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Nokia published its Q3 results which missed the consensus estimates by 12% and 10% for sales and Ni, respectively. However, it has re-iterated its FY23 guidance (supported largely by network services) and has also re-iterated its 2024-26 target of >14% comparable operating profit but with the help of a newly-announced cost-cutting programme.
Companies: Nokia Oyj
AlphaValue
Nokia published Q1 profits that were weaker than the market had expected due to the geographical mix. Like Ericsson, Nokia saw an accelerated roll-out of 5G in India (15% of sales in Q1 vs 5% in FY22) which is usually less profitable and cash intensive initially. Net sales were up by 10% to €5.9bn, beating the market estimate of €5.7bn. However, the comparable net profit stood at 342m (-18% yoy and -11% vs market consensus).
Nokia showed that it benefits from resilient growth despite the uncertain macro environment, with a strong performance from its core activity. However, its margins were poor due to a sharp decrease in Nokia Technologies revenues, which is the most profitable business. In addition, it is struggling to pass on price increases to customers and is absorbing the impact of inflation. All in all, a worrying set of results.
Following the poor results of Ericsson last week, the market had sanctioned Nokia in anticipation. However, the sound results in its two largest business units have proven to be resilient, and the strong dollar impact combined with the improvement in operational efficiency has offset the rise in costs. The business remains supply constrained, but the supply chain is expected to ease in the next half year, which should unlock higher growth in sales for Nokia.
The list of the headwinds impacting Nokia’s first quarter is long and it might have seemed reasonable to assume that the financial figures would be soft. However, Nokia delivered a strong beat in all financial metrics for its first quarter report, and we believe it is well set to reach the high-end of its FY22 guidance.
Nokia has published decent results, broadly in line with consensus after it published last month a preliminary statement to warn the market its margins would be above guidance for both FY21 and FY22. The positive news comes from the announcement of a share buy-back programme of €600m.
This is a special report on Nokia Corporation – the Finnish telecom giant with one of the most radical business transformations ever seen. The company was once a global leader in a rapidly evolving mobile phone market where its market share was destroyed. After some heavy management changes, Pekka Lundmark took over the reins of Nokia and it has now evolved to become a trusted hardware partner for telecom networks with a strong commitment to innovation and technology leadership across mobile, fi
Baptista Research
Nokia has published strong Q3 results, putting aside concerns about profitability levels due to the loss of the Verizon contract a year ago. Although it has had some consequences on the Mobile Network segment numbers, Nokia has generated growth in all other sectors through the emphasis on new technology.
Nokia has already warned the market that the results would be better than previously guided, and we were not disappointed! The results came in above consensus and guidance has been re-adjusted positively.
Nokia posted an excellent set of results, with better-than-expected sales driven by unexpected growth in Networks. The positive contribution of this segment to EBIT is a positive surprise.
Nokia released a decent set of results, with a slight positive surprise on both sales and profitability. Going forward, the guidance is in line with estimates.
Overall, Q3 results were not exciting and the outlook was clearly disappointing. We see downward pressure on our estimates owing to the new guidance provided by the management. We will therefore trim our estimates.
Nokia achieved a strong Q2 performance despite multiple headwinds. The company posted a strong level of profitability which was above consensus expectation, along with a solid cash performance. This gave management more confidence on the FY20, leading to an increase in the guidance.
Nokia’s first-quarter results were in line with the consensus and our expectations. The company saw the first COVID-19 impacts in Q1, but Q2 will be the most impacted. As a result, the company slightly lowered its FY20 guidance. We, however, remain confident of its prospects beyond 2020.
Nokia’s results’ beat provides some relief and meets 2019 guidance, while the 2020 guidance is left unchanged. We expect soft growth in 2020, offset by improving profitability. The company made significant progress towards a new, and competitive, SoC, which should give the company a better competitive solution going forward.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Nokia Oyj. We currently have 191 research reports from 5 professional analysts.
CyanConnode exceeded FY24 revenue expectations and has high visibility into FY25, supported by strong deliveries and a growing backlog respectively.
Companies: CyanConnode Holdings plc
Zeus Capital
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a double-edged sword in cybersecurity. Whilst new AI models, architectures, and innovations are emerging to protect the security posture of organisations, attackers are also benefiting from deepfakes, sophisticated phishing, and automation of malicious codes. To ensure the impact of AI on cybersecurity to be a net-positive, we need to pit good AI against bad AI. Point solutions enhanced with machine learning: Global cybersecurity has been built with point soluti
Companies: EPIC DARK TIDE IGP IOM NCC CHRT CNS CLCO TERN SWG CCS SYS BVC
Hybridan
Companies: BATM Advanced Communications Ltd.
Shore Capital
FY23 revenues and EBITDA were in line with expectations. The major news was that BT plans to shed more than 40% of staff. At the end of the decade the EBITDA could reach £11bn with the massive restructuring announced and capex could return to €3.5bn per year. EBITDA less capex could be multiplied by 2.5 and therefore also the dividend. This could value BT at 385 pence at that time. We maintain our opinion at Add on the stock.
Companies: BT Group plc
A decent Q1 performance despite the expected headwinds from cost-of-living pressure and cost inflation. The group is clearly a fairly safe long-term buy and hold. BT plans to shed more than 40% of staff by the end of the decade. In parallel it is further accelerating its FTTP deployment with high capex. But at the end of this phase EBITDA-capex could be multiplied by 2.5. Speculation could also again reignite as Drahi’s empire (owning 24.5% of BT) is being shaken by corruption cases.
Calnex has released a pre-close trading update for the year to March 2024, indicating that revenue would be £16.3m, c£0.7m below our forecast, partly due to the timing of orders at the end of the period. Group trading has been impacted by the well-documented, continuing challenges in the Telecoms sector which have seen delayed project timings leading to corresponding delays in customer spending. Administrative costs are being controlled and are focussed on maintaining R&D. Calnex remains confide
Companies: Calnex Solutions Plc
Cavendish
Q4 revenues were only up by 1.3% yoy (excluding the inclusion of EE for two months). A better performance than might be thought at first sight given the 8% decline recorded by the wholesale division (due to the benefit of ladder pricing revenue recognised last year). BT’s Fixed consumer revenues, 25% of BT’s business (excluding EE and Openreach) corresponding to BT’s own retail business, were up by 8% yoy with a 20% increase in broadband and TV revenue. Openreach revenue (28% of BT’s revenue not
Q1 16 revenues declined by 2.6% yoy (excluding the contact centre business SNT Deutschland which was sold in Q1). Once again growing Consumer revenues were offset by the impact of the ongoing decline in size of the business market and lower revenues at iBasis. The EBITDA decreased by 4.5% yoy but this is due to temporarily higher IT-related costs in network and operations in the run-up to IT rationalisation. Note also an impairment charge related to iBasis for €45m. KPN intends to pay a regul
Companies: Royal KPN NV
Q4 2015 revenues declined by 5.9% yoy (adjusted with a tax settlement benefit of €44m in Q4 2014). Growing Consumer revenues were offset by the impact of the ongoing decline of the business market size and lower revenues at iBasis. The EBITDA decreased however by only 0.7% yoy in Q4 2015 (without the tax settlement benefit in Q4 2014). These results are quite disappointing compared to the previous Q3 where revenues were down by only 2.6% yoy (vs -3.5% in H1) thanks to 3.7% growth on the co
Q3 revenues and EBITDA were up by 3% yoy. Quite a good set of results for the new telco king of England (following the completion of EE’s acquisition). BT Fixed consumer revenues (25% of BT’s business not including Openreach sales corresponding to BT’s own retail business) were up by 11% yoy with a 23% increase in broadband and TV revenue. Openreach revenue (28% of BT’s revenue not including EE) was up by 3% yoy with record net fibre broadband additions of 494k, 32% higher than last year. There
Although Q1 revenues had decreased by 2.6% yoy while the EBITDA had declined slightly more by 4.5%, it was the opposite in Q2 with revenues down more than expected by 4.3% yoy but a better EBITDA down by only 1.7%. Once again, growing Consumer revenues were offset by the impact of the ongoing decline in the size of the business market. So, as in the two previous quarters, a mixed release.
BT group has released its Q1 numbers. But note, in parallel, another key point: two days ago Ofcom announced a half-step towards a separation between BT and Openreach (BT’s division which operates the fibre network). Q1 revenues were only up by 0.4% yoy (excluding EE). Like in the previous quarter, it is a better performance than might be thought at first sight given the 6% decline recorded by the wholesale division (due to the benefit of ladder pricing revenue recognised last year). BT’s Fixed
Quite a good Q3 for KPN: even if revenues, down by 3% yoy, are still suffering from the decline in the business market size (consumer revenues grew by 1.5% yoy), the EBITDA was good (growing by 3.4% yoy as it was down by 4.5% in Q1 and by 1.7% in Q2) driven by customer base growth and the positive impact of cost savings.
Q2 revenues were up by 1.1% yoy excluding EE (vs +0.4% in Q1). Like in the previous quarter, this is a better performance than might be thought at first sight given the 5% decline recorded by the wholesale division (due to Partial Private Circuits customers continuing to migrate to newer Internet Protocol-based technologies). BT’s Fixed consumer revenues, 20% of BT’s business corresponding to BT’s own retail business, were up by 11% yoy with a 17% increase in broadband and TV revenue. Openreach’
BT previously announced on 27 October 2016 that an initial internal investigation of accounting practices in its Italian business had identified certain historical accounting errors and areas of management judgement requiring reassessment. At that time, they announced the write-down of items on the balance sheet by £145m, being the then best estimate of the financial impact of these issues. Since then, BT has progressed with the investigation, which has included an independent review by KPMG of
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