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Kering reported Q3 2023 revenue below expectations, showing sales declines across all its brands. The decline was particularly driven by a greater fall-off in the wholesale activities due to the strategic wholesale rationalization. Overall revenue was significantly impacted by weakening local demand from aspirational customers in North America and Europe. Given the current revenue contraction, Kering anticipates a lower EBIT margin for Gucci for this year vs. FY22, and does not expect a margi
Companies: Kering (KER:EPA)Kering SA (KER:PAR)
AlphaValue
Kering’s majority shareholder, Artémis (the holding company of the Pinault family) is acquiring a 52% of stake in the American talent agency Creative Artists Agency (CAA) held by the American investment company TPG. Becoming the major shareholder in one of the world’s largest entertainment companies is an important step for the owner of Kering to enter the entertainment world, given that the fashion and entertainment sectors are becoming increasingly connected.
Kering published H1 23 results which were below consensus and our expectations. All major brands experienced softer-than-expected top-line growth in the second quarter due to the ongoing weakness in North America. Encouraging margin progressions of YSL and Bottega Veneta were offset by the negative leverage at Gucci and Balenciaga. The group expects the leadership reshuffle to accelerate Gucci’s turnaround and confirm the brand’s medium-term targets. In parallel, the group reached an agreemen
Kering has decided to replace Marco Bizzarri, Gucci’s CEO since 2015, with the current managing director, Jean-François Palus, for a transitional period from the end of September. The current CEO of the Yves Saint Laurent brand and the group’s CFO will become Co-CEO of Kering group. This leadership reshuffle confirms the group’s determination rapidly to rekindle Gucci, thereby boosting the market’s confidence in Kering.
Kering Beauté has announced that it has reached an agreement to acquire 100% of Creed with all-cash from BlackRock. Creed is one of most popular high-end niche fragrance brands in the world, which generated more than €250m in sales and has an attractive EBITDA margin. This deal confirmed Kering’s ambition for the fast-growing luxury beauty market, and it is another good step after appointing Estée Lauder’s former executive Raffaella Cornaggia as CEO of Kering Beauté in February.
Kering published a mixed Q1 23 revenue performance, below both consensus and our expectations. The sustained good momentum in Western Europe and the gradual recovery of the Chinese market have been offset by the continued weakness in North America. The group saw a reduction in the number of aspirational customers in the US and relatively softer demand from younger clientele during the quarter. The group said Gucci has achieved good progress, but the group sees the Gucci brand’s elevation “a
Kering published a disappointing year-end performance as the underperformance of Gucci and the Balenciaga marketing scandal significantly weighed on the group’s business. The group has however seen a very encouraging start to the year. The accelerated margin progressions of brands other than Gucci is a promising sign, which could further balance the group’s profit structure during the transition period for Gucci. Kering still trades at a significant discount compared to its industry peers, and
Kering names Sabato De Sarno as the Creative Director of Gucci. Gucci has been lagging behind other major luxury brands in recent years, and the market’s expectations are already integrating a transition period. Gucci is at the crossroads of combining its heritage and fashion newness. The young Italian designer could bring new blood to the brand.
Kering published consensus-beating total group revenue for Q3 22. All segments reported double-digit comparable growth except for Gucci. The ongoing Covid-related restrictions and waning popularity of the brand on the social media in China continued to weigh on the brand. More importantly, the group confirmed that Gucci’s operating margin in H2 22 will not reach its level of H2 21, which will lead to a further downwards revision in earnings.
Kering reported a consensus-beating set of figures for thte H1 22, mainly driven by the promising performance of Saint Laurent and sustained good momentum at Balenciaga and AMQ. However, Gucci reported disappointing profitability, impacted by the dilution from combined FX/hedging and a high marketing spend.
Kering reported Q1 22 figures with all the brands outperforming consensus except for the “most important”, Gucci, which has been significantly affected by the new waves of COVID-related lockdowns and restrictions in China. Like its industry rivals, Kering also said that it’s too early to assess the impact of inflation on luxury demand.
Kering ended the year with both revenue and profitability beating consensus and our expectations. Gucci experienced a strong comeback with revenue jumping by 35% in Q4 21, nearly twice the consensus. The strong desirability of the Aria collection and increased investment communication during the year have borne fruit, thus, reassuring the market. The potential for new price hikes across all brands, elevated product ranges and a strong balance sheet enable the group to enter the FY22 in a bette
Kering has published its Q3 21 revenue, which was 10% ahead of its pre-pandemic level, mainly driven by the impressive growth at Saint Laurent. However, the re-imposed restrictions related to COVID-19 and a lack of newness between collections have weighed on Gucci’s performance, especially in Asia. Management has confirmed that the new Aria collection has started to improve the dynamics at Gucci. Gucci’s Q4 21 performance will be a decisive point to witness the appeal of the brand.
Kering experienced better-than-expected H1 21 results. Overall, the figures were good. The slight miss at Bottega Veneta has been fully offset by the accelerated momentum at Gucci and the increased brand attractiveness of YSL. However, Gucci’s profitability was lagging behind LVMH’s strong deliveries on Monday. The increased investment in commercial events and the brand have weighed on the margin. The accelerated top-line momentum across all brands and higher investments in brands should bear
Kering has released top-line growth of 25.8% for Q1 21, beating consensus expectations. All houses experienced a stronger-than-expected performance, highlighting the strong rebound at Gucci was very appreciable. Mainland China not only continued to lead the growth (at triple-digits), but the group also benefited from the buoyant consumer environment and larger online penetration in North America. The improved Gucci brand beat will enhance our confidence for the near term, but the valuation ga
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Topps Group is the UK’s largest specialist supplier and distributor of tiles and associated products to the UK’s domestic and commercial markets. Each of the last three years the Group has successfully achieved record revenue in a market that’s seen recent volume declines and regional peers enter administration. Following the right sizing of its business, Topps Group is now well positioned to capitalise on the economic recovery and continue taking share from competitors, supported by its global
Companies: Topps Tiles Plc
Zeus Capital
Companies: JDW MAB MARS WTB FSTA BOWL CPG SSPG LGRS SSTY OTB HSW TMO GYM MEX
Liberum
17th April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi
Companies: ARS TIDE SCE SNX ECK CNS TST SPEC SSTY
Hybridan
HeiQ has announced the acquisition of a site in Portugal where the company intends to build a HeiQ AeoniQ production facility with a 3,000 tonne per year capacity. To support the acquisition, the company intends to raise c£2.44m via an equity placing, supported by the issue of a c£1.7m (€1.97m) convertible loan note (largely to management) that will convert upon completion of the raise. We see this as an important step in the development programme for HeiQ AeoniQ. Additionally, HeiQ has provided
Companies: HeiQ PLC
Cavendish
Borussia Dortmund’s progress to the semi-final of the Champions League brings a further upgrade to profit guidance for FY24. In addition to helping the financial results of the current year, the relative success of German teams against those of other nations in European competitions this season may ensure the club qualifies for the Champions League next season despite currently being outside the top four of the Bundesliga.
Companies: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co. KGaA
Edison
Pinewood’s transition to a pure-play automotive SaaS business is now largely complete. Today we introduce summary forecasts out to FY26 and reiterate the investment case. We see significant opportunity for Pinewood to grow its user base in the UK and internationally whilst generating high EBITDA margins and cash conversion. With a 24.5p special dividend embedded in the current price (payable Q1/Q2), the effective price today is 12.3p. Based on the Group’s FY27 target of £27m EBITDA, we estimate
Companies: Pinewood Technologies Group PLC
Bright Pier Group’s (BPG) H1 results reflect the highly challenging operating environment, with revenue -9% YoY to £16.2m and Adj EBITDA of £1.4m (H1/22A £3.0m). This decline was driven by weaker consumer demand (falling disposable incomes and low consumer confidence), train strikes and poor weather. Trading in H2 has remained relatively subdued, and as such, we lower our FY23E Adj EBITDA forecasts to £4.2m (from £5.5m). Whilst disappointing, we note that the group remains cash generative and co
Companies: Brighton Pier Group Plc
We are initiating coverage of a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. ("a.k.a. Brands" or the "company"), a leading owner of primarily online apparel-based brands focused on Generation Z and Millennial consumers, with a Buy rating and $14.00 price target, or 10.9X our 2025 EBITDA projection of $20.2 million. The company's brands include: 1) Princess Polly, focusing on 15 to 25 year-old women; 2) Petal & Pup, which offers feminine styles for 25 to 34 year-old women; 3) Culture Kings, a street wear destinatio
Companies: GPS URBN ITX AEO AEO GES GES ITX GPS ANF 0R32 URBN
Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
Domino’s Pizza Group’s (DOM’s) new CEO has set an ambitious long-term growth target, including an acceleration in its net store opening programme. With better alignment between the company and its franchisees, management believes DOM should be capable of generating improved profit growth, versus that achieved in recent years, and potential higher returns.
Companies: Domino's Pizza Group plc
Vertu is the fourth largest automotive retailer in the UK, with 188 sales outlets and a track record of cross-cycle growth, principally through businesses it has acquired, funded by equity, debt and most importantly cash generation. Vertu operates across the entire vehicle lifecycle, including new and used vehicle sales, and vehicle servicing, repair and parts. Service and repair is a 40+% gross margin repeating business. With economic headwinds, the transition to electric vehicles, recent overs
Companies: Vertu Motors PLC
Progressive Equity Research
Companies: CML FDEV NRR SSPG RMV AO/ ZIN
Shore Capital
Companies: Marks and Spencer Group plc
Companies: AO World Plc (AO:LON)Marks Electrical Group Plc (MRK:LON)
Canaccord Genuity
An ongoing correction in used car prices has driven lower gross profit per unit for Vertu in recent months and this is expected to continue in the near term. There has been particular weakness in premium vehicle values. Additionally, higher stocking charges on increased new vehicle supply, has led to lower overall profitability. As a result, we have reduced forecast FY24 adjusted PBT by £8.0m (17%) to £39.3m and FY25 by £3.2m (6.2%) to £48.6m. This downgrade to expectations is indicative of mark
This morning's results from FIH are aligned to the prior year and show that the company is continuing to hold its own notwithstanding challenges. The company's three businesses all boast certain unique positives while being leaders in their specialities and / or geographies. For the Falkland Islands Company (FIC), H1 results reported this morning reflect the traditional tilt towards the second half, while both the UK businesses performed in line with expectations, Momart in particular benefit
Companies: FIH Group plc
WHIreland
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