Mining Monthly: March Edition

What you need to know: • Following a long period of consolidation, gold broke out in March, hitting record highs, and continuing to push higher as we enter April. • Silver and copper also had strong months up 10% and 4%, respectively. • More notably, we are finally seeing the equities outperform their underlying metal price with the GDX, SIL, and COPX up 22.7%, 21.1% and 19.4%, respectively, significantly outperforming broader markets. • With precious metals taking the limelight, the rest of the

Mining Monthly: December Edition

What you need to know: • Gold continued to rise in December, gaining 1.3% on the month and closed out 2023 up 13% to $2,062/oz. Notably, gold hit an all-time high, reaching $2,135/oz, rising above the previous record of $2,072 in August 2020. • Besides gold, other precious metals and commodities had a mixed month, while battery metals continued to underperform. • The mining equities slightly underperformed broader markets as capital flowed into the TSX & S&P500 on the back of a more defined Fe

Mining Monthly: November Edition

What you need to know: • Precious metal prices were up modestly in November, following strong performance in October. The mining equities outperformed the metals and broader markets as capital seems to have finally started to flow back into the sector. Other commodities also had a solid month. • Gold closed the month above $2,000/oz for the first time in its history. • The lithium price continues to struggle in the wake of a slowing in the adoption rate of electric vehicles amid high interest

SP Angel Morning View: Chinese manufacturing PMI surprises on the upside with markets awaiting Powell speech later today

Mining Monthly: August Edition

What you need to know: • The precious metals markets held flat in August, following the solid performance in July; mining equities fell modestly. • M&A continued to be light in August, we believe this is primarily due to the lack of clarity regarding the direction of interest rates. • Safe-haven assets like gold and silver continue to look highly attractive with mining equities trading close to trough multiples, creating buying opportunities for when investment dollars flow back into the sector

Mining Monthly: July Edition

What you need to know: • The precious metals markets rebounded well in July following a healthy consolidation period in May and June. • M&A continued to be light in July, primarily due to the new uncertainty regarding interest rates following strong economic data and the BoC and the Fed raising rates. • Safe-haven assets like gold and silver continue to look highly attractive with mining equities trading close to trough multiples, creating buying opportunities for when investment dollars flow ba

Mining Monthly: April Edition

What you need to know: • The precious metals and mining market continued to rise in April even after a sizeable outperformance of broader indices in March • M&A accelerated in the month of April following what appears to be the peaking of rates and inflation, and persistent elevated metals prices • This month only strengthens our confidence that 2023 will be a standout year for both precious metals and base metals, and encourage investors to position themselves accordingly Sentiment Update Fol

Mining Monthly: January Edition

What you need to know: • Gold had strong start to the year rising over $100/oz to $1928/oz in January. Copper also rose dramatically, rallying 12% to $4.20/lb • We anticipate 2023 to be a standout year for both precious metals and base metals and encourage investors to position themselves accordingly • Many central banks bought record levels of gold in January fuelling the price increase; gold takes hold as a safe-haven Sentiment Update As we anticipated from our December note, the mining se

NextSource Materials - Initiation

NextSource is uniquely positioned to build a leading vertically integrated position, ex China, in the supply of Lithium-ion battery anode material which is essential for the Energy Transition. The company is commissioning phase 1 of its world-class Molo graphite mine in Madagascar and is in the final permitting process for its first Battery Anode Facility (BAF) to be located in Mauritius. The company is backed by Vision Blue, established by Sir Mick Davis, former CEO of Xstrata. On our calculat

Initiation of Coverage - Critical raw materials for Europe’s green transition

Beowulf is advancing a portfolio of projects in Europe focussed on metals and minerals that are critical to enabling the continent’s transition to a greener economy. Awareness of Europe’s over-reliance on external supply sources for such vital raw materials is driving growing political support for ‘home-grown’ projects. Beowulf is strategically positioned to leverage this fast-evolving trend – its Kallak project in Sweden holds potential to deliver high-quality iron ore to lower the carbon-inten

Falcon Oil & Gas - Funding a Multi TCF Resource

Falcon has raised gross proceeds of US$8.9m via a placing and subscription at a price of 6p/share and the granting of overriding royalty interests. The net proceeds, together with Falcon’s existing cash resources (cUS$4.3m) will be used to fund Falcon’s net share of 2024 capex (cUS$9m) associated with the 40MMscf/d Shenandoah South Pilot Project, including the drilling, stimulation, and flow testing of two 10,000ft horizontal wells. The funds will also enable Falcon to fund its share of the cost

i3 Energy - 2024 Guidance: Consolidation for Growth

i3 Energy announced that its 2024 guidance consists of expectations to drill 10.5 net wells (7.6 net wells in Central Alberta, 1.9 net wells in Simonette and 1.0 net wells in the Clearwater play) with 85% of capex allocated to the second half of the year. Total capex expenditure for the year is guided at $US 50.9m. The company indicated that it intends to commence pad drilling of its Montney acreage in Q1 2025 and we perceive the company is bulking up for that significant growth opportunity for

Morning Note – 22 April 2024

Beowulf Mining (BEM LN) – Initiation Note – BUY – Supporting Scandinavia's Green Transition

Beowulf is an AIM/Spotlight-listed developer of two flagship assets; Kallak, a high-grade iron ore project in Sweden and the Grafintec Graphite Anode Materials Plant. The Company's Kallak North project has the potential to produce 2.5mtpa of high-grade, premium iron ore concentrate suitable for the growing green steel industry in Sweden. Additionally, Grafintec's Anode Material Plant Project is well positioned to serve the growing EV battery supply chain in Europe, whilst supporting EU plans

Trifast (TRI LN) - Trading conditions remain difficult but self-help initiatives coming through

Despite end market demand remaining difficult in several regions Trifast has announced that revenue and profitability will be marginally ahead of the guidance provided at the end of January. Self-help initiatives instigated during 2023 are starting to come through providing visibility on the majority of the £3.0m savings identified to come through in the current financial year (Mar FY25). Zeus estimates were in line with guidance of £230m revenue, £11.5m EBIT and £6.0m PBT. We leave forecasts un

Morning Note – 24 April 2024

I3 Energy (I3E LN) - 2024 work programme and budget

I3 has released its work programme and budget for 2024, alongside providing guidance for the year. This represents a larger programme than 2023, with the focus now shifting to greater operational activity and production gains given the additional balance sheet strength achieved in recent months.

Morning Note – 25 April 2024

Sintana Energy Inc. (TSX-V: SEI): Constrained test rate of 14 mboe/d at Mopane-1X. 10+ bn boe in place confirmed.

• Multiple tests over multiple zones in multiple horizons were run at the Mopane-1X exploration well. The flows achieved during the well test reached the maximum allowed limits of 14 mboe/d. The flow rate was constrained by the size of the available surface facilities. • The AVO-1 horizon encountered at Mopane-1X and Mopane-2X are in the same pressure regime, suggesting that the entire area (8 km diameter) between the two wells is connected. Overall, in the Mopane complex alone, and before dril

Touchstone Exploration+ (TXP, House Stock at 44p) - Closing of expanded bank facilities

Jubilee Metals - Operational Update Q3 FY2024

Jubilee today reports its Q3 and third quarter operational results from its expanding operations in Zambia (copper) and South Africa (chrome and PGM). South Africa is on a growth trajectory with record chrome production of 409kt in the quarter (Q2 FY2024 381kt) and a monthly record in March of 145kt and production YTD of 1.13Mt (0.94Mt). Jubilee is well underway to its annual target capacity of 2,1Mt/yr especially with the new 300kt/yr chrome plant at Thutse expected to be operational in August

LIBERUM: Ferrexpo: Production triples

SP Angel Morning View: Gold prices slide following profit taking as traders look to US data