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Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on Fyber (FBEN). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant.
Companies: RNTS Media
Edison
Reflecting the closer integration of its assets, RNTS will rename to Fyber. Revenue growth of 17% in Q1 falls short of full-year targets but is expected to accelerate as the year progresses and management has reiterated its full year targets of revenues over €280m and EBITDA over €3m. Putting in place additional financing would lift a significant overhang on the shares.
Exponential growth of programmatic and video ad formats enabled RNTS to grow revenues by 69% in FY16, at the top of its peer set. Management has reiterated its expectation of ongoing strong growth in 2017 and EBITDA profitability. The recent restructuring of the €150m convertible bonds frees the group’s hand to put in place additional financing, required to satisfy earnouts. This would remove an overhang on the shares, which trade in line with peers on FY17e EV/sales multiples.
RNTS Media’s FY16 preliminary update points to pro forma (PF) FY16 revenue growth of at least 65%, in line with its recently raised guidance and our forecasts. RNTS reached EBITDA break-even during Q4, as expected. Contingent on planned financing, FY17 guidance for revenue growth of 30% and EBITDA profitability of over €3m has been introduced, a clear signal of ongoing strong momentum; we leave forecasts unchanged.
Exceptional revenue growth from RNTS Media’s programmatic technology and video ad formats continued into Q3 with revenues for the nine months up 83%. The company’s recently raised guidance seems comfortably achievable and we upgrade our revenue forecasts by 7% in FY16 and 9% in FY17. We now forecast adjusted EBITDA profitability from Q4 this year and in FY17. The 1.3x FY17 EV/sales rating, while a premium to peers, is looking increasingly justified.
RNTS Media has increased pro-forma revenue guidance for FY16 by c 10% to over €205m. The strong trading means the company will reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven in Q416 rather than during 2017 as previously targeted. The company’s guidance for 2017, currently for pro-forma revenues of over €240m, will be updated once it has finalised its budgeting. We will review our forecasts following the Q3 update on 18 November.
RNTS Media’s investment in programmatic trading, video and the recent acquisition of Inneractive drove a near doubling of pro forma revenues in H116. The recently raised revenue guidance, which has been reiterated, looks eminently achievable and the EV/Sales premium to peers increasingly justified.
The proposed acquisition of Inneractive, a rapidly growing mobile SSP, will put RNTS firmly on the map among the larger listed ad tech groups. By connecting with the Fyber platform, it can offer a significantly wider audience reach to advertisers and deeper demand to publishers. With the first €100m of last year’s €150m convertible bond issue fully deployed, the EV/Sales valuation is becoming easier to digest.
RNTS Media’s acquisition of Heyzap adds scale, as well the potential to accelerate the launch of new products on Fyber’s ad exchange. This is key to driving conversion to the exchange, which is already responding positively to the launch of video last year, but still has some way to go to bring the group to break-even.
Fyber recently enhanced its mobile video product and added other products on the Fyber ad exchange. Initial results are promising and with a widening network of developers using its mediation solution, it should be able to rapidly build share in these new products and reaccelerate growth, which has slowed over the first half of the year.
FY14 revenue growth of 55% for RNTS Media softened in Q1 to 23% as the market moved towards rewarded video. Having built out the leading mediation platform for RV during FY14, the relaunch of this format on its ad exchange over the summer and the integration of the recent Falk Realtime acquisition should re-ignite growth from H215. RNTS plan a €150m convertible bond issue to finance acquisitions and scale its platform, which should prove a support to the current EV/Sales rating.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on RNTS Media. We currently have 11 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
21 February 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objec
Companies: SLP AXL BLTG BGO ZOO VRS SPR
Hybridan
With FY22 in line and no changes to our existing FY23 forecasts, our focus is on the introduction of new forecasts for FY24 and FY25. We model Clareti recurring revenue growth of 17% and 18% resp. With Clareti having broken through to positive cash EBITDA for the first time in its history in FY22, we expect operating leverage to drive significant margin expansion over the next three years and beyond (Gresham guides to 40% of ARR dropping through to cash EBITDA). We model cash EBITDA margins of 1
Companies: Gresham Technologies plc
Singer Capital Markets
6 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objective
Companies: SEE IMM SAR POS CRW ASTO GROC
23 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv
Companies: PMP EKF SRT AFC CLCO SPE CRDL OSI BOOM
FY results to December 2022 are in line with the January trading update indicating exciting prospects. The significant strategic shift to SaaS for all new customers will lead to greater visibility and quality of earnings, and forecasts are unchanged save for changes to US tax assumptions in FY24. $24.3m of ARR at FY22 (+17% vs FY21 ) represents 64% of FY23 revenue expectations; total visibility of FY23 revenue stands at $28.4m, equivalent to 75% of FY expectations (this time last year was $25.1m
Companies: Sopheon plc
finnCap
We learn today that Tribal has received notification that NTU has terminated its contract and reserved its rights to claim damages. Tribal meanwhile rejects this right to terminate and is considering its next steps. Furthermore - to accommodate this update, the company now expects to report results on 24th March. We therefore consider it is most appropriate to temporarily withdraw forecasts until we regain clarity over this situation and the most likely financial impact.
Companies: Tribal Group plc
21 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv
Companies: TXG TXG SYM SAL PHE TRX FAB FNTL RENX
Tribal has provided a useful NTU update, suggesting that the two parties are working towards winding the contract down, albeit negotiations are still ongoing. While this is clearly not an optimal outcome, it nevertheless reduces uncertainty surrounding the stock and so should enable investors to focus on the core business, which continues to perform strongly – delivering +10% u/l ARR growth (despite the NTU loss). With a strong and sticky core market position and an increasingly international pr
16 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv
Companies: TXG TXG GGP RST CLCO CWR HAYD GYM EMH
24 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv
Companies: TXP HDT TRB DEST CWR W7L GEM CMCL GROC JADE
Blackbird plc has reported strong full-year results, with record revenue growth driven by its first ‘Powered by Blackbird’ (PBB) licencing deal with EVS, a €300m market-cap media group. EVS launched IPD-VIA Create in December 2022, its new web application developed in collaboration with Blackbird, which has already been deployed by a US broadcaster on a major global sporting event. This, and the continued roll-out by EVS, will translate into additional revenue for Blackbird through its revenue-s
Companies: Blackbird PLC
Allenby Capital
13 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv
Companies: AXL FNX AAZ MEN TERN WBI MCON MWE NGHT
20 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv
Companies: XSG GDR TENG XSG CRCL DCTA SPSC SENX
Companies: FireAngel Safety Technology Group plc
Shore Capital
Companies: Aptitude Software Group plc
Canaccord Genuity
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