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Gas and LNG continue to hurt

  • 29 Jul 16

The difficult half year of the group has been confirmed, mainly at the top-line level as it misses expectations with revenues decreasing 11.9% yoy to €33.5bn. However, the impact has been reduced due to an optimisation of the cost base with EBITDA reaching €5,651m (-7.8% yoy), mainly affected by lower commodity prices (with achieved prices), and a reduction in gas margins. Lower depreciation expenses and a reduction in impairment charges were achieved so that the operating profit increased 5.2% yoy to €3.38bn, pushing upwards in its path net income to an 11.3% yoy increase to €1,237m. On an adjusted basis, operating profit fell by 3.5% yoy to €3.5bn, providing a 1.9% organic growth, while net income decreased by 7% yoy to €1.5bn, which is in line with expectations. A €0.5/share interim dividend in cash will be paid. On the cash flow side, on top of lower earnings, the group had a negative one-off of €1.1bn of margin calls and derivatives which plunged the operating cash flow towards a 32% yoy decrease to €4.79bn. The decrease, added to the 9.6% yoy increase in capex and besides the €1.45bn from disposals and the repayment of €1.43bn of outstanding debt, made free cash flow finish in negative territory at -€657m. Despite the difficult results, the group has confirmed the full-year results with EBITDA at €10.8–11.4bn and adjusted net income in the €2.4-2.7bn range. Following the new strategy of the company, Engie has a new segment reporting in line with the new organisational structure.

Profit resists revenue fall; Electrabel IPO in sight

  • 29 Apr 16

Engie has provided mixed results as revenues reached €18.9bn, which is a 14.3% yoy decrease and falls short of expectations by 12%. However, given the conditions, EBITDA was strong as it fell by 1.7% yoy to €3.5bn, although on an adjusted basis it grew 2.3% where the positive results were supported by the restart of 3 reactors in Belgium and cost-cutting measures, which is in line with consensus. Moreover, operating income increased 0.4% yoy to €2.4bn and +5.9% on an adjusted basis, beating forecasts by 2%. On the other hand, operating cash flows decreased by 55% yoy, but this was mainly driven by WC movements due to the use of derivatives to cover the fall in commodity prices, and higher gas inventories. It is expected that the negative WC movements will be reversed over the year. Net debt decreased by €0.7bn due to cash generation and the first effects of the disposal programme. Following this publication, the group confirmed all its FY16 guidance: EBITDA between €10.8bn and €11.4bn, adjusted net income between €2.4bn and €2.7bn, a 2.5x net debt/EBITDA ratio and an A credit rating and a €1/share dividend to be paid in cash. The group has confirmed its intention to issue an IPO on Electrabel in 2017 (the Belgian subsidiary). The process has been started as the separation of the management of the subsidiary has already been achieved and the group is currently in legally creating an independent and separate entity.

Accelerated transformation to counter commodity exposure

  • 25 Feb 16

Weak top-line performance as both revenues and EBITDA miss estimates. Revenues decreased 6.4% yoy to €69.88bn, 4% short of the forecast, with EBITDA having a similar decrease as sales (-6.6% yoy), missing forecasts by 1.2%. Adjusted operating income decreased by 11.6% yoy to €6.32bn, but the 4% fall is less dramatic than expected; however, on a reported basis it finished in negative territory due to impairments (-€8.7bn) and restructuring costs (-€870m), pushing the reported EBIT into negative territory to -€3.24bn. Due to this, the company had a reported net loss of -€4.62bn but, on an adjusted basis, net income reached €2.6bn, representing a €17% yoy decrease, 1% above estimates. Cash flows remained strong despite the decrease in EBITDA, as operating cash flows increased by 18.6% yoy helped by a substantial improvement in working capital (+€1.16bn). The improvement allowed Engie to cover a 58% increase in net capex and its dividend payments. A €1/share dividend has been proposed, to be paid in cash with a similar one expected for 2016, while dividends have been cut for 2017 and 2018 to €0.7/share to provide investors with visibility during the transition process. A radical transformation process has been put in place with €15bn of asset disposals, an increase in investment objectives, in addition to a move towards a lighter capital-intensive model with a more decentralised approach. On 2016 guidance, the group expects to achieve EBITDA between €10.8bn and €11.4bn with net income between €2.4bn and €2.7bn. An A credit rating is targeted with a 2.5x net debt/EBITDA ratio.

Gas and nuclear hurt revenues, while cash flow remains strong

  • 05 Nov 15

The Q3 trading update has confirmed that 2015 is a difficult year for the group. Sales fell by 1.5% ytd to €53.5bn and -4.6% on an organic basis. Gas and LNG revenues decreased by 38% ytd and Europe by 2.1% ytd, offset by strong performances in International (+10.4%), Infrastructure (+7.7%) and Energy services (4.1%). EBITDA reached €8.1bn, a 7.5% ytd decrease, mainly due to lower power and commodity prices and the effects on E&P and LNG activities, in addition to the unavailability of Belgium nuclear plants. Despite this, operating cash flow remains strong at €7.4bn, 8% above the previous year's levels, being able to withstand the capex increase. Nevertheless, investment has been adjusted to growth opportunities, as there has been a further reduction of €200m in E&P (an additional 10% decrease). Impairments are expected on the FY results due to worsening market conditions, with a downward adjustment of the carrying values of certain assets, although the amount has not been stated. However, it is important to remember the group has a robust balance sheet, one of the strongest in the sector. The group maintains its full-year guidance: EBITDA between €11.5bn and €12bn and adjusted net income €2.75-3.05bn, although it now expects the latter towards the lower end of the range. The dividend policy is maintained, with no objective to change it as cash flow generation remains strong.

Decreasing trend continues, driven by lower commodity and electricity prices

  • 29 Jul 15

Less dramatic than expected H1 results, as the group continues to feel the downward pressure from both electricity and commodity markets. Revenues decreased 2% yoy to €38.52bn, which is in line with expectations. EBITDA decreased by 4.79% yoy to €6.12bn, although the decrease is less than expected. The operating profit of the group decreased by 13% yoy to €3.61bn, but is still 4% above consensus. But the best results are provided on the bottom line, as adjusted net income reached €1.8bn, which was a 28.2% yoy decrease, but still 20.2% above consensus. The reported net income nonetheless reached €1.11bn due to the €700m impairment on gas assets. Net debt decreased by €700m ytd to reach €26.8bn, which is 3.18% better than consensus (net of hybrids), with a decrease in the effective interest rate to 3.0% from 3.14% in December 2014. The group will pay an interim dividend of €0.5 per share and confirmed its FY 2015 guidance: adjusted net income of between €2.85bn and €3.15bn and a dividend payout of 65-75% of the adjusted net income with a minimum payment of €1 per share. Furthermore, an agreement has been reached with the Belgian government confirming the extension life of two nuclear reactors (Doel 1 and 2). Furthermore, concerning the nuclear contribution settlements in dispute for overpaid nuclear taxes, the group has also achieved an agreement concerning the nuclear tax payments: €200m for 2015, €130m for 2016 and a 40% margin from 2017 onwards.