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  • 18 Sep 17

Morning Note

Stride Gaming (STR): Changing pace (BUY) | Lombard Risk Management* (LRM): Strategic alliance with Euroclear (CORP) | Wentworth Resources (WRL): Payments received (BUY) | Petra Diamonds (PDL): Annual results (BUY) | Amino Technologies* (AMO): German contract win (CORP) | MP Evans (MPE): Excellent interim results (BUY)

Companies: STR LRM WRL PDL AMO MPE

  • 07 Sep 17

Fear of Food’s Labour Lost

While recent market concern and potential negative newsflow for Greencore (GNC LN, BUY, T/P 310p) focused on the US, some market concern appears to remain that the UK business – while clearly one that enjoys sustained volume growth – may come under margin pressure due to higher employment costs. In particular, there is concern about the lack of availability of Central and Eastern European labour once the UK leaves the EU.

Companies: Greencore Group
  • 18 Sep 17

In line FY17: Resilience on the back of operational excellence

FIF has made pleasing progress in a tough year, delivering a solid in line FY17 financial performance, proving FIF’s ability to navigate significant and on-going wider industry issues around changing retailer promotional strategies and input cost inflation. Product innovation, efficiency and productivity improvements combined with the benefits of capital investment all contributed towards the robust performance. FIF’s strong balance sheet (FY17 net debt of 0.7x and bank facilities of £50.9m) supports capital investment to maintain FIF’s low cost production, helping to reinforce FIF’s market leading positions. This, combined with the consistency of management’s strategy, equips FIF well in FY18 and beyond, in our view. We reiterate our BUY given (1) FIF’s multiple investment attractions; (2) FIF’s fundamental strengths; and (3) the significant unmerited discount rating FIF trades on versus other own label food operators.

Companies: Finsbury Food Group
  • 28 Jul 17

Strong H2 in Prospect – Raising Forecasts

Fever Tree’s (FEVR LN, HOLD, T/P 2100p) interim results on Tuesday 25th July 2017 again beat expectations. Revenue grew 77% to £71.9m (H1 2016: £40.6m) and diluted EPS rose 106% to 16.7p (H1 2016: 8.1p). In this Quick Sharpener we update our forecasts – refer to exhibit 1 and increase our price target at 2100p

Companies: Fevertree Drinks
  • 04 Sep 17

The Monthly September 2017

In the September edition of the Hardman Monthly Newsletter, Dr Martin Hall - based partly on his personal experiences as a long-standing investment analyst - addresses various accounting issues that are highly relevant to today's investors. In particular, he concludes that measuring company cash flow - and especially projecting future cash flows - is pivotal to undertaking rigorous financial analysis, irrespective of how individual companies may present it.

Companies: ABZA AVO AGY APH ARBB AVCT BUR CMH COS DNL EVG MCL MUR NSF OBT ODX OXB PPH NIPT PHP PURP RE/ RGD SCLP SCE TRX VAL

  • 29 Aug 17

Small Cap Breakfast

appScatter Group—Sch1 from the B2BSaaS platform that allows its paying users to distribute their apps to, and manage their apps on, multiple app stores Following admission, appScatter intends to launch the public version of the platform, at which point the platform will be available to all app developers and publishers worldwide. Offer TBC, expected early Sept 2017 | Warehouse REIT - The Company will invest in a diversified portfolio of UK warehouse assets located in urban areas. The Company is targeting a dividend yield of 5.5p equivalent to a yield of 5.5 percent. for the year ending 31 March 2019. Issue price 100p. Raising up to £150m. | Destiny Pharma—A clinical stage biotechnology company - lead asset (XF-73) targets antibiotic-resistant bacterial infections in hospitals. Offer TBA. Due early September. | Avingtrans (AVG.L) Sch1 on its Reverse Takeover of Hayward Tyler (HAYT). Combined market cap of c.£75m. Expected 01 September 2017 | OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c. £50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m.| Hipgnosis Songs Fund investment Company offering pure-play exposure to Songs and associated musical intellectual property rights. Offer raising £200m at 100p. The Company has decided to extend the closing date for the Placing, Offer for Subscription and Intermediaries Offer to 1 August 2017. The Company may bring forward this closing date at any time. Admission 15 September 2017

Companies: OMI BST JAY OMI HUM IGE MPE MIRA

  • 07 Sep 17

Panmure Morning Note 07-09-2017

A positive commercial update this morning builds on the detail provided by the mid-July trading statement. Distribution updates cover UltraDEX, Myco-Clear and continued roll-out of Lubatti (China). Interim results are expected on 21 September where we anticipate more detail to be outlined – in the meantime we maintain our Buy recommendation.

Companies: Venture Life Group
  • 08 Sep 17

Northland Capital Partners Limited Morning Report

VENTURE LIFE GROUP (VLG.L) | STARCOM (STAR.L)

Companies: Starcom Venture Life Group

  • 18 Sep 17

VSA Morning Agri Comment

MP Evans (MPE LN), the Indonesian palm oil producer, has announced interim results for the period ended 30 June 2017. Revenue: US$57.5m, +89.4% YoY (H1 2016: US$30.4m) | Adjusted Operating profit: US$15.9m (H1 2016: US$3.4m) | Fresh fruit bunches (FFB) processed (own, majority-owned estates): 213,800t, +25.5% YoY (H1 2016: 170,300t) | Crude palm oil (CPO) produced: 70,500t, +55.6% YoY (H1 2016: 45,300t) | Interim dividend: Increased to 5.0p (H1 2016: 2.25p)

Companies: M.P. Evans Group
  • 08 Sep 17

Breakfast Today

Anglesey Mining (AYM.L) | Solo Oil | ValiRx (VAL.L) | Biffa (BIFF.L) | Venture Life Group (VLG.L)

Companies: AYM SOLO VAL BIFF VLG

  • 18 Sep 17

Trading Cheer ahead of Nuneaton Investor Day

Dairy Crest (DCG LN, HOLD, T/P 630p), which is due to host an investor day in Nuneaton on Tuesday 19th September, issued a trading statement today for the six months to 30th September 2017. The overall conclusion was positive for key brands, by-products and tended to confirm expectations for financial forecasts. In addition to tomorrow’s site visit and presentations, there will be a senior management Q&A session this evening in relation to today’s statement.

Companies: Dairy Crest Group
  • 20 Sep 17

Nuneaton Investor Day- Plain FMCG Talk

Dairy Crest’s (DCG LN, HOLD, T/P 630p), Nuneaton investor day – held on 19th September immediately after its 18th September trading statement - significantly confirmed the benefits of its decision to dispose of its dairy activities, which left the company on 26th December 2015. Not only did the transaction raise group margins from 5% to 16% but also it enabled Dairy Crest to operate fully as a branded FMCG company.

Companies: Dairy Crest Group
  • 24 Mar 17

Eyeing Up Opportunity

Produce Investment’s (PIL LN, BUY, T/P 210p) interim profits were well beneath inferred market expectations as delays in the recovery of ex-farm potato prices coincided with unusual costs associated with the company’s implementation of a new ERP system. Interim EBIT fell to £0.2m from £3.4m last year.

Companies: Produce Investments
  • 12 Sep 17

Winning with Flavour

Stock Spirits’ (STCK LN, BUY, T/P 300p) steadier trading performance combined with a clear edge in the flavours sub-segment argues in our view for a valuation significantly closer to its distilled spirits peers. Moreover, while other companies in the sector are more international they do not benefit from ownership of a clear route to market in a sizable vodka drinking nation. In this Quick Sharpener we raise our price target from 240p to 300p. BUY.

Companies: Stock Spirits Group
  • 21 Sep 17

Panmure Morning Note 21-09-2017

Interims for the 6 months to 30 June, see Venture Life tracking broadly in line against our expectations at the top line – revenues for the full year are in line with market expectations – but a shortfall on profitability takes the gloss off the commercial performance. We had previously anticipated full-year FY17E EBITDA in the region of £2.1m, but that looks like a big ask at this point, with management now guiding to YoY FY17E EBITDA growth of circa 50%, suggesting a level closer to £1.2m. We make initial revisions to forecasts and downgrade our TP to 87p (128p).

Companies: Venture Life Group