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  • 18 Oct 17

N+1 Singer - Uncovered Gems - Speed Dating Lunch - Four more gems revealed

In our fifth lunch in this popular format, we were pleased to welcome last Friday the management teams of Creightons, Fishing Republic, Lighthouse Group and Symphony Environmental – four companies we deem to be less well-known than they deserve. Each company gave a ten minute overview of its business and the investment case and we had quick-fire Q&A from a group of fund managers. Below we summarise our thoughts on each company, with more details inside, plus we include the slides presented by each management team. All four companies have very interesting potential and we are happy to arrange further contact.

Companies: FISH LGT SYM

  • 17 Oct 17

Nudge, nudge, Nobel prize for a small cap fan!

Further evidence that the shrewder investor prefers a smaller company, the Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded to Professor Thaler, an avowed fan of the smaller brethren. Back down to earth, all markets continue to make headway, with the smaller company indices continuing to lead the way. Despite the apparent deadlock in the Brexit process, life appears to carry on. The MPC meeting on 2 November and the Budget on 22 November may offer greater insight. In Share News & Views, we comment on recent updates from Cropper*, Halstead, Norcros, Tricorn* Walker Greenbank and Wincanton.

Companies: APC BMS CRPR ECSC EUSP FDM GETB PCF PPIX SNX SPRP SQS TCN W7L

  • 17 Oct 17

Morning Note

Flowtech Fluidpower* (FLO): Q3 trading update confirms good organic growth (CORP) | President Energy* (PPC): Puesto Flores – first oil delivery and revenue (CORP) | dotDigital* (DOTD): 2H acceleration: progress on every front (CORP) | Orchard Funding* (ORCH): Insuretech winning (CORP)

Companies: FLO PPC DOTD ORCH

  • 10 Oct 17

UK Housebuilding Sector: Q3 2017

‘The $64,000 Question’

Companies: ABBY BDEV BWY BKG BVS CRN CSP CRST GLE INL MCS PSN RDW TW/ TEF WJG

  • 05 Oct 17

Conviction List Q4 2017

Since its inception in 2010, the Panmure Gordon Conviction List has outperformed the market, returning 278% against a Small Companies index that would have returned 232% over the same period. Our Q4 portfolio reflects our view that the UK equity market stands to benefit from a coordinated upturn in global growth. Low nominal fixed income spreads continue to provide a valuation underpin for global equities. There are increasing signs that the world’s central bankers are making a concerted effort to wean markets off near zero interest rates. However with global debt exceeding 200% of GDP and unfavorable demographic trends, we think their chances of rapid progress are slim.

Companies: CPI CTH CINE JE MJW NOG RPC VM/ XAR

  • 17 Oct 17

Small Cap Brunch

Totally (TLY) - Sch 1 for £11m RTO of Vocare, a provider of integrated urgent care services to the NHS throughout the UK. £76.8 million rev in the year ended 31 March 2017. Totally to address Care Quality Commission concerns. Due 24 Oct. Central Asia Metals (CAML) -RTO of Lynx Resources. Anticipated market capitalisation at Admission: £404.8m. Raising £113m at 230p. Acquiring the SASA zinc-lead mine in Macedonia from Solway Industries. Due 15 Dec. OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c.£50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m. Orogen plc, to be renamed Sosandar plc on Admission. Sosander is an online womenswear brand specifically targeted at a generation of women who have graduated from younger online and high street brands, and are looking for affordable clothing with a premium, trend-led aesthetic. Offer to raise £5.3m with market cap of £16.1m, expected 2 November 2017 OG Graphite, brownfield development-stage graphite company focused on the reactivation of its wholly-owned Kearney natural flake graphite mine and mill located 280 km north of Toronto, Canada. Offer TBA, expected late October .

Companies: PPC BMK HCM IHC KCR DOTD STI TIDE

  • 12 Oct 17

Small Cap Brunch

Totally (TLY) - Sch 1 for £11m RTO of Vocare, a provider of integrated urgent care services to the NHS throughout the UK. . £76.8 million rev in the year ended 31 March 2017. Totally to address Care Quality Commission concerns. Due 24 Oct. | Central Asia Metals (CAML) -RTO of Lynx Resources. Anticipated market capitalisation at Admission: £404.8m. Raising £113m at 230p. Acquiring the SASA zinc-lead mine in Macedonia from Solway Industries. Due 15 Dec. | Springfield Properties—Scottish housebuilder. “Our turnover exceeded £100 million for the first time this year and now we employ around 500 people. This IPO is the next step in our growth.” Expected Mid October. Offer TBA. | OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c.£50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m. | Orogen plc, to be renamed Sosandar plc on Admission. Sosander is an online womenswear brand specifically targeted at a generation of women who have graduated from younger online and high street brands, and are looking for affordable clothing with a premium, trend-led aesthetic. Offer to raise £5.3m with market cap of £16.1m, expected 2 November 2017 | OG Graphite, brownfield development-stage graphite company focused on the reactivation of its wholly-owned Kearney natural flake graphite mine and mill located 280 km north of Toronto, Canada. Offer TBA, expected late october | SolGold—Publication of prospectus regarding transfer from AIM. Due 6 Oct | ContourGlobal LP— contracted wholesale power generation businesses, with 69 thermal and renewable power generation assets in Europe, Latin America and Africa. In the year ended 31 December 2016 it generated $905.2 million of combined revenue and $440.4 million of Adjusted EBITDA. Raising c.$400m. Expected November. | TI Fluid Systems—Maybe second time lucky? Pulled last October. global manufacturer of automotive fluid storage, carrying and delivery systems seeking to raise €425m to reduce financial leverage (to approximately 2.0x net debt to Adjusted EBITDA by the end of FY 2017). Possible partial sale by Bain. Revenue for FY 2016 was €3.3 billion and Adjusted EBIT was €362.1 million | M7 Multi-Let REIT—Intends to raise up to £300m at 100p. Aims to acquire and hold a portfolio of UK regional light industrial and regional office assets diversified by geography, asset type and tenants that is expected to generate stable income returns and, where appropriate, offer the potential to leverage and enhance returns through active asset management initiatives. Due 13 Nov. | Bakkavor Group - Provider of fresh prepared food intends to float in November. FY 16 Revenue: £1,763.6 million FY 16 Adjusted EBITDA: £146.4 million (13.7% CAGR FY 14-FY 16). Part vendor sale and primary raise of c. £100m. Price TBA. | Russia’s En+, owned by Russian aluminium tycoon Oleg Deripaska, has assets in metals and energy, including hydropower. reported to be seeking dual London and Moscow listing raising $1.5bn | TMF Group , which provides tax, admin and legal support services, reported to be seeking London IPO to raise c. £200m | People’s Investment Trust—Objective of sustainable wealth creation. Also to list on the Social Stock Exchange. Targeting £125m raise on 17 Oct. No performance fees or executive bonuses in order to focus on long term rather than short term performance.

Companies: DKE WDC FLO XLM NKTN APQ GEO POLR AEG BSE

  • 18 Oct 17

GMP FirstEnergy ― UK Energy morning research package

RockRose Energy (RRE LN) (not covered): Acquisition of North Sea assets | Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG LN)6 ; BUY, £5.80: Delay at GTU3 in Kazakhstan | TransGlobe Energy (TGL CN); BUY, C$4.00: Production in 3Q17 lagged expectations, while operational update was positive

Companies: RRE NOG TGL

  • 18 Oct 17

Small Cap Breaskfast

Novacyt S.A.—Sch1 from the international diagnostics group, generating revenues from the sale of clinical products used in oncology, microbiology, haematology and serology testing. Offer to raise £8.8m at 59.38p with a value of £22.4m. Expected 01 Nov. Footasylum Ltd—UK-based fashion retailer focusing on the branded footwear and apparel markets announced its intention to seek admission to AIM. Expected value between £130m and £150m. Due Nov 2017. Totally (TLY) - Sch 1 for £11m RTO of Vocare, a provider of integrated urgent care services to the NHS throughout the UK. £76.8 million rev in the year ended 31 March 2017. Totally to address Care Quality Commission concerns. Due 24 Oct. Central Asia Metals (CAML) -RTO of Lynx Resources. Anticipated market capitalisation at Admission: £404.8m. Raising £113m at 230p. Acquiring the SASA zinc-lead mine in Macedonia from Solway Industries. Due 15 Dec. OnTheMarket—Intention to float on AIM to raise c.£50m which will be used to fund the growth of the OnTheMarket.com portal, already the third biggest UK residential property portal provider. Expected valuation £200m to £250m. Orogen plc, to be renamed Sosandar plc on Admission. Sosander is an online womenswear brand specifically targeted at a generation of women who have graduated from younger online and high street brands, and are looking for affordable clothing with a premium, trend-led aesthetic. Offer to raise £5.3m with market cap of £16.1m, expected 2 November 2017 OG Graphite, brownfield development-stage graphite company focused on the reactivation of its wholly-owned Kearney natural flake graphite mine and mill located 280 km north of Toronto, Canada. Offer TBA, expected late October .

Companies: ONC UBI NCCL BHRD PRM ARL SPRP PURP PVR TRX

  • 18 Oct 17

N+1 Singer - Morning Song 18-10-2017

Be Heard (BHRD LN) agenda21 appointed lead digital agency by Addison Lee | Eckoh (ECK LN) US secure payments continue strong momentum | Rathbone Brothers (RAT LN) FuM +2.5% in Q3, Investment Management net inflows remain modest

Companies: ECK BHRD RAT

  • 06 Oct 17

Making hay when the sun shines

Cenkos Securities’ H117 result was strong with a pre-tax profit increase of over 150% bolstered by the Eddie Stobart IPO, which provided further evidence of the company’s ability to complete larger transactions as well as a flow of smaller deals. The second half has started well and, subject to market conditions, the pipeline is reported to be healthy. Our FY17 earnings estimate has been increased by nearly 11%. Revenue and profit are subject to market fluctuations but the business model of contained fixed costs and high variable compensation mitigates the impact of this. The valuation both in terms of P/E and yield appears cautious.

Companies: Cenkos Securities
  • 16 Oct 17

Managed for sustained dividend growth

The Diverse Income Trust (DIVI) invests in UK listed companies across the market capitalisation spectrum. It aims to deliver good and growing dividends as well as capital returns. Over two-thirds of its investments are outside the FTSE 350 index of large and mid-cap stocks, and the managers believe the small-cap universe is still rich in opportunities. The fund also seeks to minimise the scale of downside risk, and therefore the portfolio currently includes FTSE 100 put options. DIVI’s share price has risen by around 110% since launch in April 2011 to end-September 2017, outperforming the FTSE All-Share index by over 50%.

Companies: Diverse Income Trust
  • 17 Oct 17

Insuretech winning

With a 9% beat of our expectations, 30% lending growth and modest forecast upgrades, we expect this uniquely positioned company with the highest quality loan book in the market to rerate as it delivers growth with reliability during its scale up.

Companies: Orchard Funding Group
  • 19 Sep 17

EQUITY RESEARCH

Lloyds Banking Group PLC (LLOY) reported continuing strong operating progress in its Interim (H1-17) results back on 27 July, with all key business metrics continuing to improve. Guidance for the full year Net Interest Margin (NIM) was raised to 2.85% (2.7% in FY-16) and LLOY expects 2017’s Tier One Capital generation (CET1) to be at the top end of the 170-200 bps improvement range. Importantly, LLOY is positively geared into a gently rising UK interest rate environment (perhaps 25 bps in Nov-17 followed by 25 bps in May-18) as the economy warms. This is a profile we like and should provide near-term upside potential. Buy

Companies: Lloyds Banking Group
  • 13 Oct 17

Valuable growth

Although European small caps’ revenues tend to grow faster than nominal GDP (2.5x according to Janus Henderson/ JP Morgan), their forward valuations are currently lower than those of the large caps. We think that in the world where growth is scarce and valuations are high, relative advantage of small caps should be exploited.

Companies: TR European Growth Trust