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    SUVRETTA HAUS ST MORITZ

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    SUVRETTA HAUS ST MORITZ

  • 16 Jul 19

Small Cap Feast

Voyager AIR The Company will focus on the acquisition, leasing and management of primarily widebody aircraft, with asset management services to be provided by Amedeo Limited the IPO will comprise a Placing and Offer for Subscription of Shares to raise up to approximately US$200m. Uniphar, a diversified healthcare services business with a workforce of over 2,000, is looking to join AIM. Raising EUR135m with market cap on admission of EUR309.6m, expected 17 July 2019. Roxi Music UK music streaming service plans London IPO as it goes up against Spotify. They have appointed investment bank Arden Partners for an initial public offering (IPO) on the London Stock Exchange later this year.

Companies: CALL BIRD ABC KDR EMAN BST SCE ZEG SAG FUL

  • 02 Jul 19

Where’s the Value?

Warren Buffett once said that as an investor, it is wise to be ‘fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful’. Fear is not in short supply right now.

Companies: OPM ALU ANCR BLV CONN CRC FDL GATC HAT LEK MMH MCB MWE NXR NTBR NOG PAF PEG RFX SRC TEF TEG TPT VTU WYN XLM

  • 09 Jul 19

LIBERUM: Elegant Hotels* - Outlook unchanged; no change following Hodges Bay termination

The termination of the Hodges Bay management contract has no impact on forecasts. While unfortunate, issues at the resort, which has resulted in the construction not yet complete have frustrated matters.

Companies: Elegant Hotels Group
  • 11 Jul 19

Dart Group - FY19 Results, Strategy Paying Off

Dart Group has released FY19 results ahead of current market expectations albeit this was flagged at the trading update in April. The Board remain optimistic of meeting FY20 market expectations and commentary in the press release indicates that customer demand and operational momentum continues to be strong. We have long viewed Dart’s Leisure Travel strategy as well differentiated vs competition and see this contributing to ongoing share gains in the industry. Buy.

Companies: Dart Group
  • 12 Jul 19

Tougher trading in Q2

Lookers have released a trading statement this morning essentially confirming that trading has deteriorated during Q2, which is consistent with our current sector thesis. As a result, we are downgrading our forecasts to reflect this. While Lookers no doubt has issues to deal with, we do believe there is significant value at current levels trading on 6.0x downgraded 2019E EPS, a dividend yield of 8.8% with cover still at 1.9x based on our revised EPS, property assets at 78p per share and net tangible assets at 45p per share, demonstrating the deep value we believe exists.

Companies: Lookers
  • 02 Jul 19

THE MONTHLY July 2019

When advisers first start looking at business relief (BR) products, there is much to take in: the rules governing such products; the investment strategies being used; and what the investment risk is. It is easy to lose sight of the fact that, for non-AIM products, the investment is being made directly into a company or partnership, rather than a fund. It is, therefore, essential that governance is part of the diligence process.

Companies: AVO AJB AGY ARBB CLIG DNL DPP FLTA GTLY KOOV LWRF MCL MUR NSF OXB PCA PHP RE/ REDX RMDL STX SIXH TRX TON SHED VAL VTA W7L

  • 05 Jul 19

Half time report

In this note and following the SMMT June data released yesterday, we look at the key dynamics of the sector during H1 2019 and how this is likely to impact the rest of the calendar year. The dealers have challenges on several different fronts, which could lead to some earnings pressure. However, we do believe valuations have reached a trough point, balance sheets remain strong, and FCF should start to steadily build as the capex cycle for most dealers has come to an end.

Companies: CAMB LOOK MMH VTU PDG

  • 11 Jul 19

Solid outperformance and cash improvements

We note the announcement released this morning by Marshall Motor Holdings (MMH) confirming that the group has outperformed the broader market in both retail and fleet new vehicle sales. The strong H1 performance is encouraging in the context of a challenging market and a record prior year comparative. We are leaving full year trading assumptions unchanged but update our net debt forecasts to reflect the cash outperformance driven by lower capex for 2019E. The shares are trading at a clear EV/EBITDA discount to the sector. MMH has a robust balance sheet with £125m freehold and long leasehold assets as at the time of the 2018 results (160p per share) underpinning the valuation.

Companies: Marshall Motor
  • 15 Jul 19

The tide has turned

Recent events, notably Greece’s switch to a more business-friendly administration after its General Election last weekend, continue to shift the prevailing political and economic winds in Minoan’s favour. This result followed the swing to the right in the Regional, Municipal, and European elections in May. This update provides a very brief summary of the current economic and political backdrop in which the group operates. We intend to follow this with a further more detailed note as the project’s value and realisation become more evident.

Companies: Minoan Group
  • 11 Apr 19

Quarterly Research Outlook

We’re just over three months in to 2019 and we’ve seen a 10% UK market rally, retracing much of the Q4 decline, such is the nature of fickle market sentiment. That said, many of the issues we wrote about three months ago that were impacting markets remain: notably Brexit, trade wars, geopolitics and global monetary policy. The 2019 rally thus far feels somewhat fragile, with competing forces of optimism on a potential trade deal which could underpin the rally, against the deterioration in underlying economic data that could ultimately undermine the recent market gains. In this context, we look at what the lead indicators and the market are telling us about the industrial cycle and the stocks most exposed to various industrial trends. The Q4 derating in short cycle industrials and autos had been vicious and while these sectors have seen a more solid footing in 2019, with earnings downgrades being priced in, it will likely take a trough in lead indicators before short cycle stocks can start to perform again and re-rate relative to the market.

Companies: ARS CYAN HYR LIT SOM ABBY AMS AMER ANX ATYM AVON BLVN PIER BUR CGS CAML CALL CSRT TIDE DTG DEMG EMR FPO FST GTLY GENL GOR GRI GEEC HDY HMI HAYD HEAD HILS HTG HUR IBPO INDI JHD JOG KEYS KCT KGH LAM LOK MACF MNO MANO MOD MKLW OXIG PCA PANR PARK PGM PHC PMO RBW RMM REDD RSW RNO RKH RBGP ROR SUS SCPA SHG SOLG TRAK TRI VNET VTC ZOO ZTF

  • 03 Jul 19

Focus on clear brand leaders

Purplebricks’ results for the year to 30 April 2019 rose 55% to £136.5m of revenue (above the midpoint of the £130m to £140m revenue range guidance provided in the 21 February and 7 May trading updates)

Companies: Purplebricks Group
  • 11 Jul 19

Marshall Motor Holdings - Still performing robustly with strong cash flow

Marshall Motor Holdings (MMH) has issued a pre-close trading statement indicating that performance was in line with management expectations even though markets remain challenging. It also comes at a time when peers have been suffering from what increasingly appear to be company-specific issues. With new and used-car demand continuing to decline in the face of Brexit-induced confidence issues, MMH again outperformed. However, margin pressures and further potential H2 supply-side constraints are expected to lead to a modest fall in profitability. Our estimates remain unchanged and MMH is trading on a current-year multiple of just 5.9x supported by a healthy dividend yield. Any recovery in markets post the Brexit outcome is not reflected by the multiple contraction, even if much of the downside now appears discounted.

Companies: Marshall Motor
  • 15 Jul 19

LIBERUM: DP Eurasia* - Resilient first half; outlook improved; strong BUY

1H’19 ended with a much improved LfL growth trend in Turkey (+7.7% in 1H’19), while Russia (+4.7% LfL) was impacted by a tough comp from the FIFA World Cup in 1H’18. The shift to online channels continues to be the biggest growth driver with online system sales LfL growth of 24.1% in Turkey and 16.9% in Russia.

Companies: DP Eurasia
  • 05 Feb 19

THE MONTHLY February 2019

This Investment Research Paper addresses the issue of renewable power generation in the UK and in mainland Europe, which – after the deep-seated financial crisis of 2008/09 and the ensuing recession – now has better prospects of achieving critical mass. It also considers investment perspectives.

Companies: OPM AVO AJB AGY ARBB AVCT DISH BUR CLIG CSH DNL DPP GTLY GDR HAYD KOOV MCL MUR NSF OXB PCA RE/ REDX STX SCE SIXH TRX TON VAL VTA W7L

  • 27 Mar 19

Rally seen in the first quarter stalls

Parliamentary and Brexit developments continue to hold centre stage, although the precise path forward remains as unclear as ever. The uncertainty over Brexit, worries over a possible slowdown in the US and the outlook for global economic growth generally have all contributed to the recent falls in markets. While the rally seen since the start of the year has petered out, most indices have still made progress. In Share News & Views we comment on Bloomsbury Publishing, Bonhill Group*, Braemar Shipping Services*, Burford, Clarkson, LightwaveRF*, Marshall Motor Holdings and Synectics*.

Companies: AOR APC BONH BMS CTG CRPR DMTR ESC EUSP FDM FA/ LWRF LSAI NKTN PCF SNX TCN VRE W7L