Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on CANADIAN NATL RAILWAY CO. We currently have 19 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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CANADIAN NATL RAILWAY CO
CANADIAN NATL RAILWAY CO
1Q16 Carloads Down 6.4% y/y; Adjusted 1Q16 EPS of $0.93; 12 MTP of $87.50/sh, Downgrade to Market Perform
23 Mar 16
We expect CN carloads to be down 6.4% in 1Q16 y/y as result of significant declines in metals and minerals, coal and petroleum products. Due to exposure to commodity prices impacting shipping volumes, we expect a 3.6% y/y decline in 1Q16 revenue, down to $2.99 billion. We predict 1Q16 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.93/share, in line with consensus, which represents an increase of 7% when compared to 1Q15. Due to changes to our expectations, we have lowered our 12-month target price to $87.50/share, down from our previous estimate of $90.00/share. With the shares up 12% since our upgrade, CNR receives a Market Perform ranking.
CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY COMPANY (CNR) DETAILS ITS $2.9 BILLION OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT FOR 2016
10 Feb 16
On February 10, 2016, CN announced further details of its 2016 capital investment guidance of $2.9 billion. CN plans to spend $1.5 billion on track infrastructure, $600 million on rolling stock equipment, $400 million on Positive Train Control (PTC) technology, and $400 million on other initiatives. CN will spend 52% of its capital investment or $1.5 billion on track infrastructure, including replacements of rail and ties, bridge maintenance (this alone took $100 mm in 2015, or about $500,000/bridge-mile) and targeted branch line upgrades.
CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY COMPANY (CNR) ANNOUNCES SHARE REPURCHASE UNDER NCIB
05 Feb 16
On Friday February 5, 2016, after market close, CN announced that it will repurchase a portion of its common stock under a specific share repurchase program, which will form part of CN's 12-month normal course issuer bid (NCIB) totaling 33 million shares announced on October 27, 2015. The daily repurchases will cap out at 1,500,000 of CN common shares with the bids running from March 1, 2016 to March 11, 2016. CN will be purchasing the common shares from a third party at a price that will be negotiated but ultimately lower than current market value at the time of the bid.
4Q15 Adj. EPS of $1.18 Beats Consensus ($1.11)/ FCC ($1.09) Estimates, Operating Ratio of 57.2% Lower than Consensus (57.9%)/FCC (58.4%) Estimates
27 Jan 16
CN has proven its capacity to operate efficiently and produce at the bottom line. Based on our new estimates and an NAV (Atax, 8%) of $89.37 per share, we have increased our 12-month target price to $90.00 per share and upgraded our ranking to Outperform.
CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY COMPANY (CNR) SUBMITS ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT STATEMENT FOR PROPOSED MILTON LOGISTICS HUB
07 Jan 16
On Thursday January 7, after market close, CN announced that it has submitted an Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) for its proposed $250 million logistics hub in Milton, ON, to the Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency (CEAA). The EIS outlines specific measures that CN plans to follow in an effort to limit the project's environmental impact on the community and demonstrates commitment to the project.
20 Feb 17
Hayward Tyler Group* (HAYT): Trading update and financial position (CORP) | Petra Diamonds (PDL): Interim results (BUY) | Gemfields* (GEM): Interim results (CORP) | Premaitha Health* (NIPT): Middle East momentum (CORP) | Sound Energy (SOU): Acquisition update and TE-8 well spud (HOLD) | Proactis* (PHD): Interim trading on track (CORP) | 7digital* (7DIG): Automotive contract win (CORP)
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
N+1 Singer - Small-cap quantitative research - New quality style screen + 11 quality focus stocks
09 Feb 17
We introduce our fourth and final style screen representing “quality”. This screens for stocks with the best combination of high returns on capital/equity, EBIT margins and operating cash-flow conversion rates. These criteria should help us monitor how strong underlying returns translate into share price performance over time and under varying market conditions. The screen selects the “best” 25 stocks from our universe of just over 500 stocks and, as usual, we focus on a shorter list of stocks we cover or otherwise know and believe to be particularly interesting. We provide brief investment summaries on these focus stocks on pages 4 – 9. We will monitor performance and refresh the screen in approximately 3-4 months time.
Emerging from the clouds
16 Feb 17
Rolls-Royce’s underlying performance in FY16 was ahead of both its own and market expectations. Media focus on the non-cash £4.4bn headline FX loss is missing what looks to be the basis for optimism. As the civil model starts to move from investment in engines for the A350 and A330neo into the aftermarket delivery phase over the remainder of the decade, we think cash flow is likely to improve, particularly if supported by an eventual recovery in Marine.
15 Feb 17
At the current market capitalisation of £29m, we believe the shares are significantly undervalued. We estimate that the highly profitable Maritime business is alone worth at least £40m. With net cash of £9m at end-2016, this implies that the market is currently ascribing a combined negative value of £17m to the rest of the group, which together account for c.54% of group revenues. This is very harsh given the management actions to transform TP Group to a profit-driven Tier 2 specialist services and engineering company are bearing fruits across the divisions. TPG Managed Solutions is expected to more than double its profits in 2017, while TPG Engineering and Design & Technology are on course to deliver sustainable profits from 2019. Even if we ascribe zero value to Engineering, Design & Technology and Managed Solutions, the shares are worth 9.5p a share, a 38% upside from the current share price. BUY.
Small Cap Breakfast
16 Feb 17
Saffron Energy—Schedule One update. Raising £2.5m, expected Mkt Cap £7.7m. Admission due 24 Feb. Italian Oil & Gas Play Guinness Oil & Gas Exploration—Publication of prospectus. Seeking to raise £50m and invest in 15 exploration companies at launch, with plans to grow the portfolio to 30 positions during its lifetime. Issue closing 23 Feb. Arix Bioscience — Intention to float on the main market from the global healthcare and life science Company supporting medical innovation. Raised £52m in Feb 16 with investors including Woodford Investment Management