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    PATISWISS AG

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    PATISWISS AG

  • 02 Jul 19

Where’s the Value?

Warren Buffett once said that as an investor, it is wise to be ‘fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful’. Fear is not in short supply right now.

Companies: OPM ALU ANCR BLV CONN CRC FDL GATC HAT LEK MMH MCB MWE NXR NTBR NOG PAF PEG RFX SRC TEF TEG TPT VTU WYN XLM

  • 01 Aug 19

THE MONTHLY August 2019

The introduction of IFRS 2 in 2004 generated considerable debate about the best approach for handling ‘share-based payments’ (SBP). While it is clearly a cost to shareholders, which should be included in the statutory reporting lines through the P&L account, the question arose as to whetherit should be part of our underlying EBIT calculation.

Companies: AVO AJB AGY ARBB CLIG DNL DPP FLTA GTLY GDR KOOV MCL MUR NSF OXB PCA PHP RE/ REDX RMDL STX SCE TRX TON SHED VAL VTA W7L

  • 30 Apr 18

Key takeaways from the Consumer reporting season

With a busy reporting season behind us we use this note to take stock. Stepping back we pull out the key themes which emerged across the sub-sectors we actively follow in the consumer space. On balance there was more cause for optimism. This is supportive of our top-down view that there is scope for a better H2 for consumer related stocks as cost headwinds ease and pressure on disposable income moderates. We also take a close look at 7 stocks we actively research and which reported over March and April. For each we use charts to depict the key takeaways from an investment case perspective.

Companies: DOM BAG NICL CHH GOAL RTN GYM MARS CVSG

  • 25 Sep 18

H1 results - steady as it goes

AG Barr has navigated a tricky H1 (sugar levy, snow, CO2 shortages and upside from hot weather) to deliver a satisfactory set of financials - sales up 5.5% which flowed through to a modest 4% uplift in PBT. The DPS has been nudged up by 5%. So a steady as it goes performance with no meaningful new news or surprise this morning, albeit we note that in revenue terms the company underperformed market growth of 7.7%. Management is guiding to no change to full year expectations this morning. Given low single digit growth expectations the valuation we feel looks full, with share buybacks being the main support over the last few months.

Companies: A.G. Barr
  • 06 Nov 18

THE MONTHLY November 2018

In addition to Hardman’s monthly analysis of client stocks, the thorny issue of market disruption – a popular theme currently - is also addressed. In a wide-ranging article, Hardman’s utilities analyst, Nigel Hawkins, assesses the impact that market disruption has already made. In some sectors, notably telecoms and aviation, market disruption has been apparent for many years, as the rise of Vodafone, Ryanair and easyJet demonstrates. However, in some sectors, such as oil and housebuilding, structural changes have been modest – the dominance of the big players endures. For investors, there is real interest in those sectors where changes are underway. The UK groceries market, which may shortly become a duopoly, is a case in point. And, intriguingly, who knows if there is a company currently languishing in AIM, which will attain a £50bn market valuation within the next decade?

Companies: OPM AVO AGY APH ARBB AVCT DISH BNO BUR CMH CLIG CSH DNL DPP GTLY GDR HAYD KOOV MCL MUR NSF OXB PHP RE/ REDX SCE SIXH TON VAL VTA W7L

  • 14 Jan 19

Opportunity knocks

We are introducing our Best Ideas for 2019 and also review the performance of last year’s picks. We suggest ten solidly financed stocks with good business dynamics that ought to be considered for core portfolio holdings and six UK domestically focused stocks that our analysts believe should perform strongly in the event that uncertainties unwind. We also introduce a new style of research from N+1 Singer which presents a Company’s dynamics and metrics in a clear and concise manner and concentrates on the pivotal issues affecting that Company and an investment decision.

Companies: BCA CLIN CLG CBP DNLM EAH FDL FCRM FUTR GTLY INS GLE NICL SDL SPR TRI

  • 25 Feb 19

Cenkos: Finsbury Food Group Plc - H1/19A Interim Results

Finsbury Food delivered a robust performance during H1/19A, with LFL sales growth of +0.5% YoY to £145.5m, improved adj operating margins, and an increase in the dividend. However, the challenging macro environment leads us to downgrade our numbers for FY19E and FY20E. Despite the headwinds, we believe Finsbury is well placed to manage cost pressures and deliver future growth by successfully identifying and producing products to meet changing customer demand. Sizable recent investments (eg new machinery, business systems etc) should lower cost of production and further strengthen Finsbury's competitive position, allowing it to gain market share. Trading on a FY19E EV/Adj EBITDA of 5.5x, and with a high and growing dividend yield (FY19E 4.3%), we see significant value in the shares. Buy.

Companies: Finsbury Food Group
  • 27 Mar 17

The Joy of Techs

Enterprise-focused niche applications of tech illustrate how, while trends appear to be fluctuating away from the current poster children of fintech and the Internet of Things, in fact these developments are refining appropriate application of existing technologies.

Companies: 7DIG AMO ARTA BVC BOTB CTP CITY D4T4 DTC DOTD ELCO ESG FDSA FDEV GBG IDEA IDOX IGP IOM KBT KCOM KWS LRM MAI MMX NASA NET PHD QTX QXT RCN 932 SEE SIM SPE TAX TEP TPOP TRAK UNG VIP ZOO ONEV SSY ABAL

  • 25 Apr 19

LIBERUM: Origin Enterprises* - Getting Agrii

The shares have fallen to 10x PER for the first time in five years. The 3.7% yield also stands out. Brexit fears have been a factor, but we think the UK farming bill to transition away from subsidies will drive consolidation and a shift in technology which will benefit the UK agronomy business.

Companies: Origin Enterprises
  • 09 May 19

LIBERUM: Origin Enterprises* - New financial targets underpin Buy rating

Origin Enterprises' Capital Markets Day presented an in-depth analysis of the company's strategy, markets and operations. It highlighted the strength of the Origin's position in the UK/Ireland and the scope for expansion in Brazil and Continental Europe.

Companies: Origin Enterprises
  • 19 Jun 19

LIBERUM: Origin Enterprises* - Solid 3Q19 underpins full year estimates

Origin Enterprises has reported a solid 3Q trading update with underlying revenues +11% as the company benefited from more normal weather patterns in comparison to the difficult 3Q18. The UK/Ireland has had a particularly strong season, offsetting a difficult environment in Continental Europe, particularly in Ukraine.

Companies: Origin Enterprises
  • 15 Jul 19

Cenkos: Finsbury Food Group Plc - Strong H2/19A

Finsbury Food has followed a robust H1/19A to finish the year slightly above our revenue forecasts. Group sales for FY19A increased 3.8% to £315.3m with sales in H2/19A being particularly strong, increasing 11.7% YoY. Organic sales growth grew 3.1% to £299.3m with H2/19A sales increasing 5.7% on a like-for-like basis.

Companies: Finsbury Food Group
  • 17 Jul 19

Cenkos: Venture Life Group Plc - Strong commercial development

Venture Life Group Plc has reported strong commercial developments across all three strands of its business - UK direct, international distributors and customer manufacturing. This announcement has seen the growth of UK distribution points for the newly acquired Dentyl and UltraDEX, new international product launches take place and new manufacturing agreements signed. This clearly demonstrates Venture Life delivering strong commercial progress in-line with the its organic strategy. This announcement is also timed with the commencement of a 10-day UltraDEX sampling campaign in London. We maintain our Buy recommendation.

Companies: Venture Life Group
  • 15 Aug 19

Good momentum is continuing

Carlsberg reported a good financial performance, with a strong top-line and improving profitability. The first six months reflect that the long-term strategy is working well, supported by significant growth in Asia and the Craft/Alcohol free portfolio. The group sees slower momentum in H2 but we are confident that it will reach (or even beat?) its target anyway.

Companies: Carlsberg