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  • 26 May 2023

Q1: A weak start, as expected - waiting for H2


ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE (PSM:ETR) | 0 0 0.0%


  • BNP Paribas Exane
    • Blieffert Christoph CB

    • 10 pages


 

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Q1: A weak start, as expected - waiting for H2


ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE (PSM:ETR) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Published: 26 May 2023
  • Author: Blieffert Christoph CB
  • Pages: 10
  • BNP Paribas Exane


Q1 highlights: 1) Group revenues missed by 3% driven by Entertainment and Dating and Video, partly offset by Commerce and Ventures; 2) DACH Advertising revenues in line with expectations; 3) Adj. EBITDA a 15% miss vs. VA consensus; 4) Leverage up to 2.7x net debt/EBITDA driven by higher net debt and lower LTM EBITDA; 5) 2023 guidance confirmed and mid-to-high double-digit adj. EBITDA for Q2 expected. View: With no positive short-term catalyst in sight, we confirm N/TP EUR9. Entertainment: Advertising revenues weak as expected DACH advertising revenues declined by 12% y/y on high comps to EUR376m. TV core revenues dropped by 15% y/y to EUR315m on weak consumers'' spendings. This decline has been partly offset by rising digital revenues, which came in at EUR61m, up 8% y/y on the back of growth at Joyn and in the audio segment (podcasts). Management expects a less pronounced y/y decline in DACH advertising revenues in Q2 with an uptick in June bookings m/m. On the back of a weak advertising market, divisional adj. EBITDA dropped to EUR31m in Q1, a 66% decline y/y. Dating and Video: revenue weakness continued but profitability a positive surprise Dating and Video reported revenues of EUR117m, down 11% y/y on a reported basis and -14% y/y underlying. Dating revenues came in at EUR65m, down 4% y/y: While Parship and LOVOO continued to suffer from weak consumer spending in Germany, its U.S. dating app eharmony recorded double-digit growth in the quarter while having contributed c. 30% to divisional revenues. Video revenues continued to disappoint, down 18% y/y, to EUR53m on the back of intensified competition. Adj. EBITDA came in at EUR21m, down only 3% y/y, a positive surprise, driven by an already implemented cost-cutting program (10% workforce reduced mainly in U.S. Video). Commerce and Ventures: Verivox in recovery mode Revenues were strong in CandV and reached EUR172m, up 17% y/y. Worth highlighting is Consumer Advice and here in particular Verivox with...

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