We lower our 2026/27e adj EBITDA by 12/11% following SmartCraft’s disappointing Q3 report. Continued downgrades and churn are weighing on ARR growth, and with weak momentum heading into 2026, we reduce our 2026 ARR by 6%. Churn, downgrades, and a soft Norwegian market are likely to persist in the near term, but we believe the market is approaching a bottom. With construction bankruptcies in Norway now stabilizing and interest rate cuts expected to take effect through 2026, SmartCraft should grad ....
05 Nov 2025
Arctic: SmartCraft - Weak near-term momentum but recovery potential intact
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Arctic: SmartCraft - Weak near-term momentum but recovery potential intact
SmartCraft ASA Class A (SMCRT:OSL) | 0 0 0.0%
- Published:
05 Nov 2025 -
Author:
Kristian Spetalen | Halvor Aasen Dybdahl -
Pages:
20 -
We lower our 2026/27e adj EBITDA by 12/11% following SmartCraft’s disappointing Q3 report. Continued downgrades and churn are weighing on ARR growth, and with weak momentum heading into 2026, we reduce our 2026 ARR by 6%. Churn, downgrades, and a soft Norwegian market are likely to persist in the near term, but we believe the market is approaching a bottom. With construction bankruptcies in Norway now stabilizing and interest rate cuts expected to take effect through 2026, SmartCraft should grad ....