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    SUVRETTA HAUS ST MORITZ

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    SUVRETTA HAUS ST MORITZ

  • 22 Jan 20
Slower Q4 trading, confident of FY21 improvement

Today’s update highlights slower than expected trading within Air Partner’s Charter division in Q4, resulting in a shortfall against previous profit expectations. Visibility is always fairly limited and activity in the UK was impacted by the December General Election and resultant uncertainty, which now looks to have cleared. Adjusted PBT is expected to be £4.3m in FY20 (year ending 31st Jan), compared to our previous forecast of £5.5m and a prior year outturn of £5.8m. The outlook for FY21 is brighter, with sizeable business wins in the Charter division for delivery in H1’21 and good order coverage for the Safety & Security division. Safety & Security also stands to benefit from the first full year of the Redline acquisition. As a result, the Board remains confident in FY21 prospects, suggesting Q4 represents only a short term setback. We place our forecasts under review for now, and expect to publish revised forecasts reflecting today’s guidance in the coming days.

Companies: Air Partner
  • 27 Jan 20
Cenkos: Rotala Plc -- Trading in line with expectations

Rotala has released a positive trading update for FY19E, confirming that trading was in-line with market expectations, and that FY20E had started well. With increased government focus on infrastructure spend in the West Midlands and the North West (which accounts for approximately two thirds of Rotala's revenue), including expected upgrades to the bus network, we see opportunities for Rotala to benefit in the years ahead.

Companies: Rotala
  • 27 Jan 20
LIBERUM: Safestyle* - Stabilisation achieved, investment now needed to sustain growth

Management has announced today that following the broadly successful stabilisation of the group in 2019 it will spend around £3m per annum, mainly to invest in the Safestyle brand after a period of restricted investment. This will also cover further improvement in systems and compliance across the group.

Companies: Safestyle UK
  • 21 Oct 19
Quarterly Research Outlook Autumn 2019

Following continued delays of a Brexit agreement, few sectors within the UK market have remained attractive to investors despite low valuations. One sector which has continued to outperform despite the political drama has been the UK video gaming sector (henceforth UK gaming), which we are fans of. We believe a combination of sector-leading growth, strong cash conversion and timely cyclical positioning support our positive view on the UK video gaming sector.

Companies: ABBY AMS ANX ARS ATYM AVON BLVN PIER BUR CGS CAML CDM CSRT TIDE CYAN DTG DEMG ELM EMR FPO FDEV GTLY GENL GHH GRI GEEC GKP HMI HAYD HEAD HILS HTG HUR IBPO IOG INDI JHD JOG KAPE KEYS KWS KCT KGH LAM LIT LOK MACF MANO MOD OXIG PCA PANR APP SRE PHC PMO RBW RMM RBGP REDD RSW RNO ROR SUS SCPA SEN SHG SOLG SOM SUMO TM17 INCE TWD TRAK TRI VNET VTC ZOO ZTF

  • 23 Jan 20
Encouraging rebound

After several profit warnings since the end of 2018, Asos reported an encouraging start to the year. The strong sales volume during the Black Friday weekend across all regions pushed total sales growth to 20%, beating the upper range of consensus expectations.

Companies: ASOS
  • 28 Jan 20
LIBERUM: DP Eurasia* - Shares too cheap as headwinds ease

DP Eurasia exited 2019 with strong momentum as Turkish LfL growth exceeded +20% in 4Q’19, and issues with the regional franchisees in Russia resolved. A new Russian management team is implementing a new pricing and marketing strategy to re-ignite growth. This coupled with dynamic actions in Turkey could underpin an enhanced 2020 sales growth run-rate. The rate of store openings is expected to return to normal in 2020 as macroeconomic tailwinds have eased, inflation and interest rates have returned to long-term averages and continued investment in technology and innovation remain key underpins. We see the shares offering deep value at the current price, trading at only 9.9x 12m forward EPS. Reiterate BUY.

Companies: DP Eurasia
  • 28 Jan 20
LIBERUM: CEO Video: Nick Jones, Joules*

In these five short videos Joules CEO, Nick Jones, discusses the main learnings since he joined, the key areas of focus, the Christmas availability issue, why store numbers are growing again and what will drive international growth.

Companies: Joules Group
  • 12 Dec 19
Arden Tech SoundBytes

Disney+ hits 22m mobile users, SoftBank backed firm downsizes IPO, German mobile carrier selects Huawei

Companies: ENET 7DIG EVRH ZOO ZOO AMO BOOM MIRA MWE

  • 10 Sep 19
Cenkos: Arena Events Group Plc - H1/19A Interim Results

Arena's interim results showed strong revenue growth, driven primarily by acquisitions, along with modest LFL growth. We expect a strong performance in the Middle East to be offset by a more challenging environment in the UK and the US, leading us to revise our forecasts downwards.

Companies: Arena Events
  • 21 Jan 20
LIBERUM: Joules* - Interims as expected; shares could recover quickly

The H1 results at a headline level show the impact of IFRS 16 and no black Friday this year in H1 20, whereas it was included in H1 19. On an underlying basis, sales would have grown +1.3% and we estimate PBT would have risen by a high single digit % vs. the headline decline of c.10%.

Companies: Joules Group
  • 23 Jan 20
PPHE Hotel Group - Encouraging end to the year

PPHE’s FY19 trading update is solid, meaning that management is confident of meeting expectations. FY19 like-for-like (l-f-l) room revenue growth of 6.3% follows 6.7% growth in FY18. At this stage, typically, detailed commentary on the performance at individual country level is limited. Management has indicated that trading is benefiting from the £100m investment programme, and therefore the key drivers of growth in FY19 were London and the Netherlands. FY20 will continue to benefit from the two recently reopened Park Plaza hotels in the Netherlands. Longer-term growth will be driven by the £300m development pipeline, including key projects such as two art’otels in London and one in New York.

Companies: PPHE Hotel Group
  • 27 Jan 20
Confidence improving with marketing spend increasing back to commercial levels

The business is steadily getting back to where it was pre 2017. The management team has only been in place for a year but in that time has worked hard to stabilise the business and return it to profitability. Confidence of where the business is in the turnaround strategy is evidenced by the announcement today that it will significantly invest in marketing over the next three years. This will underpin an increase in the order book and drive profitability. Investment started in Q419 driving market share gain and an improved order book but has meant profitability is marginally below expectations, at (1.5m). Importantly revenue of £126.2m was broadly in line with ZC forecast (£128.7m) and the strong growth in the final weeks of Q4 suggest the run rate into Q1 of FY20 was good. The turnaround part of the strategy has been executed. The business is now in the recovery phase with the return to profitability in Q319 and the commitment to increase marketing spend to drive profitability over the next three years.

Companies: Safestyle UK
  • 11 Jul 19
Diversification and scale for online success

The global online gaming market generated c £40bn of gross gaming revenues (GGR) in 2018 and newly regulating markets (the US) are expected to contribute to 7% CAGR to 2023 (according to H2 Gambling Capital (H2GC)). However, while regulated markets have provided significant opportunities for operators to date, government intervention remains a constant threat and legislation is tightening. Some mature markets (notably the UK) have been raising taxes and implementing regulatory burdens, which increases the cost of business. In our view, success will depend on a combination of scale, diversification, proprietary technology and a strong balance sheet. Many of the 12 operators in this report should benefit from these dynamics and sector valuations remain attractive, at 12.6x P/E, 8.2x EV/EBITDA and 6.0% dividend yield for FY19.

Companies: 888 ACX BETSB ORPH GVC GYS OPAP PTEC RNK WMH

  • 07 Oct 19
Cenkos: Angling Direct Plc - Continued Momentum

Angling continues to gain momentum in H1/20A as they report substantial growth in all areas of the business. This progress is testament to the continued growth capital invested in the business that has driven sales both in the UK and abroad. We believe Angling is on track to meet our full year forecasts as they continue to outperform the retail sector, leverage their competitive advantage and grow their geographic presence in the UK and Europe.

Companies: Angling Direct
  • 09 Jan 20
Cenkos: Retail Sector -- Termination of coverage

Due to an analyst departure, Cenkos Securities plc has suspended coverge of the following stocks (see table below). Our previous recommendation and forecasts can no longer be relied upon.

Companies: ASC DC/ HFD HWDN KGF MKS NXT