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The leading network airlines group reported a heavy Q2 net loss and its H2 forecast has been revised downward. Nevertheless, IAG maintains its recovery expectations despite a more pessimistic market outlook.
The group will call for a €2.75bn fund raising to cope with the health crisis.
Companies: International Consolidated Airlines Group SA
William Hill reported strong H1 20 numbers, with revenue and profits ahead of estimates. Revenue was down 32%, a significant improvement vs the 57% drop seen in the weeks immediately following the lockdowns. The adjusted EBIT came in at £11.8m, thanks to better-than-expected savings from cost control. The net debt/EBITDA ratio is down to 2.1x (vs 2.4x at FY19 end). Following the H1 performance, we will be raising our profit estimates to account for the impact of the recent cost controls.
Companies: William Hill Plc
Cenkos Securities plc has terminated coverage of Angling Direct Plc. Our previous recommendation (BUY) and forecasts can no longer be relied upon.
For further information please contact Cenkos.
Companies: Angling Direct Plc
William Hill announced soft numbers for the 17-week period ending 28 April. Revenue was down 27%, driven by a 35% drop in retail revenue, which was hurt by the pandemic-induced shop closures, which added to headwinds from machine staking limits in the UK. However, the liquidity position improved substantially with covenants reset and cash burn reduced substantially. Following the latest update, we will be reducing our estimates. However, we do not expect any significant change to our recommendation.
Top line growth was 26.6% in FY20, despite a refocus away from unprofitable online regions (e.g. Russia) and a drag in Q4 from adverse weather/flooding. In highly fragmented UK/European markets, and potentially supported by accelerated structural change post CV19, there remains a significant growth opportunity both online and offline for the lead consolidator. Weak bottom line contribution highlights the benefit that changes being implemented under a strengthened management team should yield. These include improved stock management processes and a greater focus on gross margin and operating cashflows. With sufficient liquidity to navigate the crisis, a profitable/growing store estate and scope to realise scale economies online, ANG should be a long term winner.
New management has put in place a strategy which the February interim results revealed was returning the group to growth with very encouraging LFL statistics and attractive returns on refurbished outlets. In March, however, in response to COVID-19 and following UK Government guidelines, all venues had to be closed.
Management initiatives have materially reduced the cash burn while the group is unable to trade, and the group’s lender has been very supportive in significantly increasing the borrowing facility.
Management is now proposing an equity issue, the rationale for which is to strengthen the leverage ratio to create a more appropriate capital structure moving forward, to allow an immediate return to the estate refurbishment programme and to be able to potentially take advantage of strategic opportunities as they arise as the sector emerges from the COVID-19 crisis.
Companies: Revolution Bars Group Plc
Whilst Arena delivered FY20E results in line with our expectations, this has inevitably been overshadowed by the challenges posed by COVID-19 to the industry. Arena acted swiftly to cut costs and preserve cash, such that it currently has a c£23.5m cash balance. This is enough to see the company through into 2021, even if the global event market remains heavily disrupted for the rest of the year.
Companies: Arena Events Group Plc
Following interim results reported last week, with H1 profitability and cash generation ahead of our previously published scenario analysis, we reinstate forecasts for FY20E and beyond today. Inchcape has delivered a resilient performance despite widespread market disruption. Its balance sheet strength creates the potential for further accretive M&A as well as returns to shareholders in the form of buybacks and possible return to the dividend list.
Companies: Inchcape Plc
bet-at-home reported headline figures for H120 ahead of consensus expectations. The results are encouraging given revenue growth in Q220 was better than might have been expected with the regulatory changes (Poland and Switzerland) and the impact of COVID-19 on sports betting. Management has reiterated its guidance for FY20, and the strong financial position makes the prospective dividend yield of 7.0% look attractive.
Companies: bet-at-home.com AG
Vivendi and Amber Capital, the first and second largest shareholders of Lagardère, have decided to sign a pact and will seek a minority Supervisory Board representation. Speculation is continuing around the share.
Companies: Lagardère SCA
The global online gaming market generated c £40bn of gross gaming revenues (GGR) in 2018 and newly regulating markets (the US) are expected to contribute to 7% CAGR to 2023 (according to H2 Gambling Capital (H2GC)). However, while regulated markets have provided significant opportunities for operators to date, government intervention remains a constant threat and legislation is tightening. Some mature markets (notably the UK) have been raising taxes and implementing regulatory burdens, which increases the cost of business. In our view, success will depend on a combination of scale, diversification, proprietary technology and a strong balance sheet. Many of the 12 operators in this report should benefit from these dynamics and sector valuations remain attractive, at 12.6x P/E, 8.2x EV/EBITDA and 6.0% dividend yield for FY19.
Companies: 888 ACX BETSB ORPH GVC GYS OPAP PTEC RNK WMH
The trade-off in the risk/reward for gold and gold mining equities is improving, as central banks push the current iteration of the post-World War II Bretton Woods financial order towards its limits.
Companies: AVO AJB AGY ARBB BUR CLIG DNL DPP FLTA GTLY GDR MCL MUR NSF PCA PIN SRE PHP RE/ RECI RMDL STX SCE TON SHED VTA W7L
Disney+ hits 22m mobile users, SoftBank backed firm downsizes IPO, German mobile carrier selects Huawei
Companies: ENET 7DIG MVR ZOO ZOO AMO BOOM MIRA MWE
JDW’s Q2 performance was slightly ahead of our estimates. The publican benefited as Britons continued to go out to eat and drink over Christmas and the New Year. Management’s disclosure of a further increase in FY19/20 net debt is a concern (although it is attributable to higher than expected capital expenditure). No significant changes to our financial estimates.
Companies: JD Wetherspoon Plc
Despite the challenging market environment, Arena has delivered interim results that were broadly in line with our expectations (Adj EBITDA of £16.6m vs £17.0m forecasted). Cost saving initiatives are being implemented, which should support margins going forwards, whilst the company is expected to benefit from some significant contracts due for delivery in FY21E.