THE NAGA GROUP (N4G GR) - Strong FY23 prelims and merger with Capex.com; chg

NAGA reported strong FY23 prelims. Further, the company has announced already last year a planned business combination with Capex.com that is not yet reflected in our est, but expected synergy effects should bode well for the company

THE NAGA GROUP (N4G GR) - FY22 out // Short-term remains clouded; Restart with HOLD

NAGA finally reported its audited FY22 figures, which reflect a particularly challenging year for the company. While 2023 can be seen as a transition year, NAGA should return to growth from FY24e onwards.

The NAGA Group - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on: • 2G Energy (2GB) • Apontis Pharma (APPH) • Artec technologies (A6T) • Beta Systems (BSSA) • Blue Cap (B7E) • Cyan (CYR) • Consus Real Estate (CC1) • Daldrup & Soehne (4DS) • DATAGROUP (D6H) • Datron (DAR) • Delignit (DLX) • Deutsche Börse (DB1) • Deutsche Grundstücksauktionen (DGR) • Deutsche Rohstoff (DR0) • DVS Technology (DIS) • Edel (EDL) • Ernst Russ (HXCK) • Exasol (EXL) • expert.ai (EXAI/EXSY) • Fashionette (FSNT) • Formycon (FYB)

The NAGA Group - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on: • 2G Energy (2GB) • Apontis Pharma (APPH) • Artec technologies (A6T) • Beta Systems (BSSA) • Blue Cap (B7E) • Cyan (CYR) • Consus Real Estate (CC1) • Daldrup & Soehne (4DS) • DATAGROUP (D6H) • Datron (DAR) • Delignit (DLX) • Deutsche Börse (DB1) • Deutsche Grundstücksauktionen (DGR) • Deutsche Rohstoff (DR0) • DVS Technology (DIS) • Edel (EDL) • Ernst Russ (HXCK) • Exasol (EXL) • expert.ai (EXAI/EXSY) • Fashionette (FSNT) • Formycon (FYB)

The NAGA Group - New capital to fuel growth

The NAGA Group is a fintech start-up in social trading with a flagship product (Naga Trader) and supplementary services. Headquartered in Hamburg, the company’s operating subsidiary, Naga Markets, is located in Limassol, Cyprus.

The NAGA Group - High trading momentum maintained

NAGA Group continues to benefit from retail investor activity and volatility in financial markets, further underpinned by its social trading functionalities (trade copy feature in particular). Consequently, after completing its restructuring in FY19, NAGA posted a positive EBITDA and a small net profit in FY20, with management now guiding to robust FY21 sales of €50–52m (€24.5m was already generated in H121) and EBITDA of €13–15m. Recently, it also secured further funding through convertible bon

The NAGA Group - Delivering growth in good market conditions

NAGA recorded strong growth in sales and EBITDA in H120 as it benefited from high market volatility triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Management confirmed the full-year guidance it had released in late July 2020, which assumes sales of €22–24m (vs €6.2m in FY19) and EBITDA of €5.5–6.0m (vs a loss of €9.2m in FY19). In the coming months, NAGA aims to increase marketing to improve brand awareness and enter new countries (most notably Australia), which it plans to finance with €4.6m raised throug

The NAGA Group - Recovering in favourable market conditions

NAGA recorded a heavy EBITDA loss in FY19, affected by adverse market conditions and a significant decline in revenues from services from Naga Development Association (NDAL). Preliminary Q120 figures show solid growth in sales and net income as the company benefited from high market volatility triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic and a lower operating cost base following the completion of group restructuring. The focus is now on expansion outside Europe, which it plans to finance with proceeds fro

The NAGA Group - Making efforts towards Naga Group 2.0

NAGA Group has largely completed its restructuring (initiated in April 2019) aimed at cost savings and increased focus on its only profitable product, Naga Trader. Restructuring costs, coupled with market and regulatory headwinds, resulted in weak H119 results. Despite the above, NAGA has maintained its FY19 guidance and expects to see the benefits of its repositioning in FY20. Meanwhile, Fosun Group (NAGA’s major shareholder) has agreed to inject €5m new funding into the company.

The NAGA Group - Further ecosystem expansion delayed

NAGA Group initiated a restructuring process in April 2019 and will now focus on its only profitable product, Naga Trader. For FY19, the company guides to a substantial decrease in revenues from advisory services to Naga Development Association (NDAL). This is accompanied by a €1.8m value adjustment on receivables from NDAL in FY18. This is the result of weak market conditions (particularly in cryptocurrencies), according to the company. Consequently, the targeted expansion of a complete NAGA ec

The NAGA Group - Further development of the ecosystem

NAGA Group continues to ramp up volumes on its NAGA Trader platform, while eliminating commission expenses through the acquisition of Hanseatic Brokerhouse (HBS). Recent developments in the NAGA ecosystem include the introduction of an AI-based robo-advisor, the launch of the beta version of NAGA Exchange (together with an analytical tool called NAGA Guard), as well as the introduction of NAGA Card. The business remains in its early stage with the majority of products (except NAGA Trader) yet to

The NAGA Group - Broadening portfolio stimulates profitability

NAGA Group (N4G) moved to positive EBITDA of €2.9m in FY17 on the back of higher brokerage fees and one-off ICO-related advisory fees. Management expects to double trading volumes in 2018. However, the business is still in its early stages, and future profitability will depend on the number and activity of brokerage clients, the success of recently launched products, as well as the sentiment towards cryptocurrencies in the aftermath of the recent market crash.

- Revenue growth and continued executions

NAGA saw 90% growth in pro forma revenue to €3.7m from trading activities and a 74% increase in total sales to €4.3m in H117, compared with H216. In Q417, management is planning to launch its second product, SWITEX (in-game items trading), and issue NAGA Coins (a cryptocurrency) for up to $400m, with 55% of the total offered to the public by working with a third party. The proceeds from the initial token sale (ITS) and the remaining 45% of the tokens will not be consolidated into NAGA’s balance

Aiming to add spice to social trading

The NAGA Group is a fintech start-up with two products launched before the end of 2017: SwipeStox (securities trading and robo-advisory) and SWITEX (in-game items trading), a joint venture with Deutsche Börse AG. Named after NAGA, the strongest chili in the world, the group’s intention is to be disruptive; it believes that the open API module underpinning SwipeStox can quickly be duplicated on p2pfx (P2P FX/CFD trading) and Trafex (trading of bitcoin and real currencies) before early 2018. The I

hVIVO - Introducing 2025E; HSD sales grth/margin expansion expected

Post further analysis of the FY 2023 results on 9 April 2024, we are establishing FY 2025 forecasts, as well as modifying our forecast adjusted net profit/EPS figures for 2024 and 2025 to reflect the accounting of the deferred tax asset. Our 2025 forecast calls for 9% growth in customer revenues, stable other operating income (largely R&D tax credits) vs 2024, EBITDA margins going back to the 23% level (after a slight contraction in 2024 to reflect 3 facilities being run in parallel for part of

Bioventix - Laying out the longer-term opportunity in Alzheimer’s Disease

The clinical diagnosis of Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) continues to be a highly challenging endeavour and existing gold standard diagnostic techniques (PET scans, CSF analysis) are limited by their cost, lack of access and perceived invasiveness. As the therapeutic landscape of AD evolves so too are the tools being developed to diagnose and monitor AD in clinical practice and blood-based AD tests represent potentially more sustainable, scalable and economically viable approaches to future AD managem

Elixirr - Outperforming competitors and the global Consulting market

Elixirr offers investors exposure to the long-term growth trends in the global Consulting market (including digitisation and the ongoing technology revolution, demand for innovation, efficiency and specialised expertise) all turbo charged by the group’s ‘challenger’ strategy driving market share gain from a low base. FY 2023 results showed the power of Elixirr’s differentiated model with revenue up +20% and adj. EPS up +22% in a market subdued by global uncertainty. With net cash of £18m, a posi

Morning Note – 22 April 2024

City of London Investment Group (CLIG LN) - 3Q IMS: return to growth

CLIG’s 3Q IMS reveals 5.5% rise in FuM in the first three months to March 2024 to US$10.1 billion. In the quarter performance added US$302m and group net inflows were US$224m.

Morning Note – 25 April 2024

Hardman & Co Insight: 2023 was an annus horribilis for Quoted UK Infrastructure and Renewable Energy

The focus of Hardman & Co Research is on the nine quoted Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and on the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs): the stocks analysed are all members of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC). We are updating our publication of January 2023, assessing both the lacklustre share price performances during 2023 and the key issues, including interest rates, inflation and power prices. As a 31-strong group, its combined market capitalisation is no

LIBERUM: Science Group: The Science of shareholder value

Solid close to FY24

SP Angel Morning View: Gold prices slide following profit taking as traders look to US data

LIBERUM: MindGym: Delivering on the controllables

hVIVO - FY 2023 results, revenue in-line, margin better, future is bright

hVIVO has delivered FY 2023A results in-line with the 30 January 2024 TU, with total customer revenues of £56m, growth of 16% versus 2022A. Other income related to tax credits added another £2.6m. 2024 revenue guidance of £62m has been reiterated, representing 11% growth over 2023A, and ahead of the £60m that we had previously forecast. The company has good visibility with the 2024 figure, with 90% already being covered by the existing orderbook (stands at £80m at the end of 2023), as well as in

Malvern International - Positive results confirm turnaround on track; cash-generative and a strong bid pipeline

A positive trading trajectory for MLVN has continued to emerge strongly in this morning's results, with FY23A revenues standing at £12.2m (FY22A: £6.3m / +79%) and £0.2m PBT profit as against a £1.1m PBT loss the year before (excluding a £94k fair value movement / loan write back). MLVN provides education services including (1) a range of university-related courses for overseas students, (2) adult ELT and (3) summer schools for juniors. MLVN's contract with the University of East London (UEL) st

LIBERUM: The Liberum Leisure Digest: NLW increase - pricing power is key

Morning Note – 26 March 2024