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  • 18 Jul 17

Morning Note

CyanConnode* (CYAN): Leader of the narrowband (CORP) | Ideagen* (IDEA): Consistent strength in delivery (CORP) | K3 Capital* (K3C): Director changes (CORP) | Lighthouse Group* (LGT): Trading update (CORP) | Somero Enterprises* (SOM): Strong June trading shows a pick-up in US market activity and affirms FY forecasts (CORP) | Castleton Technology* (CTP): Solid prelims (CORP) | Cello (CLL): Strengthening the offer in Health (BUY) | dotDigital* (DOTD): Yet again – positive trading update (CORP) | Allergy Therapeutics* (AGY): FY trading update drives 7% upgrade (BUY)

Companies: CYAN IDEA K3C LGT SOM CTP CLL DOTD AGY

  • 19 Jul 17

Morning Note

Tristel* (TSTL): Trading update drives upgrades (CORP) | Cello (CLL): On track and investing for growth (BUY) | The People’s Operator* (TPOP): Board changes (CORP) | Tax Systems* (TAX): Trading update: on track (CORP)

Companies: TSTL CLL TPOP TAX

  • 12 Jul 17

AIM – End of summer term report

We update this table which we first published in early January and highlight the continued progress of the biggest AIM companies so far this year and activity in general. The latest AIM Statistics show that there are 963 companies currently, with 28 new issues year to date raising £441m. What’s more, this momentum has been maintained since June. This demonstrates that despite, the uncertainty surrounding the UK economy, generally investors continue to be active in the AIM market. In Share News & Views we comment on Cohort, ECSC*, Porvair, Quarto*, SQS* and Xafinity.

Companies: BMS CRPR ECSC EUSP FDM PCF PPIX QRT SNX SPRP SQS TCN W7L

  • 05 Jul 17

Conviction List Q3 2017

Since its inception in 2010, the Panmure Gordon Conviction List has outperformed the market, returning 284% against a Small Companies index that would have returned 221% over the same period.

Companies: ALD AVON CTH GKN HVN HCM INF NOG OTB POLY SNR SQS STJ

  • 05 Jul 17

Making a great impression

Taptica offers a global end-to-end mobile advertising platform that helps the world's top brands reach their most valuable users with the widest range of traffic sources available. It utilises AI and machine learning to leverage proprietary big data for quality media targeting in high volumes. Cutting-edge algorithms assesses huge volumes of data in milliseconds, enabling global giants like Amazon, Disney, Facebook and Twitter to serve the right ad impressions, to exactly the right user, at exactly the right time – and at the right price – on mobile or social media channels. More than 600 clients are scaling and engaging more relevantly with mobile audiences, staying ahead of their competition. Headquartered in Israel, it is expanding globally: in the US, China, Korea and now the UK.

Companies: Taptica International
  • 19 Jul 17

N+1 Singer - Morning Song 19-07-2017

accesso Technology (ACSO LN) TE2 accelerates growth, but does not materially benefit EPS until FY19 | Alliance Pharma (APH LN) In line update; Diclectin UK approval expected Q3 | Cello Group (CLL LN) Trading update | City of London Investment Group (CLIG LN) FuM +7% in Q4, modest positive earnings surprise, better final dividend | Clinigen Group (CLIN LN) Clinigen Group (CLIN LN) | Horizon Discovery Group (HZD LN) Synergistic acquisition and proposed placing | Renold (RNO LN) AGM trading update reiterating expectations for FY18

Companies: CLL CLIG RNO CLIN HZD APH

  • 19 Jul 17

H117 pre-close update

No change to forecasts following the H117 update. NAHL management have a track record of being highly innovative around changes in regulation and the changing personal injury landscape presents an opportunity to build market share. The Group has communicated its growth strategy in response to these changes, providing forecast benchmarks on which to base longterm investment decisions. Based on these metrics, valuations now appear very modest in the context of the evolving investment case. Trading on a “trough” FY18 PE ratio of just 6.5x and a dividend yield of 10.6%, successful delivery to this strategy will, we believe, provide the catalyst for a strong share price recovery.

Companies: Nahl Group
  • 17 Jul 17

Small Cap Lunch

GetBusy PLC—Sch1 from the holding Company of its subsidiary undertakings, which operates as a document management software business with over 110 full time employees, headquartered in Cambridge, UK and operating across the UK, USA, Australia and New Zealand. Capital to be raised via a rights issues of £3m at 28.3p with anticipated market cap of £13.7m. Work Group PLC—Sch1 from the Company that proposes to acquire the entire issued share capital of Gordon Dadds Group Limited (GDG). GDG is an acquisitive law firm and a group of other complimentary businesses, including Prolegal, an acquisition vehicle model focused on smaller law firm. Capital to be raised is £20m with anticipated market cap of £40m. Quiz—Sch 1 from the omni-channel and international own brand in the women's value fast fashion sector. Offer TBA. Expected late July. Last year Quiz posted sales of £87.4m while pre-tax profits grew by 17pc to £5.7m . Arena Events Group -provider of temporary physical structures, seating, ice rinks, furniture and interiors. Raising £60m. Mkt cap £63m. Expected on the Chef’s birthday, 25th July. Altus Strategies—African focused natural resource Company. Offer TBC. Expected Mid July. Harvey Nash Group— Provider of professional recruitment and offshore solutions moving to AIM from Main. No capital to be raised. Mkt Cap c. £57.8m. Greencoat Renewables - Schedule 1. Targeting a portfolio of operating renewable electricity generation assets, initially investing in wind generation assets in Ireland. Offer TBC. Due Mid July. I3 Energy –Schedule 1 Update. Independent oil and gas Company with assets and operations in the UK. Offer TBC, Mid July Admission. Verditek— Sch 1 update. The Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Issue price 10p. Admission late June. Hipgnosis Songs Fund investment Company offering pure-play exposure to Songs and associated musical intellectual property rights. Prospectus yet to be published. Impact Investment Trust—Exposure to a diversified portfolio of funds providing SMEs across developing economies with the growth capital they need to have a positive impact on the lives of the world's poorer populations. Raising up to $150m at $1.00. Curzon Energy—Report on Proactive Investors of intended LSE float this year with acquisition of coal bed methane assets in Oregon. Looking to raise £3m plus. NLB Group—financial and banking institution based in Slovenia, with a network of 356 branches. Seeking Ljubliana Stock Exchange listing with GDRs on the LSE. Expected mid June. Kuwait Energy— has not been able to complete its initial public offering as announced in its Intention To Float of 3 May 2017. However, in light of positive feedback from potential investors, the Company remains committed to obtaining a London listing and continues to explore its options. Supermarket Income REIT– Up to £200m raise to acquire a diversified portfolio of supermarket real estate assets in the UK, providing long-term RPI-linked income. Due 21 July.

Companies: TAL PGH YU/ FRAN OPTI GRA KENV GMR AFX ELCO

  • 18 Jul 17

Income, growth, optionality

We forecast STVG’s core TV business to deliver growth in profits and cash flow for many years to come, aided by growth in VOD revenues and a cost base which is much more variable than that of ITV. Even after eventual DTT switch-off, current investments in data should underpin a viable future based on targeted video advertising. Our valuation of STVG’s core business more than accounts for the current EV, giving investors a free option on several areas of potential upside we see to current numbers. With a 4.7% prospective yield the shares offer steady income and growth attractions, and an attractive alternative to ITV in our view. We initiate with a Buy rating and 460p Target Price (28% upside).

Companies: Stv Group
  • 19 Jul 17

World-class animations group

Mondo TV has radically improved its financial profile over the last three years and targets a tripling of EBITDA over the next five. Funding is in place and the new strategy is underpinned by a number of shows with high-margin licensing and merchandising potential. Announcements of additional licensing deals or significant new partners should help build confidence in the deliverability of its ambitious targets and close the 20% FY18 EV/EBIT discount to peers.

Companies: Mondo Tv
  • 07 Jul 17

Expanding on the Home front

Future has announced the acquisition of the Home Interest division of Centaur Media, part-funded by a placing of £22m at 250p. The purchase, for a net cash consideration of £30.24m, adds a strong new vertical with good margins and attractive cash flow. Future should be able to drive additional value by adding e-commerce capabilities and internationalising the brands, further boosting the earnings enhancement. Our numbers will be formally updated when the deal completes (estimated to be at the end of July), but provisionally we would expect to be showing a small uplift in EPS in FY17e and around 10% in FY18e, highlighting the attractive rating.

Companies: Future
  • 27 Mar 17

The Joy of Techs

Enterprise-focused niche applications of tech illustrate how, while trends appear to be fluctuating away from the current poster children of fintech and the Internet of Things, in fact these developments are refining appropriate application of existing technologies.

Companies: 7DIG AMO ARTA BVC BOTB CTP CFHL ISL DTC DOTD ELCO ESV FDSA FDEV GBG IDEA IDOX IMTK IGP IOM KBT KCOM KWS LRM MAI MMX NASA NET ONEV PHD QTX QXT RCN 932 SSY SEE SIM SPE TAX TEP TPOP TRAK UNG VIP ZOO

  • 19 Jun 17

Support Group

In light of the UK election, we highlight our favoured overseas earners, operators in defensive markets and those capable of taking market share, but our main topic is the structure of the UK employment market. The UK has the lowest unemployment rate since 1975 at 4.6%, and there are, consequently, fewer and fewer candidates to fill vacancies. This suggests recruitment companies may struggle to grow, but there are structural changes in the UK labour force that offer growth opportunities. Temporary labour continues to expand relative to the point in the economic cycle, its importance accelerating since 2008, and part-time labour has grown at twice the rate of full-time labour throughout both the last cycle and over the long term. There are, of course, specialist temporary recruiters, but the part-time market appears relatively untapped (at least by the quoted companies) despite being c.5x the size of the temporary segment in terms of numbers.

Companies: FOUR ACL BOOT CLL CMS CNCT FCRM LOK PPH RNWH SVCA STAF UTW WATR

  • 18 Jul 17

Small Cap Lauch

GetBusy PLC—Sch1 from the holding Company of its subsidiary undertakings, which operates as a document management software business with over 110 full time employees, headquartered in Cambridge, UK and operating across the UK, USA, Australia and New Zealand. Capital to be raised via a rights issues of £3m at 28.3p with anticipated market cap of £13.7m. | Work Group PLC—Sch1 from the Company that proposes to acquire the entire issued share capital of Gordon Dadds Group Limited (GDG). GDG is an acquisitive law firm and a group of other complimentary businesses, including Prolegal, an acquisition vehicle model focused on smaller law firm. Capital to be raised is £20m with anticipated market cap of £40m. | Quiz—Sch 1 from the omni-channel and international own brand in the women's value fast fashion sector. Offer TBA. Expected late July. Last year Quiz posted sales of £87.4m while pre-tax profits grew by 17pc to £5.7m . | Arena Events Group -provider of temporary physical structures, seating, ice rinks, furniture and interiors. Raising £60m. Mkt cap £63m. Expected on the Chef’s birthday, 25th July. | Altus Strategies—African focused natural resource Company. Offer TBC. Expected Mid July. | Harvey Nash Group— Provider of professional recruitment and offshore solutions moving to AIM from Main. No capital to be raised. Mkt Cap c. £57.8m. | Greencoat Renewables - Schedule 1. Targeting a portfolio of operating renewable electricity generation assets, initially investing in wind generation assets in Ireland. Offer TBC. Due Mid July. I3 Energy –Schedule 1 Update. Independent oil and gas Company with assets and operations in the UK. Issue price of 55p with anticipated market cap of £14.3m, mid July Admission. | Verditek— Sch 1 update. The Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Issue price 10p. Admission late June. Hipgnosis Songs Fund investment Company offering pure-play exposure to Songs and associated musical intellectual property rights. Prospectus yet to be published. | Impact Investment Trust—Exposure to a diversified portfolio of funds providing SMEs across developing economies with the growth capital they need to have a positive impact on the lives of the world's poorer populations. Raising up to $150m at $1.00. | Curzon Energy—Report on Proactive Investors of intended LSE float this year with acquisition of coal bed methane assets in Oregon. Looking to raise £3m plus. NLB Group—financial and banking institution based in Slovenia, with a network of 356 branches. Seeking Ljubliana Stock Exchange listing with GDRs on the LSE. Expected mid June. | Kuwait Energy— has not been able to complete its initial public offering as announced in its Intention To Float of 3 May 2017. However, in light of positive feedback from potential investors, the Company remains committed to obtaining a London listing and continues to explore its options. | Supermarket Income REIT– Up to £200m raise to acquire a diversified portfolio of supermarket real estate assets in the UK, providing long-term RPI-linked income. Due 21 July.

Companies: SEV JDG MTPH ACC PREM AST SNX CLL SFE AGY

  • 26 May 17

Your Law ABS launch

The announcement of the ABS agreement with NewLaw is a key step in delivery of management strategy to take advantage of recent changes in the market. NAHL has a track record of being highly innovative around changes in regulation and we believe the changing personal injury landscape presents an opportunity to build market share. Whilst this has unsettled the share price which has more than halved from 2015 highs, valuations now appear very modest in the context of the emerging investment case supported by today’s announcement. Trading on a “trough” FY18 PE ratio of just 7.1x and a dividend yield of 9.6%, we believe the shares are meaningfully undervalued and are now poised to enter a strong recovery phase.

Companies: Nahl Group