Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on CANADIAN NATL RAILWAY CO. We currently have 19 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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CANADIAN NATL RAILWAY CO
CANADIAN NATL RAILWAY CO
1Q16 Carloads Down 6.4% y/y; Adjusted 1Q16 EPS of $0.93; 12 MTP of $87.50/sh, Downgrade to Market Perform
23 Mar 16
We expect CN carloads to be down 6.4% in 1Q16 y/y as result of significant declines in metals and minerals, coal and petroleum products. Due to exposure to commodity prices impacting shipping volumes, we expect a 3.6% y/y decline in 1Q16 revenue, down to $2.99 billion. We predict 1Q16 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.93/share, in line with consensus, which represents an increase of 7% when compared to 1Q15. Due to changes to our expectations, we have lowered our 12-month target price to $87.50/share, down from our previous estimate of $90.00/share. With the shares up 12% since our upgrade, CNR receives a Market Perform ranking.
CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY COMPANY (CNR) DETAILS ITS $2.9 BILLION OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT FOR 2016
10 Feb 16
On February 10, 2016, CN announced further details of its 2016 capital investment guidance of $2.9 billion. CN plans to spend $1.5 billion on track infrastructure, $600 million on rolling stock equipment, $400 million on Positive Train Control (PTC) technology, and $400 million on other initiatives. CN will spend 52% of its capital investment or $1.5 billion on track infrastructure, including replacements of rail and ties, bridge maintenance (this alone took $100 mm in 2015, or about $500,000/bridge-mile) and targeted branch line upgrades.
CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY COMPANY (CNR) ANNOUNCES SHARE REPURCHASE UNDER NCIB
05 Feb 16
On Friday February 5, 2016, after market close, CN announced that it will repurchase a portion of its common stock under a specific share repurchase program, which will form part of CN's 12-month normal course issuer bid (NCIB) totaling 33 million shares announced on October 27, 2015. The daily repurchases will cap out at 1,500,000 of CN common shares with the bids running from March 1, 2016 to March 11, 2016. CN will be purchasing the common shares from a third party at a price that will be negotiated but ultimately lower than current market value at the time of the bid.
4Q15 Adj. EPS of $1.18 Beats Consensus ($1.11)/ FCC ($1.09) Estimates, Operating Ratio of 57.2% Lower than Consensus (57.9%)/FCC (58.4%) Estimates
27 Jan 16
CN has proven its capacity to operate efficiently and produce at the bottom line. Based on our new estimates and an NAV (Atax, 8%) of $89.37 per share, we have increased our 12-month target price to $90.00 per share and upgraded our ranking to Outperform.
CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY COMPANY (CNR) SUBMITS ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT STATEMENT FOR PROPOSED MILTON LOGISTICS HUB
07 Jan 16
On Thursday January 7, after market close, CN announced that it has submitted an Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) for its proposed $250 million logistics hub in Milton, ON, to the Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency (CEAA). The EIS outlines specific measures that CN plans to follow in an effort to limit the project's environmental impact on the community and demonstrates commitment to the project.
08 Dec 16
Elderstreet stake acquired 02 GENERAL NEWS Globalworth premium In this issue Venture capital firm Draper Esprit has taken a 30.8% stake in venture capital trust manager Elderstreet. Both investment managers focus on the technology sector and they will be able to co-invest. Elderstreet has investments in a number of AIM-quoted companies through its VCTs. The purchase was funded by an issue of Draper Esprit shares worth just over £250,000. Simon Cook, the chief executive of Draper Esprit, is a former partner at Elderstreet so he knows the business and the people who run it, although he did leave more than 14 years ago. Cook has previously acquired portfolios from 3i and Cazenove, two other firms where he has worked. Draper Esprit has an option to acquire the remaining shares in Elderstreet, which has more than £25m under management. Adding Elderstreet to the group enables Draper Esprit to offer investors a range of EIS funds, VCTs and an ISA qualifying listed evergreen patient capital fund. The enlarged group has venture capital assets under management of more than £350m. At the end of September 2016, Draper Esprit had a net asset value of 352p a share, which is similar to the current share price. The June 2016 flotation price was 300p a share. Draper Esprit is quoted on Ireland’s Enterprise Securities Market as well as AIM.
Focused on the long term
08 Dec 16
These are rare events but it is nice to see a management use its public listing advantageously to trade short-term dilution in EPS for the optionality of asymmetric upside in the long term. With over £10m already in the balance sheet, ABD has successfully raised £5.4m gross in a placing and expects to raise another £1m from an offer. We were not surprised to learn that the placing was over 3.5x oversubscribed. How many listed UK companies are positioned to take advantage of the digital revolution in the automotive industry? The additional investment in new people, facilities, products & services should be dilutive to FY2017-18 EPS but this is small price to pay to establish the leading supplier of integrated test, measurement and simulation solutions to the autonomous vehicle industry. Our forecasts assume that growth will accelerate from FY2019. We raise our target price to 575p based on 15x FY2019 EPS, equivalent to Ricardo, the only other UK stock which has embraced the optionalities offered by the technological changes in the automotive industry.
07 Dec 16
Severfield’s (SFR’s) H117 results were well ahead of the previous year; margin performance and order book development cause us to raise our FY17 profit expectations. This combination has also proved to be a catalyst for share price outperformance following the results. Revenue growth and further margin development towards management’s stated aim of doubling FY16 PBT by 2020 can sustain further progress.
Exceptional trading continues
08 Nov 16
Keywords has announced that the strong trading in localisation and audio services has continued into H216. In particular, the Synthesis business acquired in April continues to benefit from exceptionally strong trading. Full-year results are now expected to be materially ahead of consensus and we upgrade our FY16e EPS by 13%. Erring on the side of caution, we have not changed our FY17 estimates significantly. Nevertheless, we believe the company does have a platform to sustain double-digit earnings growth, and hence medium-/long-term prospects for further share appreciation remain good.
N+1 Singer - Waterman Group - Encouraging AGM statement in line with expectations
09 Dec 16
This morning’s AGM Statement confirms that trading in the first four months of the year to 31st October was in line with expectations. Revenue was slightly above the prior year period and cash collection has remained strong. The Group has reiterated its commitment to maintaining a progressive dividend policy. The statement is encouraging and we therefore leave our forecasts unchanged. We note the attractions of a 5% dividend yield and consider the shares inexpensive at 4.5x FY’17 EV/EBITDA.