G3 Group (GGL) operates three businesses: document and data management in New Zealand and Australia, a unique UK-based tourist souvenir business and a business mail operation in NZ. The performance for the three months to 31 December 2016 was strong, with both gross and operating margins reported ahead of target. The company attributes its outperformance to strong revenues in the higher-margin document management business versus the less profitable business mail unit. As expected, inventory days showed an increase due to the previously announced one-off buy up of business mail products during Q1. These will continue to reduce as the product is sold off. Management expects to achieve all key operating metrics (KOMs) in FY17e.
Companies: G3 GROUP
G3 Group (GGL) operates three businesses: document and data management in NZ and Australia, a unique UK-based tourist souvenir business and a business mail operation in NZ. The audited FY16 financial results showed NPAT of NZ$2.14m, which was 12.2% ahead of FY15 and included a PBT contribution of NZ$0.04m from Formfile Records Management Group, acquired on 20 January 2016. It also included costs associated with IPO and the introduction of an employee share scheme, totalling NZ$0.227m and NZ$0.345m, respectively. The key operating milestones (KOMs) performance for Q117 is below expectations for FY17 due to the short-term impact of a postage price increase and seasonal softness in the UK market.
G3 Group (GGL) operates three businesses: document and data management in NZ and Australia, a unique UK-based tourist souvenir business and a business mail operation in NZ. The audited FY16 financial results showed NPAT of NZ$2.14m, which was 12.2% ahead of FY15 and included a PBT contribution of NZ$0.040m from Formfile Records Management Group, acquired on 20 January 2016, as well as costs associated with IPO and introduction of an employee share scheme totalling NZ0.227m and NZ$0.345m respectively.
G3 Group operates three businesses: a New Zealand-based business mail operation, a unique UK tourist mail business (Universal Mail UK) and document management in New Zealand and Australia. The performance for the third quarter that ended 31 December 2015 showed gross margin and inventory levels for the quarter and year to date above the key operating milestone (KOM) targets. The volume of items processed in the third quarter was below the KOM target, but is expected to increase in the fourth quarter with the resumption of services to a major bulk customer.
G3 Group (GGL) operates three businesses: document and data management in New Zealand and Australia, a unique UK-based tourist souvenir business and a business mail operation in NZ. The performance for the six months ending 30 September 2016 showed a significant improvement versus the same period a year earlier, with underlying EBITDA growing by 24.9%. Strong growth in a G3 core home market of New Zealand post was one of the main drivers behind its strong performance. Furthermore, several bolt-on acquisitions continue to perform well, with the company announcing that it plans to continue looking for acquisition targets in its key markets.
G3 Group operates three businesses: a New Zealand-based business mail operation, a unique UK tourist mail business (Universal Mail UK) and document management in New Zealand. Following its successful listing on the NXT in June 2015, the company has provided the market with a business update for Q116 stating that all key operating milestones (KOMs) the company on track to meet its second quarter targets and KOMs.
G3 Group operates three businesses: a New Zealand-based business mail operation; a unique UK tourist mail business (Universal Mail UK); and document management in New Zealand. The compliance listing on the New Zealand NXT market does not include the raising of any capital and will provide a platform for organic and acquisition-fuelled growth.
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The FY 2020 results are in line with our expectations and reflect the impact of the previously announced switch from large perpetual licences to recurring annual term licences during the year. Despite the COVID strictures, with its large global partnerships, D4t4 continues to close numerous lucrative data gathering and data management contracts with major blue-chips around the world. It is successfully converting a high proportion of its new sales to recurring revenue contracts, but this will sacrifice growth and earnings in FY 2020 and FY 2021. Nevertheless, with growing recurring revenue base, an exciting pipeline and a very strong balance sheet, D4t4 is very well positioned for continued long-term growth and security.
Companies: D4T4 Solutions
CentralNic's CMD gave us new positive insights into the company's investment case. CentralNic's organic growth is stronger than we thought, the Direct division generates high ROI, the monetisation market was shown to be critical to the domain name market, Team Internet's market leadership was further reinforced and acquisition opportunities were shown to be larger than anticipated. These investment views are not reflected in CentralNic's low valuation multiples, in our view.
Companies: Centralnic Group
CentralNic’s capital markets day (CMD) on 24 June 2020 introduced the divisional management team and provided insight on each of the three key segments as they will report in FY20: Indirect (Wholesale, Registry); Monetisation (Team Internet); and Direct (Retail, Corporate). We have picked out what we believe are the four key themes from the CMD: FY20 performance, COVID-19 and seasonality; organic growth; M&A; and, pulling it all together, the benefit of scale. CentralNic continues to trade on an FY20 EV/EBITDA of 9.1x and a P/E of 15.8x, a material discount to its peer group, with our DCF indicating further share price upside. M&A could bring CentralNic’s multiples down further.
GB Group reported strong performance in FY20 and started taking measures to preserve cash in Q420. Trading in Q121 has been mixed and while management is unwilling to provide guidance for FY21, it has confidence that in the longer term it is well positioned to benefit from the acceleration in digital transformation that should drive demand for its identity data intelligence services. We have upgraded our EPS forecasts by 5% in FY21 and 3% in FY22.
Companies: GB Group
Blackbird plc* (BIRD.L, 19.25p/£64.7m) | Mirada plc* (MIRA.L, 92.5p/£8.2m) | Tern plc* (TERN.L, 10.75p/£29.0m) | Checkit plc (CKT.L, 39.5p/£24.5m)
Companies: BIRD MIRA MIRA TERN CKT
Contract announcement
Companies: Trakm8
LoopUp has provided an update on trading to coincide with today’s AGM…in essence, the group continues to see activity “materially” above pre-COVID levels, and is confident of exceeding expectations for 2020. We choose to leave our forecasts (that we believe to be roughly in line with consensus estimates) unchanged for now, in advance of further detail likely with a fuller H1 update in early July.
Companies: Loopup Group
FY20 results: inline with guidance
Redcentric has agreed a settlement with the FCA whereby net purchasers of stock between November 2015 and November 2016 will be compensated at the equivalent of approximately 17p per share, payable as preferred as part shares/part cash, all shares, or all cash. To assist in funding the compensation in the event of an all cash settlement, the group has agreed a provisional placing for £5.8m at 110p, in addition to use of treasury shares and existing cash resources. The relief from the shadow of the FCA investigation will be a welcome fillip to business prospects, re-opening opportunities with the private sector and confirming no further action, which would have adversely affected public sector bid prospects, and M&A. With the accompanying trading update, 1Q21 performance in recurring revenue sales orders is mildly ahead of 1Q20, and further cost savings lead us to nudge March FY21 EBITDA expectations from £23.6m to £24.0m (+1%) despite trimming revenue 3% due to a COVID-based slowdown in lower-margin non-recurring revenue. With relief from the uncertainty of the FCA investigation, we lift our target price to 160p, as the group can finally return to business as usual.
Companies: Redcentric
Touchstar is a supplier of mobile data computing solutions and managed services to a variety of industrial sectors. This morning, the group has provided a trading update to coincide with its AGM. Encouragingly, the business continues to perform in line with the trends seen at the time of the full year results in May and the Board anticipates Touchstar will be profitable in the six months to 30 June. Cash generation is again reported to have been good, with ‘significantly higher cash balances' expected to be reported than at the beginning of the year (FY 2019A £850k). The group has drawdown a CBIL of £150,000, which provides additional liquidity alongside its undrawn banking facilities of £300,000. Looking ahead, the order book is a more normal level than last reported at over £500,000 at the end of June, which compares to an exceptionally strong £1.2m at the beginning of the year.
Companies: Touchstar
Oxford Metrics has delivered solid 1HMar20 results, with sales of £15.0m (PY: £16.1m) and adj. PBT £0.3m (PY: £1.7). Within this, Yotta demonstrated continued ARR progression (up +15% to £6.8m) while at Vicon, the division added additional bluechip customers, further validating its industry leading position. Progress was, however, held back by lockdown restrictions. £1.1m of expected orders slipped to post period, but have now largely been fulfilled. Had they occurred as expected group sales would have been flat y/y. Looking ahead, CV19 related uncertainty leads us to withdraw forecasts. At this stage we expect disruption to be short-lived. As such – and considering OMG’s persuasive track record - we continue to view the company as a long-term winner in this growth industry.
Companies: Oxford Metrics
The YE trading update reveals that management has actioned its proposed switch from a perpetual licence to a SaaS business during FY 2020. We therefore adjust our forecasts as moving customers from one-off perpetual licence contracts to recurring revenue contracts takes longer to implement and revenue is recognised over a longer period. Despite COVID-19, D4t4 made good progress in Q4 since the January update (with its own raft of contract wins), and several more contracts have been secured on a multi-year ‘as-a-service’ basis, providing additional recurring revenue visibility (now 46% of total sales) over the next three years. Management does not expect any significant interruptions in customer service or its distribution channels. However, actions taken to mitigate the impact of the virus include home working; preserving cash; and securing additional liquidity from the bank if required. The final dividend and FY 2021 forecasts are under review, however the £0.5m share buyback programme continues.
A concerted move into managed services is improving the quality of revenues. Management is targeting the growth in recurring revenues to cover the cash cost base of the company by 2022. This event will mark a material derisking of the investment case and is the pathway to the share price doubling or more over the next 2-3 years. Buy.
Companies: Pelatro
Blackbird plc* (BIRD.L, 15.0p/£50.4m) | Brave Bison Group plc* (BBSN.L, 1.375p/£8.4m) | CML Microsystems plc (CML.L, 258p/£44.2m) | Eckoh plc (ECK.L, 61.5p/£156.2m)
Companies: BIRD BBSN CML ECK
OMG has today announced a “significant multi-year” Alloy contract win with South Gloucestershire Council, this being the company’s cloud-based asset management solution. A differentiating feature of Alloy is the range (or variety) of assets it can handle, and consequently, Alloy will able to provide a single view from which all relevant public infrastructure can be managed and maintained. No numbers are given, but we remind (as at prelims) OMG had a pipeline consistent with adding £1m of ARR in FY20. We therefore assume that this contract contributes to this figure, and so make no changes to either divisional or group forecasts. Similarly, we note that following FY19 (which saw some delayed ‘go-lives’) it is pleasing to see a major contract win announced relatively early in this financial year.
