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We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. May saw multiple new patterns and colors at both main line and outlet locations, as the company ramped up for Mother's Day, which was exceptionally strong. Further, with the New Day relaunch on track for July 11th, we believe the remaining 8 weeks before the relaunch will be focused on clearing inventory and setting the stage for what we believe will be a com
Companies: VRA TPR TPR VRA
Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $37 price target and projections for Guess? after visiting stores in the Metro New Your City area and Long Island. Management continues to materially upgrade the Guess? store experience, increasing the focus on key fashion items, reducing the visual impact of denim and focusing on highlighting limited inventory (and sizing) levels, all with the goal of creating a more elevated, boutique driven store experience, inline with what international Guess? shoppers exp
Companies: PVH LULU URBN ROST AEO TPR AEO TJX GES ROST TPR LULU GES TJX PVH URBN
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. As expected, with the implementation of the "New Day" program to completely shift the chain to management's vision in July nearing, we are already seeing material changes, with an emphasis on reducing categories and clearing in-store goods aggressively to make way for a completely new look in the mainline and outlet stores. Further, product newness flows have
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $37 price target and projections after visiting Guess? stores in the Metro NYC area and Long Island. We believe, with Spring now beginning to fully flow into stores, Guess? has continued to pivot their overall looks and focus even more on key fashion items, with an increased emphasis on activewear, dresses, and accessories, particularly handbags and footwear and men's accessories. Further, the company is experimenting in select stores to limit overall sizes on
We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. With Spring now in full bloom, Express has been rolling out new looks for the season, from a major activewear collection, an expansion of Body Contour, new men's swim, shorts for both men and women and seasonal suiting and dresses for the next key event or wedding. Further, the offerings are keyed by an increased focus on mix and match core basics, offering strong ver
Companies: PVH LULU GPS URBN GIII ROST AEO TPR AEO GIII TJX GES EXPR ROST EXPRQ TPR LULU GES GPS TJX PVH URBN
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. We believe, as we near the launch of management's full vision for Vera Bradley in July, both the outlets and main line locations increasingly reflect what is being added and what will be discarded in the shift. As such, we are seeing less inventory, especially in the outlet stores, flow in; further, there is an increasing emphasis on core categories, especial
We are reiterating our Buy rating on GES, raising our price target to $37 (from $32.50) and rolling out FY26 projections after Guess? ended FY24 with a strong 4Q which easily beat both top and bottom line Street expectations and announced a $2.25 per share special dividend. Further, initial FY25 projections, which incorporate the acquisition of Rag & Bone, handily beat Street top line projections and bracket bottom line expectations, even as Guess? adds resources to drive Rag & Bone to higher ov
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections for Guess? with the company announcing 4QFY24 (January) results after the close on Wednesday. We believe management remained conservative in their 4Q projections, already incorporating a tough domestic environment, which should allow the company to achieve top and bottom line results in their projected range. Further, we expect Guess? to incorporate multiple positive drivers in their initial FY25 guidance, including the recen
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target, lowering our FY25 projections and rolling out a return to growth in FY26 after Vera Bradley announced slightly below consensus 4QFY24 results and rolled out initial FY25 guidance which we believe could prove conservative in the second half as the company launches the new Vera Bradley and Pura Vida under operation New Day in mid-July. As such, and with VRA registering cash per share of over $2.50 (with no debt) and tangible book value per share
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley with the company reporting 4QFY24 (January) results before the open next Wednesday. We look to the 4Q call for management to provide even more detail on the material changes to the company, as CEO Jackie Ardrey and her team begin to take full control of the shopping and product experience. We believe Vera Bradley has become increasingly more relevant and appealing to a wider customer base, and the company is pos
We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $32.50 price target for Guess? after visiting stores in the NYC metro area and Long Island. We believe Guess? is rolling out strong initial fashion statements for Spring, from dresses to light hues and jackets, women's and men's activewear and further distortions for key accessories. For men's, new short sleeve shirts and accessories expansion are helping to drive traffic. Further, with the stores clean, the brand is fully ready for an early Spr
We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. With the stores receiving early Spring shipments, the focus is on the final clearance of older goods and setting up for the new Spring Season. The new Spring season for women is setting up for lighter colors, continued high levels of versatility, and further expansion of key categories such as denim and Body Contour and women's suiting, while for men the focus is on t
We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $10 price target for Vera Bradley after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. We believe, post Holidays, Vera Bradley has further strengthened the overall main line store offerings, with new displays, expansion of key product categories and new Beach patterns. At the outlet stores, some of the shifts at the main line stores have already resonated, and we believe more material shifts are under way. We believe management is setting up fo
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and raising our projections to reflect the announced acquisition of leading premium ($195+) denim player rag & bone by Guess? and a joint venture with leading brand licensor WHP Global. We view this acquisition, Guess?' first, as an accretive winner, offering multiple (and material) expansion opportunities which leverage Guess?' strong international presence, infrastructure, category expansion and licensing ability and position as a leading
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections after visiting Guess? stores in Long Island and the Metro New York City region. We believe Guess? maintained planned discounting levels during the Holiday season, made strong winning fashion bets on active wear, luggage, handbags, footwear and other accessories and denim. Inventories, with the exception of outerwear, were in solid shape and should, after end of season sales, be clean for Spring. Further, the company has alrea
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Last week's global Banknote Conference 2024, taking place in Forth Worth, Texas, was a near-perfect sales opportunity for Spectra (SPSY) given (1) an exceptionally strong new product to offer in the banknote arena, (2) an expanded and highly experienced sales team post the recent Cartor acquisition and (3) patent appetite among the Central Bank client base for a new polymer substrate supplier in this market. Spectra, a leader in machine-readable high-speed banknote authentication and brand prote
Companies: Spectra Systems Corporation
WHIreland
Companies: CT Automotive Group Plc
Liberum
Surface Transforms (SCE) has announced the raising of £6.5m new equity and is launching an Open Offer to shareholders. It is raising capacity and quarterly revenue but has needed to address the two sets of production constraints it faced: scrappage and process-line pinch points. Pinch points have been much reduced through capital expenditure and expert maintenance teams. Major capital expenditure is ongoing and unaffected by the fund raise. The scrappage from the fast ramping up of volumes is re
Companies: Surface Transforms PLC
Hardman & Co
Spectra Systems (SPSY) has an excellent record in growing profits through its highly regarded technology and relationships with key clients, which include a prominent global central bank. Now, the company is ready for the next stage, and we see the acquisition of Cartor Security Printers as a game-changer in enhancing its ability to continue, and potentially accelerate, this momentum, even as it continues to benefit from a near-term, multi-million-dollar sensor refresh programme with a long-term
Encouraging FY23 results from SPSY this morning show profits and cash a touch ahead of expectation and position the company well for a year of strong growth in FY24E. SPSY leads the market in machine-readable high speed banknote authentication, brand protection technologies and gaming security software. The company grew the business robustly in FY23 (PBTA +6%, EPS pared by increased tax payments, progressive DPS), building on a decade of double digit CAGR; and closed the year with the transfor
We are reiterating our Buy rating and price target for Starco Brands, but lowering our 2024 and 2025 projections to primarily reflect higher marketing costs to support multiple newly announced door expansions for each of the company's key brands beginning in 2Q24 and concentrated in 4Q24. We believe Starco's offerings are poised to take highly material leaps, with major expansions at over 10,00 doors in 2024, which we believe will position the company for material, multi-year top line growth and
Companies: ELF EL STCB EPC COTY IPAR DGE IPAR EL UNILEVER EPC STCB ELF COTY
IG Design Group’s trading update for the year ended 31 March 2024 has exceeded market expectations in terms of both profitability and, most significantly, cash generation. The FY24 results confirm the progress the group has made on its strategic journey to simplify the business and improve operational efficiency. Notwithstanding ongoing uncertainty on the economic backdrop and consumer expenditure, the group remains confident of delivering its target of returning to its pre-Covid adjusted operat
Companies: IG Design Group plc
Progressive Equity Research
SCE has announced its intention to raise £6.5m via an institutional placing, with an open offer pending, to assist the scale-up and to fund near-term working capital requirements. We reduce our forecasts to factor in base case assumptions and greater prudence to expectations. Our FY24E adj pre-tax loss rises by £3.9m to a loss of £6.9m, increasing LPS from -0.6p to -0.9p. The placing should provide sufficient cash runway and some headroom through to EBITDA profitability, anticipated throughout F
Cavendish
Dowlais Group’s positive trading update, with growth ahead of the market and continued margin expansion, provides another marker in delivering on the stated strategy. Management intends to drive profitable growth through the EV transition and expand the underlying operating margin to 11% (FY22: 6.6%). Delivery on these targets will highlight the quality of the operations and valuation discrepancy.
Companies: Dowlais Group PLC
Edison
Dowlais Group’s first set of results were ahead of our expectations, with positive cash generation a highlight despite restructuring and demerger costs. Softer automotive markets will limit margin progress in FY24 towards the double-digit target. Despite this, margins of c 6.5% are still ahead of automotive peers, although the shares trade at a significant discount to our implied generic peer-based valuation.
Surface Transforms has announced a Placing and Subscription seeking £6.5m at 1p, combined with an Open Offer for up to £2m (before expenses). Proceeds will be used for working capital for existing operations and to support the manufacturing scale-up. We introduce summary estimates pending the outcome of the entire fundraising event (including the Open Offer) and the full outturn statement for 2023a due in late May. Our base case assumption is for revenue of £17.5m in 2024e (2023a: £8.3m); this c
Zeus Capital
Please find below our weekly update covering themes that we feel that are of interest to investors and participants in the small and mid-cap TMT sector as well as commentary on recent newsflow.
Companies: CPX CNC TRAK CLCO TERN MWE ELEG
Allenby Capital
Ceres Power Holdings’ innovative technology uses electrolysis to produce green hydrogen and solid oxide fuel cells to generate power. In a year where it moved to the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, it recorded revenue growth of 13% and gross margin expansion to 61% (the highest in the sector, according to management), but is yet to record an operating profit (FY23 operating loss of £59.4m versus £54.0m in FY22). Ceres continued its strategy to drive innovation and technology across sol
Companies: Ceres Power Holdings plc
Sanderson Design Group (SDG) has announced its FY24 full-year results, which are in line with the headline figures from its February trading update. A record year for Licensing and a strong performance in the key North America market helped to offset a challenging consumer environment in other geographies, most notably the UK. While this backdrop is set to persist in FY25E, the group will continue to focus on its strategic growth drivers, notably North America and Licensing, to deliver sharehold
Companies: Sanderson Design Group PLC
Canaccord Genuity
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