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As anticipated, Lightstream has received an initial order from the Court of Queen’s Bench of Alberta under CCAA granting the Company protection from its creditors until October 26, 2016. The Company’s proposed sales process has also been approved, which paves the way for Lightstream’s secured noteholders to make its previously agreed upon credit bid, which we expect will be ~$1,350 mm. Should the credit bid be the successful bid, both unsecured noteholders and shareholders will leave the proces
Companies: LIGHTSTREAM RESOURCES
Impact: Negative, as the result of a CCAA sales process has a high probability of leaving equity holders with zero residual value. Lightstream has formally entered into a CCAA sales process after failing to meet conditions under its recapitalization agreement related to litigation commenced by holders of the Company's US$254 mm of unsecured notes. The initial CCAA hearing will be on September 26, 2016. Once the CCAA process has officially commenced, we expect there will be a bidding time frame o
Lightstream reported quarterly results that came in ahead of our expectations on cash flow and production. The results and minor positive changes to our proforma estimates will continue to be overshadowed by the leviathan that is the Company’s ongoing recapitalization transaction. Subsequent to the earnings release the Company announced it has gained the requisite interim order to authorize the individual special meeting of all stakeholders to approve the recapitalization arrangement. These meet
Impact: Neutral. Quarterly results came in ahead of our expectations, though in light of the Company's ongoing recapitalization transaction we view the relevance of the results as minimal.
Lightstream has entered into an arrangement agreement that will attempt to formalize the proposed recapitalization transaction announced on July 13, 2016.
Some Recovery on Segmented Cash Flow Generation Over Q1 Though Still Down 56% Y/Y. In aggregate, the Intermediate, Mid, and Small Cap groups are expected to generate 2Q16e cash flow of $1,281 mm, $183 mm, and $53 mm, or $1.517 billion in total, that while depressed relative to the same period last year (~$2.647 billion combined), is up 17% sequentially from the prior quarter, largely on the strength of crude oil price recovery in the period. Severely weak natural gas pricing picture markedly rev
Companies: AAV ARX BTE BNP CPG ERF POU PEY PGF PWT PSK TOU VET WCP BNE CJ CR DEE JOY KEL LTS NVA PPY PNE RRX RMP SGY TET TNZ CKE GXE IKM MQL PRQ SPE SKX TVE TVETF YO
Lightstream, with support of an ad hoc committee representing a majority of its secured noteholders, has announced a recapitalization proposal which would eliminate the Company’s notes in exchange for equity. If successful, current shareholders would hold 2.25% of the recapitalized entity. If the proposal is unsuccessful, there would be an attempt to satisfy the Company’s obligations through an asset sale, which would leave minimal residual equity value. With continuing uncertainty and a number
Impact: Negative. A deferral of interest payments adds to mounting short-term obligations including a $120 mm shortfall on the Company's credit facility. Potential for a debt-to-equity swap to alleviate the debt issue would result in massive dilution for current shareholders.
Impact: Neutral. Quarterly results that were slightly below our thinking will remain overshadowed by pending debt repayment issues.
Lightstream announced 1Q16 results that were in line on a production basis but behind on cash flow as a result of weaker than expected price realizations. Production guidance for 1H16e has been revised upwards by 2% at the mid-point though will become more gas biased given an increased weighting from high impact Falher wells. No development spending is planned for 2Q16. The Company is currently in the process of seeking financing alternatives to meet both a junior debt interest payment obligatio
Lightstream’s credit facility has been cut from $550 mm to $250 mm in its semiannual borrowing base review. There is currently $371 mm outstanding under the facility, implying an overdrawn balance of ~$121 mm. A 90 day cure period has commenced where this shortfall must be addressed or the Company will trigger a default event.The Company continues to investigate various strategies to alleviate this liquidity
issue, including alternate first lien financing, asset sales, and restructuring alterna
The Company is over-drawn by $121 mm on its re-determined credit facility and will have 90 days to remediate the deficiency.
With this publication we briefly summarize our projections for 1Q16e quarterly results for the Junior E&P (Intermediate, Mid & Small Cap) segments of our coverage universe
Companies: AAV ARX BTE BNP CPG ERF POU PEY PGF PSK TOU VET WCP BNE CJ CR DEE JOY KEL LTS LRE NVA PPY PNE RRX RMP SGY TET TNZ CKE GXE IKM ROAOF MQL RE SPE SKX TVE TVETF YGR YO
With this publication we highlight various metrics and statistics forthcoming from yearend reserve books for our Domestic E&P coverage universe (Integrateds, Large Cap, Oilsands, Intermediate, Mid Cap, and Small Cap). Similar charts for YE2014 reserves can be found in our Statistical Package dated April 7, 2015.
Companies: AAV ARX BTE BNP CPG ERF POU PEY PGF PWT TXP VET WCP BNE CJ KEL LTS LRE NVA PPY PNE RRX RMP SGY TET TNZ BXO CKE GXE IKM MQL SKX TVE TVETF YGR YO
With Lightstream’s 4Q15 production figure previously disseminated in the mid- February reserve and budget update (Facts dated February 12, 2016), the focus of this release was cash flow that was 8% shy of expectations. Between $16 mm of anticipated spending earmarked for 1H16e, and negative cash flow in the range of $20 mm over this period, we forecast net debt moving dangerously higher. In the context of its normal course spring bank line review, we suspect the Company’s excess financial liqui
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Companies: Savannah Energy Plc
Forecast and valuation update
Companies: IOG PLC
With several opportunistic but timely acquisitions in 2021, coupled with the recent surge in the oil price, Zenith Energy has, in our view, completely transformed itself and its value proposition to investors. While for various reasons it has not been easy for the market to fully recognise and reward this transformation, we expect 1) doubling production, 2) further strengthening of its balance sheet and 3) becoming Free Cash Flow (FCF) generative this year, will make it difficult for the market
Companies: Zenith Energy Ltd.
Alternative Resource Capital
We are increasing our fair value estimate for Pantheon Resources to 208p, from under review (previously 184p). The change reflects what we believe was an unambiguously positive winter drilling campaign. This full note details the background analysis to the change in estimate of fair value, which includes a valuation table and an assessment of the forthcoming Alkaid#2 well.
Companies: Pantheon Resources plc
Chariot has signed a front-end engineering and design (FEED) agreement with Schlumberger and Subsea 7 (the Subsea Integration Alliance) for the Anchois gas development project. Chariot and the Subsea Integration Alliance will adopt a “one team” integrated and collaborative approach to fast-track first gas from Anchois to maximise the return on investment for all stakeholders. The scope of work covers all the development's offshore elements including well completions and subsea production systems
Companies: Chariot Limited
AfriTin Mining (“ATM”) has announced another record-breaking quarter from Uis Phase 1. Tin production increased 13% QoQ to 152t for the three months to May (Q1 FY’23), supported by record recoveries, which along with cost initiatives drove a 16% improvement in All-In Sustaining Costs. The strong performance continues to support growth projects including incorporation of petalite lithium and tantalum by-products, upon which AfriTin recently announced positive drilling and metallurgical test work
Companies: AfriTin Mining Ltd.
Hannam & Partners
RCS-1 flow testing results
Companies: Arrow Exploration Corp.
EQTEC has reached a key milestone in its Southport energy from waste project with the appointment of Anaergia as EPC and O&M partner. This is a complex project using multiple waste treatment solutions and we see EQTEC’s inclusion as a demonstration that it’s technology can combine with these to create an optimal outcome.
Companies: EQTEC PLC
Trinity has announced the commencement of its highly anticipated onshore drilling campaign. The Company's fully funded, six well drilling programme will target an aggregate 450-1,100mmbbls of reserves at a cost of US$14-17m. In addition to drilling four “conventional” low angle wells, Trinity will also drill one horizontal well and one deeper appraisal well, with both the horizontal and deeper appraisal wells having the potential to deliver substantially higher production and economic returns ve
Companies: Trinity Exploration & Production Plc
Wentworth has announced a positive operational update ahead of its AGM to be held later today. Daily production year-to-date (YTD) has averaged 92.2MMscf/d, a c15% YoY increase (2021: 79.9MMscf/d) and ahead of Wentworth's 2022 guidance of 75-85MMscf/d. As noted previously, the strong performance of the Mnazi Bay asset YTD has allowed Wentworth to increase its total dividend distribution in respect of 2021 to 1.7p per share, a yield of c7.1%. Mnazi Bay continues to supply Tanzania with half of th
Companies: Wentworth Resources PLC
• Section II of the Northern Peruvian Pipeline has been temporary re-opened.
• As a result, 0.72 mmbbl of PetroTal’s Bretana oil has been tendered at the Bayovar port by Petroperu for the July lifting. This oil previously entered the pipeline in late 2020 for which PetroTal was paid just ~US$45/bbl at the time.
• PetroTal will receive the difference between this price and the price at which Petroperu will sell the oil in July (~US$120/bbl), generating over US$60 mm of price adjustment true-up r
Companies: PetroTal Corp.
Wentworth has announced the acquisition of a 25% non-operated working interest in the Ruvuma PSA from Scirocco Energy for an initial consideration of US$3m plus contingent payments of up to US$13m. The consideration is structured to ensure that the majority is only paid in a success case, providing Wentworth with a low-cost entry point into a high growth opportunity. The transaction has the potential to nearly double the Company's production by 2026 and add over 190Bcf of 2P reserves on a Final
• 2022 YTD gross production was 92 mmcf/d, ahead of our expectations of 89 mmcf/d for 1H22.
• The FY22 production guidance remains unchanged at 75-85 mmcf/d. It looks very conservative in our view.
• The company currently holds US$26 mm in cash and no debt. This is in line with our expectations.
• TPDC continues to be current with regards to receivables.
• We re-iterate our target price of £0.45 per share.
Steady growth and dividend
Our Core NAV for the company based on its 2P reserves only i