While the simultaneous loss of key players Hummels, Mkhitaryan and Gündogan necessarily invites caution, coach Tuchel’s record of player development and the availability of significant funds for reinvestment make for exciting opportunity. Understandably, given squad rebuilding, financial implications are uncertain. However, assuming maintained positive sporting prospects and further c €40m player spend, we still look for a doubling in pre-transfer EBITDA (our key metric) in FY17, albeit from a reduced base in the face of inflationary wage pressure (we are lowering EBITDA forecasts by €6m for FY16 and by €13m for the year just started).
