We lower our TP to NOK 48 (55) after implementing the negative Balder-X update and lower gas prices. Following last week’s trading update, we now expect a Q3’22 EBIT of USD 1,804m vs. USD 2,058m previously, as production came in below in addition to an underlift. For 2023/24, we lower our EBITDA estimates by ~20% and are somewhat below cons. That said, we continue to see positive risk/reward with USD 65-75/bbl now being discounted in the share.

17 Oct 2022
Arctic: Vår Energi - Recalibration after recent setback

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Arctic: Vår Energi - Recalibration after recent setback
We lower our TP to NOK 48 (55) after implementing the negative Balder-X update and lower gas prices. Following last week’s trading update, we now expect a Q3’22 EBIT of USD 1,804m vs. USD 2,058m previously, as production came in below in addition to an underlift. For 2023/24, we lower our EBITDA estimates by ~20% and are somewhat below cons. That said, we continue to see positive risk/reward with USD 65-75/bbl now being discounted in the share.