Tandayama-America initial resour
Companies: BMET AAZ CNR HOC RMM SOLG
Tungsten West (TUN.L) has joined AIM. Tungsten West is the 100% owner and operator of the historical Hemerdon tungsten and tin mine located near Plymouth in southern Devon. Hemerdon represents the world's third largest tungsten mineral resource, with a JORC (2012) compliant Mineral Resource Estimate of approximately 325Mt at 0.12 WO3. Capital raised on Admission: £39m. Anticipated Mkt Cap: £106.2m.
Future Metals NL (ASX:FME, FME.L) (formerly named Red Emperor Resources NL) had joined AIM
Companies: SOLI RBD ALU ATQT BBI CWR DRV ORCP WATR
Adriatic Metals (“ADT”) announced on 13th October that it has raised a cumulative US$244.5m (~£178m) via a combination of equity, senior debt and a copper stream. A total of ~49m new shares were issued at a price of GBp 1.5174/sh, which was a discount of ~11% to the 10-day WVAP price to 12th October. The main use of the proceeds is for the construction and working capital requirements of Adriatic’s fully permitted flagship Vareš project, which has a capital cost of US$168m as outlined in the Def
Companies: Adriatic Metals Plc Shs Chess Deposit Interests Repr 1 Sh
Botswana Diamonds (BOD LN) – £550,000 fund-raising
Castillo Copper (CCZ LN) – IP Survey identifies potential drill targets at Luanshya
KEFI Gold and Copper* (KEFI LN) – Security incident resolved
Kore Potash (KP2 LN) – Quarterly operations update
Petropavlovsk (POG LN) – Q3 update highlights recovering production at own mines with increasing POX Hub utilisation
Sibanye-Stillwater (SSW JSE) – In talks to buy Brazilian projects for $1bn
Strategic Minerals* (SML LN) – £400,000 fund-raising
Companies: BOD KEFI KP2 POG SML CCZ SSW