• Research Tree
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Events
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest
  • Explore Content
    • Explore

      • Providers
        • Providers

          • Free/Commissioned
          • High Net Worth Offering
          • Institutional Offering

          Free/Commissioned

          Research that is free to access for all investors. Companies commission these providers to write research about them.

          View Research

          What is our Main Bundle Offering?

          Brokers who write research on their corporate clients and make it available through our main bundle offering.

          View Research

          What is Institutional?

          Research that is paid for directly by asset managers. Only accessible to institutional investors permissioned for access.

          View Research
      • Regions
        • Regions

          • UK
          • Rest of EMEA
          • N America
          • APAC
          • LatAm
      • Exchanges
        • Exchanges

          • Aquis Apex
          • Australian Securities Exchange
          • Canadian Securities Exchange
          • Euronext Paris
          • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
          • SIX Swiss Exchange
      • Sectors
        • Sector Coverage

          • Building & Construction
          • Discretionary Personal Goods
          • Discretionary Retail
          • Energy
          • Health
          • Investment Trusts
          • Media
          • Resources
          • Technology
      • Small / Large Cap
        • Small / Large Cap

          • UK100
          • UK250
          • UK Smallcap
          • UK Other Main Markets
          • Other
  • Login
  • Sign Up
LIVE

Event in Progress:

Join Here ×

working
  • 05 Feb 2021

Strong margin outlook should trigger first round of re-rating


Rheinmetall AG (RHM:ETR) | 0 0 0.0%


  • BNP Paribas Exane
    • Lemarie Chloe CL

    • 13 pages


 

This content is only available within our institutional offering.

Sign in

This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account

This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account


Sign In
Not a commercial user? Register here for our wider research bundle
See all the research we have on this company.

Strong margin outlook should trigger first round of re-rating


Rheinmetall AG (RHM:ETR) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Published: 05 Feb 2021
  • Author: Lemarie Chloe CL
  • Pages: 13
  • BNP Paribas Exane


Solid message on margins, sales growth in Automotive Rheinmetall''s 2025 outlook may on first glance appear broadly in line with expectations (EUR8.5bn of sales and 10% EBIT margin). However, this comes post the Piston disposals, implying a c. EUR500-700m sales beat to consensus in Automotive, as the margin target is to be understood as a minimum threshold for each business. While several areas already exceed this target, notably in Defence, they are not expected to experience margin pressure going forward, hence group margin should stand above. With the group''s 2-year time frame to review the business and potentially dispose of those failing to reach this profitability target, we believe that by 2023, the group should already be at a 10% margin, implying a 100bps beat on consensus. While a 2021 outlook was lacking in this presentation, we expect this to come with FY20 results on 18 March. Cash returns for now are only in the form of dividends Given the group''s de-levered situation, the benefit of further cash proceeds thanks to the planned Piston disposal (assumed at EUR200m in our model) and solid FCF generation (3-5% of sales targeted), cash returns would provide a significant boost to the equity story. At this stage, management rules out share buybacks, but is considering revising its payout policy to c. 40% (vs. the current 30-35% range). We also expect confirmation of this new policy with FY20 results. MandA could also be an attractive cash use but as noted in the call, finding the right target remains a challenge. EPS estimates raised by c. 6% for 2021 onwards, TP raised to EUR130 from EUR120 We have adjusted our estimates to reflect FY20 preliminary results, resulting in a 3% adj. EPS increase, stronger sales and margin recovery in Automotive along with the Piston disposal (reported in the HQ line in 2021 and sold in 2022). Our EPS rises 6% in subsequent years. Our TP is raised to EUR130, reflecting these higher earnings along with...

More Content

More Content

Ryobi (5851) Q2 FY12/25 results update: Interim earnings outperform forecasts

Companies: MG MRE GF 6104 RHM SANDHAR MDA ENDU 5852 5858 6470 5702 4208 5851 6235 NEMAKA

Astris Advisory

Q1 softness but guidance confirmed

Companies: Rheinmetall AG

AlphaValue

CMD-23: Bullish new targets with room for a further upgrade

Companies: Rheinmetall AG

AlphaValue

Overly cautious ahead of 2016 despite solid prospects?

Companies: Rheinmetall AG

AlphaValue

9M 23: Rheinmetall could surpass its full year target

Companies: Rheinmetall AG

AlphaValue
Research Tree
Useful Links
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • RNS/Newswires Feeds
  • Providers Hub
  • Company Hub
  • Stock Pick League
  • iOS and Android Apps
Account
  • Login
  • Join Now
  • Contact
  • Follow us on Linkedin
  • Follow us on X

© Research Tree 2026

  • Apple Store
  • Play Store
  • Terms of Service
  • Privacy Policy and Statement on Cookies

Research Tree will never share your details with third parties for marketing purposes. Research Tree distributes research documents that have been produced and approved by Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) Authorised & Regulated firms as well as relevant content from non-authorised sources, who are not regulated but the information is in the public domain. For the avoidance of doubt Research Tree is not giving advice, nor has Research Tree validated any of the information.

Research Tree is an Appointed Representative of Sturgeon Ventures which is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Top
  • Home
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Event Hub
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest Tracker
  • Explore Content
    • Regions
      • UK
      • Rest of EMEA
      • N America
      • APAC
      • LatAm
    • Exchanges
      • Aquis Apex
      • Australian Securities Exchange
      • Canadian Securities Exchange
      • Euronext Paris
      • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
      • SIX Swiss Exchange
    • Sectors
      • Automobile Industry
      • Banks
      • Building & Construction
      • Chemicals
      • Discretionary Personal Goods
      • Discretionary Retail
      • Energy
      • ETFs
      • Financial Services
      • Food & Drink
      • Food Production
      • Health
      • Household Goods & DIY
      • Industrial Equipment, Goods & Services
      • Insurance & Reinsurance
      • Investment Trusts
      • Leisure, Tourism & Travel
      • Media
      • Open-ended Funds
      • Other
      • Real Estate
      • Resources
      • Staple Retail
      • Technology
      • Telecoms
      • Trusts, ETFs & Funds
      • Utilities
    • Small / Large Cap
      • UK100
      • UK250
      • UK Smallcap
      • UK Other Main Markets
      • Other
    • Private/EIS
      • EIS Single Company
      • EIS/SEIS Funds
      • IHT Products
      • SEIS Single Company
      • VCT Funds
  • Providers
    • Free/Commissioned
      • Actinver
      • Actio Advisors
      • Allenby Capital
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Asset TV
      • Astris Advisory
      • Atrium Research
      • Baden Hill
      • BlytheRay
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Bondcritic
      • Bowsprit Partners Limited
      • Brand Communications
      • Brokerlink
      • BRR Media
      • Calvine Partners
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Capital Markets Brokers
      • Cavendish
      • Checkpoint Partners
      • Clear Capital Markets
      • Couloir Capital
      • Doceo
      • Edison
      • EM Spreads
      • Engage Investor
      • Equity Development
      • eResearch
      • First Equity
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • focusIR
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • goetzpartners securities Limited
      • Golden Section Capital
      • GreenSome Finance
      • GSBR Research
      • H2 Radnor
      • Hardman & Co
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hypothesis Research
      • InterAxS Global
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • London Stock Exchange
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Mello Events
      • Messari Research
      • Morphose Capital Partners
      • MUFG Corporate Markets IR
      • Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Optimo Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Paul Scott
      • Peel Hunt
      • PIWORLD / Progressive
      • Proactive
      • Progressive Equity Research
      • Quantum Research Group
      • QuotedData
      • RaaS Research Group
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Resolve Research
      • SEAL Advisors Ltd
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • StockBox
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Curious Compounder
      • The Edge Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • ThinkFront
      • Tring Triangle
      • Trinity Delta
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • UK Investor Group
      • ValueTrack
      • Vox Markets
      • VRS International S.A. - Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS)
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Yaru Investments
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
    • High Net Worth Offering
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Acquisdata
      • AlphaValue
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • Baptista Research
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Hybridan
      • ISTAR Capital
      • Kemeny Capital
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Louis Capital
      • Magnitogorsk Iron and steel works
      • Medley Global Advisors
      • Northland Capital Partners
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Shard Capital
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel FirstEnergy
      • Stockdale Securities
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • VSA Capital
      • Whitman Howard
      • xxxxxx_deleted
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zeus Capital
    • Institutional Offering
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • BNP Paribas Exane
      • Bondcritic
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • Edison
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • Golden Section Capital
      • Goodbody
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hybridan
      • InterAxS Global
      • Investec Bank
      • ISTAR Capital
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Numis
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Peel Hunt
      • QuotedData
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Shard Capital
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel
      • StockBox
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Tring Triangle
      • ValueTrack
      • Velocity Trade
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
  • Contact
  • Sign Up
  • Sign In