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Ebro had held up well up to this point but we were not that surprised to see a relatively poor Q3. The group is facing a lot of pressures that are likely to continue in the coming months.
Companies: Ebro Foods (EBRO:BME)Ebro Foods SA (EBRO:MCE)
AlphaValue
Easy comps have driven up the H1 results, but the environment remains tight and Ebro expects lower H2 demand which should in the end not help the rest of the year.
Companies: Ebro Foods SA (EBRO:MCE)Ebro Foods SA (0NYH:LON)
A strong performance in Q1 (better-than-expected) is welcomed given the more cautious tone of the company for the following months.
9m FY21 figures were obviously down vs. FY20 (strong negative comps), but they were still remarkable compared with FY19. We expected very complicated management of inflation for the group, but we see a rather good surprise on that side. On the other hand, we should be more cautious about 2022, when the current hedging will roll off.
Unsurprisingly, we see a decrease in the results compared to 2020, but still good progress compared to 2019, which confirms the good trajectory of the group.
With no surprise, Q1 FY21 top and bottom lines declined due to tough comps. The momentum remains, however, strong looking at CAGR 21/19, but input cost inflation is now the main threat looking forward.
Unsurprising very strong FY20 results (but still even more than our expectations). We believe Ebro is at a turning point and we continue to be positive on the stock.
Although the figures showed greater volatility, the rise in demand triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic continues to dominate Ebro’s results. Deleveraging is well on track.
Companies: Ebro Foods SA
After a strong set of FY19 figures, Ebro’s Q1 benefited from COVID-19 due to increasing rice and pasta consumption. Q2 should be even better, while we expect a gradual return to normal starting in Q3. EBITDA is affected by raw material prices increase, but the group is confident that the FY20 bottom line should be better yoy.
A strong set of FY19 figures, especially thanks to strong comparables. We note that organic investments had begun to bear fruit, although the company doesn’t expect to see the relevant impacts until 2021. In the mean time, it is actually debt that is going up.
The group reported a strong set of Q3 FY19 results, beating analysts’ expectations on the bottom line. Ebro’s investments finally pushed up growth… as well as the group’s debt.
FY18 Key Financials : Group sales grew by 5.6% to €2,464m (on organic basis: +2%) EBITDA fell by 13.4% to €311m, with currency having a negative impact of €4.4m EBITDA margin declined by 2.6 pp to 11.7%. In Q4: 14% EBITDA margin Net profit fell by 36% to €142m, while the FY17 net profit was positively driven by the tax-related measures approved in the USA, France and Italy (one-off extraordinary income of €56.5m). Excluding this external effect, net profit fell by 14% FY18 Net debt/EBITDA
Q3 update: Sales are up 11%, however, the EBITDA margin contracted by 340bp due to the Rice business which was impacted by higher raw material prices (mainly in North America) as well as a weaker Pasta performance and higher logistics costs in the US. By division, Rice recorded +16% in sales and a 516bp EBITDA margin contraction to 9.2%. Pasta recorded +7% in sales and a 316bp EBITDA margin contraction to 9.8% (in Europe, Pasta consumption was negatively impacted by the hot weather, the group e
H1 update: revenue grew by 2.3% (+5.5% in Q2), whereas EBITDA contracted by 16.6%. The EBITDA margin stood at 11.2%. By division, the Rice business’s sales were up +2.6% in Q2, whereas the EBITDA margin contracted vs. Q1 to 12%. In Pasta, sales were up +8% in Q2 (partially helped by easier comps) while the EBITDA margin stood at 11.1% (vs. 11.8% in Q1). Net profit for the period is down 17.1%.
Q1 update: net sales grew +1.3% (+3% excluding FX), whereas the EBITDA margin contracted 220bp to 12.6%. By division, Rice recorded +1.9% growth in net sales and a 450bp EBITDA margin contraction to 13% (Q4: 14.1%) due to the substantial increase in cost of raw materials (c.+22% inflation) as well as increased logistic costs and a shortage of plant workers in the US (high demand for electricians following the hurricanes). Pasta recorded -3.6% in sales with a 20bp contraction in the EBITDA margi
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Ebro Foods SA. We currently have 21 research reports from 2 professional analysts.
17 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object
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30 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object
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01 February 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objec
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31 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object
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11 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object
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Fulham Shore’s Franco Manca value-for-money brand is perfect for current market conditions in our view, despite pizza being a crowded segment. Pizza travels well, allowing the business to flex to delivery and take-out according to market conditions. The combination of high gross margins, net cash on the balance sheet and excellent FCF generation should allow it to cope with tougher market conditions AND still protect its expansion capex plans to increase EBITDA by +55% over the next three years.
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Dish of the day Joiners: No joiners today. Leavers: No leavers today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** Long Term Assets Limited (LTA), a Guernsey investment company, intends to join the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. The initial portfolio is made up of a diversified range of assets, recently valued in the region of £160m, comprising a complete selection of the Disruptive Capital’s family office private asset portfolio. LTA aspires to be a “best-in-cl
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Dish of the day Joiners: Hydrogen Utopia International (HUI.L) (AQSE: HUI) has dual listed on the Standard Segment of the Main Market. The Company's Ordinary Shares, which were already trading on the Access Segment of the Aquis Growth Market, has also moved to trading on the AQSE Main Market today. (09/01/23) While we were away: Streaks Gaming plc (STK.L) has joined the Standard Segment of the Main Market. STK develops casual games and a conversational gaming platform with a focus on partnering
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Today’s YE update is excellent, with stellar growth of 53% in the higher margin sparkling wine category the stand out feature. Good progress is evident across all trade channels, market share is higher and momentum going into 2023 is strong. In short, new management is building a track record of delivery against the sparkling wine / premiumisation led strategy. English sparkling wine is in structural growth, benefiting from an improved maritime climate, international recognition and investment.
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