PetroTal (PTAL LN)C; Target price £0.45: Field shut down– PetroTal has shut down the Bretana Field as a pre-emptive measure due to civil unrest outside the oil field camp. Bretana had restarted production on the 15th of July. An altercation between the police and protestors resulted in a dozen injuries and three deaths among the protestors. The civil unrest has been conducted by the same group that took over Petroperu’s Pump Station No.5. PetroTal indicated that this group is not from the Bretana area and that it is seeking Government assistance against the COVID-19 crisis. The community’s complaints are not related to PetroTal but rather are between the community and the Government. PetroTal will keep the field closed until things settle down and the local district prosecutor files its report, which is expected in the next few days. We estimate PetroTal’s cash position at ~US$20 mm at the end of June. PetroTal has produced ~0.2 mmbbl and delivered a total of 0.08 mm bbl to Iquitos and to the Petroperu pipeline equating to ~US$1.6 mm of cash inflow (net of transport and barging cost) since the field restarted mid-July. While the field is shutdown, we estimated PetroTal cash costs at ~ US$1 mm per month (including US$0.6 mm at the field). The share price is down over 12% on the announcement to ~£0.12 per share. We believe that a return to normality would unlock £0.30 per share of value for the company based on its 2P reserves only. IN OTHER NEWS ________________________________________ AMERICAS Alvopetro Energy (ALV CN): 2Q20 results | Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN): Update in the Bahamas and Trinidad | Diversified Gas & Oil (DGOC LN): 2Q20 results and dividend increase | Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN/CN)C: 2Q20 update in Trinidad EUROPE Condor Petroleum (CPI CN): 2Q20 results | Deltic Energy (DELT LN): Increased prospectivity in the UK | Reabold Resources (RBD LN): Not acquiring Deltic Energy | Serinus Energy (SENX LN): 2Q20 results | Valeura Energy (VLU LN/VLE CN): 2Q20 results FORMER SOVIET UNION JKX Oil & Gas (JKX LN): 1H20 results MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA ShaMaran Petroleum (SNM CN): 2Q20 results | TransGlobe Energy (TGL LN/CN): 2Q20 results SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Africa Oil (AOI SS/CN): 2Q20 results | Orca Energy (ORC.A/B CN): Operating update in Tanzania EVENTS TO WATCH NEXT WEEK ________________________________________ 21/08/2020: Premier Oil (PMO LN) – 2Q20 results
Companies: VLE TXP TGL SNM SEN RBD TAL DGOC BPC ALV AOI
PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN)C; Target: £0.45: Initiating coverage – PetroTal is a production and reserve growth story in Peru with a market cap of ~£90 mm. Management’s experience of operating in the jungle and their deep in country relationships are key. Project execution has been excellent. The Bretaña field (48 mmbbl 2P reserves) was acquired from Gran Tierra in late 2017 with production of 1 mbbl/d achieved in 3Q18. By YE19 that figure had grown to >13 mbbl/d. While COVID-19 forced a shut down of the export infrastructure and Brent prices collapsed to ~US$20/bbl, PetroTal has managed to negotiate with Petroperu a reduction in transport fees and a rephasing of a contingent payment. With the recent US$18 mm equity raise strengthening the balance sheet and production expected to restart in July, PetroTal is returning to growth. Bretaña could produce 20 mbbl/d. PetroTal’s shares trade at ~ one quarter of our Core NAV of £0.46 per share and at one third of the company’s value based on its 2P reserves only (2P NAV of £0.28 per share). On flat production, the share price implies EV/DACF multiples of 1.0x in 2021 turning negative in 2022. Importantly PetroTal’s only material liabilities consist of (1) an oil linked contingent payment over three years to Petroperu on very flexible terms and (2) trade payables of US$49 mm with attractive payment terms. We forecast ~US$45 mm of capex (incl. servicing the payables) in 2H20. This is covered by (1) US$28 mm in cash from a recent equity raise plus collecting pending invoices from oil sales, (2) >US$10 mm of VAT receivables and (3) ~US$25 mm operating cash flow (US$11-12/bbl net backs) in 2H20 at US$38/bbl. At ~US$45/bbl and 12 mbbl/d in 2021, we forecast PetroTal generates ~US$90 mm cash flow with ~US$35 mm cash capex (incl. servicing the payables). Our target price of £0.45 per share (~our Core NAV) represents 4.5x the current share price. i3 Energy (I3E LN): Corporate update | Parex Resources (PXT CN): Trading update in Colombia | Phoenix Global Resources (PGR LN): FY19 results | Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B LN): Dry hole in Brazil | IGas Energy (IGAS LN): Trading update | Serinus Energy (SEN LN): Deferred EBRD debt repayment | Union Jack (UJO LN): Additional interest in UK asset | SDX Energy (SDX LN): Update in Egypt and Morocco| ShaMaran Petroleum (SNM CN): Payment from KRG and debt restructuring | United Oil & Gas (UOG LN): Reserves and production update in Egypt | FAR (FAR AU): Not paying cash call in Senegal | Lekoil (LEK LN): Update in Nigeria | San Leon Energy (SLE LN): FY19 results | Savannah Energy (SAVE LN): Trading update | Victoria Oil & Gas (VOG LN): Trading update in Cameroon
Companies: SEN SDX TAL PGR VOG PXT SAVE RDSA FAR
Serinus Energy (SENX LN) - Moftinu well flows 6.0MMscf/d on test, Romania | IGas Energy (IGAS LN): 2P NPV10 increases by US$20m
Companies: SERINUS ENERGY (SEN:TSE)IGas Energy plc (IGAS:LON)
This note takes a look at UK oil and gas sector equities from the supermajors down to the small cap E&Ps, the extent to which they outperform a simple bet on oil prices, and whether there are common characteristics that can allow investors to pick winners in the space. We conclude that outperformance is possible and has been achieved by numerous names in the last ten years, with the core hallmarks being asset base augmentation, either by progressing assets and/or via acquisition, and possessing the agency to achieve this. We also include profiles of the oil and gas stocks in our coverage.
Companies: BLVN GENL GEEC GKP HTG HUR IOG JOG LAM PANR PMO RKH SEN
Touchstone Exploration (TXP LN/CN)1 ; BUY, £0.25: 3Q19 results | Baron Oil (BOIL LN) (not covered): Reverse take over with South East Asia business | Premier Oil (PMO LN); BUY, £1.45: Solid 3Q19 update | Serinus Energy (SENX LN)1 ; Speculative Buy, £0.20: 3Q19 results | Condor Petroleum (CPI CN) (not covered): 3Q19 results and entry into Uzbekistan | Africa Oil (AOI CN/SS): BUY, C$2.60; 3Q19 results | Tullow Oil (TLW LN); REDUCE, £1.55: Wait for further visibility on Ghana
Companies: TXP BOIL PMO SEN AOI TLW
Serinus has released its Q3 2019 results. These report Q3 production of 2.1mboe/d (1.7mboe/d from Romania and 0.4mboe/d from Tunisia), making for 1.2mboe/d for the Q1-Q3 period, and representing a significant increase on the 0.7boe/d reported for H1 2019. This has been achieved mainly on the back of the Moftinu gas plant in Romania (brought onstream in April), but also the Chouech Es Saida field in Tunisia being brought back into production over the summer. This, alongside strong realised Romanian gas prices averaging US$7.3/mcf over Q1-Q3, has driven Q3 EBITDA of US$4.1m, for a total of US$5.2m for Q1-Q3; and Q3 FCF of US$1.6m, for a total of US$2.3m for Q1-Q3. Net debt at the end of September was US$28.2m, from US$29.1m at the end of June. Unit OPEX was US$11.8/boe for Q1-Q3, from US$16.5/boe in H1, with the positive impact from higher production partly countered by increased costs in Tunisia bringing Chouech Es Saida back onstream.
Companies: SERINUS ENERGY
3Q19 WI production was 1.5 mboe/d (GMP FEe: 1.4 mboe/d), comprising 1.0 mboe/d in Romania (GMP FEe: 1.0 mboe/d) and 0.4 mboe/d in Tunisia (GMP FEe: 0.4 mboe/d). October production was 1.3 mboe/d (GMP FEe 4Q19: 1.4 mboe/d), comprising 0.7 mboe/d in Romania (GMP FEe 4Q19: 0.9 mboe/d) and 0.6 mboe/d in Tunisia (GMP FEe 4Q19: 0.5 mboe/d). In Romania, October production was impacted by routine maintenance of the Moftinu gas plant from October 14 to October 20 and the subsequent ramping up of the Moftinu production on a smaller choke. In Tunisia, the company recommenced production at the Chouech Es Saida field during the quarter and exited October with production from the field of 277 bbl/d. End 3Q19 net debt was c. US$27.1 mm (GMP FEe: c. US$27.8 mm).
Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas (ECO): Encouraging Guyana Operational Update | Serica Energy (SQZ): Receipt of OFAC License and Assurance for Rhum | Serinus Energy (SENX): 12-month extension at Satu Mare, Moftinu-1004 to be drilled in January 2020
Companies: EOG SQZ SEN
Serinus has been granted a 12-month extension on the third exploration phase of the Satu Mare Concession in Romania. The company is proceeding with the drilling of the Moftinu - 1004 production well in 1Q20. The third exploration phase was set to expire on 26 October 2019.
Petro Matad (MATD LN) (not covered): Operating update in Mongolia | Equinor (EQNR NO) (not covered): 3Q19 results | Serinus Energy (SENX LN); SPECULATIVE BUY, £0.20: Licence extension in Romania | Serica Energy (SQZ LN) (not covered): North Sea update | Waldorf Production acquiring UK North Sea assets
Companies: MATD SEN SQZ
Serinus has announced that the Romanian regulator has granted a 12- month extension to the current phase of its Satu Mare block, in order to allow the existing work commitment to be met. The commitment is for a minimum 120 sq. km of 3D seismic. Serinus now has a 148 sq. km programme fully permitted, but this was not achieved in time to meet the original 26 October 2019 deadline (the company has to negotiate with numerous local landowners). As such, the licence phase has now been extended until 28 October 2020, and the new seismic programme is expected to go ahead in Q2 2020 in order to take advantage of local weather conditions.
Following continued delays of a Brexit agreement, few sectors within the UK market have remained attractive to investors despite low valuations. One sector which has continued to outperform despite the political drama has been the UK video gaming sector (henceforth UK gaming), which we are fans of. We believe a combination of sector-leading growth, strong cash conversion and timely cyclical positioning support our positive view on the UK video gaming sector.
Companies: ABBY AMS ANX ARS ATYM AVON BLVN PIER BUR CGS CAML CDM CSRT TIDE CYAN JET2 DEMG ELM EMR FPO FDEV GTLY GENL GHH GRI GEEC GKP HMI HAYD HEAD HILS HTG HUR IBPO IOG INDI JHD JOG KAPE KEYS KWS KCT KGH LAM LIT LOK MACF MANO MOD OXIG PCA PANR APP SRE PHC PMO RBW RMM RBGP RSW RNO ROR SUS SCPA SEN SHG SOLG SOM SUMO TM17 INCE TWD TRAK TRI VNET VTC ZOO ZTF
Jadestone Energy (JSE): Southwest Vietnam Field Development Plan | Echo Energy (ECHO) – Acquisition agreement withPhoenix Global Resources | Block Energy (BLOE): Successful Cementing of Casing at Well WR-38Z | PetroTal (PTAL) – PetroTal achieves record production at Bretaña, Peru | Serinus Energy (SENX) - Moftinu gas production has resumed | Lekoil (LEK) - Phase Two Development Project Sanctioned
Companies: JSE ECHO BLOE TAL SEN LEK
African Export-Import Bank a supranational financial institution w hose purpose is to facilitate, prom ote and expand intra- and extra- African trade, of its potential intention to publish a registration document, the Bank hereby confirms its intention to proceed with an Initial Public Offering. The GDRs are expected to be admitted to the standard listing segment of the Official List of the FCA and to trading on the Main Market of the LSE.
Companies: GFIN WRES BEG MIND BLOE JAY DXRX SEN EMIS
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN) (not covered): Equity raise and convertible for Bahamas | Serinus Energy (SEN LN); Speculative Buy, £0.20: Operating update | Regal Petroleum (RPT LN) (not covered): Operating update in Ukraine | Tethys Oil (TETY SS)1,6; BUY, SEK85: September production in Oman | TransGlobe Energy (TGL LN/CN)1,6; BUY, £2.40: Operating update
Companies: BPC SEN ENW TGL TETY
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on SERINUS ENERGY. We currently have 109 research reports from 5 professional analysts.
i3 Energy has provided an interim update the highlights of which are: • Production is exceeding expectations with lower declines than modelled resulting in stable production from November 2020 to January 2021 averaging 9,150 boe/d (41% liquids) – about 1,000 boe/d greater than expected by the forecasts of the company's competent persons' reports at the time of its relisting. • Based on the futures curves for oil & gas, the company anticipates net operating income for 2021 (revenue minus royalties, operating costs, transportation and processing) of approximately CAD $35m (US $27.6m). • Maintenance capital expenditure guidance in conjunction with the net operating income amounts to CAD$3m. • i3 Energy completed an 80 hour flow-test on a horizontal Falher well located on its Noel acreage in Northeast British Columbia. The flow test ran for a sustained period at 4,200 mcf/d (700 boe/d) on a 1/4” choke. The well is expected to be brought on production at approximately 500 boepd during the second quarter of 2021, following tie-in. This well was not included in the company's 2P reserve estimates. The result represents a materially value enhancing development. Both the net income guidance and maintenance capital guidance excludes the potential contribution of the Noel acreage. • The Company continues to progress the legal process to allow it to declare a dividend in Q1 2021. As previously disclosed, the Company aims to distribute up to 30% of free cash flow as a dividend to shareholders. • The company indicated that discussions continue with a potential farm-in partner for the Serenity discovery and terms are being negotiated. The recent strengthening in commodity prices has reinvigorated activity within i3's virtual data room, and additional parties previously contacted during early 2020 have now re-engaged with the company. The company indicated that the market will be updated if and when an agreement is reached. (see Table 1 for asset scale/value estimates in relation to the company's North Sea assets).
Companies: i3 Energy Plc
tinyBuild— a leading video games publisher and developer with global operations. tinyBuild's strategic focus is in creating longlasting IP by partnering with video games developers, establishing a stable platform on which to build multi-game and multimedia franchises is to join AIM. Offer details TBC. Due mid-March. AMTE Power, a developer and manufacturer of lithium-ion battery cells for specialist markets, announced its intention to seek admission to trading on AIM. Admission is expected to take place during March 2021. The Company intends to raise approximately £7m by way of a placing of new ordinary shares in the capital of the Company. Timing TBC. Samarkand Group Limited, the cross-border eCommerce technology and retail group opening up the world's largest market for brands and retailers, intends to IPO on the Apex Segment Aquis Stock Exchange Growth Market. Admission is targeted for March 2021. Cellular Goods a UK-based provider of premium consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids announced its intention to join the main market (standard). Has raised £13M in an oversubscribed placing. £25m mkt cap. Due 26 Feb. NextEnergy Renewables to launch an IPO on the Main Market. NREN is a differentiated renewables investment Company that aims to capture the most attractive private renewables and energy transition infrastructure investment opportunities globally. Targeting a £300m raise. NREN is targeting total returns of 9-11 per cent. per annum (net of all fees and expenses but including the Target Dividend and capital appreciation) . The Company's target dividend yield for the first full financial year to 31 December 2022 is 5.5 pence. Due Early March 2021. Digital 9 Infrastructure launch an initial public offering on the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, by way of an initial placing and offer for subscription for a target issue £400m. Digital 9 Infrastructure plc is a newly established, externally managed investment trust. The Company will invest in a range of digital infrastructure assets which deliver a reliable, functioning internet. The IPO Prospectus is expected to be published in March 2021. Team PLC announced their plans for an AIM IPO. Team owns Theta Enhanced Asset Management Ltd, trading as Team Asset Management. This is a Jersey-based active fund manager providing discretionary and advisory portfolio management services to private clients, trusts and charities. Assets under management were GBP291m in November, up from GBP140m in December 2019 . The Company is seeking to raise no less than £5m. The Placing will be priced on a pre-money valuation for the Company of £7m. Targeting March Admission. Virgin Wines UK Plc has out their plans for an AIM IPO. Virgin Wines is a direct-to-consumer online wine retailer that sells products to retail customers in the UK through two subscription schemes and a pay-as-you-go offering. The Group also sells a range of beers and spirits and operates a B2B sales channel for corporates. Anticipated mkt cap £110m. Raising £13m in new money and vendor sale of £34.9m . Due 2nd March. Fix Price announces its intention to float on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Fix Price is one of the leading variety value retailers globally and the largest in Russia, with more than 4,200 stores. Fix Price has revenues of RUB 190.1bn, RUB 142.9bn and RUB 108.7bn for 2020, 2019 and 2018, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA for the same years was RUB 36.8bn, RUB 27.2bn and RUB 14.2bn, respectively. The Offer would consist of an offering of GDRs by certain existing shareholders of the Company. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC announced its prospectus has been approved by the FCA. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC is a newly established, externally managed closed-ended investment company. The Company will provide project finance to content makers and commissioners in the global television and film production industry via senior loans secured against pre-sold intellectual property (IP) rights. GPEIT's investment objective is to provide Shareholders with dividend income and modest capital growth through exposure to media content finance. According to media reports, Deliveroo, are expecting to release their IPO plans on 8th March. The company raised more than $180m in January with a valuation of more than $7bn.
Companies: YEW IKA UPR WYN ENW BWNG TRAK DBOX HZM G4M
tinyBuild— a leading video games publisher and developer with global operations. tinyBuild's strategic focus is in creating longlasting IP by partnering with video games developers, establishing a stable platform on which to build multi-game and multimedia franchises is to join AIM. Offer details TBC. Due mid-March. AMTE Power, a developer and manufacturer of lithium-ion battery cells for specialist markets, announced its intention to seek admission to trading on AIM. Admission is expected to take place during March 2021. The Company intends to raise approximately £7m by way of a placing of new ordinary shares in the capital of the Company. Timing TBC. Samarkand Group Limited, the cross-border eCommerce technology and retail group opening up the world's largest market for brands and retailers, intends to IPO on the Apex Segment Aquis Stock Exchange Growth Market. Admission is targeted for March 2021. NextEnergy Renewables to launch an IPO on the Main Market. NREN is a differentiated renewables investment Company that aims to capture the most attractive private renewables and energy transition infrastructure investment opportunities globally. Targeting a £300m raise. NREN is targeting total returns of 9-11 per cent. per annum (net of all fees and expenses but including the Target Dividend and capital appreciation) . The Company's target dividend yield for the first full financial year to 31 December 2022 is 5.5 pence. Due Early March 2021. Digital 9 Infrastructure launch an initial public offering on the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, by way of an initial placing and offer for subscription for a target issue £400m. Digital 9 Infrastructure plc is a newly established, externally managed investment trust. The Company will invest in a range of digital infrastructure assets which deliver a reliable, functioning internet. The IPO Prospectus is expected to be published in March 2021. Team PLC announced their plans for an AIM IPO. Team owns Theta Enhanced Asset Management Ltd, trading as Team Asset Management. This is a Jersey-based active fund manager providing discretionary and advisory portfolio management services to private clients, trusts and charities. Assets under management were GBP291m in November, up from GBP140m in December 2019 . The Company is seeking to raise no less than £5m. The Placing will be priced on a pre-money valuation for the Company of £7m. Targeting March Admission. Virgin Wines UK Plc has out their plans for an AIM IPO. Virgin Wines is a direct-to-consumer online wine retailer that sells products to retail customers in the UK through two subscription schemes and a pay-as-you-go offering. The Group also sells a range of beers and spirits and operates a B2B sales channel for corporates. Anticipated mkt cap £110m. Raising £13m in new money and vendor sale of £34.9m . Due 2nd March. Fix Price announces its intention to float on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Fix Price is one of the leading variety value retailers globally and the largest in Russia, with more than 4,200 stores. Fix Price has revenues of RUB 190.1bn, RUB 142.9bn and RUB 108.7bn for 2020, 2019 and 2018, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA for the same years was RUB 36.8bn, RUB 27.2bn and RUB 14.2bn, respectively. The Offer would consist of an offering of GDRs by certain existing shareholders of the Company. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC announced its prospectus has been approved by the FCA. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC is a newly established, externally managed closed-ended investment company. The Company will provide project finance to content makers and commissioners in the global television and film production industry via senior loans secured against pre-sold intellectual property (IP) rights. GPEIT's investment objective is to provide Shareholders with dividend income and modest capital growth through exposure to media content finance. According to media reports, Deliveroo, are expecting to release their IPO plans on 8th March. The company raised more than $180m in January with a valuation of more than $7bn.
Companies: ARS ESC AQX ARTL KRS KBT GRP BOOM CNS ANIC
AMTE Power, a developer and manufacturer of lithium-ion battery cells for specialist markets, announced its intention to seek admission to trading on AIM. Admission is expected to take place during March 2021. The Company intends to raise approximately £7m by way of a placing of new ordinary shares in the capital of the Company. Timing TBC. Samarkand Group Limited, the cross-border eCommerce technology and retail group opening up the world's largest market for brands and retailers, intends to IPO on the Apex Segment Aquis Stock Exchange Growth Market. Admission is targeted for March 2021. Cellular Goods a UK-based provider of premium consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids announced its intention to join the main market (standard) this Spring. Target valuation £20m raising c. £8m “to finalise the development and launch of a range of the Company's premium-quality consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids, which is fully compliant under UK law.” NextEnergy Renewables to launch an IPO on the Main Market. NREN is a differentiated renewables investment Company that aims to capture the most attractive private renewables and energy transition infrastructure investment opportunities globally. Targeting a £300m raise. NREN is targeting total returns of 9-11 per cent. per annum (net of all fees and expenses but including the Target Dividend and capital appreciation) . The Company's target dividend yield for the first full financial year to 31 December 2022 is 5.5 pence. Due Early March 2021. Digital 9 Infrastructure launch an initial public offering on the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, by way of an initial placing and offer for subscription for a target issue £400m. Digital 9 Infrastructure plc is a newly established, externally managed investment trust. The Company will invest in a range of digital infrastructure assets which deliver a reliable, functioning internet. The IPO Prospectus is expected to be published in March 2021. Team PLC announced their plans for an AIM IPO. Team owns Theta Enhanced Asset Management Ltd, trading as Team Asset Management. This is a Jersey-based active fund manager providing discretionary and advisory portfolio management services to private clients, trusts and charities. Assets under management were GBP291m in November, up from GBP140m in December 2019 . The Company is seeking to raise no less than £5 million. The Placing will be priced on a pre-money valuation for the Company of £7m. Targeting March Admission. Virgin Wines UK Plc recently set out their plans for an AIM IPO. Virgin Wines is a direct-to-consumer online wine retailer that sells products to retail customers in the UK through two subscription schemes and a pay-as-you-go offering. The Group also sells a range of beers and spirits and operates a B2B sales channel for corporates. Deal details TBC but media reports suggest a £100m valuation. Targeting 2nd March Admission Fix Price announces its intention to float on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Fix Price is one of the leading variety value retailers globally and the largest in Russia, with more than 4,200 stores. Fix Price has revenues of RUB 190.1bn, RUB 142.9bn and RUB 108.7bn for 2020, 2019 and 2018, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA for the same years was RUB 36.8bn, RUB 27.2bn and RUB 14.2bn, respectively. The Offer would consist of an offering of GDRs by certain existing shareholders of the Company. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC announced its prospectus has been approved by the FCA. Great Point Entertainment Income Trust PLC is a newly established, externally managed closed-ended investment company. The Company will provide project finance to content makers and commissioners in the global television and film production industry via senior loans secured against pre-sold intellectual property (IP) rights. GPEIT's investment objective is to provide Shareholders with dividend income and modest capital growth through exposure to media content finance. According to media reports, Deliveroo, are expecting to release their IPO plans on 8th March. The company raised more than $180m in January with a valuation of more than $7bn.
Companies: CCS OKYO SML BEG SBIZ GDP SGM SEN AMO KZG
The Calabar power station, which accounts for the majority of Savannah’s Nigerian gas sales, has entered a new power supply agreement with the Republic of Togo, with more in discussion, raising the prospect of meaningful increases in Savannah’s gas supplies to the plant. These additional volumes will come at negligible additional cost, leveraging the bottom-line impact. The recently signed Mulak Energy gas sales agreement demonstrates this, boosting our 2022 earnings by 8% and our risked-NAV and price target by 6% to 55p/sh.
Companies: Savannah Energy Plc
Today's news & views, plus announcements from MRW, BNZL, HICL, AGK, SEPL, SEIT, SDY, BGO, SHED
Companies: BGO SEIT SEPL
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) BUY – H2/20 exploration work returns exciting results at Gedabek CA Bushveld Minerals* (BMN LN) - Strong Buy 31p – Vanadium prices rise as new demand meets tight supply Gemfields (GEM LN) – Resumption of operations at Kagem and Montepuez after a year of disrupted production and sales GoldStone Resources* (GRL LN) – Exercise of warrants raises £1.2m Power Metal Resources* (POW LN) – Portfolio update Strategic Minerals* (SML LN) – Continued access to Cobre confirmed while current copper prices boost Leigh Creek economic returns
Companies: GML AAZ BMN GRL POW SML
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) – Termination of the proposed JV with Conroy Asiamet Resources (ARS LN) – £10m fundraising Beowulf Mining* (BEM LN) – 2020 results highlight progress in Kosovo and Sweden Cornish Metals* (CUSN LN) – Warrants exercised Phoenix Copper* (PXC LN) – Exercise of warrants follows recent economic update for Empire development project Scotgold Resources* (SGZ LN) – Production update and management/Board changes.
Companies: ARS CUSN AAZ BEM PXC SGZ
Adriatic Metals* (ADT1) – Acquisition of RAS Metals Arc Minerals* (ARCM LN) – Change of accounting reference date and issue of 1.2m new shares to service provider Caledonia Mining* (CMCL LN) – Non-executive appointment Phoenix Copper* (PXC LN) – £2m debt facility to accelerate the Empire project Strategic Minerals* (SML LN) – Exploring potential to the west at Redmoor Power Metal Resources* (POW LN) – Drilling update Rainbow Rare Earths* (RBW LN) – 10,000tpa Gakara down-stream process plant feasibility confirmed Sunrise Resources (SRES LN) – Progress report on projects
Companies: CMCL ADT ARCM PXC POW RBW SML SRES
We are replacing our preliminary valuation of i3 Energy, which had been premised on the valuations of GLJ and Sproule, with our own valuation model and our own commodity price assumptions. The resource estimates assumed in our valuation remain aligned with those of i3 Energy's resource evaluators, namely, GLJ, Sproule and AGR Tracs. Our fair value amounts to 15.0p/share, which compares to our prior and preliminary valuation of 17.7p/share. Our valuation is premised on the proven and probable reserves of the company's Canadian assets; therefore, we believe that the company's current share price provides an opportunity to acquire a compelling investment at a steeply discounted entry price.
Reverse Takeover by London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG.L) following the acquisition of Refinitiv in an all share transaction for a total enterprise value of approximately US$27 billion.
Companies: ADME ROCK ZPHR DKL VARE SMRT PTRO MHC BOO
AMTE Power, a developer and manufacturer of lithium-ion battery cells for specialist markets, announced its intention to seek admission to trading on AIM. Admission is expected to take place during March 2021. The Company intends to raise approximately £7 million by way of a placing of new ordinary shares in the capital of the Company. Timing TBC. Samarkand Group Limited, the cross-border eCommerce technology and retail group opening up the world's largest market for brands and retailers, intends to IPO on the Apex Segment Aquis Stock Exchange Growth Market. Admission is targeted for March 2021. Cellular Goods a UK-based provider of premium consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids announced its intention to join the main market (standard) this Spring. Target valuation £20m raising c. £8m “to finalise the development and launch of a range of the Company's premium-quality consumer products based on biosynthetic cannabinoids, which is fully compliant under UK law.” NextEnergy Renewables to launch an IPO on the Main Market. NREN is a differentiated renewables investment company that aims to capture the most attractive private renewables and energy transition infrastructure investment opportunities globally. Targeting a £300m raise. NREN is targeting total returns of 9-11 per cent. per annum (net of all fees and expenses but including the Target Dividend and capital appreciation) . The Company's target dividend yield for the first full financial year to 31 December 2022 is 5.5 pence. Due Early March 2021. Auction Technology Group is considering an IPO on the Main Market. The Group operates six world-leading online Marketplaces and proprietary global auction platform technology for curated online auctions . In FY20 the Group delivered pro forma revenue of £52.3 million, supported by notable underlying year-on-year growth from both Standalone ATG Group and Standalone Proxibid Group (12.4 per cent. and 40.4 per cent., respectively). For the same period, the Group delivered a strong profitability performance of £22.3 million pro forma Adjusted EBITDA representing a pro forma Adjusted EBITDA margin of 42.6 per cent. Expected March 2021. Digital 9 Infrastructure launch an initial public offering on the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, by way of an initial placing and offer for subscription for a target issue £400m. Digital 9 Infrastructure plc is a newly established, externally managed investment trust. The Company will invest in a range of digital infrastructure assets which deliver a reliable, functioning internet. The IPO Prospectus is expected to be published in March 2021. 4basebio UK Societas is a specialist life sciences group focused on therapeutic DNA for gene therapies and DNA vaccines and providing solutions for effective and safe delivery of these DNA based products to patients. The Company has been divested from 4basebio AG , a German company listed on the Prime Standard segment of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange . No capital to be raised on Admission. Anticipated market capitalisation on AIM Admission: £14.53m.
Companies: SAR PAF PTRO NEXS TYM BOD CLX FAB ODX DUKE
Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV LN) – Funding proposed through digital token linked to gold Empire Metals* (EEE LN) – Empire complete acquisition of Eclipse gold project Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – Drilling underway on the Cacao Vein Cornish Metals* (CUSN LN) – Osisko converts its note to a royalty Orosur Mining* (OMI LN) – High-grade gold intersections received at Anza Phoenix Copper* (PXC LN) – £2m debt facility to accelerate the Empire project Rambler Metals and Mining* (RMM LN) – New non-executive appointment to strengthen the board Tertiary Minerals* (TYM LN) – Lucky Copper Project drilling
Companies: CUSN OMI BMV CNR EEE PXC RMM TYM IRR
• YE20 1P, 2P and 3P reserves were respectively 22.3 mmbbl (+4% vs YE19), 51.0 mmbbl (+7%) and 106.1 mmbbl (+25%). • The YE20 estimates are net of 2.1 mmbbl production in 2020, implying a 5.4 mmbbl upwards revision for the 2P reserves compared to previous estimates. The 1P and 2P reserves increase reflect a reserves replacement ratio of respectively 38% and 157%. • As we anticipated the reserves increase is the result of higher recovery factor assumptions, reflecting the performance of the wells to date. The new 2P and 3P cases assume recovery factors of respectively 15% (+1.4%) and 17% (+2.4%). • We are increasing our target price from £0.50 to £0.60 per share to incorporate the reserves additions. Some additional details on the YE20 reserves statement The auditors now assume opex 19% lower than at YE19 in the 2P case (which we already assume in our model). In comparison with YE19, the lower opex represents an undiscounted saving of US$232 mm. The reserves auditor estimates the after tax NPV10 of the 2P reserves at US$621 mm at YE20 compared to US$746 mm at YE19. The change of value has to be read in light of much lower Brent price assumptions with the YE20 report assuming ~US$49/bbl in 2021, increasing to ~US$60/bbl in 2026. This compares with the YE19 report which assumed ~US$68/bbl in 2021, increasing to ~US$76/bbl in 2026. Updating our valuation The new reserves report illustrates the potential for further reserves increases at Bretana. Out of 84 mmbbl 3P reserves estimated at YE19, 51 mmbbl have now been booked as 2P in addition to 2.1 mmbbl having been produced. We believe that with additional production history, the reserves auditor will continue to revise upwards its estimates of recovery factors. Our new 2P NAV is £0.37 per share (£0.34 per share previously), which represents >2x the current share price. Our new ReNAV incorporating the increase in reserves is £0.59 per share (£0.52 per share previously). We have set our new target price at this level.
Companies: PetroTal Corp.
Alba Mineral Resources (ALBA LN) – Welsh exploration programme Bluejay Mining* (JAY LN) - BUY - Valuation 40p – Bluejay training students and personnel in Greenland for Dundas project IronRidge Resources* (IRR LN) – Progress at Ewoyaa Lithium Project Keras Resources* (KRS LN) – Chairman reports no outstanding requirements on grant of exploitation permit at Nayéga manganese mine in Togo Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) – Pilot plant test-work underway Power Metal Resources* (POW LN) – Option exercised to acquire Coco East Property Sibanye-Stillwater (SSW JSE) - Sibanye-Stillwater Partner up with Keliber for lithium in Finland Tirupati Graphite (TGR LN) – Trials of battery grade spherical graphite accelerate timetable to commercial production
Companies: MKA ALBA JAY KRS POW TGR IRR SSW
